2013 NFL Power Rankings Consensus, Week 16

After a few weeks of bouncing between the first and second spots, the Seahawks are now the unanimous top pick across the board, courtesy of a Broncos loss and the Seahawks' beat-down of the Giants.

A week ago, people were abuzz about the Chargers stunning the nation by beating the Denver Broncos. "How did they do it?" people asked. "This was unexpected and unheard of!"

Then the same thing happened around the league to the other top contenders. All of a sudden, what San Diego accomplished in Denver was less impressive; It was just part of a collective bump in the road for the other top teams. That's not to say the Chargers didn't climb a little in the rankings this week — they did — I'm just saying given the Chargers' body of work this season, they didn't shoot up the rankings by any means.

I'm not here to whine. What the Chargers did in Denver was indeed impressive, but it was just one game. Know what else was one game? The matchup against Washington. As was the Tennessee game and the Miami games. If anything, the win over the Broncos is just that much more frustrating considering what could have been by now.

Notable Quotes

A Denver hiccup Thursday was excused when everyone else did the same Sunday. The Broncos should have home-field advantage, especially finishing against the Raiders and Texans -- a combined 6-22.

Could this be the team Denver least wants to see in the playoffs? The Chargers pushed the Broncos in an eight-point Week 10 loss and then took it to the AFC leaders last Thursday.

The San Diego Chargers may not be in the drivers seat for the playoffs, but they have found their groove. Fantastic games these past two weeks, including the "upset of the year" against the Broncos on Thursday. If the Chargers manage to sneak into the post season they will be very dangerous. In other news, The Chargers petitioned the NFL for Archie Manning to come out of retirement, so they could pull off the Manning Face Trifecta.

Division Averages

Stock Rising

Stock Falling

Subjective Average

	Subjective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		1.000		0.455
Broncos	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	2	2	2		2.200		-0.564
49ers	3	2	4	4	2	6	6	3	5	3		3.800		1.473
Panthers	4	4	7	5	5	3	5	4	4	6		4.700		1.391
Saints	5	5	6	6	4	5	4	6	3	4		4.800		-1.527
Chiefs	6	6	5	3	7	7	3	7	6	7		5.700		1.482
Patriots	7	7	3	7	6	4	7	5	7	5		5.800		-1.800
Cardinals	8	9	9	8	12	10	9	8	9	9		9.100		1.264
Bengals	9	8	8	9	15	11	8	9	8	8		9.300		-2.027
Colts	10	10	10	10	14	13	11	10	10	14		11.200		0.800
Ravens	12	11	12	11	11	8	14	13	13	11		11.600		1.582
Bears	13	14	13	13	10	12	13	12	12	10		12.200		0.891
Dolphins	14	12	14	12	8	15	10	11	14	13		12.300		1.882
Eagles	11	16	11	14	16	9	12	16	11	12		12.800		-3.800
Chargers	15	13	15	17	9	16	16	15	15	16		14.700		1.936
Packers	16	17	17	16	13	14	15	18	17	17		16.000		2.091
Lions	17	15	16	15	20	20	17	14	16	15		16.500		-3.682
Cowboys	18	18	18	18	21	17	18	20	19	18		18.500		-2.500
Steelers	19	19	19	20	17	19	19	17	20	19		18.800		1.382
Rams	20	20	20	19	18	18	20	19	18	20		19.200		2.346
Titans	21	22	21	21	26	24	22	21	21	21		22.000		-0.273
Jets	22	23	22	23	22	21	21	26	22	25		22.700		-1.700
Vikings	23	21	24	26	19	26	24	23	26	24		23.600		3.491
Giants	26	25	23	24	29	25	23	24	23	22		24.400		-2.218
Buccaneers	24	26	25	27	25	27	25	25	25	23		25.200		-1.382
Bills	25	27	27	22	27	22	26	29	24	26		25.500		2.136
Falcons	28	24	26	25	23	29	29	27	30	28		26.900		2.282
Browns	27	30	29	28	28	28	28	22	27	27		27.400		-1.945
Jaguars	29	29	28	29	24	23	27	30	29	29		27.700		-2.245
Raiders	30	28	30	30	30	30	30	28	28	30		29.400		-1.218
Redskins	31	31	31	31	32	31	31	31	31	31		31.100		-0.009
Texans	32	32	32	32	31	32	32	32	32	32		31.900		0.009

Observations:

• SI seems to be the one that's a little off-kilter this week judging by the colors that don't quite line up.
• Without SI moving the Chargers up to the 9th spot, they only rose 1.3 spots this week. Several rankers didn't even move the Chargers at all.
• Seahawks are unanimous at number 1 in the subjective list. Broncos near-unanimous at number 2.
• Your bottom 3 are firmly cemented: Raiders, Redskins and Texans. All three teams beat the Chargers this year.

Subjective Standard Deviation

	Subjective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		0.000		-0.656
Texans	32	32	32	32	31	32	32	32	32	32		0.300		0.012
Redskins	31	31	31	31	32	31	31	31	31	31		0.300		0.012
Broncos	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	2	2	2		0.400		-0.081
Rams	20	20	20	19	18	18	20	19	18	20		0.872		-1.317
Raiders	30	28	30	30	30	30	30	28	28	30		0.917		-0.112
Steelers	19	19	19	20	17	19	19	17	20	19		0.980		-0.547
Saints	5	5	6	6	4	5	4	6	3	4		0.980		0.535
Panthers	4	4	7	5	5	3	5	4	4	6		1.100		0.307
Cowboys	18	18	18	18	21	17	18	20	19	18		1.118		-0.010
Cardinals	8	9	9	8	12	10	9	8	9	9		1.136		-0.090
Buccaneers	24	26	25	27	25	27	25	25	25	23		1.166		-0.026
Bears	13	14	13	13	10	12	13	12	12	10		1.249		-0.130
Patriots	7	7	3	7	6	4	7	5	7	5		1.400		0.547
49ers	3	2	4	4	2	6	6	3	5	3		1.400		0.187
Packers	16	17	17	16	13	14	15	18	17	17		1.483		-0.349
Chiefs	6	6	5	3	7	7	3	7	6	7		1.487		0.458
Jets	22	23	22	23	22	21	21	26	22	25		1.552		-0.448
Ravens	12	11	12	11	11	8	14	13	13	11		1.562		0.533
Titans	21	22	21	21	26	24	22	21	21	21		1.613		-0.765
Colts	10	10	10	10	14	13	11	10	10	14		1.661		0.455
Giants	26	25	23	24	29	25	23	24	23	22		1.908		0.159
Lions	17	15	16	15	20	20	17	14	16	15		1.962		-0.287
Browns	27	30	29	28	28	28	28	22	27	27		2.010		0.339
Dolphins	14	12	14	12	8	15	10	11	14	13		2.052		0.106
Bengals	9	8	8	9	15	11	8	9	8	8		2.100		0.964
Chargers	15	13	15	17	9	16	16	15	15	16		2.147		1.168
Vikings	23	21	24	26	19	26	24	23	26	24		2.154		0.273
Bills	25	27	27	22	27	22	26	29	24	26		2.156		0.436
Falcons	28	24	26	25	23	29	29	27	30	28		2.211		1.019
Jaguars	29	29	28	29	24	23	27	30	29	29		2.238		-0.537
Eagles	11	16	11	14	16	9	12	16	11	12		2.400		1.547

Observations:

• NFC teams make up 11 of the top 16 teams in the "more consistently-ranked" teams. Not surprising.
• Eagles are ranked about as consistently as they've played this year.
• Most (not all) of the inconsistency can be blamed on SI.

Objective Average

	Objective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		1.000		0.222
Panthers	3	8	3	3	5	2	4	3	4	3		3.800		0.533
49ers	5	5	2	2	14	4	3	4	2	2		4.300		1.700
Broncos	2	3	6	4	10	3	2	7	3	5		4.500		-1.500
Saints	7	2	4	6	2	8	5	5	6	4		4.900		-0.567
Bengals	8	4	9	8	4	6	8	6	10	9		7.200		-0.978
Chiefs	4	19	12	5	11	5	6	2	5	6		7.500		0.167
Cardinals	10	7	5	7	13	11	7	10	7	8		8.500		-0.167
Patriots	6	11	8	9	9	10	9	8	9	7		8.600		-1.156
Colts	14	18	14	11	8	13	10	14	8	10		12.000		1.000
Dolphins	18	15	7	10	6	15	13	13	12	11		12.000		1.333
Eagles	11	6	15	15	12	9	17	9	14	16		12.400		-3.067
Bears	9	10	17	17	3	12	16	11	16	13		12.400		1.933
Chargers	12	16	11	12	7	14	12	15	11	15		12.500		2.500
Lions	16	9	22	19	20	7	14	12	19	17		15.500		-2.056
Rams	15	27	10	13	26	16	11	21	13	12		16.400		2.378
Ravens	20	26	13	14	15	17	18	16	15	14		16.800		2.311
Steelers	13	13	18	18	18	23	20	19	20	20		18.200		2.244
Packers	21	12	20	21	23	18	21	17	18	19		19.000		0.778
Cowboys	19	23	21	16	21	21	15	20	17	18		19.100		-2.656
Titans	22	21	27	20	16	20	19	18	21	21		20.500		-1.389
Buccaneers	17	30	16	23	19	22	22	22	23	22		21.600		-2.711
Bills	23	22	25	25	27	19	24	23	27	23		23.800		1.422
Vikings	24	20	19	22	28	28	25	24	24	25		23.900		2.767
Falcons	25	28	23	24	24	29	23	27	25	24		25.200		0.133
Giants	28	17	24	26	22	31	27	29	22	27		25.300		-2.633
Browns	27	14	29	29	25	27	26	25	30	28		26.000		0.111
Jets	26	29	26	27	17	25	30	31	26	26		26.300		0.367
Redskins	30	25	30	30	29	24	31	28	31	30		28.800		0.311
Raiders	31	31	31	28	30	26	29	30	29	29		29.400		-0.844
Texans	29	24	32	32	32	30	28	26	32	31		29.600		-0.600
Jaguars	32	32	28	31	31	32	32	32	28	32		31.000		-1.889

Observations:

• After a week of looking in line with the other rankings, BeatGraphs got all broken after this last week of upsets.
• Seahawks are unanimous on this list too. The Panthers are nearly 2 full spots behind them in 2nd place.
• Sharp clustering of teams. Chargers included in the "Good, not great" teams, that includes Colts, Dolphins, Eagles and Bears.
• Jaguars still holding down the fort at the bottom of the list.

Objective Standard Deviation

	Objective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		0.000		-0.629
Patriots	6	11	8	9	9	10	9	8	9	7		1.357		-0.909
Raiders	31	31	31	28	30	26	29	30	29	29		1.497		-0.453
Jaguars	32	32	28	31	31	32	32	32	28	32		1.549		-2.322
Panthers	3	8	3	3	5	2	4	3	4	3		1.600		-1.527
Saints	7	2	4	6	2	8	5	5	6	4		1.868		0.814
Bengals	8	4	9	8	4	6	8	6	10	9		1.990		-0.539
Falcons	25	28	23	24	24	29	23	27	25	24		1.990		-0.759
Bills	23	22	25	25	27	19	24	23	27	23		2.272		-1.217
Cardinals	10	7	5	7	13	11	7	10	7	8		2.291		0.527
Redskins	30	25	30	30	29	24	31	28	31	30		2.315		0.032
Broncos	2	3	6	4	10	3	2	7	3	5		2.419		1.172
Cowboys	19	23	21	16	21	21	15	20	17	18		2.427		-0.943
Chargers	12	16	11	12	7	14	12	15	11	15		2.500		0.867
Texans	29	24	32	32	32	30	28	26	32	31		2.691		-0.676
Titans	22	21	27	20	16	20	19	18	21	21		2.730		-0.155
Vikings	24	20	19	22	28	28	25	24	24	25		2.809		1.395
Packers	21	12	20	21	23	18	21	17	18	19		2.898		-0.896
Steelers	13	13	18	18	18	23	20	19	20	20		2.960		-0.026
Colts	14	18	14	11	8	13	10	14	8	10		3.000		-0.019
Eagles	11	6	15	15	12	9	17	9	14	16		3.412		0.873
49ers	5	5	2	2	14	4	3	4	2	2		3.437		0.855
Dolphins	18	15	7	10	6	15	13	13	12	11		3.493		0.785
Jets	26	29	26	27	17	25	30	31	26	26		3.635		1.141
Ravens	20	26	13	14	15	17	18	16	15	14		3.655		0.307
Buccaneers	17	30	16	23	19	22	22	22	23	22		3.666		-1.129
Giants	28	17	24	26	22	31	27	29	22	27		3.900		-0.814
Bears	9	10	17	17	3	12	16	11	16	13		4.200		0.768
Browns	27	14	29	29	25	27	26	25	30	28		4.313		-0.839
Lions	16	9	22	19	20	7	14	12	19	17		4.674		1.473
Chiefs	4	19	12	5	11	5	6	2	5	6		4.801		0.329
Rams	15	27	10	13	26	16	11	21	13	12		5.834		0.261

Overall Average

	Subj vs Obj
Seahawks	1.000	1.000		1.000		0.338
Broncos	2.200	4.500		3.350		-1.032
49ers	3.800	4.300		4.050		1.586
Panthers	4.700	3.800		4.250		0.962
Saints	4.800	4.900		4.850		-1.047
Chiefs	5.700	7.500		6.600		0.824
Patriots	5.800	8.600		7.200		-1.478
Bengals	9.300	7.200		8.250		-1.503
Cardinals	9.100	8.500		8.800		0.548
Colts	11.200	12.000		11.600		0.900
Dolphins	12.300	12.000		12.150		1.608
Bears	12.200	12.400		12.300		1.412
Eagles	12.800	12.400		12.600		-3.433
Chargers	14.700	12.500		13.600		2.218
Ravens	11.600	16.800		14.200		1.946
Lions	16.500	15.500		16.000		-2.869
Packers	16.000	19.000		17.500		1.434
Rams	19.200	16.400		17.800		2.362
Steelers	18.800	18.200		18.500		1.813
Cowboys	18.500	19.100		18.800		-2.578
Titans	22.000	20.500		21.250		-0.831
Buccaneers	25.200	21.600		23.400		-2.046
Vikings	23.600	23.900		23.750		3.129
Jets	22.700	26.300		24.500		-0.667
Bills	25.500	23.800		24.650		1.779
Giants	24.400	25.300		24.850		-2.426
Falcons	26.900	25.200		26.050		1.208
Browns	27.400	26.000		26.700		-0.917
Jaguars	27.700	31.000		29.350		-2.067
Raiders	29.400	29.400		29.400		-1.031
Redskins	31.100	28.800		29.950		0.151
Texans	31.900	29.600		30.750		-0.295

Observations:

• That sharp delineation from above carries over to the overall listing. There's Seattle, then there's the rest of the league.
• Baltimore now joins the other teams in the "good, not great" list.
• Overall now, the Jaguars, Raiders, Redskins and Texans are solidly the bottom 4.

Overall Standard Deviation

	Subj vs Obj
Seahawks	1.000	1.000		0.000		-0.654
Raiders	29.400	29.400		1.241		-0.285
Panthers	4.700	3.800		1.445		-0.902
Saints	4.800	4.900		1.493		0.551
Cardinals	9.100	8.500		1.833		0.031
Cowboys	18.500	19.100		1.913		-0.508
Patriots	5.800	8.600		1.965		-0.411
Redskins	31.100	28.800		2.012		0.179
Broncos	2.200	4.500		2.080		0.945
Steelers	18.800	18.200		2.225		-0.079
Texans	31.900	29.600		2.233		-0.458
Falcons	26.900	25.200		2.269		-0.532
Bengals	9.300	7.200		2.300		0.335
Titans	22.000	20.500		2.364		-0.560
Bills	25.500	23.800		2.372		-0.552
Colts	11.200	12.000		2.458		0.189
Vikings	23.600	23.900		2.508		0.808
Jaguars	27.700	31.000		2.535		-1.245
Chargers	14.700	12.500		2.577		1.031
49ers	3.800	4.300		2.636		0.651
Packers	16.000	19.000		2.748		-0.257
Dolphins	12.300	12.000		2.868		0.510
Eagles	12.800	12.400		2.956		1.132
Bears	12.200	12.400		3.100		0.506
Giants	24.400	25.300		3.103		-0.323
Buccaneers	25.200	21.600		3.262		-0.878
Jets	22.700	26.300		3.324		-0.274
Browns	27.400	26.000		3.437		-0.249
Lions	16.500	15.500		3.619		0.882
Chiefs	5.700	7.500		3.666		0.561
Ravens	11.600	16.800		3.829		0.044
Rams	19.200	16.400		4.400		0.098

Difference in Averages

	Subj vs Obj
Ravens	11.600	16.800		5.200		-0.729
Jets	22.700	26.300		3.600		-2.067
Jaguars	27.700	31.000		3.300		-0.357
Packers	16.000	19.000		3.000		1.313
Patriots	5.800	8.600		2.800		-0.644
Broncos	2.200	4.500		2.300		0.936
Chiefs	5.700	7.500		1.800		1.315
Giants	24.400	25.300		0.900		0.415
Colts	11.200	12.000		0.800		-0.200
Cowboys	18.500	19.100		0.600		0.156
49ers	3.800	4.300		0.500		-0.227
Vikings	23.600	23.900		0.300		0.724
Bears	12.200	12.400		0.200		-1.042
Saints	4.800	4.900		0.100		-0.961
Raiders	29.400	29.400		0.000		-0.374
Seahawks	1.000	1.000		0.000		0.232
Dolphins	12.300	12.000		-0.300		0.549
Eagles	12.800	12.400		-0.400		-0.733
Cardinals	9.100	8.500		-0.600		1.430
Steelers	18.800	18.200		-0.600		-0.863
Panthers	4.700	3.800		-0.900		0.858
Lions	16.500	15.500		-1.000		-1.626
Browns	27.400	26.000		-1.400		-2.057
Titans	22.000	20.500		-1.500		1.116
Falcons	26.900	25.200		-1.700		2.149
Bills	25.500	23.800		-1.700		0.714
Bengals	9.300	7.200		-2.100		-1.049
Chargers	14.700	12.500		-2.200		-0.564
Redskins	31.100	28.800		-2.300		-0.320
Texans	31.900	29.600		-2.300		0.609
Rams	19.200	16.400		-2.800		-0.032
Buccaneers	25.200	21.600		-3.600		1.329

Observations:

• 6 of the 7 teams with an "over-ranking" greater than 1 are in the AFC.
• 6 of the 10 teams with an "under-ranking" more than 1 are in the AFC.
• That means of the 17 teams with more than 1 spot of disparity, 12 are in the AFC. The conference is in shambles.
• On the flip-side, Oakland is ranked exactly where they should be at 29.400. Neat.

Sources

About the Author

Follow @creanium