SB Nation

John Crean | October 22, 2015

2015 NFL Power Rankings Consensus: Week 7

It's an NFC sandwich!

We started the 2015 NFL Season with what seemed like divisional parity. That has all but vanished.

This has been a rather interesting NFL season to me through the first 6 weeks. A lot of preconceived notions have been blown away. The Seahawks opened the season at number 1 on a couple rankings, and the Falcons were hovering around 23rd. Some pundits had the Chiefs in their top-10, and they've been anything but world-beaters (even before Jamaal Charles went down).

That's not to say everyone was wrong about every team, I just like to point this out because as many fans like to deride statistical analysis: this is why games are played on the field and not in spreadsheets.

Notable Quotes

The Chargers rank 29th in yards per rush (3.6) this season and last in yards per rush allowed (5.4). That's putting a lot on the shoulders of Philip Rivers.

If they're not going to win, it would at least be fun to see Philip Rivers become the league's first 5,500-yard passer.

The Chargers could be a playoff team. Yet, their approach -- specifically that of coach Mike McCoy -- puts the entire outcome on the shoulders of Philip Rivers. The franchise quarterback calls much of the offense from the line of scrimmage, and he carries the burden of having to play at an elite level all the time for San Diego to win. It should be noted that Rivers did have Danny Woodhead open in the flat on that second-and-goal incompletion to Antonio Gates in the closing moments of the loss to Green Bay. It should also be noted that, had the game seeped into overtime, Rivers (503 passing yards on 65 attempts) could have threatened one of the oldest records on the NFL's books: Norm Van Brocklin's 554 passing yards, set in 1951.

Division Averages

Division Week 6 Average Week 7 Average Difference
AFC East 11.932 10.136 1.796
AFC North 13.773 14.170 -0.397
NFC West 14.580 15.080 -0.500
NFC East 15.523 15.830 -0.307
NFC South 17.443 16.500 0.943
NFC North 17.477 17.398 0.079
AFC West 16.773 17.727 -0.954
AFC South 24.500 25.159 -0.659

What did I say? It's an NFC sandwich, nestled between AFC bread. It's kind of interesting because to start the season there was a perfect AFC-NFC alternating order of the divisions.

Stock Rising

Team Week 6 Average Week 7 Average Difference
MIA 26.955 19.545 7.410
PHI 14.773 9.500 5.273
NO 26.727 22.545 4.182
SF 26.818 23.409 3.409
HOU 28.636 25.636 3.000

I mean, I know the Dolphins looked impressive against the Titans on Sunday, but jumping 8 spots? On the flip-side, I've been saying for weeks that the Eagles aren't as bad as people want to make them out to be.

Stock Falling

Team Week 6 Average Week 7 Average Difference
TEN 24.364 28.591 -4.227
WAS 18.864 22.545 -3.681
BAL 19.955 23.500 -3.545
NYG 11.182 14.318 -3.136
SEA 9.773 12.727 -2.954

Subjective Average

We'll start off with the Subjective Average. These rankings are the ones that has actual people ranking the teams based on their gut feelings. You'll see in a moment that some of these sites may even just throw darts at a board, or have a chicken pecking at numbers.

I then take all those rankings and average them together, then sort the table based on the average ranking. This method evens out the peaks and valleys and allows us to get a more reliable "big picture" view of the perception of where teams rank in the league.

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP Average Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 0.091 Rising
Packers 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2.364 -0.364 Falling
Bengals 5 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 2.818 0.273 Rising
Panthers 6 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4.273 2.727 Rising
Broncos 3 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4.818 -0.272 Falling
Jets 8 6 6 9 5 6 7 7 7 8 6 6.818 1.637 Rising
Falcons 7 8 7 7 10 8 6 6 8 6 9 7.455 -2.364 Falling
Steelers 10 7 10 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 8 7.818 2.818 Rising
Cardinals 4 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 7 7 8.000 -2.545 Falling
Vikings 15 9 9 11 9 10 10 13 10 10 10 10.546 2.181 Rising
Eagles 9 12 12 12 11 12 11 10 11 12 12 11.273 6.363 Rising
Colts 11 13 11 10 12 19 13 12 13 13 11 12.546 0.363 Rising
Giants 14 17 17 14 15 14 14 11 14 14 13 14.273 -3.637 Falling
Bills 17 15 15 15 16 17 12 14 12 11 14 14.364 -2.818 Falling
Seahawks 12 19 14 13 13 16 16 15 18 15 15 15.091 -4.455 Falling
Rams 18 11 18 17 14 11 15 19 15 16 16 15.455 0.181 Rising
Chargers 13 20 13 16 18 21 17 20 16 17 17 17.091 -0.636 Falling
Cowboys 16 16 16 21 22 13 21 16 24 18 18 18.273 0.000 No Change
Dolphins 21 14 23 29 19 15 22 17 21 22 20 20.273 6.636 Rising
Raiders 23 24 24 19 23 18 18 18 22 20 19 20.727 -0.454 Falling
Browns 27 21 26 22 17 20 20 23 17 19 22 21.273 -0.818 Falling
49ers 19 18 22 20 21 26 23 24 20 23 23 21.727 5.455 Rising
Saints 20 22 21 18 26 23 27 25 19 24 21 22.364 5.454 Rising
Redskins 22 23 28 26 20 22 19 22 23 21 25 22.818 -3.636 Falling
Bears 25 30 19 30 24 24 24 26 25 25 26 25.273 -3.637 Falling
Texans 26 25 20 23 25 27 25 27 27 29 24 25.273 4.727 Rising
Buccaneers 31 27 25 27 27 25 26 21 28 28 27 26.546 -0.910 Falling
Ravens 28 31 31 24 28 28 28 28 29 26 30 28.273 -5.091 Falling
Lions 24 28 27 25 29 29 31 31 30 30 28 28.364 3.091 Rising
Chiefs 29 29 29 31 30 30 30 29 26 27 29 29.000 -4.727 Falling
Titans 30 26 30 32 31 31 29 30 31 31 31 30.182 -4.364 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 32 28 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31.636 -1.272 Falling

Observations:

  • Patriots are finally the unanimous top pick.
  • Packers defense got burned by Philip Rivers on Sunday, better drop them down a spot or two.
  • Bengals on the rise and threatening to overthrow the Packers.
  • Take a look at the top 5. There are currently 5 undefeated teams in the NFL, all five of those teams are in the top 5 of this board. This should highlight that many pundits look at little else than current record.
  • Amusing that the Cowboys didn't move at all this week, with every other team moving this week.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Put simply, Standard Deviation is a tool in statistics to measure how much variance there is in a set of numbers. To put more simply: I use it to look at who's ranked the most- and least-consistently. In Standard Deviation, the lower the number, the more consistent the values in the set.

For our purposes, this means the lower the Standard Deviation, the more consistent the rankings. The opposite is true too: the higher the number, the less consistent the rankings.

This table is sorted by most-consistently ranked to least-consistently ranked.

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP STD DEV Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.000 -0.288 Falling
Packers 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 0.481 0.055 Rising
Panthers 6 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0.617 -0.236 Falling
Broncos 3 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 0.716 -0.066 Falling
Bengals 5 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 0.833 0.165 Rising
Eagles 9 12 12 12 11 12 11 10 11 12 12 0.962 -1.460 Falling
Jets 8 6 6 9 5 6 7 7 7 8 6 1.113 -0.192 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 32 28 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 1.150 -0.461 Falling
Falcons 7 8 7 7 10 8 6 6 8 6 9 1.233 0.333 Rising
Steelers 10 7 10 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 8 1.336 -0.384 Falling
Chiefs 29 29 29 31 30 30 30 29 26 27 29 1.348 -1.385 Falling
Titans 30 26 30 32 31 31 29 30 31 31 31 1.527 -1.130 Falling
Cardinals 4 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 7 7 1.537 0.461 Rising
Giants 14 17 17 14 15 14 14 11 14 14 13 1.601 0.451 Rising
Vikings 15 9 9 11 9 10 10 13 10 10 10 1.777 -0.562 Falling
Bills 17 15 15 15 16 17 12 14 12 11 14 1.920 0.547 Rising
Ravens 28 31 31 24 28 28 28 28 29 26 30 1.958 -0.291 Falling
Seahawks 12 19 14 13 13 16 16 15 18 15 15 2.021 -0.286 Falling
Lions 24 28 27 25 29 29 31 31 30 30 28 2.186 1.530 Rising
49ers 19 18 22 20 21 26 23 24 20 23 23 2.260 0.564 Rising
Colts 11 13 11 10 12 19 13 12 13 13 11 2.271 0.541 Rising
Texans 26 25 20 23 25 27 25 27 27 29 24 2.300 1.346 Rising
Buccaneers 31 27 25 27 27 25 26 21 28 28 27 2.350 0.983 Rising
Raiders 23 24 24 19 23 18 18 18 22 20 19 2.378 0.374 Rising
Chargers 13 20 13 16 18 21 17 20 16 17 17 2.503 0.627 Rising
Redskins 22 23 28 26 20 22 19 22 23 21 25 2.516 0.875 Rising
Rams 18 11 18 17 14 11 15 19 15 16 16 2.536 0.764 Rising
Saints 20 22 21 18 26 23 27 25 19 24 21 2.772 0.735 Rising
Bears 25 30 19 30 24 24 24 26 25 25 26 2.863 0.806 Rising
Browns 27 21 26 22 17 20 20 23 17 19 22 3.078 1.107 Rising
Cowboys 16 16 16 21 22 13 21 16 24 18 18 3.165 0.399 Rising
Dolphins 21 14 23 29 19 15 22 17 21 22 20 3.933 0.786 Rising

Observations:

  • ESPN a little bit of an outlier on the Eagles.
  • Dolphins all over the board (14th to 29th).
  • PFT doesn't like the Colts compared to everyone else.
  • Consensus on the Chargers is getting worse

Objective Average

I call these rankings the "Objective" rankings because unlike the rankings above, these are rankings based on statistical models of some sort. I use the term "Objective" loosely here because there is still some inherent bias in how the various models are constructed. Each ranking site has their own criteria in what they feel is success in the NFL.

All that said, these rankings are more objective as they remove perception and bias and produce rankings based on how well teams actually play, not how they're perceived to play.

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI Average Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.182 0.182 Rising
Packers 3 2 2 6 5 8 2 2 2 2 4 3.455 -0.728 Falling
Bengals 4 5 4 8 4 6 4 3 3 4 7 4.727 0.546 Rising
Cardinals 2 6 5 16 3 2 3 9 5 8 2 5.546 -1.000 Falling
Steelers 6 7 6 7 7 4 6 6 7 6 5 6.091 0.909 Rising
Jets 5 9 9 5 1 3 7 7 9 14 6 6.818 1.909 Rising
Broncos 10 3 3 12 8 11 14 4 4 3 12 7.636 -0.909 Falling
Eagles 7 8 8 4 10 5 11 10 10 9 3 7.727 4.182 Rising
Panthers 11 10 11 15 6 14 5 5 6 7 13 9.364 1.909 Rising
Falcons 15 18 10 1 9 7 9 8 8 11 9 9.546 -2.182 Falling
Seahawks 8 4 7 18 17 12 12 11 12 5 8 10.364 -1.455 Falling
Bills 9 16 12 10 14 10 8 13 13 15 10 11.818 -1.454 Falling
Giants 12 21 14 9 13 9 13 16 14 17 20 14.364 -2.637 Falling
Vikings 25 11 13 19 12 17 10 12 11 13 19 14.727 1.455 Rising
Cowboys 23 19 15 3 25 16 15 14 15 12 15 15.636 0.637 Rising
Colts 17 12 17 20 23 23 27 15 18 10 11 17.546 -0.637 Falling
Chargers 19 17 19 21 16 19 22 18 16 20 18 18.636 0.455 Rising
Ravens 13 13 16 32 19 18 23 20 22 16 14 18.727 -2.000 Falling
Dolphins 22 15 18 11 22 20 19 22 19 23 16 18.818 8.182 Rising
Rams 14 20 21 14 20 15 29 17 17 24 22 19.364 -1.546 Falling
Chiefs 16 14 20 25 29 25 20 25 20 19 17 20.909 -0.636 Falling
Redskins 20 27 23 13 15 13 26 28 25 29 26 22.273 -3.727 Falling
Saints 24 23 22 31 24 21 21 21 21 21 21 22.727 2.909 Rising
Raiders 18 28 26 24 11 24 18 24 24 27 29 23.000 -0.454 Falling
Browns 21 25 25 26 27 22 16 23 26 26 23 23.636 0.182 Rising
49ers 32 26 27 17 32 26 28 19 23 18 28 25.091 1.364 Rising
Texans 30 24 28 27 21 29 25 27 28 22 25 26.000 1.273 Rising
Lions 27 22 24 22 28 28 32 29 29 25 24 26.364 0.363 Rising
Titans 26 30 30 29 18 27 17 31 31 31 27 27.000 -4.091 Falling
Bears 31 29 29 23 26 30 30 26 27 28 30 28.091 -1.727 Falling
Buccaneers 29 31 31 28 30 32 24 30 30 30 32 29.727 0.000 No Change
Jaguars 28 32 32 30 31 31 31 32 32 32 31 31.091 -1.273 Falling

Observations:

  • Patriots on top of the Objective board, though it's not unanimous.
  • Football Outsiders has the Broncos at 10th. Per DVOA, the Broncos has have the best Defense in the league, but the worst (!) offense. Their Defense is better than their Offense is bad, and they have a decent Special Teams, so it all adds up to a top-10 team still.
  • Chargers, despite the loss, still rose a little in the rankings.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
FO TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 FPI STD DEV Change in Value
Patriots 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.386 -0.095 Falling
Steelers 6 7 6 7 7 4 6 6 7 6 5 0.900 -0.145 Falling
Jaguars 28 32 32 30 31 31 31 32 32 32 31 1.164 -1.458 Falling
Bengals 4 5 4 8 4 6 4 3 3 4 7 1.543 0.123 Rising
Chargers 19 17 19 21 16 19 22 18 16 20 18 1.823 0.444 Rising
Packers 3 2 2 6 5 8 2 2 2 2 4 1.971 0.919 Rising
Buccaneers 29 31 31 28 30 32 24 30 30 30 32 2.136 -0.461 Falling
Bears 31 29 29 23 26 30 30 26 27 28 30 2.275 -1.821 Falling
Bills 9 16 12 10 14 10 8 13 13 15 10 2.480 0.986 Rising
Eagles 7 8 8 4 10 5 11 10 10 9 3 2.562 -1.017 Falling
Texans 30 24 28 27 21 29 25 27 28 22 25 2.730 0.240 Rising
Saints 24 23 22 31 24 21 21 21 21 21 21 2.863 0.556 Rising
Browns 21 25 25 26 27 22 16 23 26 26 23 3.023 0.899 Rising
Lions 27 22 24 22 28 28 32 29 29 25 24 3.053 -0.054 Falling
Jets 5 9 9 5 1 3 7 7 9 14 6 3.325 -0.562 Falling
Dolphins 22 15 18 11 22 20 19 22 19 23 16 3.486 -0.056 Falling
Panthers 11 10 11 15 6 14 5 5 6 7 13 3.549 -0.543 Falling
Giants 12 21 14 9 13 9 13 16 14 17 20 3.724 0.337 Rising
Cardinals 2 6 5 16 3 2 3 9 5 8 2 4.031 0.557 Rising
Broncos 10 3 3 12 8 11 14 4 4 3 12 4.118 0.678 Rising
Falcons 15 18 10 1 9 7 9 8 8 11 9 4.142 0.369 Rising
Seahawks 8 4 7 18 17 12 12 11 12 5 8 4.291 -0.291 Falling
Chiefs 16 14 20 25 29 25 20 25 20 19 17 4.358 0.135 Rising
Rams 14 20 21 14 20 15 29 17 17 24 22 4.396 0.808 Rising
Vikings 25 11 13 19 12 17 10 12 11 13 19 4.454 1.902 Rising
Titans 26 30 30 29 18 27 17 31 31 31 27 4.786 -1.545 Falling
49ers 32 26 27 17 32 26 28 19 23 18 28 4.999 0.770 Rising
Raiders 18 28 26 24 11 24 18 24 24 27 29 5.081 0.501 Rising
Colts 17 12 17 20 23 23 27 15 18 10 11 5.159 -0.359 Falling
Ravens 13 13 16 32 19 18 23 20 22 16 14 5.310 1.843 Rising
Cowboys 23 19 15 3 25 16 15 14 15 12 15 5.482 0.526 Rising
Redskins 20 27 23 13 15 13 26 28 25 29 26 5.770 -1.084 Falling

Observations:

  • Good luck trying to figure out Washington or Dallas. What's wrong with the Ravens this year? Nobody knows!
  • Aikman's ratings sure does like the Raiders.

Overall Average

Now let's compare the two sets of data. We'll start with the "Overall Average" chart. This takes the Subjective Average and the Objective Average, and then averages those two numbers. This way it gives equal weight to both averages so that even though Subjective Average has a larger sample size, it doesn't drown out the Objective Average.

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Average Change in Value
Patriots 1.000 1.182 1.091 0.136 Rising
Packers 2.364 3.455 2.909 -0.545 Falling
Bengals 2.818 4.727 3.773 0.409 Rising
Broncos 4.818 7.636 6.227 -0.591 Falling
Cardinals 8.000 5.546 6.773 -1.773 Falling
Jets 6.818 6.818 6.818 1.773 Rising
Panthers 4.273 9.364 6.818 2.318 Rising
Steelers 7.818 6.091 6.955 1.863 Rising
Falcons 7.455 9.546 8.500 -2.273 Falling
Eagles 11.273 7.727 9.500 5.273 Rising
Vikings 10.546 14.727 12.636 1.819 Rising
Seahawks 15.091 10.364 12.727 -2.954 Falling
Bills 14.364 11.818 13.091 -2.136 Falling
Giants 14.273 14.364 14.318 -3.136 Falling
Colts 12.546 17.546 15.046 -0.137 Falling
Cowboys 18.273 15.636 16.955 0.318 Rising
Rams 15.455 19.364 17.409 -0.682 Falling
Chargers 17.091 18.636 17.864 -0.091 Falling
Dolphins 20.273 18.818 19.545 7.410 Rising
Raiders 20.727 23.000 21.864 -0.455 Falling
Browns 21.273 23.636 22.455 -0.319 Falling
Saints 22.364 22.727 22.545 4.182 Rising
Redskins 22.818 22.273 22.545 -3.681 Falling
49ers 21.727 25.091 23.409 3.409 Rising
Ravens 28.273 18.727 23.500 -3.545 Falling
Chiefs 29.000 20.909 24.955 -2.682 Falling
Texans 25.273 26.000 25.636 3.000 Rising
Bears 25.273 28.091 26.682 -2.682 Falling
Lions 28.364 26.364 27.364 1.727 Rising
Buccaneers 26.546 29.727 28.136 -0.454 Falling
Titans 30.182 27.000 28.591 -4.227 Falling
Jaguars 31.636 31.091 31.364 -1.273 Falling

Observations:

  • Patriots getting better, Packers getting worse.
  • Jets went up just as much as Cardinals went down this week.
  • Chargers are firmly in the middle of the pack.
  • Eagles crack the upper-echelon.

Overall Standard Deviation

The Overall Standard Deviation does not average anything out, it just takes the Standard Deviation across all the rankings. Yes this will even things out slightly, but it goes to show which teams have consensus across the board.

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg STD DEV Change in Value
Patriots 1.000 1.182 0.288 -0.131 Falling
Jaguars 31.636 31.091 1.189 -1.004 Falling
Steelers 7.818 6.091 1.430 -0.879 Falling
Packers 2.364 3.455 1.535 0.654 Rising
Bengals 2.818 4.727 1.565 0.009 Rising
Chargers 17.091 18.636 2.322 0.213 Rising
Jets 6.818 6.818 2.480 -0.422 Falling
Texans 25.273 26.000 2.550 0.223 Rising
Bills 14.364 11.818 2.557 1.005 Rising
Eagles 11.273 7.727 2.624 -1.564 Falling
Buccaneers 26.546 29.727 2.752 -0.162 Falling
Saints 22.364 22.727 2.824 0.390 Rising
Lions 28.364 26.364 2.837 -0.423 Falling
Giants 14.273 14.364 2.867 0.280 Rising
Bears 25.273 28.091 2.945 -1.066 Falling
Falcons 7.455 9.546 3.230 0.261 Rising
Browns 21.273 23.636 3.272 0.621 Rising
Broncos 4.818 7.636 3.274 0.551 Rising
Cardinals 8.000 5.546 3.288 0.677 Rising
Panthers 4.273 9.364 3.601 -0.046 Falling
Dolphins 20.273 18.818 3.787 0.437 Rising
Titans 30.182 27.000 3.892 -1.176 Falling
Vikings 10.546 14.727 3.983 0.987 Rising
Rams 15.455 19.364 4.086 1.053 Rising
Seahawks 15.091 10.364 4.103 0.374 Rising
Raiders 20.727 23.000 4.126 0.413 Rising
49ers 21.727 25.091 4.228 0.986 Rising
Redskins 22.818 22.273 4.459 -0.535 Falling
Cowboys 18.273 15.636 4.666 0.530 Rising
Colts 12.546 17.546 4.705 0.153 Rising
Chiefs 29.000 20.909 5.174 1.093 Rising
Ravens 28.273 18.727 6.229 1.876 Rising

Difference in Averages

This compares the Subjective average ranking with the Objective average ranking. This tells us just how far off people are from the formulas. A positive number means people think they will be or are better than the stats indicate, a negative number means the math thinks they're better than what people think. The closer to 0 this number is, the more in agreement the Subjective and Objective rankings are.

Generally speaking, the Subjective Rankings tend to be more reactionary to a team's performance than the mathematical models are. You'll often end up with major peaks and valleys for a team in the Subjective rankings, where the Objective rankings are more steady.

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Diff. in Avg Change in Value
Panthers 4.273 9.364 5.091 0.818 Rising
Colts 12.546 17.546 5.000 1.000 Rising
Vikings 10.546 14.727 4.182 0.727 Rising
Rams 15.455 19.364 3.909 1.727 Rising
49ers 21.727 25.091 3.364 4.091 Rising
Buccaneers 26.546 29.727 3.182 -0.909 Rising
Broncos 4.818 7.636 2.818 0.636 Rising
Bears 25.273 28.091 2.818 -1.909 Rising
Browns 21.273 23.636 2.364 -1.000 Rising
Raiders 20.727 23.000 2.273 0.000 No Change
Falcons 7.455 9.546 2.091 -0.182 Rising
Bengals 2.818 4.727 1.909 -0.273 Rising
Chargers 17.091 18.636 1.546 -1.090 Rising
Packers 2.364 3.455 1.091 0.364 Rising
Texans 25.273 26.000 0.727 3.454 Rising
Saints 22.364 22.727 0.364 2.546 Rising
Patriots 1.000 1.182 0.182 -0.091 Rising
Giants 14.273 14.364 0.091 -1.000 Rising
Jets 6.818 6.818 0.000 -0.273 Rising
Redskins 22.818 22.273 -0.546 0.090 Rising
Jaguars 31.636 31.091 -0.546 -0.001 Rising
Dolphins 20.273 18.818 -1.455 -1.546 Rising
Steelers 7.818 6.091 -1.727 1.909 Rising
Lions 28.364 26.364 -2.000 2.727 Rising
Cardinals 8.000 5.546 -2.455 -1.546 Rising
Bills 14.364 11.818 -2.545 -1.363 Rising
Cowboys 18.273 15.636 -2.636 -0.636 Rising
Titans 30.182 27.000 -3.182 -0.273 Rising
Eagles 11.273 7.727 -3.545 2.182 Rising
Seahawks 15.091 10.364 -4.727 -3.000 Rising
Chiefs 29.000 20.909 -8.091 -4.091 Rising
Ravens 28.273 18.727 -9.545 -3.090 Rising

Observations:

  • I know they're undefeated and all, but the Panthers may not be as good as we want to believe just yet.
  • Is there a pro Colts bias? You better believe it.
  • The Ravens haven't looked good, no, but they've been playing better than their record would let you believe.
  • Chiefs, I think, are rightly "under ranked" now because they looked terrible in their first game without Jamaal Charles. This is one of those instances of the pundits reacting faster than the statistics.
  • Expectations were high in Seattle this year, and while disappointing, the Seahawks are still playing good football.
  • Eagles still under-ranked, but not criminally so anymore.

Sources

Subjective Objective
ESPN Football Outsiders
Fox Team Rankings
CBS Sagarin
USA Today BeatGraphs
Sports Illustrated Aikman Efficiency
ProFootballTalk Pro Football Reference
NFL.com Cold Hard Football Facts
SportingNews Massey
SB Nation ARGH
Reddit Five Thirty Eight
Associated Press Football Power Index

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