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Bookie From The Blue: Lines, Predictions, Analysis

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The Los Angeles Chargers take on the Dallas Cowboys in their first Thanksgiving Day game since 1969. Both teams coming off opposite sides of beatdowns, this game appears as if it will be a close contest as both teams need wins to keep their dwindling playoff hopes alive.

The Cowboys have struggled mightily as of late without key players on both sides of the ball, losing by more than twenty the last two weeks. Meanwhile, The Chargers, winners of four of their last six, are coming off their most impressive team performance this season pummeling the Buffalo Peterman‘s 54-24.

Betting Lines:

*Lines According to Oddsshark.com

Chargers (-1) @ Cowboys

O/U: 46.5

The Chargers opened as 3.5 point underdogs, but have climbed to 1-point favorites on the road. The Chargers and Cowboys average 22.1 and 24.2 points per game respectively.

The Chargers are 5-4-1 against the spread this season but are 5-1 in their last six games

The Cowboys are 5-5 against the spread, and 3-3 in their last six games.

Predictions:

Sean Lee has been ruled out which is a huge boost for the Chargers offense.

I think the Chargers cover against a Dallas team that has struggled without Ezekiel Elliott. Even with Tyron Smith back, both tackles appear to be less than 100% in a game that can easily turn ugly if Dallas’ pass protection can’t hold up.

The end of the game will almost certainly come down to a field goal because, well, the Chargers are who they are. I’ll give Nick Novak the benefit of the doubt indoors, because like Anthony Lynn said, “He doesn’t miss the ones when the game is on the line”.

Score: LAC 27- DAL 24

O/U: Over

Pick of the Week: SF (+6.5) vs SEA