Predicting the Score by the Numbers

This week is really a throw away week, the Chargers will go with a simple game plan and will most likely sit most of their key players in the 2^nd half (here's to hoping that there may be a Chuck Whitehurst sighting), while the Redskins players will most likely be sneaking off early to the locker room to check and see what kind of deals priceline has to Maui starting January 4^th.   My perdition is that this game will be boring, sloppy and short, to see what the score should have been if both teams had a reason to play click below.

 

So far this season the Redskins have score on average 16.4 points per game and have allowed an average of 20.9 points per game.   The Redskins opponents have scored 21.2 points and allowed 22.6 points per game on average thus far this season.   If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Redskins have scored 6.2 fewer points per game than their opponent's average and have allowed 0.3 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Redskins	16.4	20.9
Giants	26.3	25.5
Rams	11.3	27.2
Lions	15.9	30.5
Bucs	15.6	25.3
Panthers	19.5	19.9
Chiefs	16.7	26.7
Eagles	28.6	20.9
Falcons	22.9	21.0
Broncos	20.1	18.7
Cowboys	22.5	16.7
Eagles	28.6	20.9
Saints	33.3	21.2
Raiders	12.3	23.9
Giants	26.3	25.5
Cowboys	22.5	16.7
Average	21.2	22.6
Adjustment	-6.2	-0.3

The Chargers have scored 28.7 points per game and allowed 20.0 points per game on average so far this season, while their opponents have scored an average of 20.7 points per game and allowed 21.8 points per game on average thus far in the season.  If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 6.9 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 0.7 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	28.7	20.0
Raiders	12.3	23.9
Ravens	24.7	16.5
Dolphins	22.4	24.0
Steelers	22.5	20.0
Broncos	20.1	18.7
Chiefs	16.7	26.7
Raiders	12.3	23.9
Giants	26.3	25.5
Eagles	28.6	20.9
Broncos	20.1	18.7
Chiefs	16.7	26.7
Browns	14.8	23.9
Cowboys	22.5	16.7
Bengals	20.3	16.9
Titans	22.5	25.9
Average	20.7	21.8
Adjustment	6.9	-0.7

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

 

Redskins

The Redskins score on average 16.4 points, the Chargers allow 0.7 fewer points than average, the Redskins should score 15.7 points.

The Redskins allow on average 20.9 points, the Chargers score on average 6.9 points higher than average, the Redskins should allow 27.8 points.

 

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 28.7 points, the Redskins allow 0.3 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 28.4 points.

The Chargers allow on average 20.0 points, the Redskins score on average 6.2 fewer points than their opponents average, Chargers should allow 13.8 points.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	28.4	13.8
Redskins	15.7	27.8

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 28

Redskins 14

Go Bolts!