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After a relatively successful last week, I’m back with this week’s Start and Sit. Unfortunately, my fantasy season has partially gone down the drain because AP, who I picked 9th overall, is on IR. Woe is me. Anyways, this week will be a fun offensive matchup, and many points will be scored.
Philip Rivers: After the week he had, and with the great start he’s had to the season (5TD, 0INT), he’s a must start against an incredibly weak Colts defense. The Chargers have passed the ball a whole lot less this season so far, partially because they have been winning in (I believe) ⅞ quarters of football thus far. Pair that with the fact that the Chargers have the 3rd rated rushing attack in the NFL, and the future Hall Of Fame Quarterback behind center doesn’t need to carry the team. Even so, he is 2nd in the NFL with an astounding 120.3 passer rating (I am not counting Bradford because he has only played one game), is tied for 2nd in TDs, 2nd in passes over 40 yards, and has only been sacked 4 times.
The Colts are weak on defense, giving up the 3rd most yards, (7th most in passing, with only 2 sacks and 1 INT, and 5th most in rushing (125 yds/game). Expect the Chargers to get into a semi-shootout, but be comfortably ahead the whole game. I see 240yds, 2TDs.
Melvin Gordon: 7th in yards, and 2nd in TDs, with only 19 attempts a game? His touches will no doubt increase with the loss of Danny Woodhead, as Dexter McCluster will not have mastered the playbook by tomorrow, and Kenneth Farrow being an uninspiring rookie. The Chargers will be up the whole game, and will use the run game to grind the Colts down until there is nothing left. 27 touches in the last game, with 120 all-purpose yards and a TD. Expect that number to be over 30, with similar yardage, and tack on 2 TDs. He’s a strong play in PPR leagues.
Tyrell Williams: While he’s still young and inexperienced, he’s slowly starting to win me over with his play. Despite being buried at #3 on the DC behind "starter" Dontrelle Inman (who has 2 receptions this season), he’s had a strong start, amassing 132 yards on just 5 receptions, and is averaging over 31 yards per reception for his career. I don’t think he’s as developed as Travis Benjamin, but being the fact that Gates has had a very slow start to the season (and is almost being out-played by rookie TE Hunter Henry), and that he’s the only big bodied guy Rivers trusts, he’s going to continue to get those looks. Expect at least 80 yards and a TD tomorrow, because teams still aren’t scheming against him.
Travis Benjamin: I was wrong. He is a good receiver and has already built a strong rapport with Rivers. He is perfectly suited to be the #2 guy in this offense, and should see most of Rivers deep balls, considering no one can catch him. 75 yds, 1 TD.
Josh Lambo: Considering the coaching staff has forgotten that Antonio Gates is one of the best targets in the NFL in the red zone, expect Josh Lambo to get a few kicks in. 2 FG, 4 PAT.
Antonio Gates: Don’t look now, but Gates is averaging just under 12 yards... a game. Whiz hasn’t incorporated the Tight Ends, and there is no reason for Gates to play through this injury he’s fighting. The Chargers have 3 starter-quality TE’s on their roster, and none of them will get enough looks until the Chargers play a quality defense.
Entire Colts Offense: According to PFF, the Chargers have 3 of the top 10 CBs in the league right now. Verrett is making his Feeva Island, Hayward is being a ballhawk, and Brandon Flowers has allowed less than 50 yards through 3 games, despite giving up 10 receptions. Despite Andrew Luck’s hot start, he hasn’t had to go against (arguably) the most talented group of Corners in the league. He’s been turnover prone in his short career, and I would not be surprised to see him throw 3 INTs tomorrow, especially considering Donte Moncrief is out, and TY Hilton is battling an injury and is questionable. Frank Gore is old, and is rushing for 3.7 yards per carry, so the Chargers don’t need to respect the run as much as even the first two games.