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2011 NFL Power Rankings from Around the Web: Week 7

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Nice try, Coach Fox. Just because people in Denver were screaming for you to start Tebow doesn't mean you get to be ranked 5th immediately after you decide to start him.
Nice try, Coach Fox. Just because people in Denver were screaming for you to start Tebow doesn't mean you get to be ranked 5th immediately after you decide to start him.

Our long San Diego nightmare is nearly over! Chargers football returns this week. I don't know about you guys, but this has been one long 10 day stretch.

This week, the Chargers benefited with the bye in two respects: their players are getting rested and healthy, and they actually managed to climb in the subjective rankings by sitting idle. Last week, the Chargers averaged a 6.451, this week they average a 6.000. Not bad.

But as you'll soon find out, not all is well in Chargerville. First some notable quotes this week, then on to the tables!

Notable Quotes

Reddit

Much needed bye came this week. I hope the Chargers rested and got healthy, because this next stretch is nothing like the first 5 weeks.

Sports Illustrated

The Chargers have won the games they were expected to win so far, and that passes as progress in San Diego. But now the degree of difficulty spikes a bit. In their coming four games, the Chargers travel to the Jets and Chiefs, then draw glamor matchups with the Packers and Raiders at home. We'll know where this season is headed in San Diego after that month-long stretch.

Fox Sports

With tight end Antonio Gates dinged up and a beat-up running back corps, the bye week came at the perfect time for this team. They benefit from a couple of losses and move up two spots, but have their work cut out for them with the Jets and Packers on the horizon.

Subjective Average

  Subjective
  ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews Pro Football Weekly National Football Post Reddit   Average   Standard Deviation
Packers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1   1.000   0.000
Patriots 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2.455   0.498
Ravens 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 2.546   0.498
49ers 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4.364   0.481
Lions 6 7 6 5 6 5 6 8 5 5 4 5.727   1.052
Chargers 7 4 4 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 7 6.000   1.128
Saints 5 6 12 7 5 9 7 6 8 7 6 7.091   1.929
Steelers 8 8 7 11 8 11 8 4 7 12 8 8.364   2.144
Bills 10 10 11 8 9 13 9 10 11 9 9 9.909   1.311
Giants 11 12 8 9 12 10 12 9 10 10 11 10.364   1.298
Buccaneers 12 9 10 10 11 8 11 13 12 8 12 10.546   1.616
Raiders 9 15 9 14 10 6 10 11 13 11 10 10.727   2.416
Bengals 18 17 17 17 13 12 13 16 9 15 15 14.727   2.597
Texans 17 13 13 12 16 15 15 14 17 20 14 15.091   2.193
Bears 14 16 19 13 18 14 16 19 18 14 13 15.818   2.249
Falcons 19 11 15 19 19 18 17 12 14 16 16 16.000   2.663
Titans 13 20 16 15 14 16 14 18 16 21 18 16.455   2.426
Jets 16 14 20 16 17 19 19 15 20 13 17 16.909   2.275
Redskins 15 19 14 21 15 17 18 21 15 18 20 17.546   2.426
Cowboys 21 21 18 18 20 20 20 20 19 19 21 19.727   1.052
Eagles 20 18 21 20 21 21 21 17 22 17 19 19.727   1.656
Seahawks 22 23 24 23 22 22 23 25 21 22 24 22.818   1.113
Panthers 25 22 22 22 25 23 24 24 25 25 22 23.546   1.305
Browns 23 25 23 25 23 24 22 23 23 26 23 23.636   1.150
Chiefs 24 26 25 24 24 25 25 22 24 28 25 24.727   1.420
Cardinals 26 24 28 27 29 28 26 27 26 23 27 26.455   1.671
Broncos 27 27 29 28 27 26 27 28 28 24 26 27.000   1.279
Vikings 28 29 27 26 28 27 28 26 29 29 29 27.818   1.113
Jaguars 29 28 26 29 26 29 29 31 27 27 28 28.091   1.443
Rams 31 30 30 31 31 31 32 32 30 31 30 30.818   0.716
Colts 32 31 32 30 32 30 30 29 31 32 31 30.909   0.996
Dolphins 30 32 31 32 30 32 31 30 32 30 32 31.091   0.900

 

Observations:

  • How many of you put money on the 49ers and Lions being top-5 teams? Hey, liar! Put your hand down.
  • Chargers had minor variance this week, only ranging from positions 4-7.
  • Raiders almost broke the top-10.
  • Philadelphia even climbed a little this week. But, they're still barely above a 20th-ranking, so they're ripe for ridicule. Dream team? *scoff*

 

Subjective Standard Deviation

  Subjective
  ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews Pro Football Weekly National Football Post Reddit   Average   Standard Deviation
Packers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1   1.000   0.000
49ers 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4.364   0.481
Ravens 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 2.546   0.498
Patriots 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2.455   0.498
Rams 31 30 30 31 31 31 32 32 30 31 30 30.818   0.716
Dolphins 30 32 31 32 30 32 31 30 32 30 32 31.091   0.900
Colts 32 31 32 30 32 30 30 29 31 32 31 30.909   0.996
Cowboys 21 21 18 18 20 20 20 20 19 19 21 19.727   1.052
Lions 6 7 6 5 6 5 6 8 5 5 4 5.727   1.052
Vikings 28 29 27 26 28 27 28 26 29 29 29 27.818   1.113
Seahawks 22 23 24 23 22 22 23 25 21 22 24 22.818   1.113
Chargers 7 4 4 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 7 6.000   1.128
Browns 23 25 23 25 23 24 22 23 23 26 23 23.636   1.150
Broncos 27 27 29 28 27 26 27 28 28 24 26 27.000   1.279
Giants 11 12 8 9 12 10 12 9 10 10 11 10.364   1.298
Panthers 25 22 22 22 25 23 24 24 25 25 22 23.546   1.305
Bills 10 10 11 8 9 13 9 10 11 9 9 9.909   1.311
Chiefs 24 26 25 24 24 25 25 22 24 28 25 24.727   1.420
Jaguars 29 28 26 29 26 29 29 31 27 27 28 28.091   1.443
Buccaneers 12 9 10 10 11 8 11 13 12 8 12 10.546   1.616
Eagles 20 18 21 20 21 21 21 17 22 17 19 19.727   1.656
Cardinals 26 24 28 27 29 28 26 27 26 23 27 26.455   1.671
Saints 5 6 12 7 5 9 7 6 8 7 6 7.091   1.929
Steelers 8 8 7 11 8 11 8 4 7 12 8 8.364   2.144
Texans 17 13 13 12 16 15 15 14 17 20 14 15.091   2.193
Bears 14 16 19 13 18 14 16 19 18 14 13 15.818   2.249
Jets 16 14 20 16 17 19 19 15 20 13 17 16.909   2.275
Raiders 9 15 9 14 10 6 10 11 13 11 10 10.727   2.416
Redskins 15 19 14 21 15 17 18 21 15 18 20 17.546   2.426
Titans 13 20 16 15 14 16 14 18 16 21 18 16.455   2.426
Bengals 18 17 17 17 13 12 13 16 9 15 15 14.727   2.597
Falcons 19 11 15 19 19 18 17 12 14 16 16 16.000   2.663

 

Observations:

  • Packers still unanimously the best.
  • Looks like people are finally believing in the 49ers
  • Lions are starting to falter a little.

 

Objective Average

  Objective
  Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency   Average   Standard Deviation
Packers 3 4 1 1 3 1   2.167   1.213
Ravens 1 1 5 3 10 3 3.833   3.078
Patriots 4 6 4 2 7 5 4.667   1.599
49ers 5 17 2 4 1 4 5.500   5.315
Lions 13 9 3 6 2 2 5.833   4.059
Bills 6 14 9 10 5 6 8.333   3.091
Saints 10 7 6 5 8 21 9.500   5.377
Jets 2 15 15 7 13 10 10.333   4.679
Steelers 7 3 16 8 15 17 11.000   5.260
Cowboys 17 2 8 9 18 20 12.333   6.446
Giants 8 10 18 19 14 7 12.667   4.679
Bengals 12 19 14 17 4 11 12.833   4.810
Raiders 11 16 10 13 11 16 12.833   2.410
Chargers 18 13 11 11 12 14 13.167   2.410
Texans 16 5 21 15 19 8 14.000   5.716
Bears 19 18 13 12 9 19 15.000   3.873
Falcons 9 29 12 18 16 9 15.500   6.898
Titans 14 8 19 14 28 18 16.833   6.122
Buccaneers 20 30 7 20 6 22 17.500   8.480
Eagles 15 11 20 16 22 23 17.833   4.220
Redskins 22 12 24 21 20 15 19.000   4.163
Vikings 21 24 25 24 23 12 21.500   4.425
Seahawks 25 32 17 22 21 25 23.667   4.607
Broncos 24 20 23 23 30 26 24.333   3.091
Browns 23 25 28 29 29 13 24.500   5.590
Panthers 27 22 26 25 26 24 25.000   1.633
Chiefs 28 31 22 27 17 31 26.000   5.033
Jaguars 29 21 27 28 27 27 26.500   2.566
Dolphins 26 26 30 26 32 30 28.333   2.427
Cardinals 31 27 29 30 25 28 28.333   1.972
Rams 32 23 32 32 24 32 29.167   4.017
Colts 30 28 31 31 31 29 30.000   1.155

 

Observations:

  • You better believe in Detroit and San Fransisco, they're both playing really well.
  • Oakland is actually ranked slightly better than the Chargers.

 

Objective Standard Deviation

  Objective
  Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency   Average   Standard Deviation
Colts 30 28 31 31 31 29   30.000   1.155
Packers 3 4 1 1 3 1 2.167   1.213
Patriots 4 6 4 2 7 5 4.667   1.599
Panthers 27 22 26 25 26 24 25.000   1.633
Cardinals 31 27 29 30 25 28 28.333   1.972
Raiders 11 16 10 13 11 16 12.833   2.410
Chargers 18 13 11 11 12 14 13.167   2.410
Dolphins 26 26 30 26 32 30 28.333   2.427
Jaguars 29 21 27 28 27 27 26.500   2.566
Ravens 1 1 5 3 10 3 3.833   3.078
Bills 6 14 9 10 5 6 8.333   3.091
Broncos 24 20 23 23 30 26 24.333   3.091
Bears 19 18 13 12 9 19 15.000   3.873
Rams 32 23 32 32 24 32 29.167   4.017
Lions 13 9 3 6 2 2 5.833   4.059
Redskins 22 12 24 21 20 15 19.000   4.163
Eagles 15 11 20 16 22 23 17.833   4.220
Vikings 21 24 25 24 23 12 21.500   4.425
Seahawks 25 32 17 22 21 25 23.667   4.607
Giants 8 10 18 19 14 7 12.667   4.679
Jets 2 15 15 7 13 10 10.333   4.679
Bengals 12 19 14 17 4 11 12.833   4.810
Chiefs 28 31 22 27 17 31 26.000   5.033
Steelers 7 3 16 8 15 17 11.000   5.260
49ers 5 17 2 4 1 4 5.500   5.315
Saints 10 7 6 5 8 21 9.500   5.377
Browns 23 25 28 29 29 13 24.500   5.590
Texans 16 5 21 15 19 8 14.000   5.716
Titans 14 8 19 14 28 18 16.833   6.122
Cowboys 17 2 8 9 18 20 12.333   6.446
Falcons 9 29 12 18 16 9 15.500   6.898
Buccaneers 20 30 7 20 6 22 17.500   8.480

 

Observations:

  • Holy variance, Batman! The Bucs are all over the map.
  • Atlanta and Dallas are too, but much less so. With Dallas and Atlanta, they have one outlier each, skewing the results.
  • San Diego is actually one of the more consistently-ranked teams. They just aren't great yet.

 

Overall Average

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Packers 1.000 2.167   1.583   0.911   1.167
Ravens 2.546 3.833 3.189   1.970   1.288
Patriots 2.455 4.667 3.561   1.477   2.212
49ers 4.364 5.500 4.932   3.227   1.136
Lions 5.727 5.833 5.780   2.556   0.106
Saints 7.091 9.500 8.295   3.733   2.409
Bills 9.909 8.333 9.121   2.248   -1.576
Chargers 6.000 13.167 9.583   3.821   7.167
Steelers 8.364 11.000 9.682   3.785   2.636
Giants 10.364 12.667 11.515   3.167   2.303
Raiders 10.727 12.833 11.780   2.615   2.106
Jets 16.909 10.333 13.621   4.577   -6.576
Bengals 14.727 12.833 13.780   3.654   -1.894
Buccaneers 10.546 17.500 14.023   6.174   6.955
Texans 15.091 14.000 14.545   3.862   -1.091
Bears 15.818 15.000 15.409   2.953   -0.818
Falcons 16.000 15.500 15.750   4.630   -0.500
Cowboys 19.727 12.333 16.030   5.279   -7.394
Titans 16.455 16.833 16.644   4.131   0.379
Redskins 17.546 19.000 18.273   3.226   1.455
Eagles 19.727 17.833 18.780   2.980   -1.894
Seahawks 22.818 23.667 23.242   2.908   0.849
Browns 23.636 24.500 24.068   3.472   0.864
Panthers 23.546 25.000 24.273   1.589   1.455
Vikings 27.818 21.500 24.659   4.103   -6.318
Chiefs 24.727 26.000 25.364   3.258   1.273
Broncos 27.000 24.333 25.667   2.461   -2.667
Jaguars 28.091 26.500 27.295   2.061   -1.591
Cardinals 26.455 28.333 27.394   1.997   1.879
Dolphins 31.091 28.333 29.712   2.083   -2.758
Rams 30.818 29.167 29.992   2.579   -1.652
Colts 30.909 30.000 30.455   1.141   -0.909

 

Observations:

  • Not much in the way of any surprises here.

 

Overall Standard Deviation

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Packers 1.000 2.167   1.583   0.911   1.167
Colts 30.909 30.000 30.455   1.141   -0.909
Patriots 2.455 4.667 3.561   1.477   2.212
Panthers 23.546 25.000 24.273   1.589   1.455
Ravens 2.546 3.833 3.189   1.970   1.288
Cardinals 26.455 28.333 27.394   1.997   1.879
Jaguars 28.091 26.500 27.295   2.061   -1.591
Dolphins 31.091 28.333 29.712   2.083   -2.758
Bills 9.909 8.333 9.121   2.248   -1.576
Broncos 27.000 24.333 25.667   2.461   -2.667
Lions 5.727 5.833 5.780   2.556   0.106
Rams 30.818 29.167 29.992   2.579   -1.652
Raiders 10.727 12.833 11.780   2.615   2.106
Seahawks 22.818 23.667 23.242   2.908   0.849
Bears 15.818 15.000 15.409   2.953   -0.818
Eagles 19.727 17.833 18.780   2.980   -1.894
Giants 10.364 12.667 11.515   3.167   2.303
Redskins 17.546 19.000 18.273   3.226   1.455
49ers 4.364 5.500 4.932   3.227   1.136
Chiefs 24.727 26.000 25.364   3.258   1.273
Browns 23.636 24.500 24.068   3.472   0.864
Bengals 14.727 12.833 13.780   3.654   -1.894
Saints 7.091 9.500 8.295   3.733   2.409
Steelers 8.364 11.000 9.682   3.785   2.636
Chargers 6.000 13.167 9.583   3.821   7.167
Texans 15.091 14.000 14.545   3.862   -1.091
Vikings 27.818 21.500 24.659   4.103   -6.318
Titans 16.455 16.833 16.644   4.131   0.379
Jets 16.909 10.333 13.621   4.577   -6.576
Falcons 16.000 15.500 15.750   4.630   -0.500
Cowboys 19.727 12.333 16.030   5.279   -7.394
Buccaneers 10.546 17.500 14.023   6.174   6.955

 

Observations:

  • Tampa Bay still leading the list here.
  • As is typical, the closer you get to the extremes, the more consistent the rankings.
  • Chargers are now further down on this list once you factor in all the rankings. A lot of that has to do with the next chart ...

 

Difference in Averages

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Chargers 6.000 13.167   9.583   3.821   7.167
Buccaneers 10.546 17.500 14.023   6.174   6.955
Steelers 8.364 11.000 9.682   3.785   2.636
Saints 7.091 9.500 8.295   3.733   2.409
Giants 10.364 12.667 11.515   3.167   2.303
Patriots 2.455 4.667 3.561   1.477   2.212
Raiders 10.727 12.833 11.780   2.615   2.106
Cardinals 26.455 28.333 27.394   1.997   1.879
Panthers 23.546 25.000 24.273   1.589   1.455
Redskins 17.546 19.000 18.273   3.226   1.455
Ravens 2.546 3.833 3.189   1.970   1.288
Chiefs 24.727 26.000 25.364   3.258   1.273
Packers 1.000 2.167 1.583   0.911   1.167
49ers 4.364 5.500 4.932   3.227   1.136
Browns 23.636 24.500 24.068   3.472   0.864
Seahawks 22.818 23.667 23.242   2.908   0.849
Titans 16.455 16.833 16.644   4.131   0.379
Lions 5.727 5.833 5.780   2.556   0.106
Falcons 16.000 15.500 15.750   4.630   -0.500
Bears 15.818 15.000 15.409   2.953   -0.818
Colts 30.909 30.000 30.455   1.141   -0.909
Texans 15.091 14.000 14.545   3.862   -1.091
Bills 9.909 8.333 9.121   2.248   -1.576
Jaguars 28.091 26.500 27.295   2.061   -1.591
Rams 30.818 29.167 29.992   2.579   -1.652
Bengals 14.727 12.833 13.780   3.654   -1.894
Eagles 19.727 17.833 18.780   2.980   -1.894
Broncos 27.000 24.333 25.667   2.461   -2.667
Dolphins 31.091 28.333 29.712   2.083   -2.758
Vikings 27.818 21.500 24.659   4.103   -6.318
Jets 16.909 10.333 13.621   4.577   -6.576
Cowboys 19.727 12.333 16.030   5.279   -7.394

 

Observations:

  • Well, San Diego is back atop the Most Overrated list. Tampa Bay is not at all that far behind.
  • From there it's not all that close. All other teams are within ±3 spots.
  • That is until you get to the bottom 3 teams. The Vikings, Jets, and Cowboys are all outperforming the prevailing perception of those teams.

 

Sources