FanPost

Current probability of "chips falling" for San Diego

Updated for Baltimore and Miami losses, coupled with the revised probabilities based on current moneyline odds.

This is my summary of what we need to have happen outside of our control. To get total playoff odds, you would have to factor in the probability of San Diego winning both of its games. But that is within team control. Basically we have to win out, BAL and MIA both lose out, as I understand it.

So grabbed the winning probabilities derived from the money lines for the games. The week 17 are harder to get and would probably change. Multiply the four probabilities together and you get the odds the "chips fall our way" with the other teams. Hopefully I can substitute some of those numbers for 100% after the games get done. We can hope. So shown are the probabilities for NEP > BAL, BUF > MIA, CIN > BAL and NYJ > MIA.

Week

V

H

For SDC

16

NEP

BAL

100%

16

MIA

BUF

100%

17

BAL

CIN

71%

17

NYJ

MIA

25%

Current Probability

17.8%

This FanPost was written by a member of the Bolts From The Blue community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Bolts From The Blue editors or SB Nation.

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