2012 NFL Power Rankings Consensus: Week 6

Matt Sullivan - Getty Images

In this weekly column, we gather NFL Power Rankings from all over the web and compare all 32 NFL teams to each other.

It's always interesting to see how people perceive different things. Would it be so far-fetched to expect the Chargers to drop as many spots in the rankings this week as the Saints have climbed? I don't think it's that far-fetched, but I guess the good news here is that the Saints climbed in the rankings more than the Chargers fell. Call it bias, call it apologist reasoning, but I don't know that Sunday's game was rather indicative of either team's talent.

One thing I had been expecting to happen the last couple weeks has happened: the AFC West is once again the worst division in the NFL. If only the Saints and Buccaneers would just rattle off a few more wins and rise a bit in the rankings, then maybe all 4 NFC Divisions would be ranked higher than the AFC divisions. The biggest surprise this season though has to be the NFC West. They're the only division in the NFL that has all 4 teams with better than .500 records. A year ago at this time (Week 6), the NFC West had an NFL-worst average ranking of 22.875. This year, they're atop the NFL with an average ranking of 10.7368. That's quite the year-over-year improvement.

Notable Quotes

ProFootballTalk

The fact that John Unitas finished his career with the Chargers apparently was lost on the officials who decided to kill their final drive with back-to-back questionable calls. … If Drew Brees can keep setting the all-time record for consecutive games with a touchdown pass each week, will the Saints keep getting calls down the stretch to ensure that the team also wins the game?

I'm not usually a big fan of Mike Florio, but this week he gets it. *slow clap*

Reddit

Ingram's penalty that negated a pick six dug the grave; the Defense running out of gas closed the casket. The offense is still struggling on third down conversions, and poor situational play calling isn't helping. Penalties: real, fabricated, and ignored completely helped the better story win. Finishing games would at least negate some questionable calls, but momentum is hard to gain back once it slips away.

Sports Illustrated

With Oakland and Kansas City going nowhere this season, the winner of Monday night's Denver at San Diego game should tell us plenty about the outcome of the AFC West race this year. The Chargers can really take command with a win, putting themselves two games up on the Broncos, plus the tiebreaker, as San Diego enters its Week 7 bye week. But it's not like Norv Turner's club to make things easy on itself, is it? The Chargers like challenges, especially ones they could have easily avoided with a bit more consistent performance

Fox

I still don't understand why RB Jackie Battle is starting in place of Ryan Mathews. We all see what he can do with the ball in his hands, but he is averaging just 16 touches per game … only 12 of those coming via handoffs.

Division Averages

Division Avg Ranking
NFC West 10.6579
NFC North 11.2368
NFC East 14.6053
AFC North 16.3816
AFC East 18.1316
NFC South 19.0789
AFC South 20.5000
AFC West 21.4079

Stock Rising

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
IND 29.091 20.818 8.273
MIN 14.364 8.636 5.728
MIA 26.364 21.455 4.909
PIT 14.636 9.818 4.818
STL 19.364 15.909 3.455

Stock Falling

Team Week 5 Average Week 6 Average Difference
BUF 19.909 25.909 -6.000
ARI 5.636 9.546 -3.910
GB 8.000 11.727 -3.727
TEN 26.182 29.636 -3.454
CAR 23.455 26.818 -3.363

Subjective Average

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com Pro Football Weekly SB Nation Reddit Associated Press Average Change since last period
Texans 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 0.000 No Change
Falcons 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2.091 0.000 No Change
49ers 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2.909 0.455 Rising
Ravens 4 6 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4.273 -0.546 Falling
Patriots 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 5.000 1.455 Rising
Bears 6 4 6 7 6 6 7 6 5 6 6 5.909 2.637 Rising
Giants 7 7 7 6 9 7 6 7 11 7 7 7.364 2.727 Rising
Vikings 8 9 8 11 7 8 12 8 7 9 8 8.636 5.728 Rising
Cardinals 9 8 9 14 8 10 11 9 9 8 10 9.546 -3.910 Falling
Steelers 10 10 10 10 10 12 8 11 8 10 9 9.818 4.818 Rising
Eagles 11 11 12 13 11 13 9 10 10 12 11 11.182 -3.273 Falling
Packers 12 12 16 8 12 11 10 13 12 11 12 11.727 -3.727 Falling
Chargers 14 16 13 12 13 17 16 12 14 14 13 14.000 -2.364 Falling
Bengals 15 13 11 17 17 16 17 16 13 15 14 14.909 -3.273 Falling
Broncos 17 17 17 9 15 14 13 15 19 13 16 15.000 -2.000 Falling
Seahawks 16 18 15 16 16 15 15 14 15 16 15 15.546 1.363 Rising
Rams 18 14 14 15 14 9 18 18 20 18 17 15.909 3.455 Rising
Cowboys 13 15 18 18 18 19 14 17 16 17 18 16.636 -1.000 Falling
Redskins 21 21 19 20 21 20 20 20 18 19 19 19.818 -1.454 Falling
Colts 22 20 20 22 19 18 21 25 17 23 22 20.818 8.273 Rising
Dolphins 19 22 23 23 20 23 19 19 26 22 20 21.455 4.909 Rising
Lions 20 23 22 19 23 25 23 21 21 20 23 21.818 -1.000 Falling
Saints 24 19 25 21 26 22 24 24 25 26 21 23.364 3.182 Rising
Jets 25 27 24 25 22 21 25 22 22 24 24 23.727 -1.272 Falling
Buccaneers 23 25 27 24 25 24 22 23 23 21 25 23.818 -0.545 Falling
Bills 27 28 21 26 24 29 26 26 24 27 27 25.909 -6.000 Falling
Panthers 26 26 30 27 27 27 27 27 27 25 26 26.818 -3.363 Falling
Chiefs 30 24 29 29 29 26 30 28 28 28 29 28.182 -1.091 Falling
Raiders 29 29 26 28 28 30 28 29 30 29 28 28.546 0.363 Rising
Titans 28 30 28 30 31 28 29 30 32 30 30 29.636 -3.454 Falling
Jaguars 31 31 32 31 32 31 31 31 29 31 31 31.000 -1.182 Falling
Browns 32 32 31 32 30 32 32 32 31 32 32 31.636 0.091 Rising

Observations:

  • Yes, still boycotting SportingNews until they get rid of their awful slideshow version of the Power Rankings.
  • I had been using what I thought was USA Today's subjective Power Rankings, but I was wrong. I've now found the correct Power Rankings and they're now included in this week's rankings. Their rankings should be a little less WTF-worthy this week.
  • Chargers only dropped an average of 2.3 spots this week. Not horrible. Saints climbed 3.182 though.
  • What is going on in Green Bay? Have they lost their edge?
  • Texans are still your consensus number-1. The Falcons and 49ers were almost consensus 2nd and 3rd rankings as well, but Reddit has to go and mess things up.
  • After a weak showing against Kansas City, the Ravens are slipping slightly.
  • The Jets continue their freefall.
  • The best part of having a bye this week for the Raiders? They didn't lose. As such, they rose slighlty in the rankings this week.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective
ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com Pro Football Weekly SB Nation Reddit Associated Press Standard Deviation Change since last period
Texans 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.000 0.000 No Change
Falcons 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0.288 0.000 No Change
49ers 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 0.288 -0.355 Falling
Patriots 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 0.426 -0.879 Falling
Ravens 4 6 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 0.617 0.000 No Change
Browns 32 32 31 32 30 32 32 32 31 32 32 0.643 -0.219 Falling
Jaguars 31 31 32 31 32 31 31 31 29 31 31 0.739 -0.597 Falling
Bears 6 4 6 7 6 6 7 6 5 6 6 0.793 -0.706 Falling
Redskins 21 21 19 20 21 20 20 20 18 19 19 0.936 -0.043 Falling
Seahawks 16 18 15 16 16 15 15 14 15 16 15 0.988 -0.095 Falling
Raiders 29 29 26 28 28 30 28 29 30 29 28 1.076 -1.669 Falling
Steelers 10 10 10 10 10 12 8 11 8 10 9 1.113 -1.194 Falling
Panthers 26 26 30 27 27 27 27 27 27 25 26 1.192 -1.308 Falling
Eagles 11 11 12 13 11 13 9 10 10 12 11 1.192 -0.048 Falling
Titans 28 30 28 30 31 28 29 30 32 30 30 1.226 -0.766 Falling
Giants 7 7 7 6 9 7 6 7 11 7 7 1.367 -0.309 Falling
Vikings 8 9 8 11 7 8 12 8 7 9 8 1.494 -1.245 Falling
Buccaneers 23 25 27 24 25 24 22 23 23 21 25 1.585 0.372 Rising
Chargers 14 16 13 12 13 17 16 12 14 14 13 1.595 0.163 Rising
Cardinals 9 8 9 14 8 10 11 9 9 8 10 1.671 -0.249 Falling
Lions 20 23 22 19 23 25 23 21 21 20 23 1.696 -0.820 Falling
Chiefs 30 24 29 29 29 26 30 28 28 28 29 1.696 0.613 Rising
Jets 25 27 24 25 22 21 25 22 22 24 24 1.710 -0.117 Falling
Cowboys 13 15 18 18 18 19 14 17 16 17 18 1.823 0.051 Rising
Packers 12 12 16 8 12 11 10 13 12 11 12 1.863 -0.311 Falling
Bengals 15 13 11 17 17 16 17 16 13 15 14 1.881 -0.757 Falling
Bills 27 28 21 26 24 29 26 26 24 27 27 2.109 0.869 Rising
Dolphins 19 22 23 23 20 23 19 19 26 22 20 2.148 0.325 Rising
Saints 24 19 25 21 26 22 24 24 25 26 21 2.186 -1.288 Falling
Colts 22 20 20 22 19 18 21 25 17 23 22 2.208 0.015 Rising
Broncos 17 17 17 9 15 14 13 15 19 13 16 2.594 1.117 Rising
Rams 18 14 14 15 14 9 18 18 20 18 17 2.937 0.132 Rising

Observations:

  • I know the Rams looked impressive on Thursday against the Cardinals, but 9th? Really PFT?
  • Also, USA Today is hurting the Broncos' consistency by ranking them 9th as well.
  • It's no surprise that the 7 teams with the lowest Standard Devation are at the top and bottom of the list. Though it's kind of cool to see there's pretty much a consensus of the top 5 teams in the league.
  • Pretty good consensus on the Redskins and Seahawks this week at ~20 and ~16 respectively.
  • Notice how many green arrows there are this week compared to last week? This means teams are starting to slowly settle in to their rankings.

Objective Average

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Average Change since last period
Texans 5 2 1 2 4 1 3 1 2.375 -0.232 Falling
49ers 1 1 2 1 9 4 2 3 2.875 2.839 Rising
Bears 3 6 3 4 2 2 1 4 3.125 4.589 Rising
Falcons 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 2 4.375 -0.804 Falling
Patriots 2 8 7 3 14 3 4 7 6.000 -1.000 Falling
Vikings 10 9 6 7 6 8 8 5 7.375 2.196 Rising
Ravens 9 11 9 5 8 7 12 6 8.375 -4.089 Falling
Cardinals 19 21 5 15 1 12 6 11 11.250 -3.250 Falling
Broncos 8 3 12 10 19 19 10 10 11.375 -2.518 Falling
Seahawks 11 17 10 12 7 18 7 15 12.125 1.732 Rising
Giants 7 14 22 8 20 6 13 8 12.250 -0.107 Falling
Dolphins 12 5 11 19 11 10 17 14 12.375 4.768 Rising
Packers 6 16 15 9 25 14 9 9 12.875 -1.732 Falling
Eagles 16 7 16 14 10 15 21 13 14.000 -4.000 Falling
Rams 26 15 8 22 3 20 11 12 14.625 7.804 Rising
Cowboys 17 12 19 18 12 22 14 20 16.750 1.679 Rising
Steelers 13 24 18 11 18 11 22 17 16.750 1.964 Rising
Chargers 15 20 21 13 15 16 19 16 16.875 -3.446 Falling
Lions 14 13 20 23 21 9 15 23 17.250 4.607 Rising
Bengals 25 18 14 17 13 23 23 19 19.000 -5.000 Falling
Redskins 21 22 23 21 23 17 16 18 20.125 1.732 Rising
Colts 23 27 17 20 16 25 18 25 21.375 2.768 Rising
Jets 24 19 13 24 17 31 24 26 22.250 0.036 Rising
Panthers 20 10 30 28 31 24 25 24 24.000 -1.286 Falling
Buccaneers 22 31 31 25 29 13 20 21 24.000 2.286 Rising
Saints 18 30 29 16 32 21 26 22 24.250 2.036 Rising
Bills 27 28 25 27 24 29 29 27 27.000 -5.286 Falling
Browns 29 25 32 26 30 27 28 28 28.125 -2.411 Falling
Raiders 28 23 27 31 26 30 32 29 28.250 -0.107 Falling
Titans 31 26 26 29 22 32 31 32 28.625 -3.196 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 24 32 27 28 27 30 29.000 -3.571 Falling
Chiefs 30 29 28 30 28 26 30 31 29.000 1.000 Rising

Observations:

  • Look! Even more Objective rankings sites! This week Troy Aikman comes back into the fold. Now there are only 3 fewer Objective sources than Subjective. It's a bit more balanced now.
  • Wow, the bottom 6 teams are all AFC teams. 37.5% of the teams in teh AFC account for the worst objectively-wraned teams. And there's a decent distance between the Bills and the Saints.
  • Ouch. Chargers drop further this week in Objective Rankings than they did in the Subjective Rankings. That's not a good sign.
  • Heh, the Chiefs are the worst team in the league based on the Objective Rankings, yet they climbed a full ranking this week, tied with the Jaguars now.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective
Football Outsiders Team Efficiency Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs Aikman Efficiency Pro Football Reference Cold Hard Football Facts Standard Deviation Change since last period
Falcons 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 2 1.111 -0.480 Falling
Texans 5 2 1 2 4 1 3 1 1.409 -0.475 Falling
Bears 3 6 3 4 2 2 1 4 1.452 0.174 Rising
Chiefs 30 29 28 30 28 26 30 31 1.500 -0.638 Falling
Vikings 10 9 6 7 6 8 8 5 1.576 -1.580 Falling
Bills 27 28 25 27 24 29 29 27 1.658 -1.053 Falling
Browns 29 25 32 26 30 27 28 28 2.088 -0.515 Falling
Ravens 9 11 9 5 8 7 12 6 2.233 1.533 Rising
49ers 1 1 2 1 9 4 2 3 2.522 0.772 Rising
Redskins 21 22 23 21 23 17 16 18 2.571 -2.484 Falling
Chargers 15 20 21 13 15 16 19 16 2.619 -0.151 Falling
Raiders 28 23 27 31 26 30 32 29 2.727 -0.876 Falling
Jaguars 32 32 24 32 27 28 27 30 2.784 -2.140 Falling
Titans 31 26 26 29 22 32 31 32 3.389 -0.982 Falling
Cowboys 17 12 19 18 12 22 14 20 3.491 -0.245 Falling
Patriots 2 8 7 3 14 3 4 7 3.674 0.293 Rising
Colts 23 27 17 20 16 25 18 25 3.903 -0.183 Falling
Eagles 16 7 16 14 10 15 21 13 3.937 -0.567 Falling
Seahawks 11 17 10 12 7 18 7 15 3.951 -1.325 Falling
Dolphins 12 5 11 19 11 10 17 14 4.060 0.045 Rising
Bengals 25 18 14 17 13 23 23 19 4.093 -0.150 Falling
Steelers 13 24 18 11 18 11 22 17 4.521 0.155 Rising
Lions 14 13 20 23 21 9 15 23 4.867 1.823 Rising
Broncos 8 3 12 10 19 19 10 10 5.048 1.566 Rising
Jets 24 19 13 24 17 31 24 26 5.286 0.920 Rising
Saints 18 30 29 16 32 21 26 22 5.494 -0.914 Falling
Packers 6 16 15 9 25 14 9 9 5.644 1.421 Rising
Giants 7 14 22 8 20 6 13 8 5.717 2.235 Rising
Buccaneers 22 31 31 25 29 13 20 21 5.852 2.199 Rising
Panthers 20 10 30 28 31 24 25 24 6.265 -2.927 Falling
Cardinals 19 21 5 15 1 12 6 11 6.534 -1.006 Falling
Rams 26 15 8 22 3 20 11 12 7.175 1.131 Rising

Observations:

  • Fairly good consensus on the Falcons at ~4.5 ranking.
  • Now the NFC occupies the 7 highest Standard Deviation positions, including 3 of the 4 NFC South teams (the fourth being the most-consistently ranked team)
  • Chargers one of the more-consistently ranked teams.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Average Change since last period
Texans 1.000 2.375 1.688 -0.117 Falling
49ers 2.909 2.875 2.892 1.647 Rising
Falcons 2.091 4.375 3.233 -0.402 Falling
Bears 5.909 3.125 4.517 3.613 Rising
Patriots 5.000 6.000 5.500 0.227 Rising
Ravens 4.273 8.375 6.324 -2.317 Falling
Vikings 8.636 7.375 8.006 3.962 Rising
Giants 7.364 12.250 9.807 1.310 Rising
Cardinals 9.546 11.250 10.398 -3.580 Falling
Packers 11.727 12.875 12.301 -2.730 Falling
Eagles 11.182 14.000 12.591 -3.636 Falling
Broncos 15.000 11.375 13.188 -2.259 Falling
Steelers 9.818 16.750 13.284 3.391 Rising
Seahawks 15.546 12.125 13.835 1.548 Rising
Rams 15.909 14.625 15.267 5.629 Rising
Chargers 14.000 16.875 15.438 -2.905 Falling
Cowboys 16.636 16.750 16.693 0.340 Rising
Dolphins 21.455 12.375 16.915 4.838 Rising
Bengals 14.909 19.000 16.955 -4.137 Falling
Lions 21.818 17.250 19.534 1.804 Rising
Redskins 19.818 20.125 19.972 0.138 Rising
Colts 20.818 21.375 21.097 5.520 Rising
Jets 23.727 22.250 22.989 -0.619 Falling
Saints 23.364 24.250 23.807 2.609 Rising
Buccaneers 23.818 24.000 23.909 0.870 Rising
Panthers 26.818 24.000 25.409 -2.325 Falling
Bills 25.909 27.000 26.455 -5.643 Falling
Raiders 28.546 28.250 28.398 0.128 Rising
Chiefs 28.182 29.000 28.591 -0.046 Falling
Titans 29.636 28.625 29.131 -3.326 Falling
Browns 31.636 28.125 29.881 -1.160 Falling
Jaguars 31.000 29.000 30.000 -2.377 Falling

Observations:

  • Texans still on top, though slipping slightly. Still have a comfortable lead over the 49ers right now.
  • NFC teams occupy 9 of the top 12 spots.
  • Amusing how the Cowboys and Chargers both carry "underachieving" labels over the years and they're nestled together in the middle of this ranking.
  • Dolphins finally starting to get some respect, but you'll see shortly that it's not quite enough.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Texans 1.000 2.375 1.139 -0.162 Falling
Falcons 2.091 4.375 1.356 0.109 Rising
49ers 2.909 2.875 1.651 -0.009 Falling
Vikings 8.636 7.375 1.651 -2.080 Falling
Chiefs 28.182 29.000 1.666 -0.457 Falling
Bears 5.909 3.125 1.772 0.298 Rising
Redskins 19.818 20.125 1.820 -1.844 Falling
Raiders 28.546 28.250 1.955 -1.174 Falling
Bills 25.909 27.000 2.006 -0.132 Falling
Jaguars 31.000 29.000 2.134 -1.752 Falling
Browns 31.636 28.125 2.254 -1.164 Falling
Titans 29.636 28.625 2.440 -0.720 Falling
Patriots 5.000 6.000 2.456 0.009 Rising
Chargers 14.000 16.875 2.525 0.289 Rising
Ravens 4.273 8.375 2.534 1.829 Rising
Cowboys 16.636 16.750 2.657 -0.376 Falling
Eagles 11.182 14.000 3.047 -0.094 Falling
Colts 20.818 21.375 3.052 -0.853 Falling
Seahawks 15.546 12.125 3.161 -0.548 Falling
Bengals 14.909 19.000 3.630 0.083 Rising
Jets 23.727 22.250 3.740 0.664 Rising
Saints 23.364 24.250 3.958 -0.875 Falling
Packers 11.727 12.875 3.968 0.479 Rising
Buccaneers 23.818 24.000 3.985 1.113 Rising
Lions 21.818 17.250 4.090 1.310 Rising
Broncos 15.000 11.375 4.222 1.040 Rising
Panthers 26.818 24.000 4.392 -1.675 Falling
Cardinals 9.546 11.250 4.506 -0.563 Falling
Giants 7.364 12.250 4.546 1.820 Rising
Steelers 9.818 16.750 4.587 0.764 Rising
Rams 15.909 14.625 5.203 0.594 Rising
Dolphins 21.455 12.375 5.450 0.111 Rising

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj
Subjective Average Objective Average Standard Deviation Change since last period
Steelers 9.818 16.750 6.932 -2.854 Falling
Giants 7.364 12.250 4.886 -2.834 Falling
Ravens 4.273 8.375 4.102 -3.544 Falling
Bengals 14.909 19.000 4.091 -1.727 Falling
Chargers 14.000 16.875 2.875 -1.083 Falling
Eagles 11.182 14.000 2.818 -0.727 Falling
Falcons 2.091 4.375 2.284 -0.803 Falling
Cardinals 9.546 11.250 1.705 0.659 Rising
Texans 1.000 2.375 1.375 -0.232 Falling
Packers 11.727 12.875 1.148 1.995 Rising
Bills 25.909 27.000 1.091 0.714 Rising
Patriots 5.000 6.000 1.000 -2.455 Falling
Saints 23.364 24.250 0.886 -1.146 Falling
Chiefs 28.182 29.000 0.818 2.091 Rising
Colts 20.818 21.375 0.557 -5.505 Falling
Redskins 19.818 20.125 0.307 3.187 Rising
Buccaneers 23.818 24.000 0.182 2.831 Rising
Cowboys 16.636 16.750 0.114 2.678 Rising
49ers 2.909 2.875 -0.034 2.385 Rising
Raiders 28.546 28.250 -0.296 -0.470 Falling
Titans 29.636 28.625 -1.011 0.258 Rising
Vikings 8.636 7.375 -1.261 -3.531 Falling
Rams 15.909 14.625 -1.284 4.349 Rising
Jets 23.727 22.250 -1.477 1.308 Rising
Jaguars 31.000 29.000 -2.000 -2.390 Falling
Bears 5.909 3.125 -2.784 1.953 Rising
Panthers 26.818 24.000 -2.818 2.078 Rising
Seahawks 15.546 12.125 -3.421 0.369 Rising
Browns 31.636 28.125 -3.511 -2.502 Falling
Broncos 15.000 11.375 -3.625 -0.518 Falling
Lions 21.818 17.250 -4.568 5.607 Rising
Dolphins 21.455 12.375 -9.080 -0.141 Falling

Observations:

  • Time to bust out the "Most Overrated" and "Most Underrated" teams label finally.
  • Most Overrated team: Pittsburgh Steelers. Most Underrated: Miami Dolphins.
  • Wow, the Dolphins are under-ranked by 9 full spots. They're actually Objectively playing better than the Chargers right now.
  • Uh oh, the Chargers are actually overranked a bit. Guess the loss to the Saints was worse than many want to believe or realize.
  • A lot of teams (10 in fact) are within 1 spot of their objective and subjective rankings. These teams are less likely to surprise or disappoint.

Sources

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