In this playoff addition of Predicting the Score by the Numbers we look to see if the Bolts high-powered offence can get past the Jets stingy defense. To see who the numbers say should win please click below.
During the regular season the Jets have scored on average 21.8 points per game and allowed an average of 14.8 points per game. The Jets opponents scored 21.4 points and allowed 21.1 points per game on average. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Jets scored 0.8 points per game over their opponent's average and allowed 6.6 fewer points per game their opponent's average.
|
Points For |
Points Against |
|
|
Jets |
21.8 |
14.8 |
|
24.2 |
20.8 |
|
|
26.7 |
17.8 |
|
|
22.1 |
25.1 |
|
|
31.9 |
21.3 |
|
|
22.5 |
24.4 |
|
|
16.1 |
20.4 |
|
|
12.3 |
23.7 |
|
|
Dolphins |
22.5 |
24.4 |
|
18.1 |
23.8 |
|
|
Patriots |
26.7 |
17.8 |
|
Carolina |
19.7 |
19.2 |
|
Bills |
16.1 |
20.4 |
|
Bucs |
15.2 |
25.0 |
|
22.7 |
20.3 |
|
|
26.0 |
19.2 |
|
|
19.1 |
18.2 |
|
|
Average |
21.4 |
21.0 |
|
Adjustment |
0.8 |
-6.6 |
During the regular season the Chargers scored 28.4 points per game and allowed 20.0 points per game on average, while their opponents have scored an average of 20.5 points per game and allowed 21.9 points per game on average. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers scored 6.5 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 0.5 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.
|
Points For |
Points Against |
|
|
Chargers |
28.4 |
20.0 |
|
Raiders |
12.3 |
23.7 |
|
24.4 |
16.3 |
|
|
Dolphins |
22.5 |
24.4 |
|
23.0 |
20.2 |
|
|
20.4 |
20.2 |
|
|
18.4 |
26.5 |
|
|
Raiders |
12.3 |
23.7 |
|
25.1 |
26.7 |
|
|
26.8 |
21.1 |
|
|
Broncos |
20.4 |
20.2 |
|
Chiefs |
18.4 |
26.5 |
|
15.3 |
23.4 |
|
|
22.6 |
15.6 |
|
|
Bengals |
19.1 |
18.2 |
|
Titans |
22.1 |
25.1 |
|
16.6 |
21.0 |
|
|
Average |
20.5 |
21.9 |
|
Adjustment |
6.5 |
-0.5 |
If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:
Jets
The Jets scored on average 21.8 points, the Chargers allowed 0.5 fewer points than their opponent's average, the Jets should score 21.3 points.
The Jets allow on average 14.8 points, the Chargers scored on average 6.5 points higher than average, the Jets should allow 21.3 points.
Chargers
The Chargers scored on average 28.4 points, the Jets allowed 6.6 fewer points than their opponent's average, Chargers should score 21.8 points.
The Chargers allowed on average 20.0 points, the Jets score on average 0.8 more points than their opponent's average, Chargers should allow 20.8 points.
|
Points For |
Points Against |
|
|
Chargers |
21.8 |
20.8 |
|
Jets |
21.3 |
21.3 |
If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:
Chargers 22
Jets 21
Go Bolts!