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Predicting the Score by the Numbers

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This week is really a throw away week, the Chargers will go with a simple game plan and will most likely sit most of their key players in the 2nd half (here's to hoping that there may be a Chuck Whitehurst sighting), while the Redskins players will most likely be sneaking off early to the locker room to check and see what kind of deals priceline has to Maui starting January 4th.   My perdition is that this game will be boring, sloppy and short, to see what the score should have been if both teams had a reason to play click below.

 

So far this season the Redskins have score on average 16.4 points per game and have allowed an average of 20.9 points per game.   The Redskins opponents have scored 21.2 points and allowed 22.6 points per game on average thus far this season.   If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Redskins have scored 6.2 fewer points per game than their opponent's average and have allowed 0.3 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

 

Points For

Points Against

Redskins

16.4

20.9

Giants

26.3

25.5

Rams

11.3

27.2

Lions

15.9

30.5

Bucs

15.6

25.3

Panthers

19.5

19.9

Chiefs

16.7

26.7

Eagles

28.6

20.9

Falcons

22.9

21.0

Broncos

20.1

18.7

Cowboys

22.5

16.7

Eagles

28.6

20.9

Saints

33.3

21.2

Raiders

12.3

23.9

Giants

26.3

25.5

Cowboys

22.5

16.7

Average

21.2

22.6

Adjustment

-6.2

-0.3

The Chargers have scored 28.7 points per game and allowed 20.0 points per game on average so far this season, while their opponents have scored an average of 20.7 points per game and allowed 21.8 points per game on average thus far in the season.  If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 6.9 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 0.7 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

Points For

Points Against

Chargers

28.7

20.0

Raiders

12.3

23.9

Ravens

24.7

16.5

Dolphins

22.4

24.0

Steelers

22.5

20.0

Broncos

20.1

18.7

Chiefs

16.7

26.7

Raiders

12.3

23.9

Giants

26.3

25.5

Eagles

28.6

20.9

Broncos

20.1

18.7

Chiefs

16.7

26.7

Browns

14.8

23.9

Cowboys

22.5

16.7

Bengals

20.3

16.9

Titans

22.5

25.9

Average

20.7

21.8

Adjustment

6.9

-0.7

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

 

Redskins

The Redskins score on average 16.4 points, the Chargers allow 0.7 fewer points than average, the Redskins should score 15.7 points.

The Redskins allow on average 20.9 points, the Chargers score on average 6.9 points higher than average, the Redskins should allow 27.8 points.

 

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 28.7 points, the Redskins allow 0.3 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 28.4 points.

The Chargers allow on average 20.0 points, the Redskins score on average 6.2 fewer points than their opponents average, Chargers should allow 13.8 points.

Points For

Points Against

Chargers

28.4

13.8

Redskins

15.7

27.8

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 28

Redskins 14

Go Bolts!