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Playbook Confidential: Chargers vs Vikings

Mike Tolbert is accumulating a lot of responsibilities. New this week is his role as the "two minute drill" RB.

In week one, the Chargers ran an exhausting 76 plays, with a total of 24 runs to 52 passes.  The more I stare at the log, the more I appreciate that this was a beautifully called game by Norv Turner.  This is because the obvious tendencies of the pre season were less present, there was just enough new stuff to leave plenty of room to progress throughout the season, and the running game was not stubbornly imposed as often. 

After the all too familiar run-for-one-yard, run-for-one-yard, in-completion three and out to open the game, the offense didn't have a dud possession the rest of the game.  Philip Rivers spent over half the game in shotgun formation (40 plays), but Norv departed from pre season form by running out of shotgun five times (for 8.4 YPC!).  Another new wrinkle that we didn't see in the pre season was the use of three TE personnel on four plays.  I think everyone paying close attention already recognizes that the emphasis for attacking the conservative Tampa 2 defense was to complete a lot of passes to RB's and TE's.

Here's the link for the week 1 play log.  Hopefully this is the start of a full season's worth of data.  Please dig around and see if you can find something interesting that I haven't pointed out. New features added since the pre season include an indicator for which plays led to 1st downs, and whether San Diego was Leading (L), Behind (B), or Tied(T). (Personnel explanation here)

Norv was actually fairly balanced on first down, but leaned very pass heavy for every other down.  It turns out, of 25 first downs earned, 21 were the result of passing plays.

Run
Pass
Total
1st Down 18 19 37
2nd Down 6 20 26
3rd Down 0 12 12
4th Down 0 1 1
Total 24 52 76

Star-divide

Turning our attention to personnel, we can see that Norv used Hester and "12" formation a lot on first down, and uses "11" for his ace card on third down (even in a few short yardage situations).  Jacob Hester was in on nine shotgun formation plays (only on first or second down); something he did not do much in the pre season.

Personnel
1112132122
1st Down 4 14 2 10 7
2nd Down 2 9 2 10 3
3rd Down 9 3 0 0 0
4th Down 1 0 0 0 0
Total 16 26 4 20 10

 

As far as run/pass for each personnel group, we saw "21" personnel oddly pass heavy.  "22" was run heavy as normal, and "11" and "12" were pass whacky as usual.

Personnel RunPassTotal
11 1 15 16
12 6 20 26
13 2 2 4
21 7 13 20
22 8 2 10

 

Mathews wasn't used on third down (just once), but got a third (13 out of 40) of the shotgun plays.  Mathews was also used much more in the passing game (18 passing plays to Tolbert's 34) than in the pre season.  Actual carries were split down the middle with twelve apiece for  Ryan Mathews and Mike Tolbert.  Add one more job description to Tolbert (already has third down, shotgun, and goal line): two minute drill back.  In the final drive before the half, he was in on all nine plays.  Norv had some interesting variations how he used the two.  The last two possessions (5th and 6th overall) of the first half were given exclusively to Tolbert.  The 8th possession had all but one snap go to Mathews.  Every other posession had them alternating constantly.  Mathews saw only one third down play, unfortunately for him it was the Jared Allen interception.  That will probably make Norv averse to using Mathews on third down again, even if it wasn't his fault.  I found one fluky looking statistic in the handling of Mathews and Tolbert; they were used fairly evenly in the Chargers own territory, but Tolbert was used much more in opposing territory (28 plays for Tolbert to Mathew's 12 beyond the 50 yard line).

Mathews in GameTolbert in Game
1st Down 16 21
2nd Down 13 13
3rd Down 1 11
4th Down 0 1
Total 30 46

 

Hat tip to Marver for solving the Rivers yelling at Norv lip reading contest:

To player: ‘I didn’t point to him’.
To Norv: ‘I didn’t point to him. Norv!’ [Shaking his head] ‘No I didn’t.’

Perhaps one of the receivers misinterpreted a hot route/audible which is why no one was near the ball?

Lastly, we have what I think was a bit of a love note from Norv to Bill Belicheck.  For two consecutive plays in the 2nd quarter, there were fake actions to wide receivers (once to Goodman, once to VJ).  Now the Patriots have to spend this week thinking about this:


Comment 22 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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On the second fake handoff to VJax

He should have just given it to him. The Vikings blew up that screen to Mathews.

by SDreal on Sep 14, 2011 11:28 AM PDT reply actions  

SSHHHHHH!!!

That’s what’ll happen against the Pats!

Dielman on Rivers: "I've tried to get him to say s--- or f--- and all he'll ever do is say, 'Golly gee, I can't do that."

by Superduperboltman on Sep 14, 2011 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

I guess Hester is trusted to play pretty much every down....

Dielman on Rivers: "I've tried to get him to say s--- or f--- and all he'll ever do is say, 'Golly gee, I can't do that."

by Superduperboltman on Sep 14, 2011 11:46 AM PDT reply actions  

Actually he was not ever in on 3rd down.

All two back personnel groups (starts with a 2) were on first or second down. All third downs used personnel with one back (11, 12). Hester was used in Shotgun, but not third down shotgun.

by Orz on Sep 14, 2011 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

yeah but it was more of a general comment.

Theoretically, he could be in there on 3rd down, like after Tolbert got hurt or something.

Dielman on Rivers: "I've tried to get him to say s--- or f--- and all he'll ever do is say, 'Golly gee, I can't do that."

by Superduperboltman on Sep 14, 2011 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

How much will the Chargers profit from the man in the Garay suit going up against the replacement center for the Pats?

by angry turd on Sep 14, 2011 2:14 PM PDT reply actions  

It's not an easy question to answer

The Patriots actually moved their starting guard to center and brought in a backup guard to play RG. That backup guard is a former Pro Bowler. Although, he was let go by the Chiefs, so I’m not sure how relevant those Pro Bowls are anymore.

"Beating the Red Sox feels SO GOOD.! SO GOOD! SO GOOD!" -jbox

Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't

by Wonko on Sep 14, 2011 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

Pro bowls are based too much on reputation and not enough on fact.

All the way from Brisbane, Queensland.

by Aussiecharger on Sep 14, 2011 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pats fans tend to have high opinions of everyone on the team.

Bolts from the Blue // "I eat cereal out of a giant novelty wine glass because it makes me feel fancy." - Britney Wade
Bloody Elbow // "I think we're poking fun at Leland's 'boner.'" - Michael Fagan

by Richard Wade on Sep 17, 2011 1:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well

so if chargers would have lost, the blame would have been on Rivers. For those who are gonna mention special teams or w/e, forget how bad special team is for a second and think about how good this offense is. So back to my question, if Chargers would have lost, the blame would be on Rivers? right?. Thanks for the Offensive and Defensive analysis guys, keep up the good work and I can’t wait to see the breakdown for next week’s game.

by john1 on Sep 14, 2011 4:44 PM PDT reply actions  

SDzeke

There’s been talks about Norv is the reason why Chargers start slow, and since we’re all in love with Philip Rivers so much, we’re kind of blind about his mistakes, we let it slide most of the time because it’s Philip Rivers. Orz said that this was a beautifully called game by Norv which gets me to ask why didn’t Philip Rivers have a better game? someone might mention, he did have a good game overall, but not a first half, then I would ask why? The obvious reason is Rivers looks shaky at times for w/e reason and I think most of us don’t know why.

by john1 on Sep 14, 2011 10:09 PM PDT reply actions  

Thanks for the clarification.

I’m not sure the blame for the lackluster first half can be wholly blamed on Rivers. Rivers’ first half line over six possessions was: 16/25 (.064), 142 yds., 1 TD, 1 INT.

That’s not a bad first half. Especially when you consider that the INT (5th possession) was on a tipped ball. And with a healthy Kaeding he doesn’t have to go for it on 4th and 20 (6th possession), and the Chargers go into the half down only 17-10.

I think the slow first half can mostly be pinned on the first four possessions in which the distribution of plays was equal (7 runs and 7 pass) with the running game accounting for 30 yards (4.3 YPC), and the passing game for 22 yards (3.14 YPA).

At first glance that YPC for the ground game would have us believe that Norv didn’t hand it off enough, but it is likely skewed by one big run (21 yds), and closer inspection shows that the Chargers next longest run of the first four possessions was a single 3 yarder.

I would assert that Norv was too reliant on the ground game to start, and likely didn’t fully understand the strengths and weaknesses of the Vikings defense at the start of the game.

This doesn’t mean I disagree with Orz. Norv did call a masterful game. It just took him four drives to fully understand the opponent and exploit the flaws in their system.

Though I’m curious what Bewsaf would say about the play of the OL in those first four drives, as compared to the rest of the game. Was the run blocking sub par to start, or an average performance? Maybe they are the ones to blame for the slow start in the first half.

by SDzeke on Sep 15, 2011 12:30 AM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

Sorry I got the last two possessions mixed up.

The 4 and 20 play was in the 5th possession, and the INT happened in 6th possession and ended the half.

by SDzeke on Sep 15, 2011 12:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

This is exactly the kind of thing I was hoping commentors could come up with!

Maybe next week I’ll see if a drive summary would add some value to the analysis.

It really seemed like Norv embraced his inner pass whackiness this week, and not so much because they were behind the whole game (they were never really far behind).

by Orz on Sep 15, 2011 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

When you’re replying to someone’s post, us the “reply” button

#feelinacertaintypeofway

by sd_Baby-B on Sep 15, 2011 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

I put that Allen INT on Mathews

What a match up! Rivers sees a DE man to man on an RB! Incredible! All most a once in a life time type of opportunity.

It looked like Mathews flared the route instead of getting down felid. What little separation Mathews was able to get on Allen wasn’t very apparent to Rivers. I think it was a bad route he should have cut in earlier. Even if Allen had chipped him Mathews would have pulled the PI call. You can’t chip the screen back if he’s not attempting to block you.

by Trendsearcher on Sep 15, 2011 12:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Sorry I was out of town so I couldn't do a breakdown on this one, but some quick observations

First Half:
1 RB sets – 30 total plays
2 RB sets – 7 total plays

Second Half:
1 RB sets – 16 total plays
2 RB sets – 23 total plays

There was a clear shift away from 1 RB sets from the first half to the second half, perhaps to get better protection and leave one of the RB’s in to block.

by jkvandal on Sep 17, 2011 7:26 PM PDT reply actions  

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