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Game Preview: San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions

Think about this, for a second. When discussing the AFC West, every team in the division still has a chance to win it. If the San Diego Chargers win-out, they'll finish the season 9-7. One of those victories will come at the expense of the Oakland Raiders, meaning they could finish 8-8 at best in this scenario. If they lost to the Chiefs on Saturday, Kansas City could win-out and finish 8-8. Do you see what I'm getting at? If that Chargers win their last 2 games, they only need to worry about the Denver Broncos.

The Broncos play the Buffalo Bills this week, in Buffalo, in what is a losable game for a still-very-good Broncos team. The week after, in a game that I'm hoping will be dubbed "Kyle Orton's Sweet Revenge", Denver faces yet another "bad" team that has beaten good teams in the past and therefore stand a chance at victory. If San Diego wins out and Kansas City beats Denver, the Chargers (and Norv Turner and A.J. Smith) have found their way back to the NFL playoffs.

The key in there is the Chargers winning out. It's not going to be an easy road for them, facing a very good Detroit Lions team (4-3 at home) that seems playoff bound and an Oakland Raiders team that always seems to cause them fits.

Star-divide

The Lions are not the Ravens. They're not a good team that has lost to some bad teams. The teams they've lost to are all in the playoff hunt, with the exception maybe being the Chicago Bears (who they lost to when Jay Cutler was still around and looking like a master of Mike Martz' offense). Their other four losses have come against the Packers, Falcons, Saints and 49ers (the famous "handshake game").

Detroit's offense borders on "great", regularly putting up 30+ points against good defenses, and a big part of that is Calvin Johnson. "Megatron", as he's known, is as close as you can come to an uncoverable Wide Receiver. He's incredibly tall, fast, strong and has great hands and balance. And, unlike Malcom Floyd, he manages to stay healthy most of the time. I'm a little concerned that the Chargers have no answer for him, with Quentin Jammer and Antoine Cason looking lost against less talented receivers this year.

The good news is that Detroit's defense is nothing special. Most of the time they're scoring 30+ points, they need every last one of them. Despite a lot of talent along the defensive line, the Lions actually sport the league's worst rushing defense (giving up 5.2 yards per carry). Their secondary isn't great, but their pass-rush makes up for a lot of that. If the Chargers can find a way to slow that down the same way they did with the Ravens defense, Philip Rivers and Ryan Mathews should be able to score some points.

The key to this mini-run by the Chargers has been relatively simple: Start fast and build a lead. It's the opposite of most of what we've seen from Norv Turner's Chargers teams, but it obviously works. If they can play some strong and creative defense, and the offense can get going right from the start, they could end up in position to leave Detroit with their playoff hopes in tact.

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Defense nothing special huh?

Ask Philip Rivers that after an entire game of Cliff Avril (11 sacks) KVB (9 sacks) and a fresh Lawrence Jackson (5 sacks in 8 games) chasing him down on every snap. Avril and KVB are on major tears right now.
The crowd is going to be going berzerk of course because the Lions clinch a playoff spot with a win, you DO know this is a road game, right? I don’t think you’ll be able to stop Stafford and the gang either, I’ve seen plenty of Chargers games this season.
Good luck guys! Should be a good game.

by LionsD on Dec 22, 2011 12:11 PM PST reply actions  

Our secondary isn't that great

Because of all the injuries. With everyone healthy, i.e, Delmas, Houston, Berry, we were actually top 10 in pass defense. Without them, we’ve faltered, sure, but that was to be expected, especially against the league top passing attacks such as the Packers and Saints.

Our run defense has been terrible though, I won’t argue with that. I just hope with the addition of Lawrence Jackson and a healthy Nick Fairley that it will improve.

President of the Eric Wright fan club.

Obligatory statement about being a huge Lions fan.

I have a twitter: Follow Me

DJ Moore is a pussy thug.

by Bighaircut on Dec 22, 2011 1:56 PM PST up reply actions  

True

They’ve given up a lot of yards, and they’ve lost a few times because of it. Suh and the guys readily admitted they needed to get better after some drubbings and they did after the 9ers loss. Some can be blamed on the wide 9 and most on crappy linebacker play. Levy misses assignments and guys run right by him for 30 yards, and injuries caught up with the team just like every body else. I just don’t see it being that big of a factor in this game, and they have all three linebackers healthy now. This is a playoff game for the Lions, it’s going to be intense.

The other thing you have to consider is the Lions Offensive line against your pass rush. 52 pass attempts last week and 2 sacks, and 440 yards of offense. The Raiders D is no joke.

by LionsD on Dec 22, 2011 1:42 PM PST up reply actions  

This is a playoff game for the Chargers as well

If they lose, it is very possible that both their coach and their GM get fired. It’s not just the players who are playing for a win here, it is the entire organization. As for the Lions’ Offensive line, while they may not be a joke, the Chargers’ pass rush isn’t exactly fearsome (last week’s game notwithstanding).

Considering the consistency of both teams, I think this could either be a tough offensive battle, or a low scoring abomination.

by Ferguson1015 on Dec 23, 2011 6:14 AM PST up reply actions  

It's not as much about speed as it is about calling the right plays.

The Lions run D is actually not that bad on runs through the middle. They are prone to giving up misdirected runs that bounce to the outside. One of these days they’ll figure out how to contain the edge, I hope. It hasn’t helped that some of the best tacklers in the secondary have been hurt also.

It’s also worth noting that the Lions gave up a bunch of rushing yards in some games where they had already blown out the opponent (e.g., KC and Denver), so while the stats looked bad it didn’t hurt the Lions much.

The outcome of this game will likely come down to whose pass rush is more effective, or else it will be a shoot-out.

No slogans. Just win!!!

by drgarnett on Dec 22, 2011 2:13 PM PST up reply actions  

don't forget the refs

IF the refs call a balanced (fair) game, then either team can win. Yeah, we made some mistakes in the jets game, but the refs .let the jets defendrs bump, push and grab our recievers, but when our defnders bumpd their guys, they got flagged. Also, seemed to me the ravens game was a little one sided as well. Granted, the refs didn’t call many penalties in that game. But, they did call a celebtration penalty but not a unsportsman like conduct on the kickoff where the ravens guy was pounding on the charger player on the ground.

by irishlad on Dec 22, 2011 1:27 PM PST reply actions  

NFL refs in general have been atrocious this entire year

President of the Eric Wright fan club.

Obligatory statement about being a huge Lions fan.

I have a twitter: Follow Me

DJ Moore is a pussy thug.

by Bighaircut on Dec 22, 2011 1:58 PM PST up reply actions  

im afraid we win out and make the playoffs

but Oakland leaves us injured, as usual.

Oh internet, what a wicked web you weave.

by Mad_Villain on Dec 22, 2011 1:30 PM PST via Android app reply actions   1 recs

I originally had San Diego winning

But the more I look at it, I’m thinking the Charger defense doesn’t have an answer for Calvin Johnson. The offensive line isn’t great for Detroit, but very good at pass blocking as evident in last weeks 50+ attempts. I think the Charger secondary isn’t much better than Detroit’s outside of Eric Weddle and CJ will post another monster game.

It could go either way, but I’m sticking to my NEW prediction of 31-28 or something like that. A 3 point difference will win this game.

From 0-16 to the Superbowl baby!

by DLions4Eva on Dec 22, 2011 2:45 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

The Charger's secondary is actually pretty good

Although I’m always nervous about which secondary will show up. Is it going to be the Cason of the Jets game or the Cason of the Ravens game? Is it going to be the always consistent Jammer, or the one who has shown up the last couple of weeks?

But the secondary is the reason why the pass defense is ranked 6th according to NFL stats (that and they have played quite a few rushing teams this season).

by Ferguson1015 on Dec 23, 2011 6:19 AM PST up reply actions  

the raiders game is goin te be harder than this one

dont get me wrong. this is goin to be a hard game, but the raiders run the whole game, and thats the chargers weakness

by cleyton on Dec 22, 2011 3:12 PM PST reply actions  

I disagree

I think the Lions offense is way more potent than Oakland’s anyway you dice it up. The Lions defense is also better than Oakland’s. I have to say that the Lions are in the top 5 for your Chargers (likewise of course) list of most challenging games to win. In Detroit, they need 1 more game to make playoffs for the first time since 99’, and the team/fans will be totally jacked up.

It may be one thing to beat a Baltimore team at home when they play down to their competion, but its another to beat a young talented team like Detroit on the road. Detroit is a good team with playmakers on both sides of the ball. May the best team win.

From 0-16 to the Superbowl baby!

by DLions4Eva on Dec 22, 2011 6:02 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

I disagree

The team from my immediate region of origin is better than the team from your immediate region for all the same reasons you mentioned above. May the best team win.

"I think your brain has a thick candy shell on it"

by traceSD on Dec 22, 2011 6:42 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Lol! Well played sir

The homer in me will never die it seems. Both teams are immensly talented and it could go either way. Good luck in the playoffs this year and Ill see ya Saturday!

From 0-16 to the Superbowl baby!

by DLions4Eva on Dec 22, 2011 8:18 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Double Calvin Johnson

and don’t let Suh get to Rivers early in the game or he’ll get flustered. Make VJack play decoy and get to M80 early and later VJack will get rewarded with big plays. It’s gonna be a shoot out if the Chargers D can’t stop Megatron. Gotta root for the Bills this Sat.

by AirCoryell74 on Dec 22, 2011 4:37 PM PST reply actions  

That's easy to say, but harder to do.

It’s not enough just to double Calvin — you have to knock him off his route. Are the Charger corners physical enough to do that? The Lions also run play action pretty well, despite not having much of a running game. Are the Charger safeties disciplined enough not to bite hard on play fakes? Who’s going to effective covering the TEs and the other WRs while you’re concentrating on Calvin?

As for Suh… well, go ahead and double him, too, while the edge rushers bring the heat. Cliff Avril has 11 sacks, Vanden Bosch has 8, and the Lions get good pressure from the 2nd stringers too. I know Jared Gaither has been decent this year, but what about the right side?

No slogans. Just win!!!

by drgarnett on Dec 23, 2011 8:03 AM PST up reply actions  

Go ahead & double Suh all day

Corey Williams, Nick Fairley & Sammie Hill can go hard after the remaining guard. I really look for the Lions interior d-line to get after a wounded Chargers o-line.

But if your guys can keep Rivers upright most the day, I think Gates & Jackson can terrorize the Lions’ back seven (esp. Gates). And if KVB inists on pushing upfield 3-4 yards every snap, Mathews & Tolbert can capitalize on Levy’s subpar tackilng skills with some trap plays & delayed draws to the left side.

As far as the Lions ‘O’ goes, Megatron will give you all you can handle. But don’t sleep on the rest of detroit’s receiving corps. Burleson, Young & Pettigrew have shown flashes of brilliance this year (esp. at home). And look for LT Jeff Backus and C Dom Raiola to be extra fired up for the game. They have both been here 11 years with zero trips to the post season (hell, not so much as a winning season).

How do the Chargers perform in loud stadiums? ‘Cuz Ford Field will be rocking come Saturday. It will be a 4:15 PM kick and the crowd will be all kinds of lathered up for what is essentially the first playoff game in the venue’s history.

Best of luck to your guys, Chargers fans.

It’s nice to be talking playoffs in the ‘D’ again. It’s been too long.

Go Lions.

by IAmHugeYouAreNot on Dec 23, 2011 9:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Lions Pass Defense

Is going to be tested, like no other time since Thanksgiving.

Rivers is on a roll, running game looks very good.

Both teams are technically hot, but as far as scores go, this one looks like it will be

Chargers 35, Lions 24

Barring any Megatron outbursts in the last few minutes, of course.

Live work and breathe like an optimist.

by JRock419 on Dec 23, 2011 10:10 AM PST reply actions  

Beating the Lions

It will come down to getting to Stafford if San Diego can get after the QB like they did against the Ravens they have a great shot at knocking off the Lions. The real miracle will be Buffalo beating the Broncos. Come on Buffalo win won for the Bolts. No Vincent Jackson could be a problem but Vincent Brown and Patrick Crayton are ready.

by Nicky Mac on Dec 23, 2011 2:43 PM PST reply actions  

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