Predicting the Score By the Numbers

The Bengals are only allowing their opponents to score 16.7 points per game (on average) this season, while the Chargers are scoring 27.9 points per game (on average).  Will the chargers high powered O get past the Bengals stingy D click below to find out.

 

So far this season the Bengals have score on average 20.3 points per game and have allowed an average of 16.7 points per game.   The Bengals opponents have scored 20.2 points and allowed 21.0 points per game on average thus far this season.   If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Bengals have scored 0.7 fewer points per game than their opponent's average and have allowed 3.5 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Bengals	20.3	16.7
Broncos	19.7	17.7
Packers	26.5	18.7
Steelers	21.4	18.8
Browns	12.2	24.2
Ravens	24.5	16.8
Texans	23.9	21.0
Bears	19.0	22.4
Ravens	24.5	16.8
Steelers	21.4	18.8
Raiders	11.9	24.3
Browns	12.2	24.2
Lions	16.1	31.2
Vikings	29.9	18.7
Average	20.2	21.0
Adjustment	-0.7	-3.5

 

The Chargers have scored 27.8 points per game and allowed 19.9 points per game on average so far this season, while their opponents have scored an average of 19.5 points per game and allowed 21.9 points per game on average thus far in the season.  If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 5.9 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 0.4 more points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	27.8	19.9
Raiders	11.9	24.3
Ravens	24.5	16.8
Dolphins	22.5	23.5
Steelers	21.4	18.8
Broncos	19.7	17.7
Chiefs	15.8	26.3
Raiders	11.9	24.3
Giants	26.2	25.4
Eagles	28.6	21.0
Broncos	19.7	17.7
Chiefs	15.8	26.3
Browns	12.2	24.2
Cowboys	22.8	17.9
Average	19.5	21.9
Adjustment	5.9	0.4

 

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

 

Bengals

The Bengals score on average 20.3 points, the Chargers allow 0.4 points more than average, the Bengals should score 20.7 points.

The Bengals allow on average 16.7 points, the Chargers score on average 5.9 points higher than average, the Bengals should allow 22.6 points.

 

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 27.8 points, the Bengals allow 3.5 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 24.3 points

The Chargers allow on average 19.9 points, the Bengals score on average 0.7 fewer points than their opponents average, Chargers should allow 19.2 points.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	24.3	19.2
Bengals	20.7	22.6

 

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 23

Bengals 20

Go Bolts!