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Bolts from the Past: Best and Worst of the San Diego Chargers

I love going through old game records and re-living the past. Maybe that's why I wrote this column all through the regular season. As part of that, I like comparing. When was the best of this? When was the worst of that? So along that vein, I came up with an idea: I'm going to go through the stretch of recent Charger history (call it the AJ era, 2003-2011) and find out things like, "What was the worst pass defense performance in a game?" and "What was the best run offense performance in a game?"

And then I came up with a way to improve it even more. What if I found out the best/worst performances during different important individuals' tenure (for example, quarterback, head coach, or defensive coordinator), and pit them against each other cage match style to find out who is responsible for the best and worst moments of recent Charger history?

That's what I'm going to be doing this offseason. Maybe I'll even throw in some polls to find out if fans' subjective memories match up with the objective reality (for the objective measure, we'll be using Football Outsiders' DVOA). I'll go week by week and look at the different games before putting them in the bracket. Then I'll match them up and see where it leads us. Sounds like fun!

This week, I'm going to start by asking this question: What game featured the worst pass defense by the Chargers? We'll begin by looking at the short tenure of our most recently departed defensive coordinator, Greg Manusky. There are three candidates, and the winner will be revealed at the jump. Quick, without looking, which game do you think it was?

All VOA, DVOA, YAR and DYAR statistical values are developed, calculated and reported by Football Outsiders. Their explanation can be found here.

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If you guessed "Week 11: @ Chicago", you'd be correct. That game featured a pass defense DVOA of 92.2%, just barely edging out the Detroit game (91.4%), and handily beating the New England game (68.7%). Remember, for defense positive DVOA is bad.

That afternoon, we saw Jay Cutler complete 18 of 31 attempts for 286 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception, which was good for 9.2 yards/attempt and a 58% completion percentage. Now, I know what you're thinking: "That's not that bad! They did way better there than against Brady or Stafford!"

Here's the thing though: Chicago's offense sucked. Like, really sucked. Their overall offensive DVOA for the year was -15.7%, and the pass offense wasn't much better, at -15.4%. And yet the Chargers let them go up and down the field on them and hit numerous big plays. This is why it's important not to just look at raw yardage; you have to take the quality of the opposition into account. And the Bears were not very good at offense in 2011.

The Patriots, by contrast, were incredibly good at offense, so in retrospect what the Chargers allowed to them wasn't too out of the ordinary. Still bad, but not horrible given what they were capable of doing.

So there we have it: the worst pass defense game of Greg Manusky's short tenure was against our good buddy Jay Cutler and the Bears, and is our first entry in this little tournament. Next week, we'll tackle Ron Rivera's tenure, and see what game saw him the most embarrassed through the air. I hope you guys enjoyed the first installment. If I'm not lazy, I may even make a real bracket.

Poll
Which 2011 game featured the worst pass defense by the San Diego Chargers?
Week 2: @ New England
18 votes
Week 11: @ Chicago
16 votes
Week 16: @ Detroit
233 votes

267 votes | Poll has closed

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But does that take into account that the Bears lost Cutler and Forte at the end of the season and they promptly went into a nosedive. It seemed like they had a fairly competent offense before that.

by jalapeno on a stick on Jan 19, 2012 12:36 PM PST reply actions  

I thought about that

but because I’m going to go back years where it’ll be hard to find data about that sort of thing, and because often times the importance of particular players to a team is debatable, I’m just going to go with the straight numbers.

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by Zach (maestro876) on Jan 19, 2012 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

A great point

Just to add to that: Culter’s DVOA this year was 3.8%. Not amazing, but above average.

His replacements following the injury?

Caleb Hanie: -72.8%
McCown: -44.0%

Its enough to make even a Cutler hater like me give him some more respect.

by CABurrito on Jan 19, 2012 12:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I miss the Cutler-Rivers days :(

And yeah, there’s no doubt that the Cutler loss decimated the Bears offense. It took them straight out of the playoffs

by Falawful on Jan 19, 2012 3:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Cutler

Cutler and the bears receivers can definitively be contained unlike Brady and now Stafford, but Cutler has talent, if you let him slice you up, he will. He is pretty much the same QB as Carson Palmer or Flacco… Highly talented yet only serviceable and eminently beatable by a team like ours. Terrible defense by the Chargers

by GuyWilliams on Jan 20, 2012 5:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Cutler is better than those guys you named. But not as good as our defense made him looc. we have some good pieces on D, weddle, butler, phillips, barnes, but at the same time I think if we had a better force up the middle at NT to force opposing qb’s out of the poccet which would help us we got decent edge rush. Upgrade our SS and we would be cool

BCoop

by Bleu on Jan 21, 2012 10:51 PM PST via Android app up reply actions  

I picked Detroit for other reasons

but in my mind the worst from a technical perspective was the chicago game because the corners played so terrible I was embarrased for them

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by Superduperboltman on Jan 19, 2012 12:49 PM PST reply actions  

I understand the DVOA and the metrics for your selection,

but that Detroit game just failed eye-test so badly I nearly turned off the game. I left it on on and threw up in my mouth a little…

Another thing, as previously pointed out, the CB’s played horribly against da Bears, while the Detroit game seemed to feature NONBODY on the Chargers defense being in position on any given play. That is on Manusky.

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by SDNativeinTX on Jan 19, 2012 1:01 PM PST reply actions  

I picked Detroit

but let’s face it, the offense stunk up the joint in that game too.

"The biggest thing..." - Norv Turner

by Cake or Death on Jan 19, 2012 1:10 PM PST reply actions  

Jets? Burress? Cason?

Hello?

"second base is the bizness." -jbox

Bolts from the Blue - San Diego Chargers Blog Created By The Fans, For The Fans

by Wonko on Jan 19, 2012 1:38 PM PST reply actions  

Probably qualifies for the "worst individual performance in a game" bracket

But I don’t think it was nearly as bad the Lions or Bears on a team defense level. They made some stops, Weddle had a nice pick, and at least 10 Jets points were set up by directly by offensive turnovers.

by CABurrito on Jan 19, 2012 1:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, I didn't mean that it should win

Maybe just an “honorable” mention.

"second base is the bizness." -jbox

Bolts from the Blue - San Diego Chargers Blog Created By The Fans, For The Fans

by Wonko on Jan 19, 2012 2:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Are you gonna do their best games too?

I’m by no means a Manusky apologist but that vikings game was pretty darn good.

"I promise you, we’re going to build a dictating, dominating, attacking defense. I’ve said it a million times. It’s not a slight on our offense, but we’re not going to win any world championship until we have that." - A.J. Smith

by njg425 on Jan 19, 2012 1:44 PM PST via Android app reply actions  

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