2013 NFL Power Rankings Consensus, Week 11

After letting the AFC feel better about themselves for a while, the NFC is beginning to show their dominance again.

The Chargers faced their biggest test yet this past Sunday and they ... didn't completely embarrass themselves. I'm not sure whether to take solace in, or be infuriated by, the fact that they had a chance to win the game and just squandered opportunities. Much has been written on here about what some of our writers think of Mike McCoy's in-game decisions, so I won't rehash anything.

When it comes to the rankings this week, the Chargers fell a little bit. They didn't fall too much because (a) they weren't expected to win anyway (Vegas had given the Chargers 7 points) and (b) the Chargers actually looked competent in the second half.

Division Averages

The NFC West has surged this week to take the division crown away from the AFC West, mostly thanks to the Rams' surge (and the Raiders and Chargers dragging the AFC West down).

Stock Rising

Stock Falling

Subjective Average

	Subjective
Broncos	2	1	3	2	4	3	1	1	1	3	1		2.000		0.000
Chiefs	1	2	1	3	1	1	2	3	3	1	4		2.000		0.182
Seahawks	3	3	2	1	2	2	3	2	2	2	2		2.182		0.454
Saints	4	7	5	4	3	4	5	4	4	5	3		4.364		2.545
Patriots	5	4	4	5	5	5	4	6	5	4	5		4.727		1.273
Panthers	6	5	7	6	6	9	6	5	8	6	6		6.364		3.545
49ers	8	6	8	8	8	7	8	9	7	9	7		7.727		-3.181
Colts	7	9	9	9	9	6	7	7	6	8	9		7.818		-3.545
Lions	9	8	6	7	7	8	10	8	9	7	8		7.909		1.546
Bengals	10	13	10	10	10	10	9	11	10	10	10		10.273		-1.546
Bears	11	10	12	12	12	16	11	15	11	11	11		12.000		-0.273
Packers	13	11	13	11	14	12	13	17	12	13	12		12.818		-2.272
Jets	12	12	14	17	13	11	15	18	14	12	16		14.000		1.273
Cowboys	15	15	11	14	15	14	16	20	13	16	13		14.727		-1.909
Cardinals	16	19	15	13	16	13	12	13	16	15	18		15.091		2.727
Eagles	14	14	16	15	11	15	17	19	17	14	17		15.364		4.818
Chargers	17	16	18	18	20	18	14	12	15	18	14		16.364		-1.000
Ravens	18	18	20	16	17	21	18	10	18	17	15		17.091		2.636
Browns	19	24	19	19	24	20	19	14	19	19	20		19.636		-0.545
Titans	21	23	17	22	21	19	20	22	21	21	21		20.727		-4.545
Dolphins	22	21	23	21	26	17	22	16	20	23	19		20.909		-3.909
Rams	20	20	24	20	19	23	21	21	22	20	27		21.546		4.545
Giants	25	17	25	23	18	22	23	23	23	22	23		22.182		3.182
Redskins	23	22	22	25	23	24	24	24	26	24	24		23.727		-1.727
Steelers	24	26	26	24	22	25	26	26	24	25	22		24.546		3.454
Bills	26	27	28	28	27	27	27	28	25	27	28		27.091		-3.091
Raiders	27	30	29	26	25	26	25	27	27	26	30		27.091		-1.909
Texans	28	28	21	30	29	29	29	25	28	29	25		27.364		-2.364
Vikings	30	25	27	27	28	31	28	31	30	28	29		28.546		1.545
Falcons	29	29	30	29	30	28	30	29	29	30	26		29.000		-1.909
Buccaneers	31	32	31	31	31	30	31	30	31	31	31		30.909		-0.091
Jaguars	32	31	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		31.909		0.091

Observations:

• Broncos and Chiefs in a dead heat.
• Sharp delineation from Lions to Bengals.
• Heh, look at that: in order, we have Lions and tigers and Bears (oh my).
• SB Nation seems to be just a little off-kilter from everyone else.
• Tampa Bay and Jacksonville starting to duke it out. They both win their first game in a week and now everyone is questioning their beliefs. Am I exaggerating a little since only 1 site put the Jags in 31st instead of 32nd? Probably.

Subjective Standard Deviation

	Subjective
Jaguars	32	31	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		0.288		0.288
Buccaneers	31	32	31	31	31	30	31	30	31	31	31		0.514		0.128
Seahawks	3	3	2	1	2	2	3	2	2	2	2		0.575		-0.575
Patriots	5	4	4	5	5	5	4	6	5	4	5		0.617		-0.337
49ers	8	6	8	8	8	7	8	9	7	9	7		0.862		-0.295
Bills	26	27	28	28	27	27	27	28	25	27	28		0.900		-0.514
Bengals	10	13	10	10	10	10	9	11	10	10	10		0.962		-0.090
Broncos	2	1	3	2	4	3	1	1	1	3	1		1.045		-0.083
Chiefs	1	2	1	3	1	1	2	3	3	1	4		1.045		-0.068
Saints	4	7	5	4	3	4	5	4	4	5	3		1.068		0.072
Lions	9	8	6	7	7	8	10	8	9	7	8		1.083		0.301
Falcons	29	29	30	29	30	28	30	29	29	30	26		1.128		-0.493
Redskins	23	22	22	25	23	24	24	24	26	24	24		1.136		-0.771
Panthers	6	5	7	6	6	9	6	5	8	6	6		1.150		-0.631
Colts	7	9	9	9	9	6	7	7	6	8	9		1.192		-0.409
Steelers	24	26	26	24	22	25	26	26	24	25	22		1.437		-0.321
Titans	21	23	17	22	21	19	20	22	21	21	21		1.543		0.351
Packers	13	11	13	11	14	12	13	17	12	13	12		1.585		-0.386
Raiders	27	30	29	26	25	26	25	27	27	26	30		1.730		0.145
Bears	11	10	12	12	12	16	11	15	11	11	11		1.758		-0.056
Vikings	30	25	27	27	28	31	28	31	30	28	29		1.777		1.263
Eagles	14	14	16	15	11	15	17	19	17	14	17		2.057		1.028
Cardinals	16	19	15	13	16	13	12	13	16	15	18		2.109		0.211
Jets	12	12	14	17	13	11	15	18	14	12	16		2.174		0.311
Cowboys	15	15	11	14	15	14	16	20	13	16	13		2.178		0.775
Rams	20	20	24	20	19	23	21	21	22	20	27		2.231		0.501
Chargers	17	16	18	18	20	18	14	12	15	18	14		2.267		0.713
Giants	25	17	25	23	18	22	23	23	23	22	23		2.405		-0.091
Texans	28	28	21	30	29	29	29	25	28	29	25		2.532		-0.198
Browns	19	24	19	19	24	20	19	14	19	19	20		2.568		0.417
Dolphins	22	21	23	21	26	17	22	16	20	23	19		2.712		-0.242
Ravens	18	18	20	16	17	21	18	10	18	17	15		2.745		0.292

Observations:

• For there being a fight going on at the bottom of the rankings, they sure are pretty consistent in their rankings.
• 6 of the 9 least consistently-ranked teams are AFC.
• 11 teams with a Standard Deviation above 2.0. A lot of uncertainty this week. Kind of refreshing seeing that this late in the season.

Objective Average

	Objective
Seahawks	2	1	2	2	1	4	3	1	1		1.889		1.000
Broncos	1	3	3	1	2	2	1	6	2		2.333		0.667
Saints	4	2	5	3	5	5	4	4	6		4.222		1.778
Panthers	3	8	4	7	12	1	2	2	4		4.778		2.778
Chiefs	8	16	1	5	4	3	6	3	3		5.444		-0.888
49ers	6	6	6	6	6	8	5	5	5		5.889		-1.111
Patriots	7	12	8	4	3	7	8	7	8		7.111		0.667
Lions	10	9	7	11	11	6	12	11	7		9.333		1.889
Bengals	9	4	13	8	19	9	7	9	13		10.111		-2.222
Packers	13	7	17	9	10	13	9	10	11		11.000		-2.444
Eagles	15	5	10	15	8	12	15	15	14		12.111		5.445
Bears	5	13	14	12	15	11	14	12	15		12.333		0.111
Cowboys	11	15	11	10	7	22	11	14	10		12.333		-0.444
Cardinals	12	10	9	17	9	17	13	18	12		13.000		2.111
Colts	14	14	12	13	29	10	10	8	9		13.222		-7.333
Chargers	17	17	19	16	23	19	18	17	17		18.111		-1.000
Ravens	23	29	22	14	13	14	16	16	18		18.333		1.111
Titans	27	21	21	19	16	15	19	13	20		19.000		-3.000
Dolphins	18	25	25	18	14	20	20	19	22		20.111		-3.778
Rams	16	27	16	20	27	18	17	24	16		20.111		5.445
Browns	26	19	20	22	17	26	21	21	21		21.444		-0.444
Giants	28	11	15	21	18	28	28	31	19		22.111		4.000
Redskins	30	24	23	24	21	16	26	22	24		23.333		-2.222
Jets	19	20	18	27	25	25	30	25	23		23.556		-1.556
Texans	29	18	29	25	28	24	25	20	25		24.778		0.555
Bills	25	23	26	29	30	21	22	23	27		25.111		-3.333
Steelers	21	22	24	23	24	29	27	30	26		25.111		2.889
Falcons	22	26	30	26	26	31	24	26	30		26.778		-1.556
Vikings	24	28	28	28	20	30	29	27	29		27.000		1.556
Buccaneers	20	30	31	30	31	23	23	29	31		27.556		-0.112
Raiders	31	31	27	31	22	27	31	28	28		28.444		-0.111
Jaguars	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		32.000		-0.444

Observations:

• Seahawks made up a lot of the ground they lost last week.
• Chargers dropped 1.000 in both lists this week.
• Beatgraphs has a few oddities, but they're actually pretty well in line with most the others.
• Jaguars are finally the consensus bottom team in the Objective list.

Objective Standard Deviation

	Objective
Jaguars	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32		0.000		-1.257
49ers	6	6	6	6	6	8	5	5	5		0.875		-0.258
Seahawks	2	1	2	2	1	4	3	1	1		0.994		-0.376
Saints	4	2	5	3	5	5	4	4	6		1.133		-0.922
Broncos	1	3	3	1	2	2	1	6	2		1.491		-1.176
Chargers	17	17	19	16	23	19	18	17	17		1.969		0.683
Lions	10	9	7	11	11	6	12	11	7		2.055		0.437
Patriots	7	12	8	4	3	7	8	7	8		2.424		-0.275
Packers	13	7	17	9	10	13	9	10	11		2.789		0.380
Browns	26	19	20	22	17	26	21	21	21		2.793		0.849
Falcons	22	26	30	26	26	31	24	26	30		2.820		-1.061
Raiders	31	31	27	31	22	27	31	28	28		2.833		0.622
Bears	5	13	14	12	15	11	14	12	15		2.906		-1.740
Steelers	21	22	24	23	24	29	27	30	26		2.923		0.815
Vikings	24	28	28	28	20	30	29	27	29		2.944		1.445
Bills	25	23	26	29	30	21	22	23	27		2.961		0.181
Dolphins	18	25	25	18	14	20	20	19	22		3.315		-1.469
Cardinals	12	10	9	17	9	17	13	18	12		3.333		1.254
Panthers	3	8	4	7	12	1	2	2	4		3.359		-2.569
Eagles	15	5	10	15	8	12	15	15	14		3.478		1.212
Redskins	30	24	23	24	21	16	26	22	24		3.559		0.381
Texans	29	18	29	25	28	24	25	20	25		3.583		0.151
Jets	19	20	18	27	25	25	30	25	23		3.715		-0.880
Titans	27	21	21	19	16	15	19	13	20		3.859		-0.331
Cowboys	11	15	11	10	7	22	11	14	10		4.055		2.143
Buccaneers	20	30	31	30	31	23	23	29	31		4.058		0.754
Bengals	9	4	13	8	19	9	7	9	13		4.095		1.369
Chiefs	8	16	1	5	4	3	6	3	3		4.193		1.400
Rams	16	27	16	20	27	18	17	24	16		4.408		2.767
Ravens	23	29	22	14	13	14	16	16	18		5.011		-0.069
Colts	14	14	12	13	29	10	10	8	9		5.940		4.491
Giants	28	11	15	21	18	28	28	31	19		6.540		2.998

Observations:

• Colts are the least consistent thanks to Beatgraphs. Otherwise they're very much a consistent 10-12.
• AFC/NFC evenly distributed across the list.
• Wow, Giants' Standard Deviation is over 6.
• Chargers still one of the more consistent teams, despite their apparent reputation of being inconsistent.

Overall Average

	Subj vs Obj
Seahawks	2.182	1.889		2.035		0.728
Broncos	2.000	2.333		2.167		0.333
Chiefs	2.000	5.444		3.722		-0.353
Saints	4.364	4.222		4.293		2.162
Panthers	6.364	4.778		5.571		3.161
Patriots	4.727	7.111		5.919		0.970
49ers	7.727	5.889		6.808		-2.146
Lions	7.909	9.333		8.621		1.717
Bengals	10.273	10.111		10.192		-1.884
Colts	7.818	13.222		10.520		-5.439
Packers	12.818	11.000		11.909		-2.358
Bears	12.000	12.333		12.167		-0.081
Cowboys	14.727	12.333		13.530		-1.176
Eagles	15.364	12.111		13.737		5.132
Cardinals	15.091	13.000		14.045		2.420
Chargers	16.364	18.111		17.237		-1.000
Ravens	17.091	18.333		17.712		1.874
Jets	14.000	23.556		18.778		-0.142
Titans	20.727	19.000		19.864		-3.773
Dolphins	20.909	20.111		20.510		-3.843
Browns	19.636	21.444		20.540		-0.495
Rams	21.546	20.111		20.828		4.995
Giants	22.182	22.111		22.146		3.591
Redskins	23.727	23.333		23.530		-1.974
Steelers	24.546	25.111		24.828		3.172
Texans	27.364	24.778		26.071		-0.904
Bills	27.091	25.111		26.101		-3.212
Raiders	27.091	28.444		27.768		-1.010
Vikings	28.546	27.000		27.773		1.550
Falcons	29.000	26.778		27.889		-1.732
Buccaneers	30.909	27.556		29.232		-0.101
Jaguars	31.909	32.000		31.955		-0.177

Observations:

• Seahawks and Broncos very close overall.
• Chargers are the best of bottom half teams.
• 10 of the top 16 are NFC, compared the AFC's 6 representatives. That AFC dominance was short-lived.

Overall Standard Deviation

	Subj vs Obj
Jaguars	31.909	32.000		0.218		-0.654
Seahawks	2.182	1.889		0.805		-0.455
Saints	4.364	4.222		1.100		-0.528
49ers	7.727	5.889		1.261		0.109
Broncos	2.000	2.333		1.276		-0.761
Lions	7.909	9.333		1.746		0.234
Patriots	4.727	7.111		2.064		-0.071
Steelers	24.546	25.111		2.249		0.325
Chargers	16.364	18.111		2.308		0.626
Bills	27.091	25.111		2.315		-0.093
Falcons	29.000	26.778		2.345		-0.670
Bears	12.000	12.333		2.351		-1.062
Packers	12.818	11.000		2.388		-0.005
Raiders	27.091	28.444		2.390		-0.068
Vikings	28.546	27.000		2.496		1.177
Panthers	6.364	4.778		2.535		-1.816
Redskins	23.727	23.333		2.539		-0.057
Browns	19.636	21.444		2.819		0.550
Bengals	10.273	10.111		2.839		0.807
Cardinals	15.091	13.000		2.920		0.524
Titans	20.727	19.000		2.958		0.010
Dolphins	20.909	20.111		3.025		-0.875
Buccaneers	30.909	27.556		3.216		0.421
Eagles	15.364	12.111		3.223		1.078
Texans	27.364	24.778		3.311		0.241
Cowboys	14.727	12.333		3.381		1.666
Chiefs	2.000	5.444		3.383		1.019
Rams	21.546	20.111		3.463		1.752
Ravens	17.091	18.333		3.978		0.113
Giants	22.182	22.111		4.736		1.701
Colts	7.818	13.222		4.888		3.156
Jets	14.000	23.556		5.605		0.850

Difference in Averages

	Subj vs Obj
Jets	14.000	23.556		9.556		2.829
Colts	7.818	13.222		5.404		3.788
Chiefs	2.000	5.444		3.444		1.070
Patriots	4.727	7.111		2.384		0.606
Browns	19.636	21.444		1.808		-0.101
Chargers	16.364	18.111		1.748		0.000
Lions	7.909	9.333		1.424		-0.344
Raiders	27.091	28.444		1.354		-1.798
Ravens	17.091	18.333		1.242		1.525
Steelers	24.546	25.111		0.566		0.566
Bears	12.000	12.333		0.333		-0.384
Broncos	2.000	2.333		0.333		-0.667
Jaguars	31.909	32.000		0.091		0.535
Giants	22.182	22.111		-0.071		-0.819
Saints	4.364	4.222		-0.141		0.768
Bengals	10.273	10.111		-0.162		0.676
Seahawks	2.182	1.889		-0.293		-0.546
Redskins	23.727	23.333		-0.394		0.495
Dolphins	20.909	20.111		-0.798		-0.131
Rams	21.546	20.111		-1.434		-0.899
Vikings	28.546	27.000		-1.546		-0.011
Panthers	6.364	4.778		-1.586		0.768
Titans	20.727	19.000		-1.727		-1.545
Packers	12.818	11.000		-1.818		0.172
49ers	7.727	5.889		-1.838		-2.070
Bills	27.091	25.111		-1.980		0.242
Cardinals	15.091	13.000		-2.091		0.616
Falcons	29.000	26.778		-2.222		-0.353
Cowboys	14.727	12.333		-2.394		-1.465
Texans	27.364	24.778		-2.586		-2.919
Eagles	15.364	12.111		-3.253		-0.627
Buccaneers	30.909	27.556		-3.354		0.020

Observations:

• The Jets became even more over-ranked this week. Their Objective ranking dropped more than their subjective ranking.
• Colts are seemingly over-ranked right now. We'll see in the next couple weeks if they get better or worse.
• Since the Chargers moved the same amount in both lists, their difference remains the same.
• Would you believe the Panthers are still under-ranked. In the Objective lists, they're a top-5 team.
• AFC teams in general are over-ranked, NFC teams in general are under-ranked.

Sources

• ESPN
• Fox
• CBS
• USA Today
• Sports Illustrated
• ProFootballTalk
• NFL.com
• SB Nation
• Reddit
• Associated Press
• ProFootballFocus
• Football Outsiders
• Team Efficiency
• Team Rankings
• Sagarin
• BeatGraphs
• Aikman Efficiency
• Pro Football Reference
• Cold Hard Football Facts
• Massey

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