NFL Power Rankings Consensus, Week 6: Texans, Panthers, Chargers all falling

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

The Chargers are embarrassed by the Raiders, so naturally they drop. Houston and Carolina can't seem to get it together this year.

The Chargers put up their first real stinker of the season this week, and the rankings reflect that. In the other two losses this year, the Chargers were at least competitive and held leads and only lost in the waning seconds. Against the Raiders, though ... woof.

To start the season, it was discussed that the Chargers were a talented team that lacked depth. A few key injuries on both sides of the ball, and now they're faltering. Bu, it's not all injuries, coaching definitely shoulders some of the blame from Sunday night. The scheduling and field also didn't do the team any favors, but now I'm just looking for excuses and have gone completely off topic.

Let's just move on to the rankings, shall we?

Author's note: Apologies this is a couple day late, I've been in training at work all week. These were all compiled before the Bears/Giants game last night. Normally I work from home, but I've had to commute the two hours into the office and two hours back home each day, so I haven't had nearly as much time to work on this post as I normally do. But I'm back home now.

Division Averages

Division Avg Ranking
AFC West 12.8295
NFC West 14.1705
NFC North 14.2045
AFC East 15.4205
AFC North 16.4432
AFC South 17.3182
NFC South 18.6477
NFC East 22.9659

The AFC West actually climbed a tiny bit again this week. Yes the Chargers fell, but everyone else in the division rose.

Stock Rising

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
CIN 16.063 10.442 5.621
SF 13.042 7.767 5.275
GB 13.979 8.900 5.079
OAK 29.083 24.508 4.575
ARI 22.625 18.917 3.708

Stock Falling

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
HOU 12.063 18.517 -6.454
CAR 15.542 21.650 -6.108
SDG 15.083 21.150 -6.067
ATL 17.083 22.075 -4.992
BUF 17.646 22.433 -4.787

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews SB Nation Reddit Associated Press ProFootballFocus Average Change since last period
Broncos 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1.083 0.000 No Change
Saints 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1.917 1.416 Rising
Seahawks 5 3 5 4 5 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 3.833 -1.916 Falling
Chiefs 3 4 3 5 3 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 3.917 1.500 Rising
Colts 4 5 4 3 4 3 4 5 4 5 5 8 4.500 2.750 Rising
Patriots 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6.500 -2.833 Falling
49ers 7 7 7 6 6 8 7 6 9 6 6 7 6.833 1.500 Rising
Packers 11 8 10 8 8 9 9 8 10 8 8 5 8.500 2.583 Rising
Bengals 8 10 8 9 9 14 8 10 6 9 9 9 9.083 2.917 Rising
Ravens 9 13 9 10 10 7 12 9 8 11 10 12 10.000 3.333 Rising
Bears 10 11 13 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 12 10 11.000 -2.917 Falling
Lions 12 9 12 12 12 10 10 12 15 13 11 13 11.750 -2.500 Falling
Dolphins 13 15 11 13 13 12 13 16 13 12 13 14 13.167 -3.084 Falling
Cowboys 15 12 16 14 16 21 16 13 14 14 14 11 14.667 1.916 Rising
Titans 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 17 16 16 15 15 15.000 -1.333 Falling
Texans 17 16 17 18 18 23 17 14 12 15 19 16 16.833 -3.833 Falling
Browns 16 17 19 17 17 13 18 15 19 17 16 19 16.917 2.416 Rising
Jets 18 18 15 19 14 16 15 18 17 18 17 20 17.083 6.417 Rising
Cardinals 19 19 18 16 19 17 21 22 21 20 18 22 19.333 2.917 Rising
Chargers 20 20 25 23 24 19 20 19 20 19 20 17 20.500 -4.083 Falling
Falcons 22 21 21 24 25 27 22 21 18 21 21 18 21.750 -3.833 Falling
Eagles 21 22 20 21 26 20 23 20 23 22 22 21 21.750 2.250 Rising
Raiders 24 26 24 22 23 18 19 23 28 24 24 26 23.417 5.750 Rising
Rams 25 27 22 20 21 22 24 24 24 26 25 27 23.917 1.250 Rising
Bills 23 23 26 27 27 24 25 25 25 23 23 25 24.667 -4.500 Falling
Vikings 28 24 23 26 20 26 28 28 22 28 27 24 25.333 -0.583 Falling
Redskins 27 25 27 25 22 28 27 26 27 27 26 29 26.333 -0.916 Falling
Panthers 26 28 28 28 28 25 26 27 26 25 28 23 26.500 -5.417 Falling
Steelers 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 29 29 29 29 28 29.000 0.000 No Change
Buccaneers 30 31 31 30 30 30 29 30 31 31 30 31 30.333 0.084 Rising
Giants 31 30 30 31 31 31 31 32 30 30 31 30 30.667 -1.334 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 32 32 32 32 31.917 0.083 Rising

Observations:

  • Sigh ... SportingNews again throws a wrench in things. Not only do they not have the Broncos as 1st like literally everyone else, but they also don't have Jacksonville at 32nd like literally everyone else. We crave order here!
  • NFC teams in the bottom 12 outnumber AFC teams by a margin of 2-to-1 (8 vs 4).
  • Reddit, AP and PFF all follow the average relatively closely (as expected)
  • As weird as SN is for having inconsistent top and bottom, PFT is the one truly all over the map.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews SB Nation Reddit Associated Press ProFootballFocus Standard Deviation Change since last period
Jaguars 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 32 32 32 32 0.276 0.276 Rising
Saints 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0.276 -0.195 Falling
Broncos 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0.276 0.000 No Change
Steelers 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 29 29 29 29 28 0.408 -0.169 Falling
Patriots 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 0.500 0.029 Rising
Buccaneers 30 31 31 30 30 30 29 30 31 31 30 31 0.624 -0.330 Falling
Giants 31 30 30 31 31 31 31 32 30 30 31 30 0.624 -0.482 Falling
Chiefs 3 4 3 5 3 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 0.759 -0.103 Falling
Bears 10 11 13 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 12 10 0.817 -0.565 Falling
Seahawks 5 3 5 4 5 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 0.898 0.622 Rising
49ers 7 7 7 6 6 8 7 6 9 6 6 7 0.898 -1.387 Falling
Titans 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 17 16 16 15 15 0.913 -1.372 Falling
Colts 4 5 4 3 4 3 4 5 4 5 5 8 1.258 -0.381 Falling
Dolphins 13 15 11 13 13 12 13 16 13 12 13 14 1.280 -1.117 Falling
Bills 23 23 26 27 27 24 25 25 25 23 23 25 1.434 -0.905 Falling
Packers 11 8 10 8 8 9 9 8 10 8 8 5 1.443 -1.279 Falling
Lions 12 9 12 12 12 10 10 12 15 13 11 13 1.534 -0.669 Falling
Panthers 26 28 28 28 28 25 26 27 26 25 28 23 1.555 -0.151 Falling
Eagles 21 22 20 21 26 20 23 20 23 22 22 21 1.639 -0.482 Falling
Ravens 9 13 9 10 10 7 12 9 8 11 10 12 1.683 -0.451 Falling
Redskins 27 25 27 25 22 28 27 26 27 27 26 29 1.700 0.380 Rising
Browns 16 17 19 17 17 13 18 15 19 17 16 19 1.706 -0.180 Falling
Jets 18 18 15 19 14 16 15 18 17 18 17 20 1.706 -0.726 Falling
Bengals 8 10 8 9 9 14 8 10 6 9 9 9 1.801 -0.649 Falling
Cardinals 19 19 18 16 19 17 21 22 21 20 18 22 1.841 -0.285 Falling
Rams 25 27 22 20 21 22 24 24 24 26 25 27 2.178 0.553 Rising
Chargers 20 20 25 23 24 19 20 19 20 19 20 17 2.217 1.263 Rising
Cowboys 15 12 16 14 16 21 16 13 14 14 14 11 2.427 -0.072 Falling
Falcons 22 21 21 24 25 27 22 21 18 21 21 18 2.488 0.883 Rising
Vikings 28 24 23 26 20 26 28 28 22 28 27 24 2.593 0.717 Rising
Texans 17 16 17 18 18 23 17 14 12 15 19 16 2.609 0.228 Rising
Raiders 24 26 24 22 23 18 19 23 28 24 24 26 2.691 1.411 Rising

Observations:

  • Take out Sporting News, and the Broncos, Jaguars and Saints are all unanimous picks at 1, 2 and 32 respectively.
  • Steelers almost a unanimous 29th as well
  • Kind of a cluster of teams in the "just who are you?" group, from the Rams on down.
  • Raiders looked bad to start the season, then they looked good in a game no one saw, and now who knows?

Objective Average

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Massey ARGH Average Change since last period
Broncos 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 3 1.800 0.825 Rising
Saints 5 6 1 2 3 7 2 4 2 1 3.300 0.075 Rising
Seahawks 2 2 5 3 6 3 4 3 3 2 3.300 -0.925 Falling
Colts 4 3 4 6 5 4 3 2 4 5 4.000 1.875 Rising
Chiefs 3 9 3 8 8 1 5 1 5 7 5.000 1.375 Rising
49ers 8 7 9 7 9 13 9 10 9 6 8.700 9.050 Rising
Packers 6 5 12 4 14 17 7 9 10 9 9.300 7.575 Rising
Patriots 12 22 8 5 12 8 10 7 7 4 9.500 -3.250 Falling
Bengals 9 10 11 10 10 19 16 12 11 10 11.800 8.325 Rising
Lions 14 8 13 13 17 9 12 8 12 13 11.900 1.225 Rising
Ravens 18 30 6 9 2 18 8 15 6 8 12.000 2.625 Rising
Dolphins 25 23 7 12 4 15 6 19 8 11 13.000 -3.375 Falling
Bears 7 15 18 14 18 6 18 14 14 12 13.600 2.900 Rising
Titans 16 16 17 16 16 10 15 6 16 16 14.400 -5.775 Falling
Browns 23 19 10 15 7 16 13 16 13 14 14.600 2.775 Rising
Panthers 10 17 23 22 26 5 11 13 24 17 16.800 -6.800 Falling
Cowboys 13 12 20 11 28 21 14 11 19 20 16.900 0.100 Rising
Cardinals 24 24 14 19 11 22 17 24 15 15 18.500 4.500 Rising
Eagles 21 4 22 23 13 12 25 17 22 26 18.500 3.750 Rising
Jets 15 11 15 25 19 20 23 28 18 19 19.300 -0.425 Falling
Texans 27 13 19 21 15 24 27 21 17 18 20.200 -9.075 Falling
Bills 11 27 16 26 23 11 21 22 21 24 20.200 -5.075 Falling
Chargers 19 14 21 20 27 27 19 26 20 25 21.800 -8.050 Falling
Vikings 17 21 24 18 25 25 26 23 23 21 22.300 1.825 Rising
Falcons 20 25 26 17 21 28 20 18 26 23 22.400 -6.150 Falling
Redskins 28 26 25 24 20 23 28 25 27 22 24.800 1.700 Rising
Buccaneers 22 29 28 27 22 14 24 27 28 29 25.000 -1.500 Falling
Raiders 29 28 27 28 24 26 22 20 25 27 25.600 3.400 Rising
Steelers 26 20 30 29 29 30 29 30 30 30 28.300 0.575 Rising
Rams 30 31 29 30 30 29 30 29 29 28 29.500 -1.375 Falling
Giants 31 18 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 29.800 -2.550 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31.900 -0.150 Falling

Observations:

  • Using the DVOA rating for Football Outsiders, and the Weighted ranking on BeatGraphs.
  • The top 5 teams are all clustered together, indicating they're definitely above the rest.
  • Team Rankings thinks the Giants are worse than the Jaguars. Wonder if that'll actually prove true in any situation.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Massey ARGH Standard Deviation Change since last period
Jaguars 32 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.300 -0.133 Falling
Rams 30 31 29 30 30 29 30 29 29 28 0.806 -4.079 Falling
Colts 4 3 4 6 5 4 3 2 4 5 1.095 0.042 Rising
Broncos 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 3 1.249 -2.065 Falling
Seahawks 2 2 5 3 6 3 4 3 3 2 1.269 0.412 Rising
49ers 8 7 9 7 9 13 9 10 9 6 1.847 -2.837 Falling
Saints 5 6 1 2 3 7 2 4 2 1 2.003 0.508 Rising
Redskins 28 26 25 24 20 23 28 25 27 22 2.482 0.137 Rising
Lions 14 8 13 13 17 9 12 8 12 13 2.700 -2.361 Falling
Raiders 29 28 27 28 24 26 22 20 25 27 2.728 1.228 Rising
Chiefs 3 9 3 8 8 1 5 1 5 7 2.793 -0.077 Falling
Vikings 17 21 24 18 25 25 26 23 23 21 2.865 0.343 Rising
Steelers 26 20 30 29 29 30 29 30 30 30 3.002 0.530 Rising
Bengals 9 10 11 10 10 19 16 12 11 10 3.027 0.223 Rising
Titans 16 16 17 16 16 10 15 6 16 16 3.353 1.858 Rising
Falcons 20 25 26 17 21 28 20 18 26 23 3.555 -1.182 Falling
Packers 6 5 12 4 14 17 7 9 10 9 3.900 -2.531 Falling
Giants 31 18 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 3.945 -0.435 Falling
Bears 7 15 18 14 18 6 18 14 14 12 4.055 -2.522 Falling
Chargers 19 14 21 20 27 27 19 26 20 25 4.069 0.917 Rising
Browns 23 19 10 15 7 16 13 16 13 14 4.224 0.762 Rising
Buccaneers 22 29 28 27 22 14 24 27 28 29 4.450 0.513 Rising
Texans 27 13 19 21 15 24 27 21 17 18 4.512 0.756 Rising
Cardinals 24 24 14 19 11 22 17 24 15 15 4.544 1.805 Rising
Jets 15 11 15 25 19 20 23 28 18 19 4.797 0.878 Rising
Patriots 12 22 8 5 12 8 10 7 7 4 4.863 1.163 Rising
Cowboys 13 12 20 11 28 21 14 11 19 20 5.300 2.060 Rising
Bills 11 27 16 26 23 11 21 22 21 24 5.419 1.283 Rising
Eagles 21 4 22 23 13 12 25 17 22 26 6.592 -0.314 Falling
Panthers 10 17 23 22 26 5 11 13 24 17 6.600 1.146 Rising
Dolphins 25 23 7 12 4 15 6 19 8 11 6.928 1.638 Rising
Ravens 18 30 6 9 2 18 8 15 6 8 7.861 -0.460 Falling

Observations:

  • Ravens run the gamut from 2nd all the way down to 30th, with several stops in between.
  • Dolphins, Panthers and Eagles are also very inconsistent.
  • Remember me pointing out the pundits were a little too optimistic about the Rams to start the season? St. Louis is a pretty consistent 29th-30th in the Objective Rankings now
  • If it weren't for Team Efficiency, the Steelers and Giants would be very consistent at the bottom of the pile.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Average Change since last period
Broncos 1.083 1.800 1.442 0.412 Rising
Saints 1.917 3.300 2.608 0.746 Rising
Seahawks 3.833 3.300 3.567 -1.421 Falling
Colts 4.500 4.000 4.250 2.313 Rising
Chiefs 3.917 5.000 4.458 1.438 Rising
49ers 6.833 8.700 7.767 5.275 Rising
Patriots 6.500 9.500 8.000 -3.042 Falling
Packers 8.500 9.300 8.900 5.079 Rising
Bengals 9.083 11.800 10.442 5.621 Rising
Ravens 10.000 12.000 11.000 2.979 Rising
Lions 11.750 11.900 11.825 -0.637 Falling
Bears 11.000 13.600 12.300 -0.008 Falling
Dolphins 13.167 13.000 13.083 -3.229 Falling
Titans 15.000 14.400 14.700 -3.554 Falling
Browns 16.917 14.600 15.758 2.596 Rising
Cowboys 14.667 16.900 15.783 1.009 Rising
Jets 17.083 19.300 18.192 2.996 Rising
Texans 16.833 20.200 18.517 -6.454 Falling
Cardinals 19.333 18.500 18.917 3.708 Rising
Eagles 21.750 18.500 20.125 3.000 Rising
Chargers 20.500 21.800 21.150 -6.067 Falling
Panthers 26.500 16.800 21.650 -6.108 Falling
Falcons 21.750 22.400 22.075 -4.992 Falling
Bills 24.667 20.200 22.433 -4.787 Falling
Vikings 25.333 22.300 23.817 0.621 Rising
Raiders 23.417 25.600 24.508 4.575 Rising
Redskins 26.333 24.800 25.567 0.391 Rising
Rams 23.917 29.500 26.708 -0.062 Falling
Buccaneers 30.333 25.000 27.667 -0.709 Falling
Steelers 29.000 28.300 28.650 0.288 Rising
Giants 30.667 29.800 30.233 -1.941 Falling
Jaguars 31.917 31.900 31.908 -0.033 Falling

Observations:

  • Again, in the overall rankings, there's a sharp delineation from the top-5 group and the rest.
  • The Broncos continue to go up in the rankings. Who knew that was possible.
  • Dallas may have lost, but they put up 48 points against Denver and nearly knocked them off. So naturally, they can climb in the rankings.
  • There's a sharp line again separating the top (Cowboys) and bottom (Jets) halves of the league.
  • AFC barely outnumbers the NFC in the top half of the league (9-7)

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Jaguars 31.917 31.900 0.288 -0.012 Falling
Broncos 1.083 1.800 0.937 -1.301 Falling
Seahawks 3.833 3.300 1.114 0.489 Rising
Colts 4.500 4.000 1.213 -0.371 Falling
Saints 1.917 3.300 1.529 0.515 Rising
49ers 6.833 8.700 1.689 -4.072 Falling
Chiefs 3.917 5.000 2.037 0.047 Rising
Steelers 29.000 28.300 2.076 0.449 Rising
Lions 11.750 11.900 2.146 -1.948 Falling
Redskins 26.333 24.800 2.227 0.349 Rising
Titans 15.000 14.400 2.378 -0.804 Falling
Giants 30.667 29.800 2.733 -0.341 Falling
Bengals 9.083 11.800 2.786 -1.967 Falling
Packers 8.500 9.300 2.865 -2.524 Falling
Raiders 23.417 25.600 2.918 1.543 Rising
Falcons 21.750 22.400 3.037 -0.308 Falling
Bears 11.000 13.600 3.084 -2.870 Falling
Vikings 25.333 22.300 3.111 0.932 Rising
Rams 23.917 29.500 3.258 -0.379 Falling
Chargers 20.500 21.800 3.260 0.764 Rising
Browns 16.917 14.600 3.321 0.520 Rising
Cardinals 19.333 18.500 3.377 0.959 Rising
Patriots 6.500 9.500 3.622 0.937 Rising
Jets 17.083 19.300 3.642 -0.209 Falling
Texans 16.833 20.200 3.972 0.828 Rising
Buccaneers 30.333 25.000 4.033 -0.236 Falling
Cowboys 14.667 16.900 4.149 1.323 Rising
Bills 24.667 20.200 4.406 0.378 Rising
Dolphins 13.167 13.000 4.766 0.933 Rising
Eagles 21.750 18.500 4.882 0.137 Rising
Ravens 10.000 12.000 5.534 -0.018 Falling
Panthers 26.500 16.800 6.667 0.100 Rising

Observations:

  • I'll only say one thing: if a team's subjective and objective rankings are far apart, they naturally will have a high standard deviation. When their rankings are within about 1-2 spots of each other, and they have a standard deviation higher than 1, you know they're inconsistent. IN this camp: Chargers, Dolphins, Ravens.

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Rams 23.917 29.500 5.583 2.625 Rising
Texans 16.833 20.200 3.367 5.242 Rising
Patriots 6.500 9.500 3.000 0.417 Rising
Bengals 9.083 11.800 2.717 -5.408 Rising
Bears 11.000 13.600 2.600 -5.817 Rising
Cowboys 14.667 16.900 2.233 1.816 Rising
Jets 17.083 19.300 2.217 6.842 Rising
Raiders 23.417 25.600 2.183 2.350 Rising
Ravens 10.000 12.000 2.000 0.708 Rising
49ers 6.833 8.700 1.867 -7.550 Rising
Saints 1.917 3.300 1.383 1.341 Rising
Chargers 20.500 21.800 1.300 3.967 Rising
Chiefs 3.917 5.000 1.083 0.125 Rising
Packers 8.500 9.300 0.800 -4.992 Rising
Broncos 1.083 1.800 0.717 -0.825 Rising
Falcons 21.750 22.400 0.650 2.317 Rising
Lions 11.750 11.900 0.150 -3.725 Rising
Jaguars 31.917 31.900 -0.017 0.233 Rising
Dolphins 13.167 13.000 -0.167 0.291 Rising
Colts 4.500 4.000 -0.500 0.875 Rising
Seahawks 3.833 3.300 -0.533 -0.991 Rising
Titans 15.000 14.400 -0.600 4.442 Rising
Steelers 29.000 28.300 -0.700 -0.575 Rising
Cardinals 19.333 18.500 -0.833 -1.583 Rising
Giants 30.667 29.800 -0.867 1.216 Rising
Redskins 26.333 24.800 -1.533 -2.616 Rising
Browns 16.917 14.600 -2.317 -0.359 Rising
Vikings 25.333 22.300 -3.033 -2.408 Rising
Eagles 21.750 18.500 -3.250 -1.500 Rising
Bills 24.667 20.200 -4.467 0.575 Rising
Buccaneers 30.333 25.000 -5.333 1.584 Rising
Panthers 26.500 16.800 -9.700 1.383 Rising

Observations:

  • The Panthers were the most "under-ranked" last week. I expected them to go up, not down.
  • All but 6 teams are within 3 spots of their Subjective and Objective averages.

Sources

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