SB Nation

John Crean | December 17, 2015

2015 NFL Power Rankings Consensus: Week 15

Are Chargers really worst team in the league?

They've not looked very impressive of late, but do the Chargers really belong at the bottom of the list like many pundits have done?

What an awful, terrible, no good, very bad last couple of weeks it's been for Chargers fans. The season is practically over, and reality is setting in that our beloved team could be divorcing us all and moving to Los Angeles. It doesn't help that the team has been playing like absolute trash, either.

The Chargers have been so bad, that a number of pundits consider them to be the worst team in the league right now. Based on what I've seen, it's hard to argue. But the algorithms paint a better picture, and they feel the team isn't as bad as they look.

Notable Quotes

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Division Averages

Division Week 14 Average Week 15 Average Difference
AFC East 12.435 12.837 -0.402
AFC West 14.467 14.217 0.250
NFC West 15.022 14.685 0.337
NFC North 14.424 14.848 -0.424
NFC South 16.413 17.054 -0.641
AFC North 16.696 17.163 -0.467
NFC East 20.478 18.413 2.065
AFC South 22.065 22.783 -0.718

Stock Rising

Team Week 14 Average Week 15 Average Difference
JAX 28.826 23.644 5.182
PHI 18.818 14.924 3.894
OAK 18.178 14.564 3.614
NO 26.470 23.174 3.296
NYG 19.523 16.303 3.220

Stock Falling

Team Week 14 Average Week 15 Average Difference
IND 16.250 20.716 -4.466
ATL 19.064 22.992 -3.928
SF 25.614 28.682 -3.068
CIN 3.174 5.780 -2.606
TB 17.909 20.360 -2.451

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit PFF AP Average Change in Value
Panthers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 0.000 No Change
Cardinals 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 2.250 0.500 Rising
Patriots 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2.833 1.667 Rising
Seahawks 8 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 8 4 4.833 1.584 Rising
Broncos 5 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5.750 -2.167 Falling
Steelers 6 5 8 5 5 7 5 8 7 5 7 7 6.250 1.583 Rising
Bengals 4 6 5 10 8 9 9 7 8 7 3 6 6.833 -3.666 Falling
Packers 7 8 7 7 10 4 7 5 10 8 5 9 7.250 0.500 Rising
Chiefs 9 9 9 8 7 8 8 9 6 9 10 8 8.333 0.250 Rising
Jets 10 10 10 11 9 10 10 10 9 11 14 10 10.333 1.167 Rising
Vikings 11 11 11 9 11 11 11 11 12 10 11 11 10.833 -0.416 Falling
Raiders 14 15 19 16 12 12 12 13 11 15 9 15 13.583 4.500 Rising
Eagles 12 13 20 13 14 13 15 12 13 14 13 12 13.667 5.333 Rising
Redskins 15 12 12 12 13 14 14 19 14 16 23 13 14.750 3.667 Rising
Bills 16 17 14 15 15 16 16 14 15 12 16 17 15.250 -3.250 Falling
Giants 17 14 15 14 17 15 13 20 18 13 26 14 16.333 3.167 Rising
Texans 13 18 16 22 16 17 17 16 16 17 15 16 16.583 -3.083 Falling
Buccaneers 18 16 17 17 18 18 19 17 17 18 24 18 18.083 -3.083 Falling
Colts 20 19 13 20 20 20 23 15 21 19 22 19 19.250 -4.750 Falling
Bears 19 24 18 19 21 19 20 22 19 20 20 20 20.083 -1.750 Falling
Jaguars 21 21 24 18 25 21 21 24 23 21 21 22 21.833 7.000 Rising
Saints 22 22 27 25 19 25 18 23 24 22 18 21 22.167 3.500 Rising
Falcons 27 23 21 21 32 22 28 18 26 25 12 23 23.167 -3.584 Falling
Dolphins 23 25 22 23 22 23 22 21 25 23 27 26 23.500 -1.833 Falling
Rams 26 20 25 26 23 24 24 25 22 24 25 25 24.083 3.500 Rising
Lions 25 28 26 27 26 26 25 26 20 26 29 24 25.667 -3.084 Falling
Cowboys 24 29 23 29 24 27 29 27 27 27 19 27 26.000 -2.500 Falling
Ravens 29 30 32 32 31 28 30 29 29 29 17 30 28.833 -1.083 Falling
49ers 31 27 29 31 27 30 27 28 31 28 31 28 29.000 -3.500 Falling
Browns 32 26 28 30 30 29 26 31 30 30 28 29 29.083 2.750 Rising
Titans 30 31 30 24 29 32 32 32 28 31 30 31 30.000 -1.750 Falling
Chargers 28 32 31 28 28 31 31 30 32 32 32 32 30.583 -1.166 Falling

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit PFF AP STD DEV Change in Value
Panthers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.000 0.000 No Change
Patriots 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 0.373 -0.584 Falling
Cardinals 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 0.595 -0.329 Falling
Vikings 11 11 11 9 11 11 11 11 12 10 11 11 0.687 -0.072 Falling
Broncos 5 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 0.722 -0.393 Falling
Chiefs 9 9 9 8 7 8 8 9 6 9 10 8 1.027 -0.679 Falling
Steelers 6 5 8 5 5 7 5 8 7 5 7 7 1.164 0.477 Rising
Jets 10 10 10 11 9 10 10 10 9 11 14 10 1.247 -1.008 Falling
Bills 16 17 14 15 15 16 16 14 15 12 16 17 1.362 0.137 Rising
Seahawks 8 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 8 4 1.463 0.823 Rising
Bears 19 24 18 19 21 19 20 22 19 20 20 20 1.552 -0.733 Falling
Chargers 28 32 31 28 28 31 31 30 32 32 32 32 1.605 -0.685 Falling
49ers 31 27 29 31 27 30 27 28 31 28 31 28 1.633 -1.121 Falling
Rams 26 20 25 26 23 24 24 25 22 24 25 25 1.656 -0.235 Falling
Browns 32 26 28 30 30 29 26 31 30 30 28 29 1.754 1.201 Rising
Dolphins 23 25 22 23 22 23 22 21 25 23 27 26 1.756 0.157 Rising
Jaguars 21 21 24 18 25 21 21 24 23 21 21 22 1.818 0.000 No Change
Packers 7 8 7 7 10 4 7 5 10 8 5 9 1.831 0.409 Rising
Buccaneers 18 16 17 17 18 18 19 17 17 18 24 18 1.935 -0.225 Falling
Texans 13 18 16 22 16 17 17 16 16 17 15 16 2.019 0.978 Rising
Bengals 4 6 5 10 8 9 9 7 8 7 3 6 2.034 1.481 Rising
Eagles 12 13 20 13 14 13 15 12 13 14 13 12 2.095 -0.141 Falling
Lions 25 28 26 27 26 26 25 26 20 26 29 24 2.134 -0.263 Falling
Titans 30 31 30 24 29 32 32 32 28 31 30 31 2.160 0.626 Rising
Raiders 14 15 19 16 12 12 12 13 11 15 9 15 2.532 -0.425 Falling
Colts 20 19 13 20 20 20 23 15 21 19 22 19 2.650 0.471 Rising
Saints 22 22 27 25 19 25 18 23 24 22 18 21 2.734 0.485 Rising
Cowboys 24 29 23 29 24 27 29 27 27 27 19 27 2.858 0.228 Rising
Redskins 15 12 12 12 13 14 14 19 14 16 23 13 3.139 0.479 Rising
Giants 17 14 15 14 17 15 13 20 18 13 26 14 3.567 0.471 Rising
Ravens 29 30 32 32 31 28 30 29 29 29 17 30 3.760 -0.366 Falling
Falcons 27 23 21 21 32 22 28 18 26 25 12 23 4.913 0.340 Rising

Objective Average

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI Average Change in Value
Panthers 4 6 2 2 1 5 2 1 1 2 4 2.727 1.091 Rising
Patriots 5 1 1 9 4 3 1 3 2 1 2 2.909 1.182 Rising
Cardinals 7 4 4 1 5 1 3 2 3 4 1 3.182 -0.636 Falling
Seahawks 1 2 3 6 3 4 5 5 6 3 3 3.727 0.909 Rising
Bengals 3 3 5 5 6 2 4 4 4 9 7 4.727 -1.545 Falling
Chiefs 2 7 7 10 8 7 6 6 7 7 6 6.636 -0.363 Falling
Packers 10 5 6 4 9 8 9 9 8 6 8 7.455 1.091 Rising
Broncos 8 8 8 3 10 9 10 7 5 5 10 7.546 -1.546 Falling
Steelers 6 9 9 11 7 6 8 8 9 8 5 7.818 0.546 Rising
Jets 9 10 11 18 2 10 7 11 11 14 9 10.182 0.636 Rising
Vikings 13 11 10 7 13 11 14 10 10 10 13 11.091 0.455 Rising
Bills 11 12 12 20 11 12 11 13 12 11 11 12.364 -1.364 Falling
Raiders 12 24 16 17 12 13 12 12 13 21 19 15.546 2.727 Rising
Texans 20 18 15 12 16 18 21 15 14 15 14 16.182 -1.455 Falling
Eagles 19 13 14 14 26 20 16 16 16 12 12 16.182 2.454 Rising
Giants 17 14 13 19 17 15 18 20 17 13 16 16.273 3.273 Rising
Bears 16 23 17 8 18 14 17 14 15 25 18 16.818 0.000 No Change
Lions 15 21 18 13 24 17 26 17 19 20 21 19.182 0.091 Rising
Redskins 18 26 20 24 14 21 15 21 18 23 25 20.455 2.454 Rising
Rams 23 20 23 26 22 16 20 18 21 24 28 21.909 2.909 Rising
Colts 27 16 21 22 31 27 29 19 20 17 15 22.182 -4.182 Falling
Buccaneers 14 29 29 25 15 28 13 23 23 27 23 22.636 -1.818 Falling
Ravens 22 15 19 31 25 19 23 22 26 18 31 22.818 -3.091 Falling
Falcons 28 25 24 23 19 24 19 26 22 19 22 22.818 -4.272 Falling
Cowboys 26 17 22 28 27 25 27 27 28 16 20 23.909 -1.454 Falling
Saints 24 27 27 15 23 30 22 25 24 22 27 24.182 3.091 Rising
Dolphins 25 19 25 30 28 26 25 28 27 28 17 25.273 -1.364 Falling
Jaguars 21 28 28 27 21 23 24 29 25 30 24 25.455 3.363 Rising
Chargers 29 22 26 21 20 22 28 30 29 29 26 25.636 -0.272 Falling
49ers 32 30 30 16 32 29 31 24 30 26 32 28.364 -2.637 Falling
Browns 31 31 31 29 30 31 32 31 31 31 30 30.727 0.637 Rising
Titans 30 32 32 32 29 32 30 32 32 32 29 31.091 -0.909 Falling

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI STD DEV Change in Value
Browns 31 31 31 29 30 31 32 31 31 31 30 0.750 0.107 Rising
Titans 30 32 32 32 29 32 30 32 32 32 29 1.240 -1.240 Falling
Seahawks 1 2 3 6 3 4 5 5 6 3 3 1.543 -0.377 Falling
Steelers 6 9 9 11 7 6 8 8 9 8 5 1.641 -0.079 Falling
Panthers 4 6 2 2 1 5 2 1 1 2 4 1.656 -0.787 Falling
Cardinals 7 4 4 1 5 1 3 2 3 4 1 1.800 0.643 Rising
Chiefs 2 7 7 10 8 7 6 6 7 7 6 1.823 -0.270 Falling
Packers 10 5 6 4 9 8 9 9 8 6 8 1.827 -0.362 Falling
Bengals 3 3 5 5 6 2 4 4 4 9 7 1.911 0.445 Rising
Vikings 13 11 10 7 13 11 14 10 10 10 13 1.929 -0.219 Falling
Giants 17 14 13 19 17 15 18 20 17 13 16 2.219 -1.358 Falling
Broncos 8 8 8 3 10 9 10 7 5 5 10 2.231 -0.143 Falling
Patriots 5 1 1 9 4 3 1 3 2 1 2 2.314 -0.364 Falling
Bills 11 12 12 20 11 12 11 13 12 11 11 2.496 1.542 Rising
Texans 20 18 15 12 16 18 21 15 14 15 14 2.622 0.283 Rising
Falcons 28 25 24 23 19 24 19 26 22 19 22 2.855 -0.539 Falling
Jaguars 21 28 28 27 21 23 24 29 25 30 24 2.996 1.196 Rising
Rams 23 20 23 26 22 16 20 18 21 24 28 3.288 -0.010 Falling
Chargers 29 22 26 21 20 22 28 30 29 29 26 3.549 0.078 Rising
Lions 15 21 18 13 24 17 26 17 19 20 21 3.614 -0.715 Falling
Saints 24 27 27 15 23 30 22 25 24 22 27 3.737 1.688 Rising
Redskins 18 26 20 24 14 21 15 21 18 23 25 3.751 -0.214 Falling
Dolphins 25 19 25 30 28 26 25 28 27 28 17 3.768 0.508 Rising
Jets 9 10 11 18 2 10 7 11 11 14 9 3.786 -0.187 Falling
Eagles 19 13 14 14 26 20 16 16 16 12 12 3.973 -0.360 Falling
Raiders 12 24 16 17 12 13 12 12 13 21 19 4.031 -1.087 Falling
Cowboys 26 17 22 28 27 25 27 27 28 16 20 4.231 1.116 Rising
Bears 16 23 17 8 18 14 17 14 15 25 18 4.324 0.043 Rising
49ers 32 30 30 16 32 29 31 24 30 26 32 4.598 -2.564 Falling
Ravens 22 15 19 31 25 19 23 22 26 18 31 4.896 1.301 Rising
Colts 27 16 21 22 31 27 29 19 20 17 15 5.254 -0.639 Falling
Buccaneers 14 29 29 25 15 28 13 23 23 27 23 5.725 1.019 Rising

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Average Change in Value
Panthers 1.000 2.727 1.864 0.545 Rising
Cardinals 2.250 3.182 2.716 -0.068 Falling
Patriots 2.833 2.909 2.871 1.424 Rising
Seahawks 4.833 3.727 4.280 1.247 Rising
Bengals 6.833 4.727 5.780 -2.606 Falling
Broncos 5.750 7.546 6.648 -1.856 Falling
Steelers 6.250 7.818 7.034 1.064 Rising
Packers 7.250 7.455 7.352 0.796 Rising
Chiefs 8.333 6.636 7.485 -0.057 Falling
Jets 10.333 10.182 10.258 0.901 Rising
Vikings 10.833 11.091 10.962 0.019 Rising
Bills 15.250 12.364 13.807 -2.307 Falling
Raiders 13.583 15.546 14.564 3.614 Rising
Eagles 13.667 16.182 14.924 3.894 Rising
Giants 16.333 16.273 16.303 3.220 Rising
Texans 16.583 16.182 16.383 -2.269 Falling
Redskins 14.750 20.455 17.602 3.061 Rising
Bears 20.083 16.818 18.451 -0.875 Falling
Buccaneers 18.083 22.636 20.360 -2.451 Falling
Colts 19.250 22.182 20.716 -4.466 Falling
Lions 25.667 19.182 22.424 -1.496 Falling
Falcons 23.167 22.818 22.992 -3.928 Falling
Rams 24.083 21.909 22.996 3.205 Rising
Saints 22.167 24.182 23.174 3.296 Rising
Jaguars 21.833 25.455 23.644 5.182 Rising
Dolphins 23.500 25.273 24.386 -1.598 Falling
Cowboys 26.000 23.909 24.955 -1.978 Falling
Ravens 28.833 22.818 25.826 -2.087 Falling
Chargers 30.583 25.636 28.110 -0.720 Falling
49ers 29.000 28.364 28.682 -3.068 Falling
Browns 29.083 30.727 29.905 1.693 Rising
Titans 30.000 31.091 30.545 -1.329 Falling

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg STD DEV Change in Value
Cardinals 2.250 3.182 1.397 0.350 Rising
Vikings 10.833 11.091 1.429 -0.252 Falling
Panthers 1.000 2.727 1.434 -0.765 Falling
Browns 29.083 30.727 1.596 0.954 Rising
Seahawks 4.833 3.727 1.600 -0.064 Falling
Steelers 6.250 7.818 1.615 0.299 Rising
Patriots 2.833 2.909 1.623 -0.365 Falling
Chiefs 8.333 6.636 1.691 -0.533 Falling
Packers 7.250 7.455 1.832 -0.040 Falling
Broncos 5.750 7.546 1.859 -0.332 Falling
Titans 30.000 31.091 1.862 -0.396 Falling
Bengals 6.833 4.727 2.239 1.149 Rising
Texans 16.583 16.182 2.336 0.450 Rising
Bills 15.250 12.364 2.455 1.244 Rising
Jets 10.333 10.182 2.770 -0.442 Falling
Rams 24.083 21.909 2.789 -0.207 Falling
Giants 16.333 16.273 2.999 -0.336 Falling
Dolphins 23.500 25.273 3.030 0.260 Rising
Jaguars 21.833 25.455 3.048 1.239 Rising
Eagles 13.667 16.182 3.379 -0.030 Falling
Saints 22.167 24.182 3.405 1.105 Rising
49ers 29.000 28.364 3.406 -1.933 Falling
Raiders 13.583 15.546 3.475 -0.660 Falling
Bears 20.083 16.818 3.586 0.113 Rising
Chargers 30.583 25.636 3.671 0.122 Rising
Cowboys 26.000 23.909 3.730 0.811 Rising
Falcons 23.167 22.818 4.065 -0.020 Falling
Colts 19.250 22.182 4.360 -0.346 Falling
Lions 25.667 19.182 4.372 0.538 Rising
Redskins 14.750 20.455 4.471 0.440 Rising
Buccaneers 18.083 22.636 4.775 0.141 Rising
Ravens 28.833 22.818 5.279 -0.300 Falling

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Diff. in Avg Change in Value
Redskins 14.750 20.455 5.705 1.213 Rising
Buccaneers 18.083 22.636 4.553 -1.265 Rising
Jaguars 21.833 25.455 3.621 3.636 Rising
Colts 19.250 22.182 2.932 -0.568 Rising
Eagles 13.667 16.182 2.515 2.879 Rising
Saints 22.167 24.182 2.015 0.409 Rising
Raiders 13.583 15.546 1.962 1.773 Rising
Broncos 5.750 7.546 1.796 -0.621 Rising
Dolphins 23.500 25.273 1.773 -0.469 Rising
Panthers 1.000 2.727 1.727 -1.091 Rising
Browns 29.083 30.727 1.644 2.114 Rising
Steelers 6.250 7.818 1.568 1.038 Rising
Titans 30.000 31.091 1.091 -0.841 Rising
Cardinals 2.250 3.182 0.932 1.137 Rising
Vikings 10.833 11.091 0.258 -0.871 Rising
Packers 7.250 7.455 0.205 -0.591 Rising
Patriots 2.833 2.909 0.076 0.485 Rising
Giants 16.333 16.273 -0.061 -0.107 Rising
Jets 10.333 10.182 -0.152 0.530 Rising
Falcons 23.167 22.818 -0.349 0.689 Rising
Texans 16.583 16.182 -0.402 -1.629 Rising
49ers 29.000 28.364 -0.636 -0.863 Rising
Seahawks 4.833 3.727 -1.106 0.674 Rising
Chiefs 8.333 6.636 -1.697 0.614 Rising
Cowboys 26.000 23.909 -2.091 -1.045 Rising
Bengals 6.833 4.727 -2.106 -2.121 Rising
Rams 24.083 21.909 -2.174 0.591 Rising
Bills 15.250 12.364 -2.886 -1.886 Rising
Bears 20.083 16.818 -3.265 -1.750 Rising
Chargers 30.583 25.636 -4.947 -0.894 Rising
Ravens 28.833 22.818 -6.015 2.008 Rising
Lions 25.667 19.182 -6.485 -3.174 Rising

Sources

Subjective Objective
ESPN Football Outsiders
Fox Team Rankings
CBS Sagarin
USA Today BeatGraphs
Sports Illustrated Aikman Efficiency
ProFootballTalk Pro Football Reference
NFL.com Cold Hard Football Facts
SportingNews Massey
SB Nation ARGH
Reddit Five Thirty Eight
ProFootballFocus Football Power Index
Associated Press

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