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Historical Reason for Hope in 2010/2011: The Indianapolis Colts

Hey guys, if you're anything like me, you've spent pretty much the entire week looking for an article, a post, a thread, a conversation...*anything* that could make you feel better about the collapse of our beloved Bolts last Sunday.  After all, it was supposed to be "our year", right?

Well, for me, nothing really helped.  None of the articles made me feel like we were going to have any better chance next season than we had this season.  And with LT's imminent departure, it seemed as though the disappointment was going to sting even worse.

That is, until I broke open the 2009 NFL Record & Fact Book prior to the AFC Championship Game, and found a team's very recent history that actually is eerily similar to ours...the Indianapolis Colts.  The breakdown, and a glimmer of hope for Chargers fans, after the jump. 

Star-divide

Before I get into it, let me share with you that this is not an attempt to excuse some of the things we all saw last Sunday.  Clearly, we let an ideal situation and a winnable game slip through our fingers.  But that's not what I'm discussing here.  I want to give all of you some measure of hope as we head into the long, bitter off-season.  A chance to think, maybe we *can* still win it all next season, despite the fact that it looked like this had to be the year for our Chargers.

 

So here it is, and it's actually fairly simple.  Prior to the 2006 season, when the Colts finally put it all together and won Super Bowl XLI, they had made trips to the playoffs in 6 of the previous 7 seasons.  And each of those was with Peyton Manning.

In 1999, they won the AFC East (prior to re-alignment) with the second best record in the conference at 13-3.  They were bounced in their first playoff game, 19-16 by Tennessee.

In 2000, they got into the playoffs as a wild card, and once again lost their first playoff game, this time to Miami.

They failed to make the playoffs in 2001.

In 2002, they returned to the playoffs as a wild card, and got drilled in their first playoff game, losing to the Jets 41-0.

In 2003, they won the AFC South with a 12-4 record, and lost the AFC Championship game to New England.

In 2004, they again won the AFC South at 12-4, but got bounced in the Divisional Round, again by New England.

In 2005, the year they must have thought was their year, they finished with the best record in the NFL at 14-2, but lost their first playoff game in heartbreaking fashion, missing a game-tying FG at the end of regulation, and falling to eventual Super Bowl XL Champion Pittsburgh 21-18.

I personally remember watching that game and thinking how awful it must have been to be a Colts fan at that time.  Continued failures in the playoffs despite having a great QB and incredible regular season success.  And oh, by the way, 2005 was the last year that Edgerrin James was seen in a Colts uniform.  They won the Super Bowl the year after they allowed him to go play for Arizona.

So...4 straight trips to the playoffs (6 of 7 seasons overall).  Multiple losses in the Divisional Round, with a lone trip to the AFC Championship in that time.  A franchise QB, with an aging RB that was finally let walk the season before they won it all.

I know that the similarities are not exact, but as I looked it over before the Colts attempted to get to their 2nd Super Bowl in 4 years, I came to believe that the window is NOT closed.  With Oakland, KC, and Denver all still trying to find themselves, the AFC West title is still very much a possibility (if not a probablility) next season.  And with the Colts having set the precedent, it's very possible that next year could finally be the year that the Chargers deliver on the promise of seasons past.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Bolts From The Blue community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Bolts From The Blue editors or SB Nation.

2 recs  |  Comment 5 comments

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I've been thinking about this all season.

What is best in life? To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of the cheerleaders!

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Jan 25, 2010 3:27 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

In this hopeful analogy...

Rivers = Manning, Harrison = Jackson, Kaeding = Vanderjagt and Tomlinson = James.

Each of those is pretty plausible a comparison, yeah. But you know how it goes with things like this.

Definitely, making the playoffs over and over can’t hurt your chances.

What is best in life? To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of the cheerleaders!

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Jan 25, 2010 3:32 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

This is not by accident

The Chargers basically go by the same Offense-first strategy to get consistent playoff berths. History has shown that teams that have above average offenses are more likely to maintain their windows, while teams built on defense will struggle to maintain consistency over many years. However, the defense-first teams have a better chance that in their good years will win Super Bowls, whereas the Offense-first teams rely on the idea that being in the running year after year that they’ll eventually break through.

Not only that, but Bill Polian was the GM for the Bills in late 80s and early 90s. Butler and Smith learned their ways from him. It only makes sense that their ways would be similar.

I'm the first person to admit that I'm wrong about a lot of things, but I'm going to be the last person to admit I'm wrong about what we're currently talking about.

by Wonko on Jan 25, 2010 4:16 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Nervous play by "expectant" Chargers?

I think the biggest glaring issue I saw was the fact that the Chargers looked nervous, (just like 2006 against the Patriots all over again) and the fact that Phillip only played a bit of the first quarter against the Redskins in the final game of the regular season might have contributed to his rust/lack of experience against a stout defense, (like the Redskins) might have prepared Phillip better for the Jets defense.

Now that’s not to say that they would have faced the Jets had a different playoff scenario played itself out, but my thinking is like this, why not play against a tough defense here at home when the opportunity presents itself like it did against the Redskins, heck, Billy & Phillip could have alternated snaps to get a feel or comfort level for tough blitzing defenses, as it was, Billy didn’t play in the divisional game we lost, but he got the experience and the pick against the Redskins defense, if Philip wasn’t available, (something forbid) then the experience Billy had against the Redskins could have paid off well against a team like the Jets, but that’s a big what if since Nate picked a heck of a day to revisit his Jets jinx from his first playoff game….

by Gonna die some day, but not today on Jan 26, 2010 2:54 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Stats Don't Lie

I like this comparison you’ve discovered. It looks like the stars are aligning to make this happen the way L.T. is talking his way out of San Diego as we speak. May history repeat itself. Go Chargers!

by Everlasting Gobstopper on Feb 4, 2010 10:29 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

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