Good Morning, Bolts From the Blue!
The Chargers game against their AFC West rival Denver Broncos will be an interesting one, the path to the playoffs is a long one for either of these sides given their struggles this season however this really is a winner stays alive game. The Bolts need to win a minimum of four of their remaining five games which include an intense set of four inter-division games, two of which are against Sean Payton’s men in orange. Can Brandon Staley repeat the antics of last season’s four game win streak to sneak into the playoffs? The answer will surely be seen against a purplexing Denver Broncos team that can beat some of the best teams in the league but then look lost against the Houston Texans.
The rest of the Sunday slate is headlined by a meeting of two giants of the AFC when the Buffalo Bills go up against the Kansas City Chiefs. Both of these teams have suffered unexpected losses; both sides have already lost more games than they did the whole of last season and it’s not just on paper. Both of their offenses have looked below their best and their defenses, whilst both are elite, have experienced the consequences of being on the field for too long. So whilst we would usually be excited to see a high scoring battle between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes in a who scores last style contest, we are more likely to be talking about who can play clean football and keep their defense in the game. DraftKings Sportsbook have the Chiefs as slight favorites but I’m taking the Bills and their 1.5-point spread at -112 because they are more experienced in this type of game and they are coming off a late season bye week.
This week’s prime time game is an enticing one when the Dallas Cowboys take on their NFC East division rivals; the Philadelphia Eagles at the AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys are favorites here despite trailing the Eagles by a win in the division standings and that is because of this games’ location. Mike McCarthy’s side have been outright dominant at home winning all of their six games by an average margin of 24.5 points. That said, they have been less than impressive against both the Eagles, back in Week 10, and the 49ers, the two sides they will be looking to beat to the NFC Championship game. The Eagles encountered their first real time being outmatched over the past two seasons when those same 49ers blew the doors off in a 42-19 rout. The question is now, which of these NFC East teams will be playing Kyle Shanahan’s men in the conference game and the winner of this Week 14 game will likely be filling that spot. The Eagles only won the previous matchup by 5 points at home and since then Dak Prescott has caught fire so I understand why the line is set the other way around. However this Eagles team led by Jalen Hurts are embattled and have been asked to step by Nick Sirianni following a loss like they suffered last week so I believe they want this game more so I’ll be taking them to at least cover the 3.5-point spread and I’m keen on their moneyline odds of +150 too.
We also have a clash attop the NFC West when the Seattle Seahawks will once again attempt to dethrone the San Francisco 49ers. At 9-3 the ‘niners are looking insurmountable in their hunt to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, winning every game in which their key starters have been available. This game comes very quickly after the reverse fixture two weeks ago when the 49ers won 31-13 however the 11-point spread seems excessive to me as Kenneth Walker was not available and Geno Smith was banged up, if Walker is able to go I see this as a generous cover line to attack at -110.
Here is how the BFTB staff sees this game breaking down:
What do you think, BFTB? Are any of you placing bets across the holiday?