Combining Prospects: Previewing Speed Scores

Recently, Draft Countdown put out a list of prospects they say were invited to the combine. The list may be incomplete since I can't find an official listing anywhere, but my number crunching brain wanted to get to work on previewing the RBs. One of the famous events at the combine is the 40 yard dash. Love it or hate it, a statistical study was done that found that a formula using 40 time and weight for running backs can correlate to future success in the NFL. After the jump you'll find a listing of all the RBs invited to the combine, their projected weight and 40 time using NFL Draft Scout, the projected speed score based on those numbers and then the 40 times needed for those players get a 100 Speed Score (okay), 110 Speed Score (good) or 120 Speed Score (great) based on their projected weight.

One thing that will jump out at you is that most of these 40 times are favorable to the prospects. It is unlikely that most of these players will run as fast as their projected 40 times. There will be a handful though that surpass expectations though, but not nearly as many. Another thing that jumps out is that 4 running backs' projected Speed Scores are quite good since they are big backs that are projected to do quite well in the 40. These 4 backs are already decent to good prospects so if those projected 40 times hold up it could bode well for their NFL careers.

Prospect

College

Proj. Wt.

Proj. 40

Proj. Speed Score

100 SS 40

110 SS 40

120 SS 40

Matt Asiata

Utah

230

4.65

98

4.63

4.52

4.42

Joique Bell

Wayne State

223

4.54

105

4.60

4.49

4.39

Jahvid Best

California

195

4.42

102

4.44

4.34

4.25

LeGarrette Blount

Oregon

245

4.58

111

4.70

4.59

4.50

Chris Brown

Oklahoma

202

4.54

95

4.48

4.38

4.28

Andre Dixon

Connecticut

200

4.59

90

4.47

4.37

4.27

Anthony Dixon

Mississippi State

245

4.59

110

4.70

4.59

4.50

Jonathan Dwyer

Georgia Tech

235

4.48

117

4.66

4.55

4.45

Toby Gerhart

Stanford

235

4.55

110

4.66

4.55

4.45

Montario Hardesty

Tennessee

215

4.55

100

4.55

4.45

4.35

Javarris James

Miami (FL)

208

4.58

95

4.52

4.41

4.31

Stafon Johnson

Southern Cal

214

4.54

101

4.55

4.44

4.35

Darius Marshall

Marshall

190

4.49

93

4.42

4.31

4.22

Ryan Mathews

Fresno State

220

4.49

108

4.58

4.47

4.38

Dexter McCluster

Ole Miss

165

4.42

86

4.26

4.16

4.07

Joe McKnight

Southern Cal

190

4.42

100

4.42

4.31

4.22

Shawnbrey McNeal

Southern Methodist

190

4.47

95

4.42

4.31

4.22

Lonyae Miller

Fresno State

220

4.52

105

4.58

4.47

4.38

Brandon Minor

Michigan

218

4.59

97

4.57

4.46

4.37

Pat Paschall

North Dakota State

206

4.54

97

4.51

4.40

4.30

Charles Scott

Louisiana State

239

4.6

107

4.68

4.57

4.47

C.J. Spiller

Clemson

195

4.37

107

4.44

4.34

4.25

James Starks

Buffalo

218

4.54

103

4.57

4.46

4.37

Ben Tate

Auburn

214

4.5

104

4.55

4.44

4.35

Keith Toston

Oklahoma State

214

4.57

98

4.55

4.44

4.35

Keiland Williams

Louisiana State

221

4.56

102

4.59

4.48

4.38

RB Speed Scores are generated, and researched, by Football Outsiders.

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