2013 NFL Power Rankings Consensus, Week 13

The Broncos and Jaguars have been dethroned this week at their respective posts at the top and bottom of the rankings. Who takes their place?

Yes, I missed the rankings last week. I won't go into too much detail but I'll tell you that planning for and executing a child's first birthday is way more work than you could ever imagine if you never did it before. Now that that's behind me, I have time again to be able to compile these lists.

With that out of the way, how have things changed in the last two weeks? Well, for starters, the Broncos lost again and the Jaguars won again. You know who else lost this week? Kansas City. *snickering* That makes 2 in a row for the vaunted Chiefs, and with Denver coming up again, they're looking at the possibility of a 3-game losing streak. Are Kansas City's struggles reflected in the rankings? Yes and no. I'll explain as we go on.

Division Averages

Wow, the NFC West has a divisional average of 8.5. That's one strong division. The next nearest — the once–dominant AFC West — is almost 5 spots away from them.

Stock Rising

Stock Falling

As you can see, the rising and falling charts are comparing the rankings from two weeks ago.

Subjective Average

	Subjective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		1.000		1.182
Saints	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	3		2.250		2.114
Broncos	3	5	4	3	5	5	3	3	2	2	4	2		3.417		-1.417
Patriots	4	4	3	5	3	4	5	5	5	5	3	4		4.167		0.560
Panthers	5	3	5	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	5	5		4.167		2.197
Chiefs	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	6	6	7		6.333		-4.333
Bengals	8	6	7	7	8	7	8	6	6	8	8	8		7.250		3.023
49ers	7	8	8	8	7	8	7	8	9	7	7	6		7.500		0.227
Cardinals	9	10	9	9	10	9	9	9	8	9	9	12		9.333		5.758
Colts	10	11	10	12	12	13	10	10	11	10	10	10		10.750		-2.932
Eagles	11	9	11	13	9	11	13	12	14	13	11	11		11.500		3.864
Cowboys	12	12	12	10	11	10	12	11	15	12	12	13		11.833		2.894
Lions	13	14	13	11	17	14	11	13	10	11	13	9		12.417		-4.508
Bears	14	15	15	14	18	17	14	14	18	14	14	14		15.083		-3.083
Chargers	15	16	14	16	19	15	17	17	13	15	17	16		15.833		0.531
Packers	17	21	17	15	15	12	16	15	23	17	15	17		16.667		-3.849
Ravens	18	18	18	18	16	20	18	16	12	16	19	15		17.000		0.091
Steelers	16	13	19	19	14	19	20	18	20	20	18	18		17.833		6.713
Rams	19	17	21	17	13	16	22	20	17	19	16	20		18.083		3.463
Titans	20	19	16	20	20	18	19	19	19	21	21	21		19.417		1.310
Dolphins	21	22	20	21	24	22	15	21	16	18	20	19		19.917		0.992
Giants	23	23	23	22	22	23	23	22	22	22	22	22		22.417		-0.235
Jets	22	20	22	24	25	21	21	23	27	23	23	23		22.833		-8.833
Bills	24	24	25	23	23	24	26	26	24	24	24	25		24.333		2.758
Browns	25	30	24	25	26	25	24	25	21	25	26	26		25.167		-5.531
Buccaneers	27	25	27	26	21	26	27	24	25	26	25	24		25.250		5.659
Raiders	26	27	26	27	27	27	25	27	26	27	27	27		26.583		0.508
Vikings	28	26	29	29	28	28	29	28	29	29	29	29		28.417		0.129
Redskins	29	28	28	28	30	29	28	29	28	28	28	28		28.417		-4.690
Falcons	30	29	31	30	31	31	31	30	30	30	31	30		30.333		-1.333
Jaguars	31	31	30	31	29	30	30	31	31	31	30	31		30.500		1.409
Texans	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		32.000		-4.636

Observations:

• The Chargers had an impressive win this week over the Chiefs. Why didn't they rise more? Well, these numbers are compared to two weeks ago. The Chargers had fallen last week and rose again this week. Also, allowing Kansas City's pedestrian offense to put up 38 points tends to temper excitement about your team.
• Seattle is now a unanimous top pick. The Saints were near unanimous at number 2.
• Denver is still ranked above New England, despite Sunday's result.
• Are the Panthers a top-5 team? Survey says: yes.
• Poor Houston. After beginning the season as a favorite to make the Super Bowl, the mighty Texans are now a unanimous bottom pick.

Subjective Standard Deviation

	Subjective
Seahawks	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1		0.000		-0.575
Texans	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		0.000		-2.532
Saints	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	3		0.433		-0.635
Chiefs	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	6	6	7		0.471		-0.574
Giants	23	23	23	22	22	23	23	22	22	22	22	22		0.493		-1.912
Falcons	30	29	31	30	31	31	31	30	30	30	31	30		0.624		-0.504
Redskins	29	28	28	28	30	29	28	29	28	28	28	28		0.640		-0.496
Raiders	26	27	26	27	27	27	25	27	26	27	27	27		0.640		-1.090
Jaguars	31	31	30	31	29	30	30	31	31	31	30	31		0.646		0.358
Panthers	5	3	5	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	5	5		0.687		-0.463
49ers	7	8	8	8	7	8	7	8	9	7	7	6		0.764		-0.098
Patriots	4	4	3	5	3	4	5	5	5	5	3	4		0.799		0.182
Bengals	8	6	7	7	8	7	8	6	6	8	8	8		0.829		-0.133
Vikings	28	26	29	29	28	28	29	28	29	29	29	29		0.862		-0.915
Cardinals	9	10	9	9	10	9	9	9	8	9	9	12		0.943		-1.166
Bills	24	24	25	23	23	24	26	26	24	24	24	25		0.943		0.043
Colts	10	11	10	12	12	13	10	10	11	10	10	10		1.010		-0.182
Broncos	3	5	4	3	5	5	3	3	2	2	4	2		1.115		0.070
Cowboys	12	12	12	10	11	10	12	11	15	12	12	13		1.280		-0.898
Titans	20	19	16	20	20	18	19	19	19	21	21	21		1.382		-0.161
Eagles	11	9	11	13	9	11	13	12	14	13	11	11		1.500		-0.557
Chargers	15	16	14	16	19	15	17	17	13	15	17	16		1.518		-0.749
Bears	14	15	15	14	18	17	14	14	18	14	14	14		1.552		-0.206
Buccaneers	27	25	27	26	21	26	27	24	25	26	25	24		1.639		1.125
Jets	22	20	22	24	25	21	21	23	27	23	23	23		1.818		-0.356
Browns	25	30	24	25	26	25	24	25	21	25	26	26		1.951		-0.617
Ravens	18	18	18	18	16	20	18	16	12	16	19	15		2.041		-0.704
Lions	13	14	13	11	17	14	11	13	10	11	13	9		2.060		0.977
Steelers	16	13	19	19	14	19	20	18	20	20	18	18		2.230		0.793
Rams	19	17	21	17	13	16	22	20	17	19	16	20		2.431		0.200
Dolphins	21	22	20	21	24	22	15	21	16	18	20	19		2.465		-0.247
Packers	17	21	17	15	15	12	16	15	23	17	15	17		2.779		1.194

Observations:

• Unanimous agreement at the top and bottom of the rankings.
• Saints are pretty comfortable at number 2, as are the Chiefs at ~6 and Giants at ~22.
• No surprise here: Miami is one of the most inconsistently-ranked teams.
• Green Bay, however takes the crown this week.

Objective Average

	Objective
Seahawks	1	2	1	1	4	1	1	1	1		1.444		0.445
Saints	4	1	3	4	6	4	2	4	2		3.333		0.889
Broncos	2	3	4	2	5	3	5	2	4		3.333		-1.000
Panthers	3	10	2	3	7	2	3	3	3		4.000		0.778
49ers	6	6	6	5	9	5	8	5	5		6.111		-0.222
Patriots	5	9	7	7	2	6	7	7	6		6.222		0.889
Bengals	7	5	12	10	1	8	6	12	9		7.778		2.333
Chiefs	9	21	11	6	8	7	4	6	7		8.778		-3.334
Cardinals	11	8	5	9	11	9	10	8	8		8.778		4.222
Eagles	10	4	13	13	12	13	9	11	15		11.111		1.000
Colts	17	18	10	11	3	12	15	10	10		11.778		1.444
Cowboys	12	22	8	8	10	10	17	9	11		11.889		0.444
Rams	14	30	9	14	15	11	19	13	12		15.222		4.889
Lions	18	11	20	16	14	18	14	17	13		15.667		-6.334
Chargers	19	13	14	12	22	14	18	14	19		16.111		2.000
Bears	8	17	21	20	16	20	13	16	14		16.111		-3.778
Packers	13	7	25	19	23	16	11	19	16		16.556		-5.556
Titans	22	23	19	18	13	19	12	18	20		18.222		0.778
Dolphins	21	16	17	17	21	15	22	20	17		18.444		1.667
Steelers	15	15	16	21	18	23	20	22	21		19.000		6.111
Ravens	23	28	22	15	27	17	16	21	18		20.778		-2.445
Giants	26	12	18	22	20	25	28	15	23		21.000		1.111
Buccaneers	16	29	15	24	19	21	21	23	24		21.333		6.223
Bills	20	19	23	23	29	22	23	25	22		22.889		2.222
Jets	25	26	24	30	17	31	29	26	25		25.889		-2.333
Browns	28	14	31	27	28	26	26	29	26		26.111		-4.667
Falcons	24	24	26	25	25	24	31	30	27		26.222		0.556
Redskins	29	27	28	29	26	27	24	27	28		27.222		-3.889
Raiders	31	31	29	26	24	29	27	24	29		27.778		0.666
Vikings	27	25	30	28	30	28	30	28	30		28.444		-1.444
Texans	30	20	32	31	32	30	25	31	31		29.111		-4.333
Jaguars	32	32	27	32	31	32	32	32	32		31.333		0.667

Observations:

• Much like the Subjective list, the Objective list is in agreement that the Seahawks are the best.
• Yes, the Panthers are that good.
• The Chiefs slip to about a ranking around 8th, which is close to where they've been most the season. They're a good team, yes. But not the best team in the NFL.
• Chargers are right around the middle again. If only the defense wasn't historically bad.
• Despite their recent 2-1 record, Jaguars still holding things down in the bottom.

Objective Standard Deviation

	Objective
Seahawks	1	2	1	1	4	1	1	1	1		0.956		-0.038
Broncos	2	3	4	2	5	3	5	2	4		1.155		-0.336
49ers	6	6	6	5	9	5	8	5	5		1.370		0.495
Saints	4	1	3	4	6	4	2	4	2		1.414		0.281
Redskins	29	27	28	29	26	27	24	27	28		1.474		-2.085
Jaguars	32	32	27	32	31	32	32	32	32		1.564		1.564
Vikings	27	25	30	28	30	28	30	28	30		1.641		-1.303
Cardinals	11	8	5	9	11	9	10	8	8		1.750		-1.583
Patriots	5	9	7	7	2	6	7	7	6		1.812		-0.612
Dolphins	21	16	17	17	21	15	22	20	17		2.409		-0.906
Falcons	24	24	26	25	25	24	31	30	27		2.485		-0.335
Raiders	31	31	29	26	24	29	27	24	29		2.529		-0.304
Panthers	3	10	2	3	7	2	3	3	3		2.539		-0.820
Lions	18	11	20	16	14	18	14	17	13		2.708		0.653
Bills	20	19	23	23	29	22	23	25	22		2.726		-0.235
Steelers	15	15	16	21	18	23	20	22	21		2.906		-0.017
Eagles	10	4	13	13	12	13	9	11	15		3.035		-0.443
Chargers	19	13	14	12	22	14	18	14	19		3.247		1.278
Bengals	7	5	12	10	1	8	6	12	9		3.326		-0.769
Titans	22	23	19	18	13	19	12	18	20		3.457		-0.402
Texans	30	20	32	31	32	30	25	31	31		3.784		0.201
Bears	8	17	21	20	16	20	13	16	14		3.871		0.965
Jets	25	26	24	30	17	31	29	26	25		3.900		0.185
Buccaneers	16	29	15	24	19	21	21	23	24		4.083		0.025
Colts	17	18	10	11	3	12	15	10	10		4.263		-1.677
Cowboys	12	22	8	8	10	10	17	9	11		4.408		0.353
Ravens	23	28	22	15	27	17	16	21	18		4.417		-0.594
Browns	28	14	31	27	28	26	26	29	26		4.557		1.764
Chiefs	9	21	11	6	8	7	4	6	7		4.709		0.516
Giants	26	12	18	22	20	25	28	15	23		4.967		-1.573
Packers	13	7	25	19	23	16	11	19	16		5.377		2.588
Rams	14	30	9	14	15	11	19	13	12		5.846		1.438

Overall Average

	Subj vs Obj
Seahawks	1.000	1.444		1.222		0.813
Saints	2.250	3.333		2.792		1.501
Broncos	3.417	3.333		3.375		-1.208
Panthers	4.167	4.000		4.083		1.488
Patriots	4.167	6.222		5.194		0.725
49ers	7.500	6.111		6.806		0.002
Bengals	7.250	7.778		7.514		2.678
Chiefs	6.333	8.778		7.556		-3.834
Cardinals	9.333	8.778		9.056		4.989
Colts	10.750	11.778		11.264		-0.744
Eagles	11.500	11.111		11.306		2.431
Cowboys	11.833	11.889		11.861		1.669
Lions	12.417	15.667		14.042		-5.421
Bears	15.083	16.111		15.597		-3.430
Chargers	15.833	16.111		15.972		1.265
Packers	16.667	16.556		16.611		-4.702
Rams	18.083	15.222		16.653		4.175
Steelers	17.833	19.000		18.417		6.411
Titans	19.417	18.222		18.819		1.045
Ravens	17.000	20.778		18.889		-1.177
Dolphins	19.917	18.444		19.181		1.329
Giants	22.417	21.000		21.708		0.438
Buccaneers	25.250	21.333		23.292		5.940
Bills	24.333	22.889		23.611		2.490
Jets	22.833	25.889		24.361		-5.583
Browns	25.167	26.111		25.639		-5.099
Raiders	26.583	27.778		27.181		0.587
Redskins	28.417	27.222		27.819		-4.289
Falcons	30.333	26.222		28.278		-0.389
Vikings	28.417	28.444		28.431		-0.658
Texans	32.000	29.111		30.556		-4.485
Jaguars	30.500	31.333		30.917		1.038

Observations:

• There's Seattle, then there's everyone else.
• NFC once again is asserting their dominance. 10 of the top 16 teams are in the NFC.
• Pittsburgh has quietly been putting things together and playing well again.

Overall Standard Deviation

	Subj vs Obj
Seahawks	1.000	1.444		0.663		-0.142
Saints	2.250	3.333		1.119		0.019
Broncos	3.417	3.333		1.133		-0.143
Jaguars	30.500	31.333		1.207		0.989
Redskins	28.417	27.222		1.231		-1.308
Vikings	28.417	28.444		1.256		-1.240
49ers	7.500	6.111		1.269		0.008
Cardinals	9.333	8.778		1.377		-1.543
Patriots	4.167	6.222		1.676		-0.388
Panthers	4.167	4.000		1.743		-0.792
Raiders	26.583	27.778		1.823		-0.567
Bills	24.333	22.889		2.050		-0.265
Bengals	7.250	7.778		2.281		-0.558
Eagles	11.500	11.111		2.296		-0.927
Chargers	15.833	16.111		2.420		0.112
Dolphins	19.917	18.444		2.548		-0.477
Titans	19.417	18.222		2.562		-0.396
Steelers	17.833	19.000		2.607		0.358
Falcons	30.333	26.222		2.647		0.302
Bears	15.083	16.111		2.839		0.488
Lions	12.417	15.667		2.856		1.110
Texans	32.000	29.111		2.860		-0.451
Colts	10.750	11.778		2.938		-1.950
Cowboys	11.833	11.889		3.044		-0.337
Jets	22.833	25.889		3.270		-2.335
Chiefs	6.333	8.778		3.331		-0.052
Giants	22.417	21.000		3.347		-1.389
Browns	25.167	26.111		3.360		0.541
Buccaneers	25.250	21.333		3.526		0.310
Ravens	17.000	20.778		3.773		-0.205
Packers	16.667	16.556		4.100		1.712
Rams	18.083	15.222		4.475		1.012

Observations:

• Pretty good consensus about the top 3 teams.
• Fairly good consensus about the Chargers being in the middle.
• Who really knows about the Packers? You want to count them out but they come back and tie with Matt Flynn.
• Could this finally be the year St. Louis puts together a winning season. Who knows?

Difference in Averages

	Subj vs Obj
Ravens	17.000	20.778		3.778		2.536
Lions	12.417	15.667		3.250		1.826
Jets	22.833	25.889		3.056		-6.500
Chiefs	6.333	8.778		2.445		-0.999
Patriots	4.167	6.222		2.056		-0.328
Raiders	26.583	27.778		1.195		-0.159
Steelers	17.833	19.000		1.167		0.601
Saints	2.250	3.333		1.083		1.224
Bears	15.083	16.111		1.028		0.695
Colts	10.750	11.778		1.028		-4.376
Browns	25.167	26.111		0.944		-0.864
Jaguars	30.500	31.333		0.833		0.742
Bengals	7.250	7.778		0.528		0.690
Seahawks	1.000	1.444		0.444		0.737
Chargers	15.833	16.111		0.278		-1.470
Cowboys	11.833	11.889		0.056		2.450
Vikings	28.417	28.444		0.028		1.574
Broncos	3.417	3.333		-0.083		-0.416
Packers	16.667	16.556		-0.111		1.707
Panthers	4.167	4.000		-0.167		1.419
Eagles	11.500	11.111		-0.389		2.864
Cardinals	9.333	8.778		-0.556		1.535
Redskins	28.417	27.222		-1.195		-0.801
Titans	19.417	18.222		-1.195		0.532
49ers	7.500	6.111		-1.389		0.449
Giants	22.417	21.000		-1.417		-1.346
Bills	24.333	22.889		-1.444		0.536
Dolphins	19.917	18.444		-1.472		-0.674
Rams	18.083	15.222		-2.861		-1.427
Texans	32.000	29.111		-2.889		-0.303
Buccaneers	25.250	21.333		-3.917		-0.563
Falcons	30.333	26.222		-4.111		-1.889

Observations:

• Pundits desperately want to believe the defending Super Bowl champions are better than they are.
• The Jets aren't nearly as over-ranked as they once were. They've fallen to the level they've been playing.
• Atlanta has looked back of late, yes, but not as bad as you'd think it seems.
• As much fun as it is to point and laugh at the circus in Tampa, they've been playing decent football.

Sources

• ESPN
• Fox
• CBS
• USA Today
• Sports Illustrated
• ProFootballTalk
• NFL.com
• SportingNews
• SB Nation
• Reddit
• Associated Press
• ProFootballFocus
• Football Outsiders
• Team Efficiency
• Team Rankings
• Sagarin
• BeatGraphs
• Pro Football Reference
• Cold Hard Football Facts
• Massey
• ARGH

About the Author

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