SB Nation

John Crean | October 9, 2014

NFL Power Ranking Consensus, Week 6

Are Chargers the Best?

A number of pundits are all-in on the Chargers, placing them at the top of their Power Rankings this week. Do they belong there?

The Chargers are on a roll. Between the Padres and our history with the Chargers, I've been having trouble buy in completely. I've been staying a little back to protect myself. Almost shielding myself from the blast I expect to come from the team.

But the thing is, this Chargers team is actually, y'know, good.

I was skeptical to start. I'm now all in on these Chargers, I'll fly high when they do well and take the heartbreak when and if they don't.

Notable Quotes

San Diego shut out the Jets for the first time in 34 meetings. Branden Oliver had 114 rushing yards and a touchdown. If not already, start taking these guys seriously.

In Sunday’s biggest blowout, the Chargers once again proved why they are one of the league’s premier teams. Philip Rivers was on point utilizing Antonio Gates and a new weapon Branden Oliver who stepped in for the injured Donald Brown. Oliver looked like a beefed-up version of Darren Sproles, racking up 182 yards on 24 touches while forcing six missed tackles in the open field. The Chargers are getting it done on both sides of the ball.

Not since those henchmen from Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade kept getting their heads cut off trying to get the Holy Grail for the Nazis has an occupation come fraught with as much peril being the Chargers' center. And if Branden Oliver gets hurt, I think Natrone Means may be next up at running back.

Division Averages

Division Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
NFC West 11.0870 11.5227 -0.4357
AFC West 14.1848 13.1705 1.0143
AFC North 12.1848 13.6136 -1.4288
NFC East 16.0978 14.8977 1.2001
NFC North 14.6957 16.6250 -1.9293
AFC East 21.1087 19.2955 1.8132
AFC South 21.4891 21.3295 0.1596
NFC South 21.1522 21.5455 -0.3933

Stock Rising

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
NE 17.125 11.636 5.489
BUF 20.678 16.955 3.723
GB 11.580 7.909 3.671
IND 10.822 7.909 2.913
SDG 5.405 2.818 2.587

Stock Falling

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
ARI 4.871 10.091 -5.220
DET 8.148 13.091 -4.943
ATL 16.629 21.046 -4.417
CHI 16.458 20.364 -3.906
BAL 6.250 9.818 -3.568

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP Average Change in Value
Seahawks 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1.273 0.227 Rising
Broncos 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2.273 0.810 Rising
Chargers 3 1 3 3 1 3 1 4 3 3 3 2.546 2.537 Rising
Bengals 5 8 4 6 6 6 4 8 4 4 5 5.455 -3.538 Falling
Eagles 4 6 6 5 4 5 6 9 8 7 4 5.818 1.182 Rising
Colts 8 4 9 4 5 8 7 3 10 6 7 6.455 3.462 Rising
49ers 7 5 8 8 8 11 9 5 6 8 8 7.546 2.704 Rising
Cowboys 6 7 7 7 7 9 12 10 7 11 6 8.091 3.326 Rising
Packers 9 9 10 9 9 7 5 6 9 9 9 8.273 2.977 Rising
Cardinals 10 12 5 11 10 4 8 12 5 5 10 8.364 -4.531 Falling
Patriots 11 15 12 10 12 12 11 7 13 10 11 11.273 3.977 Rising
Ravens 12 11 13 12 11 10 10 11 11 12 12 11.364 -4.864 Falling
Lions 14 10 14 14 16 16 14 14 15 13 15 14.091 -6.341 Falling
Giants 13 14 11 17 14 19 13 16 14 15 13 14.455 4.628 Rising
Panthers 15 13 16 13 13 13 18 15 16 14 14 14.546 3.454 Rising
Steelers 16 23 18 16 21 15 15 13 12 20 17 16.909 0.008 Rising
Texans 17 19 17 15 18 18 21 18 18 18 18 17.909 -1.909 Falling
Chiefs 19 16 15 21 17 20 16 22 19 17 16 18.000 -2.250 Falling
Bills 18 18 19 18 15 14 22 19 17 19 19 18.000 5.083 Rising
Bears 22 24 22 19 22 23 19 20 20 16 20 20.636 -4.719 Falling
Saints 20 22 21 22 20 17 23 17 22 22 21 20.636 0.614 Rising
Browns 23 20 24 24 19 21 20 24 21 23 22 21.909 1.674 Rising
Dolphins 24 17 23 20 23 24 17 23 24 24 23 22.000 -0.750 Falling
Falcons 21 25 20 23 24 22 24 21 23 21 24 22.546 -5.379 Falling
Vikings 25 21 25 25 25 26 26 25 25 25 25 24.818 -1.818 Falling
Rams 28 26 26 27 28 27 25 26 29 27 27 26.909 1.174 Rising
Redskins 26 28 29 26 27 29 27 27 28 26 28 27.364 0.469 Rising
Buccaneers 27 27 27 28 26 28 28 29 26 30 26 27.455 0.712 Rising
Jets 30 29 28 29 30 25 29 28 27 28 30 28.455 -2.955 Falling
Titans 29 30 30 30 29 30 30 30 30 29 29 29.636 0.114 Rising
Jaguars 31 31 31 31 32 31 31 31 32 31 32 31.273 -0.106 Falling
Raiders 32 32 32 32 31 32 32 32 31 32 31 31.727 0.023 Rising

Observations:

  • The teams at 1-2-3 are pretty much set. We have Seahawks, Broncos, and Chargers; then everyone else.
  • Bengals tumble a little after the loss to the Patriots. Pats climbed more than Bengals fell.
  • Cowboys cracking the top-10. All but 2 pundits have them in the top-10.
  • Cardinals tumbling a bit too after losing by 3 touchdowns to the Broncos.
  • Jets slide on down and cozy up with the Titans, Jaguars and Raiders at the botto of the list.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA SI PFT NFL SN SBN Reddit AP STD DEV Change in Value
Jaguars 31 31 31 31 32 31 31 31 32 31 32 0.445 -0.108 Falling
Broncos 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 0.445 -0.314 Falling
Raiders 32 32 32 32 31 32 32 32 31 32 31 0.445 0.012 Rising
Seahawks 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 0.445 -0.512 Falling
Titans 29 30 30 30 29 30 30 30 30 29 29 0.481 -0.241 Falling
Ravens 12 11 13 12 11 10 10 11 11 12 12 0.881 -0.076 Falling
Chargers 3 1 3 3 1 3 1 4 3 3 3 0.988 -0.268 Falling
Redskins 26 28 29 26 27 29 27 27 28 26 28 1.068 0.170 Rising
Rams 28 26 26 27 28 27 25 26 29 27 27 1.083 -0.104 Falling
Buccaneers 27 27 27 28 26 28 28 29 26 30 26 1.233 0.020 Rising
Vikings 25 21 25 25 25 26 26 25 25 25 25 1.266 -0.855 Falling
Texans 17 19 17 15 18 18 21 18 18 18 18 1.379 -2.180 Falling
Jets 30 29 28 29 30 25 29 28 27 28 30 1.437 -0.221 Falling
Bengals 5 8 4 6 6 6 4 8 4 4 5 1.437 0.797 Rising
Packers 9 9 10 9 9 7 5 6 9 9 9 1.483 0.319 Rising
Falcons 21 25 20 23 24 22 24 21 23 21 24 1.559 -1.352 Falling
Panthers 15 13 16 13 13 13 18 15 16 14 14 1.559 -1.385 Falling
Lions 14 10 14 14 16 16 14 14 15 13 15 1.564 0.554 Rising
Eagles 4 6 6 5 4 5 6 9 8 7 4 1.585 0.294 Rising
49ers 7 5 8 8 8 11 9 5 6 8 8 1.671 -0.375 Falling
Browns 23 20 24 24 19 21 20 24 21 23 22 1.730 0.125 Rising
Patriots 11 15 12 10 12 12 11 7 13 10 11 1.911 -0.610 Falling
Saints 20 22 21 22 20 17 23 17 22 22 21 1.920 -1.400 Falling
Cowboys 6 7 7 7 7 9 12 10 7 11 6 1.975 0.593 Rising
Bills 18 18 19 18 15 14 22 19 17 19 19 2.045 0.604 Rising
Giants 13 14 11 17 14 19 13 16 14 15 13 2.105 -1.173 Falling
Bears 22 24 22 19 22 23 19 20 20 16 20 2.144 0.167 Rising
Colts 8 4 9 4 5 8 7 3 10 6 7 2.148 -0.605 Falling
Chiefs 19 16 15 21 17 20 16 22 19 17 16 2.216 -0.098 Falling
Dolphins 24 17 23 20 23 24 17 23 24 24 23 2.594 0.209 Rising
Cardinals 10 12 5 11 10 4 8 12 5 5 10 2.932 2.034 Rising
Steelers 16 23 18 16 21 15 15 13 12 20 17 3.204 0.304 Rising

Observations:

  • Pretty good consensus about the Ravens being ~11th-ranked team.
  • Chargers: solidly in the number 3 spot.
  • Indianapolis is one of those teams that looks good, but nobody knows just how good.
  • Steelers all over the map. Not at all surprising given their wins and losses this year.

Objective Average

Objective
FO TE TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 Average Change in Value
Seahawks 2 2 2 1 7 4 2 3 1 1 1 2.364 0.636 Rising
Broncos 1 3 1 2 6 3 1 5 2 2 2 2.546 3.181 Rising
Chargers 5 4 4 3 3 1 3 1 3 3 4 3.091 2.636 Rising
Bengals 6 1 7 4 4 8 10 4 6 6 6 5.636 -3.363 Falling
49ers 12 12 3 5 2 10 14 7 5 7 3 7.273 1.545 Rising
Packers 3 6 5 6 12 5 7 6 13 8 12 7.546 4.363 Rising
Ravens 4 10 9 11 9 2 9 9 12 5 11 8.273 -2.273 Falling
Colts 15 13 8 9 17 7 5 2 10 9 8 9.364 2.363 Rising
Cowboys 16 9 14 15 11 6 16 11 7 11 9 11.364 0.545 Rising
Cardinals 19 25 11 8 1 23 4 24 4 4 7 11.818 -5.909 Falling
Patriots 8 19 6 7 22 11 15 16 9 14 5 12.000 7.000 Rising
Lions 13 7 13 12 8 12 12 8 17 13 18 12.091 -3.545 Falling
Giants 9 16 10 16 15 9 11 12 14 10 17 12.636 -0.727 Falling
Chiefs 18 17 17 14 14 15 6 15 11 17 16 14.546 1.363 Rising
Bills 17 20 22 19 10 19 8 10 15 15 20 15.909 2.364 Rising
Eagles 10 29 15 13 13 28 18 19 8 12 10 15.909 -0.454 Falling
Steelers 11 18 20 23 16 16 24 14 18 20 13 17.546 1.727 Rising
Dolphins 22 5 21 22 19 17 17 13 21 19 22 18.000 2.636 Rising
Saints 21 11 12 10 25 20 25 22 22 22 15 18.636 -0.090 Falling
Texans 25 22 16 21 18 13 13 17 19 16 25 18.636 -1.636 Falling
Panthers 23 21 18 20 5 27 27 23 16 18 14 19.273 1.000 Rising
Falcons 7 24 19 18 20 18 19 20 25 21 24 19.546 -3.455 Falling
Bears 14 23 23 17 23 14 20 25 20 23 19 20.091 -3.091 Falling
Browns 20 14 24 24 21 22 21 18 23 24 29 21.818 -0.818 Falling
Redskins 24 8 26 27 24 21 22 21 29 27 30 23.546 0.545 Rising
Vikings 29 27 25 26 26 25 26 26 24 25 21 25.455 -3.182 Falling
Titans 27 15 28 29 27 26 23 27 27 28 26 25.727 -0.818 Falling
Rams 26 28 27 25 30 24 30 28 26 26 23 26.636 0.728 Rising
Jets 28 26 30 30 28 31 28 29 30 29 27 28.727 -2.909 Falling
Buccaneers 31 32 29 28 31 29 31 30 28 30 28 29.727 0.000 No Change
Raiders 30 30 31 31 32 30 29 31 31 31 31 30.636 -0.090 Falling
Jaguars 32 31 32 32 29 32 32 32 32 32 32 31.636 -0.272 Falling

Observations:

  • Just like the subjective list, the objective list starts out Seahawks, Broncos, Chargers, Bengals.
  • Team Efficiency has Washington at 8th? Huh.
  • Speaking of outliers, Football Outsiders has the Falcons at 7th.
  • Where the Raiders were at the bottom of the Subjective list, the Jaguars are at the bottom of the Objective list.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
FO TE TR SAG BG Aikman PFR CHFF Massey ARGH 538 STD DEV Change in Value
Raiders 30 30 31 31 32 30 29 31 31 31 31 0.771 -0.386 Falling
Jaguars 32 31 32 32 29 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.881 -0.551 Falling
Chargers 5 4 4 3 3 1 3 1 3 3 4 1.164 -2.086 Falling
Buccaneers 31 32 29 28 31 29 31 30 28 30 28 1.355 0.000 No Change
Jets 28 26 30 30 28 31 28 29 30 29 27 1.420 -3.476 Falling
Broncos 1 3 1 2 6 3 1 5 2 2 2 1.559 -2.233 Falling
Seahawks 2 2 2 1 7 4 2 3 1 1 1 1.720 -0.838 Falling
Vikings 29 27 25 26 26 25 26 26 24 25 21 1.876 -1.643 Falling
Rams 26 28 27 25 30 24 30 28 26 26 23 2.144 -0.042 Falling
Bengals 6 1 7 4 4 8 10 4 6 6 6 2.267 0.981 Rising
Giants 9 16 10 16 15 9 11 12 14 10 17 2.901 -0.947 Falling
Ravens 4 10 9 11 9 2 9 9 12 5 11 3.048 1.003 Rising
Packers 3 6 5 6 12 5 7 6 13 8 12 3.173 -1.206 Falling
Chiefs 18 17 17 14 14 15 6 15 11 17 16 3.285 -1.910 Falling
Lions 13 7 13 12 8 12 12 8 17 13 18 3.315 -0.262 Falling
Cowboys 16 9 14 15 11 6 16 11 7 11 9 3.338 -1.733 Falling
Bears 14 23 23 17 23 14 20 25 20 23 19 3.604 -1.956 Falling
Browns 20 14 24 24 21 22 21 18 23 24 29 3.664 -1.399 Falling
Titans 27 15 28 29 27 26 23 27 27 28 26 3.695 -0.847 Falling
Steelers 11 18 20 23 16 16 24 14 18 20 13 3.870 0.150 Rising
49ers 12 12 3 5 2 10 14 7 5 7 3 3.956 -0.533 Falling
Texans 25 22 16 21 18 13 13 17 19 16 25 4.029 -0.870 Falling
Colts 15 13 8 9 17 7 5 2 10 9 8 4.118 -1.192 Falling
Bills 17 20 22 19 10 19 8 10 15 15 20 4.522 -0.543 Falling
Falcons 7 24 19 18 20 18 19 20 25 21 24 4.619 -0.964 Falling
Dolphins 22 5 21 22 19 17 17 13 21 19 22 4.899 -0.810 Falling
Saints 21 11 12 10 25 20 25 22 22 22 15 5.330 -0.103 Falling
Patriots 8 19 6 7 22 11 15 16 9 14 5 5.343 -1.180 Falling
Redskins 24 8 26 27 24 21 22 21 29 27 30 5.711 0.498 Rising
Panthers 23 21 18 20 5 27 27 23 16 18 14 6.001 -0.876 Falling
Eagles 10 29 15 13 13 28 18 19 8 12 10 6.721 0.348 Rising
Cardinals 19 25 11 8 1 23 4 24 4 4 7 8.726 3.950 Rising

Observations:

  • Raiders and Jaguars are soundly at the bottom.
  • Chargers are soundly in the number 3 spot.
  • Buccaneers deviation didn't change at all this week.
  • 5 of the 6 least consistently-ranked teams are NFC teams.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Average Change in Value
Seahawks 1.273 2.364 1.818 0.432 Rising
Broncos 2.273 2.546 2.409 1.996 Rising
Chargers 2.546 3.091 2.818 2.587 Rising
Bengals 5.455 5.636 5.545 -3.450 Falling
49ers 7.546 7.273 7.409 2.125 Rising
Packers 8.273 7.546 7.909 3.671 Rising
Colts 6.455 9.364 7.909 2.913 Rising
Cowboys 8.091 11.364 9.727 1.936 Rising
Ravens 11.364 8.273 9.818 -3.568 Falling
Cardinals 8.364 11.818 10.091 -5.220 Falling
Eagles 5.818 15.909 10.864 0.363 Rising
Patriots 11.273 12.000 11.636 5.489 Rising
Lions 14.091 12.091 13.091 -4.943 Falling
Giants 14.455 12.636 13.545 1.951 Rising
Chiefs 18.000 14.546 16.273 -0.443 Falling
Panthers 14.546 19.273 16.909 2.227 Rising
Bills 18.000 15.909 16.955 3.723 Rising
Steelers 16.909 17.546 17.227 0.868 Rising
Texans 17.909 18.636 18.273 -1.773 Falling
Saints 20.636 18.636 19.636 0.262 Rising
Dolphins 22.000 18.000 20.000 0.943 Rising
Bears 20.636 20.091 20.364 -3.906 Falling
Falcons 22.546 19.546 21.046 -4.417 Falling
Browns 21.909 21.818 21.864 0.428 Rising
Vikings 24.818 25.455 25.136 -2.500 Falling
Redskins 27.364 23.546 25.455 0.507 Rising
Rams 26.909 26.636 26.773 0.950 Rising
Titans 29.636 25.727 27.682 -0.352 Falling
Jets 28.455 28.727 28.591 -2.932 Falling
Buccaneers 27.455 29.727 28.591 0.356 Rising
Raiders 31.727 30.636 31.182 -0.034 Falling
Jaguars 31.273 31.636 31.455 -0.190 Falling

Observations:

  • Seahawks, Broncos, and Chargers all improved their rankings this week.
  • Raiders and Jaguars actually fell overall.
  • Interesting clusters separating 13 from 16, and 21 from 25; kind of sets up tiers.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg STD DEV Change in Value
Jaguars 31.273 31.636 0.722 -0.350 Falling
Raiders 31.727 30.636 0.833 -0.216 Falling
Chargers 2.546 3.091 1.113 -1.332 Falling
Broncos 2.273 2.546 1.154 -1.833 Falling
Seahawks 1.273 2.364 1.370 -0.672 Falling
Jets 28.455 28.727 1.435 -2.160 Falling
Vikings 24.818 25.455 1.632 -1.266 Falling
Rams 26.909 26.636 1.704 -0.071 Falling
Buccaneers 27.455 29.727 1.723 0.222 Rising
Bengals 5.455 5.636 1.900 0.882 Rising
Packers 8.273 7.546 2.503 -0.657 Falling
Giants 14.455 12.636 2.692 -2.361 Falling
Ravens 11.364 8.273 2.724 1.130 Rising
Lions 14.091 12.091 2.778 0.169 Rising
Browns 21.909 21.818 2.865 -1.043 Falling
Bears 20.636 20.091 2.978 -1.159 Falling
Texans 17.909 18.636 3.033 -1.249 Falling
49ers 7.546 7.273 3.040 -0.472 Falling
Cowboys 8.091 11.364 3.194 -0.461 Falling
Titans 29.636 25.727 3.281 -0.717 Falling
Chiefs 18.000 14.546 3.292 -0.671 Falling
Steelers 16.909 17.546 3.567 0.047 Rising
Colts 6.455 9.364 3.592 -0.681 Falling
Bills 18.000 15.909 3.662 -0.711 Falling
Falcons 22.546 19.546 3.760 -0.669 Falling
Patriots 11.273 12.000 4.029 -1.184 Falling
Saints 20.636 18.636 4.129 -0.529 Falling
Dolphins 22.000 18.000 4.400 0.081 Rising
Redskins 27.364 23.546 4.530 0.418 Rising
Panthers 14.546 19.273 4.981 -0.351 Falling
Cardinals 8.364 11.818 6.735 3.213 Rising
Eagles 5.818 15.909 7.021 0.846 Rising

Observations:

  • So not only do the Chargers take the third spot, but they do so consistently. There is consensus across the board that they're a great team this year.
  • On the other hand, a lot of questions about the Cardinals and Eagles.

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subj Avg Obj Avg Diff. in Avg Change in Value
Eagles 5.818 15.909 10.091 1.636 Rising
Panthers 14.546 19.273 4.727 2.454 Rising
Cardinals 8.364 11.818 3.455 1.379 Rising
Cowboys 8.091 11.364 3.273 2.781 Rising
Colts 6.455 9.364 2.909 1.098 Rising
Buccaneers 27.455 29.727 2.273 0.712 Rising
Seahawks 1.273 2.364 1.091 -0.409 Rising
Texans 17.909 18.636 0.727 -0.273 Rising
Patriots 11.273 12.000 0.727 -3.023 Rising
Vikings 24.818 25.455 0.636 1.363 Rising
Steelers 16.909 17.546 0.636 -1.720 Rising
Chargers 2.546 3.091 0.545 -0.099 Rising
Jaguars 31.273 31.636 0.364 0.167 Rising
Jets 28.455 28.727 0.273 -0.045 Rising
Broncos 2.273 2.546 0.273 -2.371 Rising
Bengals 5.455 5.636 0.182 -0.174 Rising
Browns 21.909 21.818 -0.091 2.492 Rising
49ers 7.546 7.273 -0.273 1.159 Rising
Rams 26.909 26.636 -0.273 0.447 Rising
Bears 20.636 20.091 -0.546 -1.629 Rising
Packers 8.273 7.546 -0.727 -1.386 Rising
Raiders 31.727 30.636 -1.091 0.114 Rising
Giants 14.455 12.636 -1.818 5.356 Rising
Saints 20.636 18.636 -2.000 0.705 Rising
Lions 14.091 12.091 -2.000 -2.796 Rising
Bills 18.000 15.909 -2.091 2.720 Rising
Falcons 22.546 19.546 -3.000 -1.924 Rising
Ravens 11.364 8.273 -3.091 -2.591 Rising
Chiefs 18.000 14.546 -3.455 -3.614 Rising
Redskins 27.364 23.546 -3.818 -0.076 Rising
Titans 29.636 25.727 -3.909 0.932 Rising
Dolphins 22.000 18.000 -4.000 -3.386 Rising

Observations:

  • Oh, well that explains it. The Eagles are once again the team at the top of this list. Maybe a little over-rated?
  • In fact, 6 of the 7 most over-rated teams are NFC teams. 5 of the 7 most under-rated teams are AFC teams.
  • Chargers are within a half spot of their respective averages, that's pretty good.
  • Chiefs slightly under-ranked? That's not good to hear as a division rival.

Sources

Subjective Objective
ESPN Football Outsiders
Fox Team Efficiency
CBS Team Rankings
USA Today Sagarin
Sports Illustrated BeatGraphs
ProFootballTalk Aikman Efficiency
NFL.com Pro Football Reference
SportingNews Cold Hard Football Facts
SB Nation Massey
Reddit ARGH
Associated Press Five Thirty Eight

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