SB Nation

John Crean | September 25, 2014

2014 NFL Power Ranking Consensus, Week 4

Power Vacuum

The Seahawks were knocked off by the Chargers, so that meant the Broncos were the heir to the throne. The Seahawks knocked off the Broncos, and now there's a power vacuum at the top of the rankings. Which warring faction will win out?

It has been a crazy busy week for me! I'm not going to go too deep into it but I've got a lot of big life changes coming up. In the interest of just getting my rankings post up, I'm presenting this week's charts without any additional commentary. I'll let you draw your own conclusions and discuss in the comments.

Division Averages

Division Week 3 Average Week 4 Average Difference
AFC North 14.7500 11.5795 3.1705
NFC West 11.8452 12.2727 -0.4275
AFC West 18.0952 16.0000 2.0952
NFC South 16.7738 16.4886 0.2852
NFC North 14.8929 16.9318 -2.0389
NFC East 19.5119 17.7614 1.7505
AFC East 13.9048 17.7841 -3.8793
AFC South 22.2262 23.1818 -0.9556

Stock Rising

Team Week 3 Average Week 4 Average Difference
PIT 20.069 12.000 8.069
ATL 17.097 11.091 6.006
NYG 28.347 23.000 5.347
KC 26.972 21.955 5.017
SDG 10.500 6.864 3.636

Stock Falling

Team Week 3 Average Week 4 Average Difference
MIA 16.236 23.455 -7.219
MIN 20.764 26.182 -5.418
CAR 6.542 11.773 -5.231
GB 11.986 17.091 -5.105
HOU 16.764 21.727 -4.963

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews SB Nation Bleacher Report Associated Press Average Change since last period
Seahawks 1 1 3 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 1 1.636 0.947 Rising
Bengals 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 3 2 1.909 1.091 Rising
Broncos 3 3 5 3 3 3 6 3 2 2 3 3.273 -2.023 Falling
Eagles 4 6 4 4 5 4 2 5 5 4 4 4.273 0.727 Rising
Cardinals 5 4 2 5 4 6 3 4 4 7 5 4.455 2.878 Rising
Chargers 6 5 8 6 6 8 4 13 6 5 6 6.636 3.364 Rising
Patriots 7 11 6 7 8 5 7 6 10 6 7 7.273 -0.773 Falling
Ravens 13 10 9 9 9 7 9 9 7 9 9 9.091 4.242 Rising
Bears 8 13 12 8 7 13 8 10 11 13 8 10.091 1.576 Rising
Panthers 10 7 11 12 13 15 13 8 9 10 12 10.909 -6.159 Falling
Falcons 9 9 7 13 14 9 10 17 13 8 13 11.091 4.992 Rising
Steelers 11 16 10 14 11 10 12 7 8 15 11 11.364 7.219 Rising
Lions 12 8 13 15 10 12 15 14 12 16 10 12.455 4.878 Rising
Colts 14 12 16 10 12 16 17 11 18 11 14 13.727 0.190 Rising
Saints 15 19 18 16 16 11 14 12 15 12 16 14.909 1.091 Rising
49ers 16 14 14 11 15 17 18 15 14 19 15 15.273 -7.356 Falling
Packers 17 17 15 17 19 14 16 16 16 14 17 16.182 -8.099 Falling
Bills 19 15 19 18 18 18 11 20 17 20 18 17.546 -3.879 Falling
Cowboys 18 22 17 19 17 19 20 18 21 18 19 18.909 3.508 Rising
Jets 21 21 21 21 22 21 19 21 23 17 21 20.727 -1.644 Falling
Texans 20 25 20 20 21 20 25 19 19 27 20 21.455 -3.705 Falling
Browns 24 18 22 26 20 22 23 24 22 22 24 22.455 -0.122 Falling
Chiefs 22 26 28 24 23 24 22 23 20 21 22 23.182 3.318 Rising
Redskins 23 27 26 22 24 23 26 25 25 23 23 24.273 1.477 Rising
Giants 26 20 25 25 25 26 21 22 27 26 25 24.364 4.553 Rising
Dolphins 25 23 29 23 26 25 24 26 24 24 26 25.000 -6.083 Falling
Vikings 29 24 23 28 27 29 28 28 26 25 28 26.818 -2.735 Falling
Rams 28 28 24 29 28 27 29 27 29 28 29 27.818 -0.318 Falling
Titans 27 29 27 27 29 28 27 29 28 30 27 28.000 -2.833 Falling
Raiders 30 30 32 32 30 30 30 30 30 29 30 30.273 1.644 Rising
Buccaneers 31 32 30 31 31 32 31 32 31 32 31 31.273 -1.440 Falling
Jaguars 32 31 31 30 32 31 32 31 32 31 32 31.364 -0.531 Falling

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews SB Nation Bleacher Report Associated Press Standard Deviation Change since last period
Buccaneers 31 32 30 31 31 32 31 32 31 32 31 0.617 -0.070 Falling
Jaguars 32 31 31 30 32 31 32 31 32 31 32 0.643 -0.044 Falling
Bengals 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 3 2 0.668 -0.412 Falling
Raiders 30 30 32 32 30 30 30 30 30 29 30 0.862 0.586 Rising
Eagles 4 6 4 4 5 4 2 5 5 4 4 0.962 -0.263 Falling
Titans 27 29 27 27 29 28 27 29 28 30 27 1.045 -0.022 Falling
Broncos 3 3 5 3 3 3 6 3 2 2 3 1.136 0.703 Rising
Seahawks 1 1 3 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 1 1.226 -0.379 Falling
Cardinals 5 4 2 5 4 6 3 4 4 7 5 1.305 -0.709 Falling
Packers 17 17 15 17 19 14 16 16 16 14 17 1.403 -0.351 Falling
Rams 28 28 24 29 28 27 29 27 29 28 29 1.403 -0.445 Falling
Jets 21 21 21 21 22 21 19 21 23 17 21 1.483 -0.271 Falling
Ravens 13 10 9 9 9 7 9 9 7 9 9 1.505 -0.041 Falling
Cowboys 18 22 17 19 17 19 20 18 21 18 19 1.505 -0.634 Falling
Redskins 23 27 26 22 24 23 26 25 25 23 23 1.543 -0.146 Falling
Dolphins 25 23 29 23 26 25 24 26 24 24 26 1.651 -1.470 Falling
Patriots 7 11 6 7 8 5 7 6 10 6 7 1.710 -0.269 Falling
Vikings 29 24 23 28 27 29 28 28 26 25 28 1.946 0.011 Rising
Browns 24 18 22 26 20 22 23 24 22 22 24 2.061 0.814 Rising
49ers 16 14 14 11 15 17 18 15 14 19 15 2.093 0.116 Rising
Chiefs 22 26 28 24 23 24 22 23 20 21 22 2.167 0.667 Rising
Giants 26 20 25 25 25 26 21 22 27 26 25 2.186 1.232 Rising
Bears 8 13 12 8 7 13 8 10 11 13 8 2.275 0.784 Rising
Panthers 10 7 11 12 13 15 13 8 9 10 12 2.275 0.976 Rising
Chargers 6 5 8 6 6 8 4 13 6 5 6 2.307 -0.637 Falling
Lions 12 8 13 15 10 12 15 14 12 16 10 2.350 0.139 Rising
Saints 15 19 18 16 16 11 14 12 15 12 16 2.391 -1.306 Falling
Bills 19 15 19 18 18 18 11 20 17 20 18 2.463 -0.375 Falling
Colts 14 12 16 10 12 16 17 11 18 11 14 2.597 0.098 Rising
Steelers 11 16 10 14 11 10 12 7 8 15 11 2.638 0.009 Rising
Texans 20 25 20 20 21 20 25 19 19 27 20 2.675 -0.816 Falling
Falcons 9 9 7 13 14 9 10 17 13 8 13 2.937 0.506 Rising

Objective Average

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Massey ARGH Five Thirty Eight Average Change since last period
Bengals 3 1 1 7 2 1 1 1 13 2 4 3.273 1.060 Rising
Seahawks 2 2 4 1 7 10 9 2 1 1 1 3.636 2.475 Rising
Broncos 1 11 6 2 9 13 13 11 3 4 2 6.818 0.960 Rising
Chargers 14 6 3 11 3 14 3 5 9 5 5 7.091 3.909 Rising
Cardinals 13 15 2 14 1 9 7 9 4 3 7 7.636 1.364 Rising
Saints 8 4 18 5 19 8 8 13 5 13 11 10.182 5.485 Rising
Patriots 4 26 13 4 26 4 18 8 7 7 3 10.909 -4.242 Falling
Ravens 18 13 5 15 4 7 2 20 20 6 12 11.091 0.465 Rising
Falcons 6 8 16 10 14 5 4 6 26 9 18 11.091 7.020 Rising
49ers 12 25 8 3 10 22 12 12 2 10 6 11.091 -1.869 Falling
Bears 5 23 10 9 8 3 11 16 22 14 13 12.182 -3.071 Falling
Steelers 10 12 7 18 6 19 6 19 18 15 9 12.636 8.920 Rising
Panthers 17 14 12 16 11 24 16 7 6 8 8 12.636 -4.303 Falling
Eagles 7 22 9 8 13 16 26 10 12 12 10 13.182 -0.738 Falling
Lions 16 3 15 12 15 12 14 18 24 11 16 14.182 0.818 Rising
Bills 9 18 11 23 5 20 10 4 25 16 20 14.636 -5.525 Falling
Cowboys 20 27 14 19 12 6 17 22 14 19 14 16.727 -0.505 Falling
Colts 19 24 17 13 18 15 23 14 8 22 15 17.091 6.131 Rising
Packers 11 7 22 6 24 21 25 24 19 20 19 18.000 -2.111 Falling
Redskins 15 9 29 20 23 2 24 3 30 23 28 18.727 -2.505 Falling
Chiefs 28 21 19 17 21 25 19 26 10 25 17 20.727 6.717 Rising
Browns 21 16 21 30 17 17 5 15 32 26 29 20.818 3.071 Rising
Titans 25 5 23 29 16 27 15 23 15 27 24 20.818 -0.485 Falling
Giants 27 17 20 21 20 29 21 27 16 18 22 21.636 6.142 Rising
Dolphins 23 10 25 22 25 18 27 25 17 24 25 21.909 -8.353 Falling
Texans 24 20 27 26 22 11 20 17 31 17 27 22.000 -6.222 Falling
Jets 22 19 26 25 27 23 28 21 21 29 26 24.273 -1.384 Falling
Vikings 29 30 24 24 29 26 22 28 27 21 21 25.546 -8.102 Falling
Rams 26 31 28 28 30 28 30 30 11 28 23 26.636 -0.858 Falling
Buccaneers 31 32 30 27 32 31 31 31 23 30 30 29.818 -4.262 Falling
Raiders 30 28 31 31 31 30 29 29 29 31 31 30.000 -0.222 Falling
Jaguars 32 29 32 32 28 32 32 32 28 32 32 31.000 0.222 Rising

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Massey ARGH Five Thirty Eight Standard Deviation Change since last period
Raiders 30 28 31 31 31 30 29 29 29 31 31 1.045 -0.828 Falling
Jaguars 32 29 32 32 28 32 32 32 28 32 32 1.651 0.424 Rising
Buccaneers 31 32 30 27 32 31 31 31 23 30 30 2.516 -0.984 Falling
Jets 22 19 26 25 27 23 28 21 21 29 26 3.107 -0.905 Falling
Vikings 29 30 24 24 29 26 22 28 27 21 21 3.173 -2.525 Falling
Seahawks 2 2 4 1 7 10 9 2 1 1 1 3.255 -2.046 Falling
Bengals 3 1 1 7 2 1 1 1 13 2 4 3.544 1.544 Rising
Chargers 14 6 3 11 3 14 3 5 9 5 5 4.033 -0.210 Falling
Giants 27 17 20 21 20 29 21 27 16 18 22 4.096 0.804 Rising
Broncos 1 11 6 2 9 13 13 11 3 4 2 4.468 -3.101 Falling
Colts 19 24 17 13 18 15 23 14 8 22 15 4.562 -0.309 Falling
Cardinals 13 15 2 14 1 9 7 9 4 3 7 4.657 -1.078 Falling
Dolphins 23 10 25 22 25 18 27 25 17 24 25 4.776 -1.741 Falling
Saints 8 4 18 5 19 8 8 13 5 13 11 4.877 -1.395 Falling
Lions 16 3 15 12 15 12 14 18 24 11 16 4.896 0.627 Rising
Chiefs 28 21 19 17 21 25 19 26 10 25 17 4.919 0.647 Rising
Steelers 10 12 7 18 6 19 6 19 18 15 9 5.086 0.072 Rising
Panthers 17 14 12 16 11 24 16 7 6 8 8 5.175 1.120 Rising
Cowboys 20 27 14 19 12 6 17 22 14 19 14 5.344 -1.150 Falling
Rams 26 31 28 28 30 28 30 30 11 28 23 5.381 1.118 Rising
Texans 24 20 27 26 22 11 20 17 31 17 27 5.477 -3.854 Falling
Eagles 7 22 9 8 13 16 26 10 12 12 10 5.686 0.628 Rising
Bears 5 23 10 9 8 3 11 16 22 14 13 6.043 0.784 Rising
Ravens 18 13 5 15 4 7 2 20 20 6 12 6.317 2.019 Rising
Falcons 6 8 16 10 14 5 4 6 26 9 18 6.445 1.912 Rising
Packers 11 7 22 6 24 21 25 24 19 20 19 6.509 -0.755 Falling
49ers 12 25 8 3 10 22 12 12 2 10 6 6.748 0.534 Rising
Bills 9 18 11 23 5 20 10 4 25 16 20 6.879 -1.072 Falling
Titans 25 5 23 29 16 27 15 23 15 27 24 6.886 1.722 Rising
Browns 21 16 21 30 17 17 5 15 32 26 29 7.626 3.504 Rising
Patriots 4 26 13 4 26 4 18 8 7 7 3 8.284 5.927 Rising
Redskins 15 9 29 20 23 2 24 3 30 23 28 9.630 -0.063 Falling

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Average Change since last period
Bengals 1.909 3.273 2.591 1.076 Rising
Seahawks 1.636 3.636 2.636 1.711 Rising
Broncos 3.273 6.818 5.045 -0.531 Falling
Cardinals 4.455 7.636 6.045 2.122 Rising
Chargers 6.636 7.091 6.864 3.636 Rising
Eagles 4.273 13.182 8.727 -0.005 Falling
Patriots 7.273 10.909 9.091 -2.508 Falling
Ravens 9.091 11.091 10.091 2.353 Rising
Falcons 11.091 11.091 11.091 6.006 Rising
Bears 10.091 12.182 11.136 -0.747 Falling
Panthers 10.909 12.636 11.773 -5.231 Falling
Steelers 11.364 12.636 12.000 8.069 Rising
Saints 14.909 10.182 12.545 3.288 Rising
49ers 15.273 11.091 13.182 -4.613 Falling
Lions 12.455 14.182 13.318 2.849 Rising
Colts 13.727 17.091 15.409 3.160 Rising
Bills 17.546 14.636 16.091 -4.702 Falling
Packers 16.182 18.000 17.091 -5.105 Falling
Cowboys 18.909 16.727 17.818 1.501 Rising
Redskins 24.273 18.727 21.500 -0.514 Falling
Browns 22.455 20.818 21.636 1.475 Rising
Texans 21.455 22.000 21.727 -4.963 Falling
Chiefs 23.182 20.727 21.955 5.017 Rising
Jets 20.727 24.273 22.500 -1.514 Falling
Giants 24.364 21.636 23.000 5.347 Rising
Dolphins 25.000 21.909 23.455 -7.219 Falling
Titans 28.000 20.818 24.409 -1.659 Falling
Vikings 26.818 25.546 26.182 -5.418 Falling
Rams 27.818 26.636 27.227 -0.588 Falling
Raiders 30.273 30.000 30.136 0.711 Rising
Buccaneers 31.273 29.818 30.545 -2.851 Falling
Jaguars 31.364 31.000 31.182 -0.154 Falling

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Raiders 30.273 30.000 0.967 -0.666 Falling
Jaguars 31.364 31.000 1.266 0.290 Rising
Buccaneers 31.273 29.818 1.971 -1.191 Falling
Bengals 1.909 3.273 2.640 0.962 Rising
Seahawks 1.636 3.636 2.655 -1.415 Falling
Vikings 26.818 25.546 2.708 -2.474 Falling
Jets 20.727 24.273 3.011 -0.482 Falling
Chargers 6.636 7.091 3.293 -0.300 Falling
Giants 24.364 21.636 3.555 1.213 Rising
Broncos 3.273 6.818 3.711 -2.213 Falling
Cardinals 4.455 7.636 3.772 -0.362 Falling
Dolphins 25.000 21.909 3.893 -1.657 Falling
Lions 12.455 14.182 3.936 0.481 Rising
Rams 27.818 26.636 3.976 0.741 Rising
Chiefs 23.182 20.727 3.994 0.940 Rising
Colts 13.727 17.091 4.075 -1.836 Falling
Cowboys 18.909 16.727 4.075 -1.410 Falling
Panthers 10.909 12.636 4.089 0.749 Rising
Steelers 11.364 12.636 4.101 -0.008 Falling
Texans 21.455 22.000 4.319 -2.406 Falling
Saints 14.909 10.182 4.510 -0.459 Falling
Bears 10.091 12.182 4.684 0.847 Rising
Ravens 9.091 11.091 4.699 1.528 Rising
Packers 16.182 18.000 4.795 -1.473 Falling
Falcons 11.091 11.091 5.008 1.376 Rising
Bills 17.546 14.636 5.368 -0.696 Falling
49ers 15.273 11.091 5.416 1.034 Rising
Browns 22.455 20.818 5.645 2.685 Rising
Eagles 4.273 13.182 6.039 1.000 Rising
Titans 28.000 20.818 6.095 1.876 Rising
Patriots 7.273 10.909 6.252 4.101 Rising
Redskins 24.273 18.727 7.433 -0.575 Falling

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Eagles 4.273 13.182 8.909 1.465 Rising
Patriots 7.273 10.909 3.636 3.469 Rising
Broncos 3.273 6.818 3.546 -2.982 Rising
Jets 20.727 24.273 3.545 -0.261 Rising
Colts 13.727 17.091 3.364 -5.942 Rising
Cardinals 4.455 7.636 3.182 1.515 Rising
Bears 10.091 12.182 2.091 4.647 Rising
Ravens 9.091 11.091 2.000 3.778 Rising
Seahawks 1.636 3.636 2.000 -1.528 Rising
Packers 16.182 18.000 1.818 -5.988 Rising
Panthers 10.909 12.636 1.727 -1.856 Rising
Lions 12.455 14.182 1.727 4.060 Rising
Bengals 1.909 3.273 1.364 0.031 Rising
Steelers 11.364 12.636 1.273 -1.699 Rising
Texans 21.455 22.000 0.546 2.518 Rising
Chargers 6.636 7.091 0.455 -0.545 Rising
Falcons 11.091 11.091 0.000 -2.028 Rising
Raiders 30.273 30.000 -0.273 1.866 Rising
Jaguars 31.364 31.000 -0.364 -0.753 Rising
Rams 27.818 26.636 -1.182 0.540 Rising
Vikings 26.818 25.546 -1.273 5.366 Rising
Buccaneers 31.273 29.818 -1.455 2.823 Rising
Browns 22.455 20.818 -1.636 -3.192 Rising
Cowboys 18.909 16.727 -2.182 4.013 Rising
Chiefs 23.182 20.727 -2.455 -3.399 Rising
Giants 24.364 21.636 -2.727 -1.588 Rising
Bills 17.546 14.636 -2.909 1.647 Rising
Dolphins 25.000 21.909 -3.091 2.270 Rising
49ers 15.273 11.091 -4.182 -5.488 Rising
Saints 14.909 10.182 -4.727 -4.394 Rising
Redskins 24.273 18.727 -5.545 3.983 Rising
Titans 28.000 20.818 -7.182 -2.349 Rising

Sources

Subjective Objective
ESPN Football Outsiders
Fox Team Efficiency
CBS Team Rankings
USA Today Sagarin
Sports Illustrated BeatGraphs
ProFootballTalk Aikman Efficiency
NFL.com Pro Football Reference
SportingNews Cold Hard Football Facts
SB Nation Massey
Bleacher Report ARGH
Associated Press Five Thirty Eight

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