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John Crean | October 8, 2015

2015 NFL Power Rankings Consensus: Week 5

Passing the Quarter Pole

As we pass the quarter pole (for most teams), are we any closer to figuring out where teams should rank against each other?

I'm going to go ahead and go on record and say it: the Eagles and Lions aren't as bad as the media wants to lead you to think they are. No joke, I've been reading talk of the Lions going 0-16 again this year and that's just asinine. The Lions aren't world-beaters by any stretch of the imagination, but nor are they at the bottom of the pack, and certainly not an 0-16 team.

Two pundits have even ranked the Lions as bottom team in the league, and that's just not right. Those are pundits who are apparently going purely on record alone and not paying attention to any of the actual games. Not that many people hold either pundit in high regard, they should be rightly mocked.

Side Note: In an effort to just get these out the door, I'm presenting the following charts without my observations at the bottom. Feel free to draw your own conclusions from the data and comment below.

Notable Quotes

Philip Rivers is completing 70.7 percent of his passes and leads the NFL in passing yards (1,248). That was all without Antonio Gates (suspension), who will make his season debut Monday against the Steelers.

I sort of feel the same way about the Chargers' performance so far as I do about the first couple episodes of the new Muppets show—pretty underwhelming but, I mean, it has to get better, right? Also, Philip Rivers and Kermit both have been around forever, are kind of awkward and make hilarious faces.

Aaron Rodgers seemingly has sealed up another MVP trophy (OK, maybe it's a little early ...), discussion abounds about Peyton Manning and his arm, and people lament the punchless Steelers sans Ben Roethlisberger. Meanwhile, one QB continues to call plays at the line, holler incessantly and play Hall of Very Good (if not Hall of Fame) football. Philip Rivers looked fantastic again on Sunday, racking up 358 yards and three touchdowns through the air. He avoided throwing a single interception, and currently boasts a robust 105.3 passer rating on the season. Some yawn -- we take notice. #17

Division Averages

Division Week 4 Average Week 5 Average Difference
AFC East 10.966 12.170 -1.204
NFC West 14.818 14.159 0.659
AFC North 14.864 14.364 0.500
AFC West 14.239 15.295 -1.056
NFC East 17.159 16.557 0.602
NFC South 19.011 17.477 1.534
NFC North 18.261 17.807 0.454
AFC South 22.682 24.170 -1.488

Stock Rising

Team Week 4 Average Week 5 Average Difference
NYG 18.227 12.364 5.863
STL 20.818 15.409 5.409
WAS 24.318 20.409 3.909
NO 28.000 24.182 3.818
NYJ 12.773 9.045 3.728

Stock Falling

Team Week 4 Average Week 5 Average Difference
MIA 22.455 26.773 -4.318
HOU 22.364 26.591 -4.227
BUF 7.136 11.273 -4.137
PHI 14.727 18.591 -3.864
KC 14.636 18.136 -3.500

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP Average Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1.182 0.000 No Change
Packers 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1.818 0.182 Rising
Bengals 5 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 3.455 1.272 Rising
Broncos 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 3.727 0.091 Rising
Falcons 6 5 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 5.455 1.545 Rising
Cardinals 4 8 7 7 5 6 6 7 7 6 7 6.364 -3.091 Falling
Panthers 8 6 5 5 8 7 7 6 6 7 6 6.455 2.091 Rising
Seahawks 7 9 8 6 9 8 8 8 10 8 8 8.091 0.364 Rising
Jets 9 7 10 9 7 9 9 9 8 9 9 8.636 5.091 Rising
Steelers 10 13 9 12 17 12 13 11 9 11 11 11.636 -1.909 Falling
Bills 12 12 14 11 14 14 10 12 11 10 14 12.182 -4.000 Falling
Giants 15 11 13 10 13 13 15 10 15 12 12 12.636 6.364 Rising
Rams 11 14 17 13 12 10 12 17 13 15 10 13.091 6.636 Rising
Vikings 14 10 15 14 10 16 11 15 14 13 13 13.182 -1.636 Falling
Colts 16 16 11 15 16 20 14 13 16 17 17 15.546 -0.728 Falling
Cowboys 13 15 12 20 18 11 18 14 19 18 15 15.727 -4.454 Falling
Chargers 17 19 16 17 11 19 16 16 12 16 16 15.909 1.727 Rising
Chiefs 18 17 23 21 19 17 17 23 17 14 20 18.727 -4.363 Falling
Ravens 19 23 18 18 20 15 21 18 21 19 18 19.091 1.636 Rising
Redskins 24 20 19 19 15 22 20 19 18 20 21 19.727 5.182 Rising
Raiders 20 22 21 16 22 18 19 20 20 22 19 19.909 -3.182 Falling
Eagles 22 21 22 24 21 27 22 21 23 21 22 22.364 -4.818 Falling
Titans 23 18 24 23 26 24 23 24 29 23 23 23.636 0.910 Rising
Saints 21 24 25 22 24 29 28 26 22 26 24 24.636 5.728 Rising
Browns 25 29 28 30 23 21 26 30 26 24 25 26.091 0.818 Rising
Dolphins 30 25 30 32 25 23 27 22 27 25 29 26.818 -4.363 Falling
Texans 28 27 29 25 29 25 30 29 25 28 28 27.546 -3.910 Falling
Bears 29 26 20 31 30 30 31 27 24 31 26 27.727 4.273 Rising
Lions 26 28 31 26 27 32 24 32 30 27 27 28.182 -3.273 Falling
49ers 27 31 26 29 28 31 29 25 28 29 31 28.546 -1.728 Falling
Jaguars 31 32 27 27 32 26 25 28 32 30 30 29.091 -0.909 Falling
Buccaneers 32 30 32 28 31 28 32 31 31 32 32 30.818 -1.545 Falling

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP STD DEV Change in Value
Packers 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0.386 -0.217 Falling
Patriots 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0.386 0.000 No Change
Broncos 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 0.445 -0.271 Falling
Bengals 5 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 0.782 0.337 Rising
Jets 9 7 10 9 7 9 9 9 8 9 9 0.881 -0.474 Falling
Falcons 6 5 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 0.988 -0.360 Falling
Panthers 8 6 5 5 8 7 7 6 6 7 6 0.988 -0.683 Falling
Seahawks 7 9 8 6 9 8 8 8 10 8 8 0.996 -0.975 Falling
Cardinals 4 8 7 7 5 6 6 7 7 6 7 1.068 0.206 Rising
Buccaneers 32 30 32 28 31 28 32 31 31 32 32 1.466 0.504 Rising
Bills 12 12 14 11 14 14 10 12 11 10 14 1.527 -0.222 Falling
Eagles 22 21 22 24 21 27 22 21 23 21 22 1.720 -0.511 Falling
Texans 28 27 29 25 29 25 30 29 25 28 28 1.725 -0.047 Falling
Giants 15 11 13 10 13 13 15 10 15 12 12 1.772 -1.151 Falling
Raiders 20 22 21 16 22 18 19 20 20 22 19 1.781 -0.177 Falling
49ers 27 31 26 29 28 31 29 25 28 29 31 1.924 -0.200 Falling
Vikings 14 10 15 14 10 16 11 15 14 13 13 1.946 -0.025 Falling
Ravens 19 23 18 18 20 15 21 18 21 19 18 2.021 -0.157 Falling
Steelers 10 13 9 12 17 12 13 11 9 11 11 2.144 0.008 Rising
Redskins 24 20 19 19 15 22 20 19 18 20 21 2.178 -0.633 Falling
Colts 16 16 11 15 16 20 14 13 16 17 17 2.231 -0.426 Falling
Chargers 17 19 16 17 11 19 16 16 12 16 16 2.353 0.687 Rising
Rams 11 14 17 13 12 10 12 17 13 15 10 2.353 -0.812 Falling
Saints 21 24 25 22 24 29 28 26 22 26 24 2.385 0.953 Rising
Jaguars 31 32 27 27 32 26 25 28 32 30 30 2.466 0.023 Rising
Titans 23 18 24 23 26 24 23 24 29 23 23 2.496 -0.110 Falling
Lions 26 28 31 26 27 32 24 32 30 27 27 2.552 0.123 Rising
Chiefs 18 17 23 21 19 17 17 23 17 14 20 2.666 -0.504 Falling
Browns 25 29 28 30 23 21 26 30 26 24 25 2.778 0.387 Rising
Cowboys 13 15 12 20 18 11 18 14 19 18 15 2.895 1.081 Rising
Dolphins 30 25 30 32 25 23 27 22 27 25 29 3.010 -0.163 Falling
Bears 29 26 20 31 30 30 31 27 24 31 26 3.360 3.360 Rising

Objective Average

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI Average Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 2 1 3 1 7 1 3 1 1 2.000 -0.182 Falling
Packers 2 2 1 3 7 11 1 2 2 2 3 3.273 1.818 Rising
Bengals 4 5 6 4 5 7 2 4 4 5 5 4.636 1.819 Rising
Cardinals 3 6 5 6 2 4 3 9 5 7 2 4.727 -0.727 Falling
Broncos 6 3 3 5 4 12 11 3 1 3 8 5.364 -0.182 Falling
Falcons 8 16 7 2 6 2 8 5 6 9 7 6.909 2.455 Rising
Steelers 7 7 8 10 9 6 5 8 9 8 10 7.909 -0.454 Falling
Seahawks 5 4 4 21 12 16 12 6 8 4 4 8.727 1.000 Rising
Jets 9 10 11 8 1 8 9 10 10 19 9 9.455 2.363 Rising
Bills 11 13 10 12 14 5 4 11 11 12 11 10.364 -4.273 Falling
Panthers 12 17 15 9 8 17 6 7 7 6 15 10.818 0.182 Rising
Giants 13 18 9 7 13 3 13 13 12 15 17 12.091 5.364 Rising
Cowboys 16 15 12 15 18 10 15 12 15 10 16 14.000 -2.545 Falling
Eagles 15 9 14 22 20 9 16 20 18 14 6 14.818 -2.909 Falling
Ravens 14 8 13 20 21 15 22 14 17 11 12 15.182 2.182 Rising
Vikings 17 12 17 16 15 18 10 15 13 18 20 15.546 1.000 Rising
Chiefs 22 11 16 19 27 19 19 16 14 16 14 17.546 -2.637 Falling
Rams 10 20 20 17 19 14 17 18 19 22 19 17.727 4.182 Rising
Colts 19 14 19 18 28 22 26 17 20 13 13 19.000 -1.454 Falling
Chargers 20 19 18 23 16 24 20 19 16 17 18 19.091 0.545 Rising
Redskins 25 27 22 14 11 13 21 25 21 27 26 21.091 2.636 Rising
Raiders 18 28 25 13 17 23 18 24 22 26 29 22.091 -0.455 Falling
Saints 23 23 24 32 23 20 23 22 25 24 22 23.727 1.909 Rising
Titans 24 26 29 29 10 21 14 31 29 30 21 24.000 -1.091 Falling
Lions 21 21 21 30 25 27 29 23 24 21 23 24.091 0.000 No Change
Texans 29 24 26 24 22 28 30 26 26 23 24 25.636 -4.545 Falling
49ers 32 29 28 11 32 30 32 21 23 20 28 26.000 -1.364 Falling
Dolphins 28 22 23 28 31 26 31 27 28 25 25 26.727 -4.272 Falling
Browns 26 25 27 27 29 25 24 28 30 28 27 26.909 -1.363 Falling
Bears 30 30 30 25 26 31 27 29 27 29 31 28.636 1.273 Rising
Jaguars 27 31 31 26 24 29 28 30 31 31 30 28.909 -0.182 Falling
Buccaneers 31 32 32 31 30 32 25 32 32 32 32 31.000 -0.091 Falling

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI STD DEV Change in Value
Bengals 4 5 6 4 5 7 2 4 4 5 5 1.226 -0.745 Falling
Steelers 7 7 8 10 9 6 5 8 9 8 10 1.505 0.429 Rising
Browns 26 25 27 27 29 25 24 28 30 28 27 1.730 -1.326 Falling
Patriots 1 1 2 1 3 1 7 1 3 1 1 1.758 0.566 Rising
Bears 30 30 30 25 26 31 27 29 27 29 31 1.967 0.524 Rising
Buccaneers 31 32 32 31 30 32 25 32 32 32 32 2.000 0.379 Rising
Cardinals 3 6 5 6 2 4 3 9 5 7 2 2.093 -0.281 Falling
Jaguars 27 31 31 26 24 29 28 30 31 31 30 2.275 -2.772 Falling
Texans 29 24 26 24 22 28 30 26 26 23 24 2.422 -1.080 Falling
Chargers 20 19 18 23 16 24 20 19 16 17 18 2.466 -1.209 Falling
Cowboys 16 15 12 15 18 10 15 12 15 10 16 2.486 -2.997 Falling
Dolphins 28 22 23 28 31 26 31 27 28 25 25 2.766 -0.407 Falling
Vikings 17 12 17 16 15 18 10 15 13 18 20 2.808 -1.890 Falling
Saints 23 23 24 32 23 20 23 22 25 24 22 2.895 -0.006 Falling
Packers 2 2 1 3 7 11 1 2 2 2 3 2.895 -0.448 Falling
Bills 11 13 10 12 14 5 4 11 11 12 11 2.963 0.812 Rising
Rams 10 20 20 17 19 14 17 18 19 22 19 3.136 -0.874 Falling
Lions 21 21 21 30 25 27 29 23 24 21 23 3.147 0.179 Rising
Broncos 6 3 3 5 4 12 11 3 1 3 8 3.392 -0.465 Falling
Falcons 8 16 7 2 6 2 8 5 6 9 7 3.604 -1.207 Falling
Jets 9 10 11 8 1 8 9 10 10 19 9 3.940 -0.708 Falling
Giants 13 18 9 7 13 3 13 13 12 15 17 4.144 -0.475 Falling
Chiefs 22 11 16 19 27 19 19 16 14 16 14 4.164 -0.438 Falling
Ravens 14 8 13 20 21 15 22 14 17 11 12 4.196 0.328 Rising
Panthers 12 17 15 9 8 17 6 7 7 6 15 4.260 -0.411 Falling
Colts 19 14 19 18 28 22 26 17 20 13 13 4.690 -1.406 Falling
Raiders 18 28 25 13 17 23 18 24 22 26 29 4.795 -0.164 Falling
Eagles 15 9 14 22 20 9 16 20 18 14 6 4.896 1.119 Rising
Seahawks 5 4 4 21 12 16 12 6 8 4 4 5.528 -1.428 Falling
Redskins 25 27 22 14 11 13 21 25 21 27 26 5.583 -0.011 Falling
49ers 32 29 28 11 32 30 32 21 23 20 28 6.296 0.603 Rising
Titans 24 26 29 29 10 21 14 31 29 30 21 6.592 -0.407 Falling

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Average Change in Value
Patriots 1.182 2.000 1.591 -0.091 Falling
Packers 1.818 3.273 2.545 1.000 Rising
Bengals 3.455 4.636 4.045 1.546 Rising
Broncos 3.727 5.364 4.545 -0.045 Falling
Cardinals 6.364 4.727 5.545 -1.909 Falling
Falcons 5.455 6.909 6.182 2.000 Rising
Seahawks 8.091 8.727 8.409 0.682 Rising
Panthers 6.455 10.818 8.636 1.137 Rising
Jets 8.636 9.455 9.045 3.728 Rising
Steelers 11.636 7.909 9.773 -1.182 Falling
Bills 12.182 10.364 11.273 -4.137 Falling
Giants 12.636 12.091 12.364 5.863 Rising
Vikings 13.182 15.546 14.364 -0.318 Falling
Cowboys 15.727 14.000 14.864 -3.500 Falling
Rams 13.091 17.727 15.409 5.409 Rising
Ravens 19.091 15.182 17.136 1.909 Rising
Colts 15.546 19.000 17.273 -1.091 Falling
Chargers 15.909 19.091 17.500 1.136 Rising
Chiefs 18.727 17.546 18.136 -3.500 Falling
Eagles 22.364 14.818 18.591 -3.864 Falling
Redskins 19.727 21.091 20.409 3.909 Rising
Raiders 19.909 22.091 21.000 -1.818 Falling
Titans 23.636 24.000 23.818 -0.091 Falling
Saints 24.636 23.727 24.182 3.818 Rising
Lions 28.182 24.091 26.136 -1.636 Falling
Browns 26.091 26.909 26.500 -0.273 Falling
Texans 27.546 25.636 26.591 -4.227 Falling
Dolphins 26.818 26.727 26.773 -4.318 Falling
49ers 28.546 26.000 27.273 -1.546 Falling
Bears 27.727 28.636 28.182 2.773 Rising
Jaguars 29.091 28.909 29.000 -0.545 Falling
Buccaneers 30.818 31.000 30.909 -0.818 Falling

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg STD DEV Change in Value
Bengals 3.455 4.636 1.186 -0.484 Falling
Patriots 1.182 2.000 1.337 0.395 Rising
Buccaneers 30.818 31.000 1.756 0.192 Rising
Cardinals 6.364 4.727 1.852 0.029 Rising
Packers 1.818 3.273 2.189 -0.667 Falling
Texans 27.546 25.636 2.309 -0.744 Falling
Browns 26.091 26.909 2.350 -0.477 Falling
Jaguars 29.091 28.909 2.374 -1.600 Falling
Bills 12.182 10.364 2.526 0.304 Rising
Broncos 3.727 5.364 2.554 -0.302 Falling
Steelers 11.636 7.909 2.627 0.590 Rising
Vikings 13.182 15.546 2.689 -1.696 Falling
Saints 24.636 23.727 2.691 -0.598 Falling
Falcons 5.455 6.909 2.741 -0.984 Falling
Bears 27.727 28.636 2.790 1.329 Rising
Cowboys 15.727 14.000 2.833 -1.252 Falling
Jets 8.636 9.455 2.884 -0.670 Falling
Chargers 15.909 19.091 2.888 -0.135 Falling
Dolphins 26.818 26.727 2.891 -0.282 Falling
Giants 12.636 12.091 3.199 -0.743 Falling
Lions 28.182 24.091 3.520 0.777 Rising
Chiefs 18.727 17.546 3.546 -0.415 Falling
Rams 13.091 17.727 3.614 -0.160 Falling
Raiders 19.909 22.091 3.778 -0.721 Falling
Panthers 6.455 10.818 3.785 0.069 Rising
Ravens 19.091 15.182 3.829 0.268 Rising
Seahawks 8.091 8.727 3.985 -1.166 Falling
Colts 15.546 19.000 4.059 -0.837 Falling
Redskins 19.727 21.091 4.292 -0.174 Falling
49ers 28.546 26.000 4.826 0.393 Rising
Titans 23.636 24.000 4.988 -0.356 Falling
Eagles 22.364 14.818 5.263 1.072 Rising

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Diff. in Avg Change in Value
Rams 13.091 17.727 4.636 2.454 Rising
Panthers 6.455 10.818 4.364 1.909 Rising
Colts 15.546 19.000 3.455 0.728 Rising
Chargers 15.909 19.091 3.182 1.182 Rising
Vikings 13.182 15.546 2.364 -2.636 Rising
Raiders 19.909 22.091 2.182 -2.727 Rising
Broncos 3.727 5.364 1.636 0.272 Rising
Packers 1.818 3.273 1.455 -1.636 Rising
Falcons 5.455 6.909 1.455 -0.909 Rising
Redskins 19.727 21.091 1.364 2.546 Rising
Bengals 3.455 4.636 1.182 -0.545 Rising
Bears 27.727 28.636 0.909 3.000 Rising
Jets 8.636 9.455 0.818 2.727 Rising
Browns 26.091 26.909 0.818 2.182 Rising
Patriots 1.182 2.000 0.818 0.182 Rising
Seahawks 8.091 8.727 0.636 -0.637 Rising
Titans 23.636 24.000 0.364 2.000 Rising
Buccaneers 30.818 31.000 0.182 -1.454 Rising
Dolphins 26.818 26.727 -0.091 -0.091 Rising
Jaguars 29.091 28.909 -0.182 -0.728 Rising
Giants 12.636 12.091 -0.546 1.000 Rising
Saints 24.636 23.727 -0.909 3.818 Rising
Chiefs 18.727 17.546 -1.182 -1.728 Rising
Cardinals 6.364 4.727 -1.636 -2.363 Rising
Cowboys 15.727 14.000 -1.727 -1.909 Rising
Bills 12.182 10.364 -1.818 0.273 Rising
Texans 27.546 25.636 -1.909 0.637 Rising
49ers 28.546 26.000 -2.546 -0.364 Rising
Steelers 11.636 7.909 -3.727 -1.454 Rising
Ravens 19.091 15.182 -3.909 -0.545 Rising
Lions 28.182 24.091 -4.091 -3.273 Rising
Eagles 22.364 14.818 -7.545 -1.909 Rising

Sources

Subjective Objective
ESPN Football Outsiders
Fox Team Rankings
CBS Sagarin
USA Today BeatGraphs
Sports Illustrated Aikman Efficiency
ProFootballTalk Pro Football Reference
NFL.com Cold Hard Football Facts
SportingNews Massey
SB Nation ARGH
Reddit Five Thirty Eight
Associated Press Football Power Index

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