2011 NFL Power Rankings from Around the Web: Week 6

I bet you all thought I forgot about this post. Ha-ha, the joke's on you! I didn't forget, I just was too busy today to get everything written up. Darn those day jobs and their money and junk.

Anyway, this week finds many-a-Chargers-fan conflicted about their team. On the one hand, this team is 4-1 heading into their bye. This is uncharted territory for any team under the helm of one Norv Turner. On the other hand, the team has appeared a bit off so far this season, especially El Capitan. Hopefully they shake off whatever is affecting them and come out of the bye stronger than ever.

You will soon see, though, that those concerns aren't completely unfounded. I don't want to spoil anything, but the truth is in the numbers.

Notable Quotes

Fox Sports

The Chargers continue to prove they actually can win in September and October, but they need to start creating more seperation between themselves and the average teams. Just when they begin to run the ball the way Norv Turner wants they get pretty banged up at the position. QB Philip Rivers misses his favorite target in TE Antonio Gates, and they will only get better when he returns from injury.

Sports Illustrated

Running back Ryan Mathews has produced five consecutive games of at least 100 yards combined rushing and receiving this season, after managing that just once as a rookie in 2010 -- with that coming in Week 17. He ran for a career-best 125 yards in Sunday's win at Denver, and this is the weapon San Diego envisioned when it spent a first-round pick on Mathews.

SBNation

They're winning, but they're not blowing anyone out. For some reason, I think that's actually a good thing.

Subjective Average

  Subjective
  ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews Pro Football Weekly National Football Post SB Nation Reddit   Average   Standard Deviation
Packers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1   1.000   0.000
Saints 3 2 6 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3.000   1.155
Patriots 2 5 3 2 3 5 5 3 2 2 5 3 3.333   1.247
Lions 4 4 2 5 4 3 4 5 4 5 2 2 3.667   1.106
Ravens 5 3 4 4 5 6 3 4 5 4 3 5 4.250   0.924
Chargers 7 6 5 7 7 8 6 6 6 6 6 7 6.417   0.759
Bills 6 8 9 6 6 4 7 8 7 7 7 6 6.750   1.233
49ers 9 7 13 8 9 7 8 9 9 14 8 8 9.083   2.100
Steelers 8 9 10 9 8 11 9 7 11 10 10 10 9.333   1.179
Texans 12 11 7 11 12 10 12 10 10 9 11 11 10.500   1.384
Redskins 10 10 8 16 10 12 10 13 8 12 9 12 10.833   2.192
Raiders 11 15 14 10 11 9 11 11 12 8 15 9 11.333   2.211
Giants 14 16 11 15 14 13 13 12 13 13 13 14 13.417   1.256
Titans 13 18 17 12 13 16 15 18 15 17 14 19 15.583   2.178
Buccaneers 16 13 15 18 15 15 14 16 19 19 12 17 15.750   2.126
Jets 17 12 20 14 17 20 20 15 18 11 17 15 16.333   2.896
Falcons 19 14 16 17 20 18 18 14 14 15 20 16 16.750   2.165
Cowboys 15 19 12 20 16 19 17 17 17 18 18 20 17.333   2.173
Bears 18 17 19 13 19 17 19 20 20 16 19 13 17.500   2.327
Bengals 20 20 18 19 18 14 16 19 16 21 16 18 17.917   1.977
Eagles 21 21 21 22 21 23 22 23 23 20 22 22 21.750   0.924
Browns 23 25 23 23 22 24 21 21 22 23 21 21 22.417   1.256
Panthers 24 22 22 21 25 21 25 24 24 22 24 23 23.083   1.382
Seahawks 22 23 24 24 23 22 23 26 21 26 26 24 23.667   1.599
Chiefs 25 26 25 25 24 25 24 22 25 24 23 25 24.417   1.038
Vikings 26 28 27 26 26 26 26 25 28 25 29 27 26.583   1.187
Broncos 27 27 29 27 27 27 28 28 27 27 28 26 27.333   0.745
Cardinals 28 24 28 29 29 28 27 27 29 28 25 28 27.500   1.500
Jaguars 29 30 26 28 28 29 29 31 26 29 27 29 28.417   1.441
Rams 31 29 30 31 30 31 31 32 31 30 30 30 30.500   0.764
Colts 32 31 32 30 32 30 30 29 30 32 31 32 30.917   1.038
Dolphins 30 32 31 32 31 32 32 30 32 31 32 31 31.333   0.745

 

Observations:

  • At 5-0, it should be no surprise that the Lions are now ranked 4th.
  • While the Chargers are indeed 4-1, there are some doubts of just how good they are. Their 4 wins have come against teams that have a collected 4-15 record right now.
  • After holding down the bottom spot for a while, Kansas City is climbing the board again.
  • We were warned before the season started to not write Miami off, that they could be dangerous. Guess they were wrong.

 

Subjective Standard Deviation

  Subjective
  ESPN Fox CBS USA Today Sports Illustrated ProFootballTalk NFL.com SportingNews Pro Football Weekly National Football Post SB Nation Reddit   Average   Standard Deviation
Packers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1   1.000   0.000
Dolphins 30 32 31 32 31 32 32 30 32 31 32 31 31.333   0.745
Broncos 27 27 29 27 27 27 28 28 27 27 28 26 27.333   0.745
Chargers 7 6 5 7 7 8 6 6 6 6 6 7 6.417   0.759
Rams 31 29 30 31 30 31 31 32 31 30 30 30 30.500   0.764
Ravens 5 3 4 4 5 6 3 4 5 4 3 5 4.250   0.924
Eagles 21 21 21 22 21 23 22 23 23 20 22 22 21.750   0.924
Colts 32 31 32 30 32 30 30 29 30 32 31 32 30.917   1.038
Chiefs 25 26 25 25 24 25 24 22 25 24 23 25 24.417   1.038
Lions 4 4 2 5 4 3 4 5 4 5 2 2 3.667   1.106
Saints 3 2 6 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3.000   1.155
Steelers 8 9 10 9 8 11 9 7 11 10 10 10 9.333   1.179
Vikings 26 28 27 26 26 26 26 25 28 25 29 27 26.583   1.187
Bills 6 8 9 6 6 4 7 8 7 7 7 6 6.750   1.233
Patriots 2 5 3 2 3 5 5 3 2 2 5 3 3.333   1.247
Giants 14 16 11 15 14 13 13 12 13 13 13 14 13.417   1.256
Browns 23 25 23 23 22 24 21 21 22 23 21 21 22.417   1.256
Panthers 24 22 22 21 25 21 25 24 24 22 24 23 23.083   1.382
Texans 12 11 7 11 12 10 12 10 10 9 11 11 10.500   1.384
Jaguars 29 30 26 28 28 29 29 31 26 29 27 29 28.417   1.441
Cardinals 28 24 28 29 29 28 27 27 29 28 25 28 27.500   1.500
Seahawks 22 23 24 24 23 22 23 26 21 26 26 24 23.667   1.599
Bengals 20 20 18 19 18 14 16 19 16 21 16 18 17.917   1.977
49ers 9 7 13 8 9 7 8 9 9 14 8 8 9.083   2.100
Buccaneers 16 13 15 18 15 15 14 16 19 19 12 17 15.750   2.126
Falcons 19 14 16 17 20 18 18 14 14 15 20 16 16.750   2.165
Cowboys 15 19 12 20 16 19 17 17 17 18 18 20 17.333   2.173
Titans 13 18 17 12 13 16 15 18 15 17 14 19 15.583   2.178
Redskins 10 10 8 16 10 12 10 13 8 12 9 12 10.833   2.192
Raiders 11 15 14 10 11 9 11 11 12 8 15 9 11.333   2.211
Bears 18 17 19 13 19 17 19 20 20 16 19 13 17.500   2.327
Jets 17 12 20 14 17 20 20 15 18 11 17 15 16.333   2.896

 

Observations:

  • Green Bay, still unanimously #1. Don't expect that to change until they lose, and only if they lose to a bad team.
  • Speaking of bad teams, Miami is consistently bad.
  • The Chargers are one of the most consistently-ranked teams at this time.
  • Way to go, Rex Ryan. At least your team can score high on something.

 

Objective Average

  Objective
  Football Outsiders Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs   Average   Standard Deviation
Patriots 1 3 1 2   1.750   0.829
Packers 3 1 2 5 2.750   1.479
Bills 2 5 6 1 3.500   2.062
Lions 12 2 5 3 5.500   3.905
Ravens 6 10 4 4 6.000   2.450
Saints 8 4 3 9 6.000   2.550
49ers 5 6 10 10 7.750   2.278
Jets 7 13 8 7 8.750   2.488
Steelers 4 14 7 13 9.500   4.153
Raiders 13 7 12 6 9.500   3.041
Cowboys 20 8 9 8 11.250   5.068
Chargers 16 9 11 14 12.500   2.693
Texans 11 16 13 11 12.750   2.046
Bears 24 11 15 12 15.500   5.124
Bengals 17 12 16 17 15.500   2.062
Titans 14 18 14 18 16.000   2.000
Falcons 15 17 17 20 17.250   1.785
Redskins 19 19 18 16 18.000   1.225
Buccaneers 23 15 21 15 18.500   3.571
Giants 9 24 19 26 19.500   6.577
Vikings 10 23 22 23 19.500   5.500
Broncos 25 22 23 21 22.750   1.479
Eagles 18 27 20 28 23.250   4.323
Chiefs 27 20 27 19 23.250   3.767
Seahawks 28 21 24 25 24.500   2.500
Browns 21 28 29 22 25.000   3.536
Dolphins 22 30 26 24 25.500   2.958
Panthers 26 25 25 30 26.500   2.062
Jaguars 30 26 28 32 29.000   2.236
Colts 29 31 31 27 29.500   1.658
Cardinals 31 29 30 29 29.750   0.829
Rams 32 32 32 31 31.750   0.433

 

Observations:

  • The stat geeks still love New England.
  • Chargers aren't doing so hot.
  • Wow, look at Minnesota's DVOA ranking. 10th? Not sure I'd buy that.

 

Objective Standard Deviation

  Objective
  Football Outsiders Team Rankings Sagarin BeatGraphs   Average   Standard Deviation
Rams 32 32 32 31   31.750   0.433
Patriots 1 3 1 2 1.750   0.829
Cardinals 31 29 30 29 29.750   0.829
Redskins 19 19 18 16 18.000   1.225
Packers 3 1 2 5 2.750   1.479
Broncos 25 22 23 21 22.750   1.479
Colts 29 31 31 27 29.500   1.658
Falcons 15 17 17 20 17.250   1.785
Titans 14 18 14 18 16.000   2.000
Texans 11 16 13 11 12.750   2.046
Bills 2 5 6 1 3.500   2.062
Bengals 17 12 16 17 15.500   2.062
Panthers 26 25 25 30 26.500   2.062
Jaguars 30 26 28 32 29.000   2.236
49ers 5 6 10 10 7.750   2.278
Ravens 6 10 4 4 6.000   2.450
Jets 7 13 8 7 8.750   2.488
Seahawks 28 21 24 25 24.500   2.500
Saints 8 4 3 9 6.000   2.550
Chargers 16 9 11 14 12.500   2.693
Dolphins 22 30 26 24 25.500   2.958
Raiders 13 7 12 6 9.500   3.041
Browns 21 28 29 22 25.000   3.536
Buccaneers 23 15 21 15 18.500   3.571
Chiefs 27 20 27 19 23.250   3.767
Lions 12 2 5 3 5.500   3.905
Steelers 4 14 7 13 9.500   4.153
Eagles 18 27 20 28 23.250   4.323
Cowboys 20 8 9 8 11.250   5.068
Bears 24 11 15 12 15.500   5.124
Vikings 10 23 22 23 19.500   5.500
Giants 9 24 19 26 19.500   6.577

 

Observations:

  • St. Louis: yup, still consistently terrible.
  • Cowboys, Bears, Vikings and Giants completely skew the scale, and it's all thanks to DVOA.
  • Chargers are a little on the lower end of this scale.

 

Overall Average

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Packers 1.000 2.750   1.875   1.059   1.750
Patriots 3.333 1.750 2.542   1.345   -1.583
Saints 3.000 6.000 4.500   2.077   3.000
Lions 3.667 5.500 4.583   2.315   1.833
Ravens 4.250 6.000 5.125   1.648   1.750
Bills 6.750 3.500 5.125   2.045   -3.250
49ers 9.083 7.750 8.417   2.222   -1.333
Steelers 9.333 9.500 9.417   2.315   0.167
Chargers 6.417 12.500 9.458   3.030   6.083
Raiders 11.333 9.500 10.417   2.571   -1.833
Texans 10.500 12.750 11.625   1.853   2.250
Jets 16.333 8.750 12.542   4.315   -7.583
Cowboys 17.333 11.250 14.292   4.111   -6.083
Redskins 10.833 18.000 14.417   3.689   7.167
Titans 15.583 16.000 15.792   2.142   0.417
Giants 13.417 19.500 16.458   4.351   6.083
Bears 17.500 15.500 16.500   3.373   -2.000
Bengals 17.917 15.500 16.708   2.256   -2.417
Falcons 16.750 17.250 17.000   2.088   0.500
Buccaneers 15.750 18.500 17.125   2.828   2.750
Eagles 21.750 23.250 22.500   2.395   1.500
Vikings 26.583 19.500 23.042   4.246   -7.083
Browns 22.417 25.000 23.708   2.358   2.583
Chiefs 24.417 23.250 23.833   2.147   -1.167
Seahawks 23.667 24.500 24.083   1.900   0.833
Panthers 23.083 26.500 24.792   2.164   3.417
Broncos 27.333 22.750 25.042   2.214   -4.583
Dolphins 31.333 25.500 28.417   2.997   -5.833
Cardinals 27.500 29.750 28.625   1.676   2.250
Jaguars 28.417 29.000 28.708   1.694   0.583
Colts 30.917 29.500 30.208   1.368   -1.417
Rams 30.500 31.750 31.125   0.882   1.250

 

Observations:

  • San Diego gets knocked down a few pegs.
  • Wow, sharp delineation between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia. 5 positions separate them.
  • Another sharp line between Denver and Miami.

 

Overall Standard Deviation

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Rams 30.500 31.750   31.125   0.882   1.250
Packers 1.000 2.750 1.875   1.059   1.750
Patriots 3.333 1.750 2.542   1.345   -1.583
Colts 30.917 29.500 30.208   1.368   -1.417
Ravens 4.250 6.000 5.125   1.648   1.750
Cardinals 27.500 29.750 28.625   1.676   2.250
Jaguars 28.417 29.000 28.708   1.694   0.583
Texans 10.500 12.750 11.625   1.853   2.250
Seahawks 23.667 24.500 24.083   1.900   0.833
Bills 6.750 3.500 5.125   2.045   -3.250
Saints 3.000 6.000 4.500   2.077   3.000
Falcons 16.750 17.250 17.000   2.088   0.500
Titans 15.583 16.000 15.792   2.142   0.417
Chiefs 24.417 23.250 23.833   2.147   -1.167
Panthers 23.083 26.500 24.792   2.164   3.417
Broncos 27.333 22.750 25.042   2.214   -4.583
49ers 9.083 7.750 8.417   2.222   -1.333
Bengals 17.917 15.500 16.708   2.256   -2.417
Lions 3.667 5.500 4.583   2.315   1.833
Steelers 9.333 9.500 9.417   2.315   0.167
Browns 22.417 25.000 23.708   2.358   2.583
Eagles 21.750 23.250 22.500   2.395   1.500
Raiders 11.333 9.500 10.417   2.571   -1.833
Buccaneers 15.750 18.500 17.125   2.828   2.750
Dolphins 31.333 25.500 28.417   2.997   -5.833
Chargers 6.417 12.500 9.458   3.030   6.083
Bears 17.500 15.500 16.500   3.373   -2.000
Redskins 10.833 18.000 14.417   3.689   7.167
Cowboys 17.333 11.250 14.292   4.111   -6.083
Vikings 26.583 19.500 23.042   4.246   -7.083
Jets 16.333 8.750 12.542   4.315   -7.583
Giants 13.417 19.500 16.458   4.351   6.083

 

Observations:

  • Rams: still bad. Packers: still good.
  • Chargers all over the board now.
  • Both teams from New York Jersey are your most-inconsistently-ranked teams

 

Difference in Averages

  Subj vs Obj
  Subjective Average Objevtive Average   Average   Standard Deviation   Standard Deviation
Redskins 10.833 18.000   14.417   3.689   7.167
Chargers 6.417 12.500 9.458   3.030   6.083
Giants 13.417 19.500 16.458   4.351   6.083
Panthers 23.083 26.500 24.792   2.164   3.417
Saints 3.000 6.000 4.500   2.077   3.000
Buccaneers 15.750 18.500 17.125   2.828   2.750
Browns 22.417 25.000 23.708   2.358   2.583
Cardinals 27.500 29.750 28.625   1.676   2.250
Texans 10.500 12.750 11.625   1.853   2.250
Lions 3.667 5.500 4.583   2.315   1.833
Ravens 4.250 6.000 5.125   1.648   1.750
Packers 1.000 2.750 1.875   1.059   1.750
Eagles 21.750 23.250 22.500   2.395   1.500
Rams 30.500 31.750 31.125   0.882   1.250
Seahawks 23.667 24.500 24.083   1.900   0.833
Jaguars 28.417 29.000 28.708   1.694   0.583
Falcons 16.750 17.250 17.000   2.088   0.500
Titans 15.583 16.000 15.792   2.142   0.417
Steelers 9.333 9.500 9.417   2.315   0.167
Chiefs 24.417 23.250 23.833   2.147   -1.167
49ers 9.083 7.750 8.417   2.222   -1.333
Colts 30.917 29.500 30.208   1.368   -1.417
Patriots 3.333 1.750 2.542   1.345   -1.583
Raiders 11.333 9.500 10.417   2.571   -1.833
Bears 17.500 15.500 16.500   3.373   -2.000
Bengals 17.917 15.500 16.708   2.256   -2.417
Bills 6.750 3.500 5.125   2.045   -3.250
Broncos 27.333 22.750 25.042   2.214   -4.583
Dolphins 31.333 25.500 28.417   2.997   -5.833
Cowboys 17.333 11.250 14.292   4.111   -6.083
Vikings 26.583 19.500 23.042   4.246   -7.083
Jets 16.333 8.750 12.542   4.315   -7.583

 

Observations:

  • Finally, the Chargers aren't the top team on this list. That honor goes to the Washington Redskins now.
  • The Giants and Chargers are tied for 2nd-most overrated team.
  • After those three teams, it's not even close.
  • Dallas, Minnesota and the New York Jets round out the bottom of the list as the most underrated teams

 

Sources

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