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j-man's AFC West NFL Draft Preview

Hey guys.  The draft is right around the corner, which means it's time to start talking football again.  Whenever it's time to talk football, I invite j-man (SBNation's resident good-guy and AFC West fanatic) to toss in his two cents on what's going on around our division.

After the jump, j-man breaks down the draft needs of each AFC West team, offers who he thinks each team may be targeting and even does a mock draft of the first round of the upcoming draft.

Star-divide

Hello San Diego fans, j-man here.  I will start my NFL Draft overview with SD's biggest needs:

Chargers team needs: RB DT NICKEL CB

Yes that would give the Bolts 3 nickel CBs.  SD signed Nathan Vasher for the nickel spot, but his skills have fallen off the last 2 years due mostly to injury.  What the Chargers need is a CB to push Vasher and Antoine Cason, someone who could start in 2011-12 would be ideal.

San Diego needs a young DT to replace the talent (and girth) of Jamal Williams as the Nose Tackle of their 3-4 defense.  I think getting Terrence Cody with one of their first two picks would be a wise move for the Chargers to make.

While Darren Sproles is the prototypical "change of pace" RB, he is only half of the answer at the RB position.  Due to the Bolts' extreme lack of RB depth, I think it would make the most sense for them to draft a RB in the 1st round and another one in the 4th or 5th.  Getting Ryan Matthews in the 1st and LeGarrette Blount later on in the draft would make for a very versatile group of runners.

BOTTOM LINE: This is a 11-13 win team unless something very bad happens, like a major injury to a major player on the Chargers roster.

 

Broncos team needs:  G-C ILB NICKEL CB P WR                                            

The Broncos desperately need help on their interior Offensive Line.  If Josh McDaniels wants to build a power running system, he's going to need to find linemen that don't get blown off the ball so much.  No doubt about it, Denver will need to spend either the 11th or 45th pick on a strong OG or Center.        

D.J. Williams is very solid at one of the ILB spots, but on the other side are journeymen that don't have much to offer. After dealing with the loss of DC Mike Nolan, the Broncos will have to use one of their top two picks to close up this hole in the 3-4 defense.                                  

Unlike the Chargers, who would be getting a CB for depth and for the future, Denver needs young talent in their secondary that can perform this season.  Alphonso Smith has the look of a bust, and the rest of the Bronco CBs are old and aging fast.  Denver could look at Perrish Cox or Chris Cook in rounds 3-4.

The Broncos need to draft a Punter.  Mitch Berger is a disaster.

 

Raiders team needs: OT LB(s) CB S QB

If they want to finally get some success out of the QB position, Oakland needs to add a strong Offensive Tackle that can pass protect.  They have some good young linemen on their roster now, but they're too raw to count on them in 2010.

This may not please many San Diego fans, but Kirk Morrison regressed in 2009 (so did Thomas Howard).  Slade Norris is now their best LB, and they're going to need to use this draft to eventually replace Morrison and/or Howard.  Look for them to go after Dekoda Watson or Larry Hart, who are both very fast (remember: Al Davis loves speed).

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Raiders pick a CB high in this year's draft.  I know that have Nnamdi Asomugha, but Chris Johnson had a down year in 2009 and has proven himself to be a better nickel CB than a starting CB.  Akwasi Owusu-Ansah seems like he would be a great fit for this aggressive defense.

Michael Huff has been so inconsistent with the Raiders, showing flashes of great talent and following them up with some very disappointing stretches, that I think he needs a change of scenery.  Mike Mitchell, who is still very raw, showed a lot of talent in 2009 and needs to be playing next to somebody he can rely on.  If they're available, I could see Major Wright or Darrell Stuckey ending up in Oakland.

It's no secret that the Raiders have issues at QB.  JaMarcus Russell is a hamburger short of 290lbs, which is good for a OT but not for a QB.  Bruce Gradkowski is an improvement over Russell, but shouldn't seriously be considered as anything more than a #2 QB.  Don't be surprised if you hear Sean Canfield's name called when the Raiders are on the clock in the later rounds.  He's raw, but with the right coaching he could be the best QB on the team.

BOTTOM LINE: The Raiders could win 8 games this year, but Al Davis will probably force Tom Cable to start JaMarcus Russell for the first half of the season again....so look for 6 wins.

 

Chiefs team needs: S DT ILB RT/RG WR

The Chiefs might have the worst Safeties in the NFL.  Eric Berry is a perfect fit for this team.

After watching him with the Broncos last season, I can say that Ron Edwards is a good player but not stout enough to be a 3-4 defensive lineman.  Cam Thomas would be a good option at NT.

At ILB, Derrick Johnson has been inconsistent since being drafted by the Chiefs.  Corey Mays had a good season in 2009, but I don't know if he can continue to play at that high level.  If they can find a way to get Rolando McClain, that'd be a huge shot in the arm for their defense.

I know the commenters over at Arrowhead Pride have said that they don't need offensive line help, but they do.  Matt Cassel, who's not quick to get rid of the ball to begin with, doesn't have enough time to make a play if his first option isn't open.  Yes, the team and the offensive line was a little better at the end of the year, but it's easier to play well when there is nothing to play for.  I think if they want to compete, the Chiefs need to pick up 1 or maybe even 2 good offensive linemen.

Chris Chambers and Dwayne Bowe showed themselves to be dangerous receivers in 2009, but this WR group is lacking any sort of deep threat.  Golden Tate and Jordan Shipley would help the Chiefs to stretch the field, freeing Bowe and Chambers up for even more catches.  

BOTTOM LINE: Sorry AP, but this is a bottom 5 team in terms of talent.  I can't see them winning any more than 4-6 games.            

 

1st round mock draft

STL QB BRADFORD        
DET OKUNG OT                          
3 TB MCCOY-DT      
4 WASH T WILLIAMS OT    
5 KC E BERRY S          
6 SEA B BULAGA T IOWA  
7 CLE N SUH DT NEB
8 OAK A DAVIS OT        
9 BUF J CLAUSSEN QB ND  
1O JAX D MORGAN  G TECH  
11 DEN M IUPATI    
12 MIA S KIDELE TEX
13 SF J HADEN  
14 SEA  E THOMAS  S TEX  
15 NYG R MCLAIN
16 TEN  J-PIERRE-PAUL  DE    
17 SF  B CAMPBELL OT
18 PITT M POUNCEY C
19  ATL B GRAHAM DE  
20  HOU  S WEATHERSPOON LB
21  CIN D BRYANT WR OK ST    
22  NE  J ODRICK DT PSU          
23 GB K WILSON CB BOISE
24 PHILLY  D MCKINNEY- CB RUTG        
25 BALT J HUGUES TCU LB
26 ZONA P ROBINSON CB -FLA ST              
27 DAL D WILLIAMS DT TENN
28 SD R MATTHEWS RB FRESNO          
29  NYJ C WOOTEN DE -NW                                      
30 MINN       T MAYS S USC                          
31 INDY C BROWN   OT  USC              
32 NO  J GRISHAM TE OKIE         

Comment 11 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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nice

i need to update denver team needs and bottom line G-C WR ILB NICKEL CB P DENVER looks like 6-7 wins yes i shouild be more kind but who is DENVER playe makes

okay i have cerebral palsy arthris and chronic fatigue as well i have a great life and loveing folks some days are better than other days i got a make-a-wish in 2001 and saw my favorite team the broncos it was the trip of a lifetime i wish everyone couild have gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that okay but i bleed organ and bule for my mnr fans but i bleed orange and blue denver will rise again resident broncos fan for every blog resident broncos for stampede bule thanks shvd98z24

by j-man on Apr 16, 2010 3:33 PM PDT reply actions  

Looking for rays of hope for AFCW

But I think it’ll be a weak division once again.

Oakland gets to host Jacksonville and Seattle, and could do better than 5 wins this time, but their QB situation will remain a sore spot. Perhaps a revamping of their OL will succeed; maybe this year they can grab a LT who sticks. That would give JR as much of a chance as any Raiders QB has ever had, if he can lay off the Skittles for just one year. The Raiders host the ‘49ers this year. If the whispers about Big Ben materialize, well, Katie, bar the door. The sky’s the limit: 8-8, 9-7, anything! The guy belongs in silver and black, in oh so many ways. What a nemesis; all we’d need next is for Denver to trade for Eli! But knowing what I know now, it’s hard to go wrong with 5-11, ±1.

The Chiefs are going to be a lot better, but that doesn’t mean they’ll be good. They have lots of needs, but they have excellent draft position (better than just “sucky team” excellent; I mean, really front-loaded with second-day picks). This time last year, we knew they would stink, but they could be getting ready to make a run in 2011 or ‘12, after the smoke clears. If so, they’ll win at least six games this year. If not, they won’t.

The Broncos have a funny quandary. They could really upgrade/get younger at a lot of key positions, but few of those positions are traditionally good places to fill in a rookie. They have age concerns at CB, and could really use more good developmental players, guys who might be around at #45, but who might not be ready to start should one of the veterans go down. They need a C, an ILB and and a NT; none of those players are the kinds of guys who just start out ready for the NFL. By contrast, they have Dumervil and Moreno and Clady and, uh, the other tackle named Ryan something… all great players at important positions that you can draft for immediate impact. So if they were an 8-8 team last year, and they lost BM, and they’re going to have a rookie center. Then again, they replace the Beast with the NFCW, and instead of playing the Pats, Browns, Bengals and Steelers, they have the Jets, Jags, Titans and Texans. So yeah, somewhere around 7-8 wins would be my guess, but I wouldn’t be surprised to be wrong.

So I’m anticipating 30-34 for the division, once again.

What is best in life? To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of the cheerleaders!

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Apr 16, 2010 5:28 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Wow

Very nice post. The Broncos look to me like they are going backwards j-man. They are going to be in huge trouble if they cant find a good center. And 11 appears too early for Pouncey, and their picks in the 2nd seem to high for the other centers in this years draft.
They need a guard too I guess. Glad the Chargers hit with some interior OL last year.

IMO

by Foilhat on Apr 16, 2010 6:49 PM PDT reply actions  

Since Chargers last season struggled more with the running game than anything else

I bet thats where AJ is gnna go wit in da first round. But knowing Aj smith i dnt think he ll get ryan mathews but u never know.Its cuz people never really guess who he picks.

Reppin SD (Z-G)

by BFTB_zach on Apr 16, 2010 8:09 PM PDT reply actions  

Trade down

our 1st round pick for a mid 2nd round and a mid 3rd round pick. I don’t think Cody is worth a 1st nor do I think it wise to spend a 1st on a RB. If we have 2 2nd round and 2 3rd rounds. We might benefit the depth that this draft has to offer from the top 50 to 100 picks. I would like to use this picks to get a NT (Troup), a between the tackles RB (there are many this year), a DE, and a nickel back or someone who can cover a TE.

by The Gorn on Apr 16, 2010 8:16 PM PDT reply actions  

I reallllly find it hard

To see Suh drop to #7. I like the post, no way AJ will let Blount on his roster. Disagree with some things. But nice post.

by Its Mikey!! on Apr 17, 2010 8:50 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

No spiller first round?

he’s supposed to be a lock top 20…. but if he were to fall, do you really think we’d take matthews ahead of him? I have a feeling they both will be gone.

by truheeyo on Apr 17, 2010 11:02 AM PDT reply actions  

i mess up on spiller

i been in so many mocks this offseason and spiller goes all over the place

okay i have cerebral palsy arthris and chronic fatigue as well i have a great life and loveing folks some days are better than other days i got a make-a-wish in 2001 and saw my favorite team the broncos it was the trip of a lifetime i wish everyone couild have gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that okay but i bleed organ and bule for my mnr fans but i bleed orange and blue denver will rise again resident broncos fan for every blog resident broncos for stampede bule thanks shvd98z24

by j-man on Apr 17, 2010 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pretty surprised that Mathews is the only RB you have in the first

I think Best will drop to early second, but CJ Spiller is by consensus the better running back than Mathews.

Also disagree with Suh going #7 overall, especially behind Bulaga.

Yup, I'm the nut who believes Mark Loretta is a possible future Hall of Famer.

by StrangeBroP25 on Apr 17, 2010 1:38 PM PDT reply actions  

i messed up

on spiller if sun dont go at 2 the next fit in the chiefs i did not want him in the divion

okay i have cerebral palsy arthris and chronic fatigue as well i have a great life and loveing folks some days are better than other days i got a make-a-wish in 2001 and saw my favorite team the broncos it was the trip of a lifetime i wish everyone couild have gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that okay but i bleed organ and bule for my mnr fans but i bleed orange and blue denver will rise again resident broncos fan for every blog resident broncos for stampede bule thanks shvd98z24

by j-man on Apr 17, 2010 2:17 PM PDT reply actions  

i got

7 picks right

okay i have cerebral palsy arthris and chronic fatigue as well i have a great life and loveing folks some days are better than other days i got a make-a-wish in 2001 and saw my favorite team the broncos it was the trip of a lifetime i wish everyone couild have gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that okay but i bleed organ and bule for my mnr fans but i bleed orange and blue denver will rise again resident broncos fan for every blog resident broncos for stampede bule thanks shvd98z24 real name jeremy woodard nettleton high class of 02 yes i am a raider

by j-man on Apr 26, 2010 7:14 PM PDT reply actions  

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