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AFC West Week 1 Review

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Team of the Week: San Diego Chargers

I could have picked the Raiders since they ended up with the highest VOA for the week. There's just no way I could do that and it has nothing to do with who the teams are, but rather how they played. There just wasn't anything the Raiders did to make me think they performed better than the Chargers.

Player of the Week: Mike Tolbert, RB, SD

3 TDs seals it. But, in case you wanted more evidence, he was also second in the NFL this week in RB DYAR.

Game of the Week: Raiders vs. Broncos

Sure, some found this game painful to watch. But, sometimes you have to laugh at sports and this one was certainly good for doing that. Its entertainment was only increased when you turned off the TV sound and added Yakety Sax. The best way to summarize the comedy of this game is to mention how it set a new record for penalties in an NFL game with 25.




Play of the Week: 63 yard record tying field goal by Sebastian Janikowski

It tied a record. Plus, there weren't that many truly excellent plays this week.

Injury of the Week: Eric Berry, Knee, Out for the Year

This is a huge loss for the Chiefs not only because the Kansas City will have a difficult time replacing his production, but also because it's a lost year for a developing, second year player.


Eric Berry

#29 / Defensive Back / Kansas City Chiefs

6-0

211

Dec 29, 1988

Tennessee


All VOA, DVOA, YAR and DYAR statistical values are developed, calculated and reported by Football Outsiders. Their explanation can be found here. Team efficiency ratings can be found here.

Star-divide

San Diego Chargers

Total Offense OPassing ORushing Defense DPassing DRush ST
15.4%
5.2% 21.1%
-5.6% -26.0%
-88.3% 18.2%
-15.8%

Nice performance by the Chargers in week 1. That's all it was though, "nice". Not good, not great, not bad. Actually "not bad" works too. That 5.2% VOA for the offense stands out as a disappointing number. The expectations for the offense are very high. On the other hand, that -26.0% number for the defense is encouraging. Of course, anybody who heard how many passing yards McNabb had didn't need to see the Chargers VOA. Anytime you hold the QB to 39 yards passing, you are doing something impressive. Now, let's move on to the next team without talking about the special teams. Yeesh.

Denver Broncos

Total Offense OPassing ORushing Defense DPassing DRush ST
-26.2%
-31.8% -16.1%
-70.6% 1.7%
-20.2% 14.7%
7.2%

The template for the 2010 Broncos was: great passing numbers, horrible everything else. In this initial game they didn't even get that good passing, not even close. Only the special teams came out of this game with a good number. That was due to a kick return and a tipped punt not being as detrimental as a blocked punt. Getting back to the Broncos offense, it was surprising how bad it was. Most of the same players are still there, but the results were vastly different. We'll have to watch this closely to find out if it's playcalling, coaching, regression by certain players or something else.

Kansas City Chiefs

Total Offense OPassing ORushing Defense DPassing DRush ST
-89.4%
-34.0% -40.7%
-21.2% 40.9%
86.1%
9.8%
-14.5%

Raise your hand if you thought before Sunday that the Bills were going to come into Kansas City and dismantle the Chiefs. If your hand is up then you are a liar (and there's a job in politics awaiting you). I'm almost speechless after this game. On top of that the Chiefs, as mentioned earlier, lost their stud safety Eric Berry after losing their promising young TE Moeaki the week before. Things could snowball fast for the Chiefs if they don't figure out a way to recover from this loss.

Oakland Raiders

Total Offense OPassing ORushing Defense DPassing DRush ST
16.3%
-8.4% -9.9%
25.2% -36.1%
-25.4%
-73.0%
-11.4%

Yeah, okay, the Raiders won, but that doesn't mean I have to praise them. They committed plenty of dumb penalties and having watched the game I would attribute most of their success to the Broncos failures. When Football Outsiders starts adjusting their numbers based on opponent strength then I'm positive it won't have a higher DVOA than the Chargers' performance. This team looks like a team that has a rookie head coach and has lost some key players. I suppose that could change as the season goes on, but we'll just have to wait and see.

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The Chiefs defensive passing

as horrible as the Charger defense was amazing.
Raiders run defense is impressive as well.

Dielman on Rivers: "I've tried to get him to say s--- or f--- and all he'll ever do is say, 'Golly gee, I can't do that."

by Superduperboltman on Sep 14, 2011 8:13 AM PDT reply actions  

I agree that this week's games

will come out looking better for the Chargers in the long run than the Raiders. The Vikings will almost certainly shake out to be a better team than the Broncos, which will adjust those numbers accordingly.

A pirate I was meant to be!
"You say you're nasty pirates,
scheming, thieving, bad bushwackers?
From what I've seen I tell you
You're not pirates, you're just slackers!"

by Zach (maestro876) on Sep 14, 2011 8:20 AM PDT reply actions  

The loss of Eric Berry pretty much kills the Chiefs season right there

They play Detroit next Sunday, and I can already see Stafford and Calvin Johnson going rampent

F.F.F.

"Do you think we need one more...? You think we need one more... Alright we'll get one more"

by UMDfutbol11 on Sep 14, 2011 8:49 AM PDT reply actions  

Great Post. Looking foward to see how SD matches up against NE. Last season SD shot themselves in the foot numerous times against NE and it was a close game. This game will give us a good idea if the D is as solid as we think.

"Used to sit 36P until the Chargers started winning. Ill take V seating anyday"

by traceSD on Sep 14, 2011 9:08 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Raiders have DMC

and that’s about it. I picked them to finish second in the AFC west, mostly because the Broncos look awful and I wasn’t buying into the Chiefs competing. And I totally picked the Bills to win, but certainly not like that…

by mctrashhole on Sep 14, 2011 9:24 AM PDT reply actions  

Our pass D looks great in VOA

Hope that carries over next week! I am starting to question whether Orton will be an effective QB2 in fantasy this year. That jerk is on my roster taking up space!

by chaplinesque on Sep 14, 2011 9:30 AM PDT reply actions  

The only problem with the Raiders @ Broncos

was that it was only playing at 1x speed. Crank it up the 3x, then at the Sax.

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Sep 14, 2011 9:35 AM PDT reply actions  

add*

f*cking hands can’t read…

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Sep 14, 2011 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

The Chiefs are horrible

They look like a college team

Winning

by Foilhat on Sep 14, 2011 9:58 AM PDT reply actions  

AFC West

Broncos and Chiefs will fight it out for last place. Oakland middle of the road team. 7-9 or 8-8 wouldn’t surprise me. Chargers should easily win the division this year.

All the way from Brisbane, Queensland.

by Aussiecharger on Sep 14, 2011 4:30 PM PDT reply actions  

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