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Favorite prop bets for Chargers-Bills

Can Easton Stick and Gerald Everett take advantage of a favorable matchup

Denver Broncos v Los Angeles Chargers Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

The Chargers season is dwindling down into a disappointing ending but that doesn’t mean there the interest factor in player success should go the same way. This Bolts’ roster is set for a test over the last three weeks of their season and Giff Smith will likely be standing up in front of them telling each and every one of them that they are quite literally fighting for their jobs.

The Buffalo Bills are flying as high as almost any team in the league right now but there are some areas of the field in which they have weaknesses, the first prop bet I have found on DraftKings Sportsbook attacks one of these.

Race to 20 Receiving Yards, Gerald Everett (+1800)

If, similarly to me, you watched the Bills absolutely dominate the Dallas Cowboys for four quarters in Week 15, then you may have noticed a tendency for the minor success that Dak Prescott was able to find. He targeted his tight end Jake Ferguson a huge eight times for six receptions and 44 yards. They didn’t get this connection going early enough but I know Kellen Moore would have spotted this on tape.

The reason I like this to repeat itself for Gerald Everett is because of the Bills’ starting linebacker Terrel Bernard, his coverage has been a weakness in the intermediate and short parts of the field and, even more egregious, has been his 20 missed tackles on the year. If there is anything Everett can bring to the party it is his ability to break tackles with the ball in his hands, he is second in missed tackles forced by a tight end in the league with 16.

So if Kellen Moore scripts a few easy short targets for Easton Stick to get settled into the game then Gerald Everett can take advantage of a missed tackle or two and break out for an early chunk of yards and cash in at these tasty odds.

Los Angeles Chargers v Tennessee Titans Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Over 125 Rushing + Receiving Yards, James Cook (+235)

This one is a bit easier to project and if I’m being honest, one I will be hammering like the treehouse that I forgot my wife asked me to build for my son before Christmas morning arrives. James Cook is on an absolute tear over his last five games averaging 136 all purpose yards per game, including a huge 221 yards against a Cowboys’ defense that came into the game as one of the best units in the league.

There is no reason to think this run will end at the hands of a Chargers’ defense that has allowed 161 all purpose yards per game to running backs over the last two weeks to much less explosive players in more simple offenses. Giff Smith will be relying on Derrick Ansley’s defensive adjustments to improve this however the mismatch between the two rosters might mean even a brilliant game plan will come up short of slowing Cook down.

Add in some game context, the Bills will likely be sprinting away with this game and want to protect their players by keeping the game short by running the ball no matter the success rate. Time management is always a key consideration to prop bets like these.

Buffalo Bills v Kansas City Chiefs Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Over 80 Receiving Yards, Gabriel Davis (+950)

I know, I know. For any Gabe Davis fantasy football owners this will seem a wild bet. The Bills’ receiver has been a disappointment over the course of the season putting up a mere 34 yards per game since their trip to London. He has put up a goose egg in two straight games totalling a lowly three targets over that span however I believe that is likely to change. In Joe Brady’s first game calling plays for the Bills against the Philadelphia Eagles, Davis went off for six receptions for 105 on a massive 12 targets and I like him to repeat those kinds of numbers again.

Gabe’s style is to use his physicality to win at the catch point deep down the field with 44 percent of his yards coming in these situations. The Chargers’ corners have proven that they will not be able to match his athletic profile, if Davis is able to be matched up with Asante Samuel Jr. then I worry about just how big this statline could be.

The odds are too good to pass up on for a number Davis has hit four times season against much better passing defenses. It’s Christmas after all, why not go big?

Dallas Cowboys v Buffalo Bills Photo by Lauren Leigh Bacho/Getty Images

What bets are you placing, Bolts From the Blue?