Debby Wong-USA TODAY Sports
How impressive was the Chargers win over the Jets on Sunday? More impressive than you might think.
Here we are, the penultimate edition of the Power Rankings consensus post. As Chargers fans, we've endured mediocrity not seen in San Diego in a number of years. We've had our ups and downs (hey anyone remember when the Chargers were 3-1? ... anyone?), but we got through it together.
In my 4 years of writing these posts, I have not seen the Chargers rank so low. It's an unusual feeling for me. I'm used to the Chargers being good, and actually playing like they're a good team. We did see flashes of that "good" team on Sunday when the defense racked up 11 sacks against the clowns in New Jersey. They were just 1 sack shy of tying the NFL record, that's something, right?
Division Averages
| Division | Avg Ranking |
|---|---|
| NFC West | 12.8194 |
| NFC North | 13.2083 |
| NFC South | 14.3056 |
| AFC North | 15.5833 |
| NFC East | 16.2639 |
| AFC East | 18.2222 |
| AFC South | 20.3472 |
| AFC West | 21.2500 |
The NFC East dropped quit a bit this week as a division, allowing the AFC North to jump ahead of them. No longer is the entire NFC stronger than the AFC. Awww who am I kidding? Of course the NFC is better this year.
Stock Rising
| Team | Week 16 Average | Week 17 Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG | 24.753 | 21.388 | 3.365 |
| MIN | 15.792 | 13.575 | 2.217 |
| BAL | 12.195 | 10.238 | 1.957 |
| GB | 6.195 | 4.300 | 1.895 |
| STL | 17.961 | 16.188 | 1.773 |
Hey sweet, Chargers are at the top of this list! Wait, you mean this hurts their draft positioning? Crap.
Stock Falling
| Team | Week 16 Average | Week 17 Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG | 9.409 | 12.650 | -3.241 |
| SF | 2.123 | 4.975 | -2.852 |
| HOU | 4.955 | 7.375 | -2.420 |
| TEN | 25.234 | 27.013 | -1.779 |
| DAL | 13.292 | 15.050 | -1.758 |
40% of this list is from the NFC east.
Subjective Average
| Subjective | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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| Broncos | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.100 | 0.446
|
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| Falcons | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.100 | 1.809
|
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| Patriots | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3.500 | 0.500
|
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| Packers | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3.600 | 2.218
|
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| Seahawks | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5.200 | 1.800
|
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| 49ers | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5.700 | -3.882
|
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| Texans | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7.000 | -3.091
|
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| Redskins | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8.500 | -0.409
|
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| Ravens | 10 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9.100 | 1.718
|
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| Bengals | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10.500 | 1.409
|
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| Colts | 8 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10.600 | 0.127
|
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| Vikings | 12 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11.400 | 2.327
|
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| Bears | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13.100 | 1.627
|
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| Cowboys | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13.600 | -1.873
|
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| Giants | 15 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15.300 | -4.482
|
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| Saints | 17 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16.600 | 1.127
|
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| Steelers | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17.100 | -1.554
|
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| Rams | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17.500 | 1.136
|
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| Dolphins | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19.300 | 0.518
|
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| Panthers | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19.600 | 0.673
|
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| Chargers | 21 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21.400 | 2.964
|
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| Buccaneers | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 21.700 | -1.427
|
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| Browns | 24 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23.200 | -0.654
|
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| Jets | 23 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 24.400 | -1.582
|
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| Bills | 25 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25.700 | -0.427
|
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| Titans | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 25.900 | -1.718
|
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| Cardinals | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 26.900 | 0.282
|
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| Lions | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 27.200 | 0.255
|
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| Eagles | 29 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28.200 | 0.346
|
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| Raiders | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30.000 | -0.182
|
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| Jaguars | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31.200 | 0.073
|
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| Chiefs | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31.800 | -0.073
|
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Observations:
- Broncos are a near-unanimous pick for the top spot. Do they deserve it? I contend they do not. While a 10-game winning streak is certainly impressive, Denver has had the 7th-easiest schedule this year (according to Football Outsiders) and plays in the AFC West.
- CBS really has an axe to grind with the Saints.
- Outside of that ranking though, not too many "WTF?" moments, the board is generally in agreement with each other.
- Actually, I take that back: ESPN. Seattle just beat the 49ers handily and yet ESPN still has the 49ers as 3 spots higher than the Seahawks? WTF ESPN!?
Subjective Standard Deviation
| Subjective | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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| Raiders | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 0.000 | -0.575
|
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| Broncos | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.300 | -0.482
|
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| Seahawks | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0.400 | 0.400
|
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| Jaguars | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 0.400 | -0.045
|
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| Chiefs | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.400 | -0.045
|
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| Redskins | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 0.500 | 0.212
|
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| Bears | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0.539 | -0.881
|
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| Falcons | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.539 | -0.701
|
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| Giants | 15 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 0.640 | -1.258
|
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| Panthers | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 0.663 | -1.200
|
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| Cowboys | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 0.663 | -1.047
|
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| Rams | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 0.671 | -0.210
|
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| Texans | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0.775 | -0.308
|
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| Dolphins | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 0.781 | -1.117
|
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| Chargers | 21 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 0.800 | -0.498
|
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| Packers | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0.800 | 0.225
|
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| Patriots | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0.806 | -0.047
|
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| Steelers | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 0.943 | 0.445
|
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| Browns | 24 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 1.077 | -0.799
|
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| Lions | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 1.077 | -0.296
|
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| Bengals | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 1.118 | -0.857
|
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| 49ers | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1.187 | 0.471
|
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| Cardinals | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 1.221 | 0.108
|
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| Buccaneers | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 1.269 | -0.387
|
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| Vikings | 12 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 1.281 | -0.005
|
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| Ravens | 10 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1.300 | -0.396
|
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| Colts | 8 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 1.428 | 0.566
|
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| Eagles | 29 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 1.470 | 0.688
|
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| Jets | 23 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 1.497 | -0.831
|
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| Titans | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 1.640 | -0.840
|
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| Bills | 25 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 1.735 | 0.079
|
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| Saints | 17 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 1.908 | 0.198
|
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Observations:
- Huh ... unanimous agreement with the Raiders as the 3rd-worst team in the NFL.
- I told you the rankings were pretty consistent, right? Well, let's compare this week to week 1:
- Week 1: Lowest: 0.904; Highest: 3.182
- Week 17: Lowest: 0.000; Highest: 1.908
- In fact, in Week 1, only 12 teams had a lower Standard Deviation that the team with the highest Standard Deviation in week 17. I call that "agreement"
- Interesting that the teams in the middle of the pack are actually more consistently-ranked that teams closer to the top- and bottom-10.
Objective Average
| Objective | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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| Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.125 | 1.589
|
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| Broncos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3.375 | -0.232
|
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| Patriots | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3.875 | -0.304
|
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| 49ers | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4.250 | -1.821
|
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| Packers | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5.000 | 1.571
|
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| Falcons | 11 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5.500 | 0.643
|
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| Texans | 13 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 7.750 | -1.750
|
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| Bears | 6 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7.875 | 1.839
|
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| Redskins | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10.000 | -0.857
|
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| Giants | 12 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 10.000 | -2.000
|
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| Ravens | 10 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11.375 | 2.196
|
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| Bengals | 7 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 12.500 | 0.214
|
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| Panthers | 9 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13.875 | -0.446
|
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| Saints | 18 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 14.500 | -0.214
|
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| Rams | 16 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 14.875 | 2.411
|
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| Vikings | 19 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 18 | 15.750 | 2.107
|
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| Cowboys | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 16.500 | -1.643
|
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| Steelers | 17 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 23 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 17.250 | -0.679
|
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| Dolphins | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 21 | 16 | 19.125 | /td> | 0.732
|
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| Buccaneers | 23 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 19.875 | -1.161
|
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| Lions | 14 | 13 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 18 | 22 | 26 | 21.125 | 0.018
|
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| Chargers | 21 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 21.375 | 3.768
|
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| Colts | 26 | 27 | 18 | 24 | 16 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23.375 | -1.804
|
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| Jets | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 23.750 | -1.607
|
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| Browns | 22 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 24.250 | -0.250
|
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| Cardinals | 28 | 30 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 25.000 | -0.286
|
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| Bills | 24 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 31 | 27 | 25 | 26.125 | -1.554
|
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| Eagles | 27 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 27.875 | 0.268
|
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| Titans | 31 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 28.125 | -1.839
|
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| Raiders | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29.250 | 0.464
|
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| Jaguars | 29 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30.500 | 0.643
|
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| Chiefs | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31.875 | -0.018
|
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Observations:
- The Seattle Seahawks can't seem to get any respect. All but two objective rankings have them as 2nd or better. Not a single subjective site had them higher than 5th.
- 12 of the top 17 teams are in the NFC. That's 70.5%.
- Colts only beat the Chiefs by one touchdown? Better drop their ranking. (Not that I disagree)
- Would you actually believe that statistically-speaking, the Chargers are a better team than the Colts?
Objective Standard Deviation
| Objective | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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| Chiefs | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.331 | -0.019
|
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| Raiders | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 0.968 | 0.268
|
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| Jaguars | 29 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 1.000 | 0.650
|
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| Eagles | 27 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 1.166 | 0.041
|
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| Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.269 | -0.009
|
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| Jets | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 1.392 | -0.708
|
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| 49ers | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1.479 | 0.751
|
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| Chargers | 21 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 1.576 | -0.898
|
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| Packers | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.581 | -0.097
|
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| Redskins | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 1.658 | 0.825
|
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| Bears | 6 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 2.027 | -1.587
|
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| Dolphins | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 21 | 16 | 2.027 | -0.823
|
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| Saints | 18 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 2.179 | 1.149
|
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| Cowboys | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 2.291 | -0.065
|
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| Browns | 22 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 2.332 | -0.446
|
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| Broncos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2.497 | -0.145
|
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| Bills | 24 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 31 | 27 | 25 | 2.571 | 0.581
|
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| Patriots | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2.666 | 0.110
|
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| Texans | 13 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 2.681 | 0.477
|
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| Falcons | 11 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2.693 | -0.304
|
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| Ravens | 10 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 2.736 | -0.923
|
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| Bengals | 7 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 2.916 | -0.094
|
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| Buccaneers | 23 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 3.018 | 0.768
|
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| Titans | 31 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 3.059 | -0.310
|
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| Cardinals | 28 | 30 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 3.162 | 0.248
|
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| Rams | 16 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 3.370 | 0.266
|
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| Steelers | 17 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 23 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 3.527 | -0.209
|
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| Giants | 12 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 3.536 | 0.374
|
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| Colts | 26 | 27 | 18 | 24 | 16 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 3.935 | -2.133
|
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| Panthers | 9 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 4.649 | 0.246
|
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| Vikings | 19 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 18 | 5.093 | -0.748
|
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| Lions | 14 | 13 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 18 | 22 | 26 | 5.255 | 0.931
|
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Observations:
- Team Rankings and BeatGraphs both dropped the Colts significantly this week, and all but 1 other site either kept the Colts ranking the same or dropped the Colts. So therefore, the Colts consistently actually improved this week.
- Pretty good consensus on the Seahawks being that good.
- The top 3 teams with the lowest deviation are in the AFC, top 3 teams with highest deviation are in the NFC.
Overall Average
| Subj vs Obj | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
| Broncos | 1.100 | 3.375 | 2.238 | 0.106
|
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| Seahawks | 5.200 | 2.125 | 3.663 | 1.694
|
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| Patriots | 3.500 | 3.875 | 3.688 | 0.098
|
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| Falcons | 2.100 | 5.500 | 3.800 | 1.226
|
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| Packers | 3.600 | 5.000 | 4.300 | 1.895
|
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| 49ers | 5.700 | 4.250 | 4.975 | -2.852
|
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| Texans | 7.000 | 7.750 | 7.375 | -2.420
|
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| Redskins | 8.500 | 10.000 | 9.250 | -0.633
|
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| Ravens | 9.100 | 11.375 | 10.238 | 1.957
|
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| Bears | 13.100 | 7.875 | 10.488 | 1.733
|
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| Bengals | 10.500 | 12.500 | 11.500 | 0.812
|
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| Giants | 15.300 | 10.000 | 12.650 | -3.241
|
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| Vikings | 11.400 | 15.750 | 13.575 | 2.217
|
||
| Cowboys | 13.600 | 16.500 | 15.050 | -1.758
|
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| Saints | 16.600 | 14.500 | 15.550 | 0.457
|
||
| Rams | 17.500 | 14.875 | 16.188 | 1.773
|
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| Panthers | 19.600 | 13.875 | 16.738 | 0.113
|
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| Colts | 10.600 | 23.375 | 16.988 | -0.839
|
||
| Steelers | 17.100 | 17.250 | 17.175 | -1.117
|
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| Dolphins | 19.300 | 19.125 | 19.213 | 0.625
|
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| Buccaneers | 21.700 | 19.875 | 20.788 | -1.294
|
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| Chargers | 21.400 | 21.375 | 21.388 | 3.365
|
||
| Browns | 23.200 | 24.250 | 23.725 | -0.452
|
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| Jets | 24.400 | 23.750 | 24.075 | -1.594
|
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| Lions | 27.200 | 21.125 | 24.163 | 0.136
|
||
| Bills | 25.700 | 26.125 | 25.913 | -0.991
|
||
| Cardinals | 26.900 | 25.000 | 25.950 | -0.002
|
||
| Titans | 25.900 | 28.125 | 27.013 | -1.779
|
||
| Eagles | 28.200 | 27.875 | 28.038 | 0.306
|
||
| Raiders | 30.000 | 29.250 | 29.625 | 0.141
|
||
| Jaguars | 31.200 | 30.500 | 30.850 | 0.358
|
||
| Chiefs | 31.800 | 31.875 | 31.838 | -0.046
|
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Observations:
- Overall, the Broncos retain the top spot.
- Seahawks are just barely ahead of the Patriots.
- Again, 12 of the top 17 teams are from the NFC. That only leaves 4 NFC teams in the remaining bottom 15 teams. I don't know that I've ever seen that much disparity.
- That win over the Jets was more impressive than I realized for the Chargers: they jumped over 3.3 spots this week overall.
Overall Standard Deviation
| Subj vs Obj | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
| Chiefs | 31.800 | 31.875 | 0.373 | -0.043
|
||
| Raiders | 30.000 | 29.250 | 0.745 | 0.116
|
||
| Jaguars | 31.200 | 30.500 | 0.809 | 0.393
|
||
| Chargers | 21.400 | 21.375 | 1.208 | -0.678
|
||
| Eagles | 28.200 | 27.875 | 1.353 | 0.402
|
||
| Redskins | 8.500 | 10.000 | 1.384 | 0.620
|
||
| Packers | 3.600 | 5.000 | 1.397 | 0.200
|
||
| Dolphins | 19.300 | 19.125 | 1.474 | -0.841
|
||
| Jets | 24.400 | 23.750 | 1.487 | -0.779
|
||
| 49ers | 5.700 | 4.250 | 1.508 | 0.728
|
||
| Seahawks | 5.200 | 2.125 | 1.772 | -0.017
|
||
| Browns | 23.200 | 24.250 | 1.826 | -0.552
|
||
| Patriots | 3.500 | 3.875 | 1.886 | 0.146
|
||
| Texans | 7.000 | 7.750 | 1.915 | 0.006
|
||
| Broncos | 1.100 | 3.375 | 2.025 | 0.103
|
||
| Bills | 25.700 | 26.125 | 2.157 | 0.331
|
||
| Cowboys | 13.600 | 16.500 | 2.157 | -0.348
|
||
| Saints | 16.600 | 14.500 | 2.285 | 0.045
|
||
| Bengals | 10.500 | 12.500 | 2.337 | -0.125
|
||
| Ravens | 9.100 | 11.375 | 2.354 | -0.607
|
||
| Buccaneers | 21.700 | 19.875 | 2.401 | 0.346
|
||
| Steelers | 17.100 | 17.250 | 2.455 | 0.040
|
||
| Cardinals | 26.900 | 25.000 | 2.483 | 0.136
|
||
| Falcons | 2.100 | 5.500 | 2.498 | 0.128
|
||
| Titans | 25.900 | 28.125 | 2.622 | -0.415
|
||
| Rams | 17.500 | 14.875 | 2.646 | 0.489
|
||
| Bears | 13.100 | 7.875 | 2.954 | -0.551
|
||
| Giants | 15.300 | 10.000 | 3.566 | 0.741
|
||
| Vikings | 11.400 | 15.750 | 4.137 | -0.145
|
||
| Panthers | 19.600 | 13.875 | 4.236 | -0.324
|
||
| Lions | 27.200 | 21.125 | 4.693 | 0.463
|
||
| Colts | 10.600 | 23.375 | 6.951 | 0.415
|
||
Observations:
- Wow, overall the Chiefs, Raiders, Jaguars and Chargers are very consistent in their rankings.
- The bottom 5 teams are significantly less consistent in their rankings than the rest of the league.
Difference in Averages
| Subj vs Obj | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
| Colts | 10.600 | 23.375 | 12.775 | 1.931
|
||
| Vikings | 11.400 | 15.750 | 4.350 | 0.220
|
||
| Falcons | 2.100 | 5.500 | 3.400 | 1.166
|
||
| Cowboys | 13.600 | 16.500 | 2.900 | -0.230
|
||
| Broncos | 1.100 | 3.375 | 2.275 | 0.678
|
||
| Ravens | 9.100 | 11.375 | 2.275 | -0.478
|
||
| Titans | 25.900 | 28.125 | 2.225 | 0.121
|
||
| Bengals | 10.500 | 12.500 | 2.000 | 1.195
|
||
| Redskins | 8.500 | 10.000 | 1.500 | 0.448
|
||
| Packers | 3.600 | 5.000 | 1.400 | 0.647
|
||
| Browns | 23.200 | 24.250 | 1.050 | -0.405
|
||
| Texans | 7.000 | 7.750 | 0.750 | -1.341
|
||
| Bills | 25.700 | 26.125 | 0.425 | 1.126
|
||
| Patriots | 3.500 | 3.875 | 0.375 | 0.804
|
||
| Steelers | 17.100 | 17.250 | 0.150 | -0.876
|
||
| Chiefs | 31.800 | 31.875 | 0.075 | -0.055
|
||
| Chargers | 21.400 | 21.375 | -0.025 | -0.804
|
||
| Dolphins | 19.300 | 19.125 | -0.175 | -0.214
|
||
| Eagles | 28.200 | 27.875 | -0.325 | 0.078
|
||
| Jets | 24.400 | 23.750 | -0.650 | 0.025
|
||
| Jaguars | 31.200 | 30.500 | -0.700 | -0.570
|
||
| Raiders | 30.000 | 29.250 | -0.750 | -0.646
|
||
| 49ers | 5.700 | 4.250 | -1.450 | -2.060
|
||
| Buccaneers | 21.700 | 19.875 | -1.825 | -0.267
|
||
| Cardinals | 26.900 | 25.000 | -1.900 | 0.568
|
||
| Saints | 16.600 | 14.500 | -2.100 | 1.342
|
||
| Rams | 17.500 | 14.875 | -2.625 | -1.274
|
||
| Seahawks | 5.200 | 2.125 | -3.075 | 0.211
|
||
| Bears | 13.100 | 7.875 | -5.225 | -0.212
|
||
| Giants | 15.300 | 10.000 | -5.300 | -2.482
|
||
| Panthers | 19.600 | 13.875 | -5.725 | 1.119
|
||
| Lions | 27.200 | 21.125 | -6.075 | 0.237
|
||
Observations:
- The Colts rose in the subjective rankings, and fell in the objective rankings. Therefore, their over-ranking got even worse.
- The Vikings, while being the 2nd-most over-ranked team, still have 1/3rd the disparity the Colts do.
- Wow, the Chargers are very consistent here. Their Subjective and Objective rankings are within 1/40th of a spot within each other.
- Crazy: the 10 most under-ranked teams are all NFC teams.
- The Seahawks are definitely under-ranked here, but it's not historically bad nor is it comparatively that bad. The Bears, Giants, Panthers and Lions are getting even less respect.

Sources
- ESPN
- Fox
- CBS
- USA Today
- Sports Illustrated
- ProFootballTalk
- NFL.com
- Pro Football Weekly
- Associated Press
- Football Outsiders
- Team Efficiency
- Team Rankings
- Sagarin
- BeatGraphs
- Aikman Efficiency
- Pro Football Reference
- Cold Hard Football Facts



























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