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Chargers-Giants Success & Stop Rates


Both the offense and defense were less than spectacular for the first three quarters of Sunday's game.  Fortunately, when it mattered most at the very end of the game, both units rose to the occasion.  Anyone who watched the game knows this and the numbers reflect it.

Offense

The offense was unsuccessful more often than not on Sunday.  This was mostly thanks to a complete inability to run the ball, but even when Rivers dropped back to pass the Chargers were still failing every other play.

The futility in the running game is attributable to several factors that were noticeable during this game and have been present for most if not all of the season.  Tomlinson, who gets a majority of the carries, is slow to the hole and goes down on first contact almost every time.  The play-calling also leaves something to be desired as Turner continues to call running plays out of power formations that telegraph his intent, but provide no push.

The 50/50 success of the passing game is more benign.  Rivers and co. try to complete a lot of low percentage downfield throws and are actually very successful doing so.  It just isn't going to show up that way in what is essentially a pass/fail system where all successes are equal.  The final drive of the game, though, was impressive by any standard.  The Chargers rate of success was 75% (6 of 8) and they completed four passes of 10 or more yards.  Also, the only completion that wasn't good for a first down or touchdown was a nine yarder on first down.

Defense

The defense's stop rate of just over 50% isn't anything to sneeze at, but it isn't terribly impressive either.  What is impressive is that the defense recorded a stop on the final nine plays of the game which covered the Giants' last three possessions.  That run of dominance also kept the score close enough with enough time left on the clock to allow for the offense's game-winning drive.

Those last three possessions are even more impressive when you realize that until that point, the defense was only recording a stop on 43% of their plays.

One thing about the numbers that jumped out at me was the breakdown by down.  The Chargers were fairly mediocre on first and second down, but downright dominant on third, especially third down runs.  They only allowed five third down conversions all day.  The reason it seemed like more was because four of them occurred on the Giants' third drive of the game and none of them happened after that with the Chargers holding them short of the sticks on their last seven third downs.

Cooper (7), Siler (6), Phillips (5) and Weddle (4) all had big individual games as measured by tackles for stops.  Nine Charger defenders prior to this week's game had recorded 4 or more stops in one game.  For four of them to do so in this week's contest is impressive to say the least.  Cooper's seven stop game makes him the team leader again having been tied with Phillips after last week's game.

Wrap Up

Overall, Sunday's game was an even one until the very end and against a good team like the Giants on the road and on the opposite coast, I think that's something we should be happy about.

Star-divide

Success Rates:

Overall 42.6% 23/54
Pass 50.0% 20/40
Run 21.4% 3/14
1st Down 32.0% 8/25
2nd Down 63.2% 12/19
3rd Down 30.0% 3/10
1stPass 41.2% 7/17
1stRun 12.5% 1/8
2ndPass 68.8% 11/16
2ndRun 33.3% 1/3
3rdPass 28.6% 2/7
3rdRun 33.3% 1/3
1st Quarter 40.0% 4/10
2nd Quarter 41.7% 5/12
3rd Quarter 37.5% 6/16
4th Quarter 50.0% 8/16
1stPass 50.0% 4/8
1stRun 0.0% 0/2
2ndPass 33.3% 3/9
2ndRun 66.7% 2/3
3rdPass 54.5% 6/11
3rdRun 0.0% 0/5
4thPass 58.3% 7/12
4thRun 25.0% 1/4
Floyd (Rec) 28.6% 2/7
Gates (Rec) 50.0% 4/8
Hester (Rec) 0.0% 0/2
Jackson (Rec) 85.7% 6/7
Naanee (Rec) 100.0% 3/3
Sproles (Rec) 40.0% 2/5
Tomlinson (Rec) 50.0% 1/2
Wilson (Rec) 33.3% 1/3
Jackson (Run) 0.0% 0/1
Sproles (Run) 0.0% 0/1
Tomlinson (Run) 25.0% 3/12

Stop Rates

Overall 51.5% 34/66
Pass 52.6% 20/38
Run 50.0% 14/28
1st Down 48.1% 13/27
2nd Down 48.0% 12/25
3rd Down 64.3% 9/14
1stPass 50.0% 8/16
1stRun 45.5% 5/11
2ndPass 58.3% 7/12
2ndRun 38.5% 5/13
3rdPass 50.0% 5/10
3rdRun 100.0% 4/4
1st Quarter 57.1% 8/14
2nd Quarter 42.1% 8/19
3rd Quarter 42.9% 6/14
4th Quarter 63.2% 12/19
1stPass 57.1% 4/7
1stRun 57.1% 4/7
2ndPass 38.5% 5/13
2ndRun 50.0% 3/6
3rdPass 50.0% 3/6
3rdRun 37.5% 3/8
4thPass 66.7% 8/12
4thRun 57.1% 4/7
Boss (Rec) 33.3% 1/3
Bradshaw (Rec) 50.0% 2/4
Hixon (Rec) 0.0% 0/1
Jacobs (Rec) 100.0% 2/2
Manningham (Rec) 16.7% 1/6
Nicks (Rec) 60.0% 3/5
Smith (Rec) 54.5% 6/11
Bradshaw (Run) 50.0% 7/14
Jacobs (Run) 54.5% 6/11
Nicks (Run) 0.0% 0/1
Ware (Run) 50.0% 1/2

Individual Stops Team Leaderboard Through 8 Games:

Name Stops
Cooper 25
Phillips 23
Merriman 18
Dobbins 17
Weddle 14
Nwagbuo 12
Burnett 11
Castillo 10
Ellison 10
Gregory 10
Siler 9
Cesaire 8
English 8
Boone 7
Cason 6
Jammer 6
Hart 5
Cromartie 4
Johnson 4
Oliver 2
Martin 1
Scott 1
Williams 1

2 recs  |  Comment 15 comments |

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What? I’m supposed to publish these things after I compile the data and write my analysis? Craziness.

Bolts from the Blue // "Game over." - Jamal Williams
Bloody Elbow // "Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats." - H.L. Mencken

by Richard Wade on Nov 12, 2009 5:44 PM PST reply actions  

how do you find the time to do these Rich? Do you sleep at all?If you have a girl,does she mind?do you ever eat?

just asking

HUSTLE MADE ENT. NEW TRACK...CHECK FOR IT...NOTHING BUT THAT KILLA CALI FIRE FO SHO!!! http://www.myspace.com/jayoh1ne

by Gorditoe1 on Nov 13, 2009 2:27 AM PST up reply actions  

We got it done when it counts

On 3rd down and in the 4th Qtr.

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 12, 2009 9:05 PM PST reply actions  

Eagles next

I hope we can see some more defensive focus in the first half, and some holes for LT to run through during drives. I like what Rivera is doing on defense. I hope things stay aggressive and successful.

by Superduperboltman on Nov 13, 2009 5:58 AM PST reply actions  

Bradshaw/Jacobs

Those are interesting numbers, my impression was that Jacobs chewed us up and the Giants didn’t run well with Bradshaw.

Wow, 20% run success, it makes you wonder why they don’t give Bennett some carries.

"Football is a physical sport, sometimes you have a disagreement on what's going on, and you have a discussion about it." Kris Dielman

by Brian (DaBolts) on Nov 13, 2009 6:57 AM PST reply actions  

I'm not sure if we're going to see the OL ratings for last week.

But I don’t think the OL had a very good game, plus the turf is tough for those who aren’t used to it.

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 13, 2009 7:06 AM PST up reply actions  

Pass blocking we did fine, I believe

Run blocking? Not so much. That was my perspective from the stands.

It will be interesting to see pacstud’s analysis.

If the thunder don't get ya then the lightning will!!

Robert Hunter

by Buck Melanoma on Nov 13, 2009 9:09 AM PST up reply actions  

That's what I mean

LT hates the turf and the OL sucked at run blocking. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 13, 2009 9:29 AM PST up reply actions  

I still love LT,I blame everything on the O-line!

The decline in performance,ypc,the stadium issue,the recession,the swine flu,even my shitty attemp at making meatloaf!!!

HUSTLE MADE ENT. NEW TRACK...CHECK FOR IT...NOTHING BUT THAT KILLA CALI FIRE FO SHO!!! http://www.myspace.com/jayoh1ne

by Gorditoe1 on Nov 15, 2009 8:46 AM PST up reply actions  

True

The run game was awful; but you have to hand it to the Giants too. They closed really well on the ball carrier; there were two plays at the end of the first half where LT got some reasonable runs in, but mostly there was just nothing there.

"Football is a physical sport, sometimes you have a disagreement on what's going on, and you have a discussion about it." Kris Dielman

by Brian (DaBolts) on Nov 13, 2009 10:24 AM PST up reply actions  

Their defense

played all around better than they had the previous three weeks. They did things they hadn’t been doing. They really, really wanted that game. That we pulled it out at the end is huge, considering what we were up against.

We're boned.

by Zach (maestro876) on Nov 13, 2009 11:46 AM PST up reply actions  

do you compile these yourself?

When can others find stats on a game to analyze? Specifically I was looking for special teams info as I thing we are making a killing on that part of the game and want to see objective evidence. Suggestions?

Bring back Balboa Stadium.

by calipatrick on Nov 14, 2009 11:03 AM PST reply actions  

Of course I do.

Bolts from the Blue // "Game over." - Jamal Williams
Bloody Elbow // "Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats." - H.L. Mencken

by Richard Wade on Nov 14, 2009 1:58 PM PST up reply actions  

HUSTLE MADE ENT. NEW TRACK...CHECK FOR IT...NOTHING BUT THAT KILLA CALI FIRE FO SHO!!! http://www.myspace.com/jayoh1ne

by Gorditoe1 on Nov 15, 2009 8:51 AM PST up reply actions  

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