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AFC West Roundup with j-man

If you've been around these parts long enough, you're familiar with j-man. j-man, whose name is Jason if you're looking to be more formal with him, is a Denver Broncos fan and someone that pays more attention to the rest of the division that most of the BFTB staff. Every so often, he has thoughts on it. Now, with free agency and the NFL draft looming, is one of those times....

These are j-man's opinions and do not necessarily represent my own nor should they be taken as the official opinions of Bolts from the Blue.

Denver Broncos

Denver is going to need another running back. Willis McGahee is too old, he fumbles too much and Lance Ball is a backup at best. The WR group is good, but they need a quick slot guy (maybe Wes Welker?).

Another offensive lineman could only help, since Ryan Clady is the only starter than can pass-block currently.

The DEs (Elvis Dumervil, Von Millers, Robert Ayers) were obviously a strength, but the Giants showed once again that you can never have enough pass-rushers.

The Broncos need a starting-level CB badly. Champ Bailey has 2-3 good years left, tops, at CB but could last a few more if they move him to Safety.

Needs: WR depth, 3rd Down RB, DE, CB and Safety

2012 Prediction: Denver will finish somewhere between 10-6 and 6-10. Jack Del Rio provides an upgrade on the defensive side of the ball, but the offense still has big issues.

Star-divide

San Diego Chargers

You may have seen me recently saying at Arrowhead Pride that the Chargers are DONE. Let me explain. I meant that the window has closed on the current roster for being a super bowl contender. Obviously, after missing the playoffs two years in a row, they need to improve the team even to become a playoff contender before we can once again think of them as one of the best teams in the AFC.

The Chargers can certainly win the division, even without Vincent Jackson (who I think is gone).

Philip Rivers had a down year but looked like himself again in December. Ryan Mathews can be a great RB, but only in spurts. Antonio Gates is slowing down, which is not his fault.

Outside of Shaun Phillips, the Chargers haven't had a good pass rusher in at least two seasons. That's been the biggest thing holding them back.

Quentin Jammer is near the end of his career, at least as a shutdown CB, and the Offensive Line needs depth just so they can keep bodies on the field this year.

Needs: WR, OT, OG, DE/LB pass rusher, CB and RB

2012 Prediction: While this is not a bad team, I just do not know if Norv Turner can get more than 10 wins out of them even if everything goes right for him.

Oakland Raiders

The Raiders essentially died on January 1, 2012 against the Chargers. Nobody was surprised.

I know their fans want to win now, but with Reggie McKenzie coming over from the Green Bay Packers and being stuck without cap room or draft picks (not to mention, a raw coach who for the job based taking the Broncos defense from awful to OK-but-still-giving-up-tons-of-points), they'll need to think long-term fixes.

When you're talking long-term fixes, Carson Palmer is not the answer.

Darren McFadden will go down in history as a great player that could never stay on the field.

The sloppy play and truckloads of stupid penalties is overshadowed by a poor back 7 (LBs and Secondary) that seemed to mail it in for some games.

Needs: Everything except K, P, WR, D-line, OT and RB

2012 Prediction: I have been wrong before, but I do not see how the Raiders can be as good or better than they were in 2011 in 2012. They're primed to take a big step back.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs' 2-1 record over the last 3 weeks of the season will really help the rest of the division, as the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders will get better draft picks and easier 2012 schedules.

I hope the Chiefs keep Matt Cassel for as long as possible. He's too inconsistent to ever lead the Chiefs past mediocrity.

Bottom line, Romeo Crennel is a .500 coach and the new Offensive Coordinator (Brian Daboll) has a track record of poor offenses (with the Dolphins and Browns).

Kansas City's offensive and defensive lines are average at best.

Needs: QB, WR (if Dwayne Bowe leaves), O-line, D-line and CB

2012 Prediction: Getting Jamaal Charles and Eric Berry back will not help as much as you might think. They still won't be very good.

Comment 15 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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I agree with pretty much everything he said except for one thing.

Here, let me go ahead and fix that for you j-man.

Ryan Mathews can be a great RB, but only in spurts has had a hard time staying healthy and contributing on a regular basis.

Saying he can only be great in “spurts” would suggest that his production on the field is inconsistent, which I don’t really agree with.

by SoCalBoltFan on Feb 13, 2012 2:43 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Agreed

Bolts from the Blue - Destroying your opinions with facts.

Richard Wade - "I feel like me from four years ago would punch present me in the face. I like to think that's because I've grown as a person."

by John Gennaro on Feb 13, 2012 3:12 PM PST up reply actions  

J-Man, You're Dreaming...

If you think Wes Welker would sign on to have Tim Tebow throw him the ball. No chance in H-E-Double Hockey Sticks.

Also no way the Bronco’s win more than 8 games next year with that schedule. Teams now have film on Tebow and will adjust thier defenses accordingly.

As for the Chargers assement…Ryan Mathews assessment is off-base…he is getting more consistent and this will be his 3rd year. With an offseason program he should make great strides. The “in-spurts” comment was not accurate.

I think the rest about the Chargers is fairly on target with the exception of the “Chargers are DONE” comment. Since we are in the AFC West the window is still wide open.

I think next year comes down to Chiefs and Chargers. I think the Raiders and Bronco’s take a step back. Raiders have a lot of issues and a new staff. The Bronco’s will have to deal with a first place schedule and a league that will catch up to Tim Tebow and how to defend him.

by Fouts of Rage! on Feb 13, 2012 3:02 PM PST reply actions  

Actually

He said a slot WR, I threw Tebow in there myself.

Bolts from the Blue - Destroying your opinions with facts.

Richard Wade - "I feel like me from four years ago would punch present me in the face. I like to think that's because I've grown as a person."

by John Gennaro on Feb 13, 2012 3:13 PM PST up reply actions  

You can tell he is a Broncos fan...

6-10 to 10-6 wins next season? I don’t see an scenario where the Broncos are better (luckier) than this year… 8-8 at best. The only team in this division with a QB is the Chargers. say what you will but this division Champion has a name “San Diego Chargers”

by Joan.Manuel.Martinez on Feb 13, 2012 4:27 PM PST reply actions  

J-man sound so much like a broncos fan….smh i hope u dont think tebow is gonna be pullin anything next season…ha! wishful thinkin

by jerseychiefsboi on Feb 13, 2012 7:00 PM PST reply actions  

Reopening the window

You need three things to have a contender:
1) a QB. Check.
2) an OL. Maybe. Gotta re-sign Gaither, hope for best. :/
3) a pass rush. Need the draft.

Beyond that, we need a corner and some depth positions. The defense is generally good, but QJ is mostly done. The offense will be fine. Mathews is generally excellent but is not to be overused, good backup TEs can be had, and if VJ comes back we have an enviable WR squad.

This won’t be a 6-10 team… but whether they’re 8-8, 10-6, or 12-4 team really remains to be seen. This could be a contender in 2012, because we have the QB, but it would take some luck in FA and/or the draft.

An autumn Sunday,
Perched in front of the big screen,
Beer in white knuckles.

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Feb 13, 2012 9:17 PM PST reply actions  

New York's offensive tackles were rather poor actually.

Bolts from the Blue // "At least when Wade is spewing vitriol he does so with an intellectual flair." - insanebolt21
Bloody Elbow // "I think we're poking fun at Leland's 'boner.'" - Michael Fagan

by Richard Wade on Feb 14, 2012 8:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Rivers

Double check for Rivers. A team with an elite QB is always a contender. But you’re right, adding a little luck, especially with injuries, can only help their chances.

by Ryan Cohoon on Feb 14, 2012 9:05 AM PST up reply actions  

the window is as open next year as it has been for the past couple of years

which is as much as most of the other teams in the top 15 or so. You get some luck, some health, and get hot at the right time and you can win it all (isn’t that right Giants?)

Our window as a clear cut, knocking down the door SB favorite ended when Merriman stopped being Merriman… so 2007 or so?

by Stephen (shaynes41) on Feb 14, 2012 11:07 AM PST up reply actions  

This. Exactly.

Bolts from the Blue // "At least when Wade is spewing vitriol he does so with an intellectual flair." - insanebolt21
Bloody Elbow // "I think we're poking fun at Leland's 'boner.'" - Michael Fagan

by Richard Wade on Feb 14, 2012 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Ummm

Not really sure why this piece was even posted? If I wanted to read propaganda on why an 8-8 team, with a QB that runs the single wing will be better than every other team in the division, I just would have went to their site.

by Eman3737 on Feb 14, 2012 9:59 AM PST reply actions  

That's not how I read it
Denver will finish somewhere between 10-6 and 6-10. Jack Del Rio provides an upgrade on the defensive side of the ball, but the offense still has big issues.

j-man readily admits that Denver’s offense has “big issues”, so I’m not sure where you’re getting the “better than every other team in the division” stuff.

What I read says the Chiefs and Raiders won’t be very good; the Chargers aren’t bad, but might not be good; and the Broncos could fall somewhere in a wide range. Even if it’s not profound, it seems like a pretty fair assessment to me. I’ve always found j-man’s posts to be pretty even-handed, considering that he suffers the ignominy of being a Broncos fan (although last time I checked, Denver was the reigning division champ). He’s certainly no more biased than many of the folks I’ve seen posting on this particular blog.

11 - 8 - 13 - 9 - 8 - ?

by QLFixBoy on Feb 14, 2012 12:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Fair enough

Although, no way Denver gets to 10-6 without drastic improvement from Tebow.

by Ryan Cohoon on Feb 14, 2012 12:38 PM PST reply actions  

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