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Moving Forward


I, like no one else who reads here, has any more interest in hashing out the playoff loss to the Jets.  Still, I think this loss represents something of a "look in the mirror" moment for the Chargers organization, from Dean Spanos, A.J. Smith, Norv Turner, as well as every player in the locker room.

The Chargers are one of only 5 teams since 2004 to have won their division at least 3 times.  Here are the other teams:

The Chargers are obviously the only team in this group that has not yet appeared in a Super Bowl.  We can currently discount Seattle, as their miserable 2008 and 2009 clearly show that they are a team that has entered their rebuilding cycle.  The Patriots are a team going through something of a rebuilding process as well, but figure to be in contention as long as Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are running the show.  The Colts are in contention as long as Peyton Manning is under center.  The Steelers seem to have 1 mediocre season every 3-4 years, but are also in the hunt as long as Ben Roethlisberger and Troy Polamalu are healthy.

The Chargers are well positioned to capture a 5th straight AFC West title next season, and the playoff spot that comes with it.  The question facing the Chargers is this: What's missing?

Some ideas and thoughts below the jump.

Star-divide

To be perfectly honest, what has bothered me about the loss to the Jets was that I thought the Chargers' players had outgrown the point where they would be intimidated by the playoffs.  Following the 2007 loss at home to New England, the Chargers won 3 playoff games during the 2008 and 2009 playoffs.

Looking Back for a Moment.

The previous 2 postseasons indicated that this team was playoff seasoned, gritty and able to deliver in the clutch.  No performance will equal the AFC Championship loss to New England for grit.   Two 4th Quarter / Overtime victories against the Colts, showed poise and resiliency.  Coming off these performances and into this postseason, It was reasonable to think the Chargers might not win the Super Bowl, but that their opponent would have to be an equal or superior team that played better.

It took just over 3 hours to put that idea (and confidence) into the ground 2 Sundays ago.  Suddenly, all the progress that had been made since January 2007 went up in smoke.

It's certainly possible that the loss to the Jets was a fluke, the perfect storm created by poor play, a difficult matchup, and an opponent playing with nothing to lose.  However, if it's not a fluke, then the Jets game revealed things about the Chargers that need to be fixed. 

This article is not referring to tangible things, like a new running back, or a successor to Jamal Williams (though we can discuss this in the comments).  I will leave the details of free-agency and the draft  in the capable hands of our other writers.  Rather, I'm questioning the greatest difference between a contender and a champion - the six inches between the ears.

Toughness, Physical or Mental?

In this case, stats don't lie.  The Chargers were awful at running the ball this year, and only marginally better at stopping the run.  As the season progressed, the Chargers were decent at running in the red zone, and in 4th quarter of games (Dallas), or in blowout wins (Denver, Kansas City).  On defense, once the Chargers defensive staff got their Defensive Line rotations set, they marginally improved against the run. 

I'm not advocating the return of MartyBall, but it is paramount for this team to get better at running the ball and stopping the run next season.  The ability to dictate to an opposing team that you can control the game at the line is the single biggest factor in winning and losing, excepting turnovers.  It also gives confidence to a team that they can win any kind of game, regardless of style or score. Regardless of the cause, the Chargers believed (the game plan reflects this) they would have to out-scheme, and out-smart the Jets. I honestly believe that the Chargers lost their poise when they realized that they could not beat the Jets in a "street fight" type of game.

Character Issues?

Earlier this year, in my admittedly way too early postmordem of this season, I suggested that one of the problems with this team was that there were players on this roster that cared more about what football allows them to do off the field, as opposed to wanting to win at all costs.  I was wrong on more than a few of my points earlier this season, but I still think this point has some merit - especially considering the players who made the most noticeable mistakes.  To be clear, I'm not advocating removing all of these players from the roster, but that the Chargers' organization has to question if these players (as well as some others) are truly committed to winning a Super Bowl above all else.

Leaders Wanted?

For those of you Norv Turner haters out there, I will not bash Turner for not being a maniacal, fire-and-brimstone coach.  That is not who he is, nor will he ever be that kind of coach.  Turner is an X's and O's offensive minded Head Coach, and solid staff organizer.  His extension was deserved, due to the factors outlined in my post about Turner earlier this season.  However, the Chargers do not have a true team leader (excepting possibly Philip Rivers).  Though LaDainian Tomlinson disputes the notion that the team is lacking leadership, the leadership that exists is strictly of the "setting a good example" variety.  This is evident in comments made by Tomlinson, in a radio interview, discussing how he felt as the game against the Jets was slipping away.

This is not to question the desire, or will to win of Tomlinson, or Antonio Gates, who said he was "devastated" in the postgame news conference.  However, there is a subtle difference between a player feeling or saying "we're blowing it" (Tomlinson), versus telling teammates "We're not going to blow this game!"  Again, besides possibly Philip Rivers, I'm not sure this kind of leader exists inside the locker room. 

Frankly, the latter comment is designed to elevate the level of play - as opposed to giving in to panic or desperation, and is something that would be said by a Ray Lewis-type of player.  And in terms of addressing character, does anyone seriously think that Antonio Cromartie would quit on a play in the 4th quarter of a playoff game, knowing he'd have to face someone like Lewis on the sideline or during the tape review?

Would getting a leader like this hurt?  And what could be the potential payoff?

Looking Ahead

I think A.J. Smith knows he needs a really good offseason - and he must suspect that this team has hit the proverbial glass ceiling.

This Chargers team has, over the last 6 years, accomplished everything that can be accomplished during the regular season, excepting a perfect season.  They've has the best record in the league.  They've had the 1 seed, 3 seed, 4 seed, and 2 seed in that order the last 4 years.  They've produced a league MVP.  A passing efficiency leader. And so on and so forth. Going forward, it doesn't mean a damn thing. 

A.J. Smith has said numerous times (I'm paraphrasing here) "Just get to the tournament, and hopefully one season it will all come together."   The Chargers have reached a point, similar to the Indianapolis Colts a few years ago, where they are going to be judged strictly on playoff success.  Hoping for the perfect end may not be an option for much longer.  The Chargers are maybe a player or two away - the key is getting the right player or two.

In the meantime, I suggest the Chargers steal a line from the movie Network, and post it inside the locker room.

"I'm mad as hell, and I'm not going to take this anymore!"

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Moving

forward is still hard to do after flying from Georgia to see a meltdown only equal to the patriots loss in 2007. I agree Cromartie has to go, complete me player. Shaun Phillips and Vincent Jackson will rebound, but Merriman I think is a big question mark this offseason. AJ is not stupid, this is truly the most inexcusable loss in recent charger history. He knows there must be some changes made.

by GABOLT on Jan 28, 2010 9:27 PM PST reply actions  

Great comment about Leadership

I think that having a vocal leader sepecially on the defensive side of the ball would really help this team.

I saw Brooking rev up the Cowboys prior to the Eagles game and thought that a guy like that would be valuable on our team.

by Aussiecharger on Jan 29, 2010 1:49 AM PST reply actions  

Merriman?

I actually find him to be quite solid as a player and character. Yes, he had an issue with that putrid mail order b!tch Tila Nguyen, but It still seems it was 85% her being a trashy media whore than anything else. Maybe Cooper could be a little more verbal on the sidelines. Maybe we need to have a camera on the sidelines at all times to see whats going on with the players. I like Merriman and Phillips. I think Cro needs a bigger set of balls. Having a bunch of strong, silent types like Jammer is great IMO. Jamal Williams seems like a strong leader to me. I agree whole heartedly that the team has a very good character leader in Rivers on offense, but there isn’t a definite one on Defense. I think it should be Ron Rivera cracking skulls. But the fact that I can’t point out one player to lead shows that at the moment, there isn’t really an answer yet…

by Superduperboltman on Jan 29, 2010 6:21 AM PST reply actions  

moral authority

I think the problem with the defensive leadership is that the mantle of leadership falls to the person with the personality and talent for it. The person must be a very good player on the field and also have the forcefull charismatic personality to cause people to fear and/or follow them. The best candidate for this person is Merriman (maybe the only candidate) Others have the skills and others may have the personality, but no one brings it together like Merriman. And I think Merriman wants to be that guy, but I think his off the field stuff compromises his ability to lead. I think the Tila thing, the pimping for verve, the trips to LA for his Fox Sports show caused his teammates to tune out whatever stuff he has to say. And thus, the defense is leaderless. A guy like Coop doesn’t have the personality for it, and that sort of personality is born, not learned. Phillips wants to be that guy, but I don’t think he has the personality for it either. Maybe Ellison or Weddle will grow into the role.

That being said, I think Merriman can still be the guy and I hope we keep him around one more year.

by Stephen (shaynes41) on Jan 29, 2010 7:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Merriman could be the leader of this defense...

… if he had any confidence in his status as a member of the team. I wish AJS could see that. Yeah, the guy’s a little flamboyant and hyperactive, and yes this sometimes means trouble when it’s a guy in such a leadership position, but he’s also simply less effective with the certainty that he’s playing for a new contract somewhere else. I don’t think he needs a new deal here or the promise of a new deal here, but the sense that they’re grooming his replacement can’t help, especially since English is obviously no Merriman.

There’s no other legitimate candidate on this team, and it ain’t gonna be a rookie. Picking up a FA who could be that guy is simply not the Chargers way.

What is best in life? To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of the cheerleaders!

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Jan 29, 2010 9:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Colts

The Colts were one and done the previous two years in a row, and now they are in the Super Bowl. I wonder if we are making too big a deal out of this loss, and maybe it was just a loss, just a bad day and not a indicator of a foundational issue.

Our offense is amazing, especially considering the all-pro center was out for most of the year. Our running game needs work, but that is not surprising given that we have a HOF RB at the end of his career and a mis-cast scat back running the ball for us behind a patchwork OLine. I think the offense will be as good or better next year with minor tweaking.

Our defense was pretty bad, but we did a great job of implementing the bend-don’t-break philosophy. No one really got a lot of points on us. Remember, we only gave up 17 points to the Jets and 7 of them were on a long run (which is a pretty fluky play) Our secondary was solid all year and even our piss-poor run defense is understandable because of the injuries inside (Jamal, Bingham, Jacques, etc). In fact, the only place I was really disappointed was in the pass rush this year. Call me Matt Millen, but I think we might be drafting a second consecutive OLB in the draft this year to improve ourselves here (maybe a guy who is a little bigger who can also play the tackle position in the nickel)

by Stephen (shaynes41) on Jan 29, 2010 8:23 AM PST reply actions  

L.T. leaving will be one of the central moves in changing the Chargers culture, the guy was a sourpuss, sorry, nice guy, amazing player but not a champion. Cromartie’s a no brainer. Phillips has to go too, the guy’s an idiot. He sounds intelligent because he speaks proper English and says all of the right things, but he doesn’t even know what he’s saying. He sounds like a babbling robot when answering questions. I get access to a lot of the behind the scenes, wired footage and nobody even listens to Phillips, the guy just doesn’t get it. Merriman’s the man, they need to lock him up long term and let him be the defensive leader again. Cooper’s not the greatest player but he’s got heart and he’s a leader as well, I like what I saw from Siler this year too. On offense it’s pretty much just Phillip, which I believe is all you need. Now with L.T. gone, Rivers can really take over this team hopefully i.e. Manning which is exactly what you need when you have a soft head coach.

by notablogger on Jan 29, 2010 6:05 PM PST reply actions  

I also believe

that A.J.‘s philosophy of “get in the tournament and see what happens” is a loser mentality, it’s like you’re already making excuses for potential losses. He should go for broke and do whatever it takes to build a championship team, at this point “getting in the tournament” means nothing.

by notablogger on Jan 29, 2010 6:43 PM PST reply actions  

This is what not knowing sports sounds like

There’s no such thing as “Going for broke” “to build a championship team”. If people could do that, teams would do it all the time. All you can do is build a consistent winner and hope the winning carries over to the championship. It’s true across every sport you’ll every come across. Even an individual sport like Tennis or Golf or Auto Racing. Nobody wins everything, there are just a few individuals that win a lot. It doesn’t get any easier with team sports.

I'm the first person to admit that I'm wrong about a lot of things, but I'm going to be the last person to admit I'm wrong about what we're currently talking about.

Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't

by Wonko on Jan 29, 2010 9:35 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Rec, with a couple of caveats

1. You can go for broke to build a team that is otherwise better in a given year than it would have been had you behaved in a manner consistent with building a long-term contender. Just ask Al Davis. But the Chargers are a contender, so that’s moot.

2. There are situational/circumstantial/relative assets one can have.To some limited extent, one can develop a team so that it’s best able to match up against the playoff mix, and identify the aspects of team-building that have the biggest correlation to late-season success, for the best chance to be healthy right when the elimination games come. Those aren’t necessarily independent of “building a consistent winner” but they aren’t the same thing at all, and one would think they’d amount, if not to “building a championship team,” at least to getting an edge.

Trouble is, this is exactly what AJS has done. It’s hard to complain about the roster or the coaching staff. We’ve struggled in Pittsburgh, but otherwise have matched up pretty well with the mix of contenders. As for late-season success, that 19-0 streak after Dec 1 says it all… except the part about 3 8-game streaks in 4 years. How’s it workin’?

What is best in life? To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of the cheerleaders!

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Jan 30, 2010 7:43 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

offensive coordinator

among other things, we need an offensive coordinator that can and WILL make adjustments durring the game. Norv runs the same plays over and over again. The jets obviously watched game film and were ready for the chargers screen passes, didn’t work one single time. everyone says what an offensive genius norv is, sorry don’t see it. Granted, the players didn’t execute very well, but norv never made any adjustments durring the game. They had two weeks to rest/prepare and weren’t prepared. I also would like to see a more aggressive defense. This giving up third and long because of soft zone coverage is for the birds. How many times this year did we see teams convert on third and 18 or more? rediculous. that should NEVER happen. They were SO afraid of giving up a “big” play that they allowed teams to convert third and longs. Occasionally, you have to risk giving up a big play to force the other team to risk a turnover by trying to thread the needle in tight coverage. How many times did rivers get sacked or throw the ball away because everyone was covered? well, we need to do the same thing. This team needs too many pieces to be considered a true superbowl contender. Winning the afc west isn’t that great an accomplishment. Denver was what, 8-8 and the chiefs and raiders were under 500 teams. It wasn’t like we won a tough division.

by irishlad on Jan 30, 2010 6:49 AM PST reply actions  

yes....aggresive defense

is something that needs to be addressed off-season either via player changes or scheme changes. I don’t see Saint’s D as more talented than ours. But they handed it to the Vikings by being aggressive with blitzes, ball strips and hitting Favre in the mouth. Even when Saints’ offense didn’t play well, they were in it till the end. Another reason why we lose to our nemesis consistently…Steelers, Jets, Ravens etc. They play tough and when we get into grudge matches, we fold. Even with these characteristic issues, we were in that Jets game but as mentioned before, Norv is terrible at adjusting for some reason. Wasn’t Chuds brought in for that reason?..to give Norv a clue when he’s lost?

by slimsocal678 on Jan 30, 2010 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think it's a case of always "folding" against those teams

I think the Chargers are just better designed for either getting ahead early and holding a lead or getting a chance to finish off a team by being the last one with the ball. Both cases are ones where the offense has to be firing on all cylinders at particular moments. The 3 teams you mentioned are 3 of the best at disrupting an offense and that sort of thing throws the Chargers off their game. Until the Chargers defense steps up like the Saints D did this year, the Chargers will have a tough time in those ugly games where wins and losses hinge on the little things.

I'm the first person to admit that I'm wrong about a lot of things, but I'm going to be the last person to admit I'm wrong about what we're currently talking about.

Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't

by Wonko on Jan 30, 2010 3:46 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

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