I wanted to create an unbiased prediction of the score for this week’s game, but being a lifelong Charger fan I found that to be rather though. My solution was to turn to stats, if I could look at and compare each team’s average points for and against points per game totals I thought might somehow be able to predict the score without bias. Click below to see what I came up with.
Major Stat Geek Warning Below!!!
So far this season the Eagles have scored 27.4 points per game and allowed 19.1 points per game thus far. The Eagles opponents have scored 20.7 points and allowed 23.4 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Eagles have scored 4.1 points per game than the average and have allowed 1.6 points fewer per game than the average.
| Points For | Points Against | |
| Eagles | 27.4 | 19.1 |
| Panthers | 18.5 | 24.5 |
| Saints | 37.9 | 21.8 |
| Chiefs | 15.8 | 25.6 |
| Bucs | 16.8 | 28.9 |
| Raiders | 9.8 | 25.1 |
| Redskins | 14.1 | 19.2 |
| Giants | 25.8 | 22.7 |
| Cowboys | 27.1 | 19 |
| Average | 20.725 | 23.35 |
| Adjustment | 4.05 | -1.625 |
The Chargers have scored 25.8 points per game and allowed 22.4 points per game on average thus far, while their opponents up until this point have scored an average of 19.4 points per game and allowed 21.9 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 3.9 more points per game than the average and are giving up 3 points per game than the average.
| Points For | Points Against | |
| Chargers | 25.8 | 22.4 |
| Raiders | 9.8 | 25.1 |
| Ravens | 25.8 | 19.2 |
| Dolphins | 24.1 | 25.5 |
| Steelers | 23.9 | 18.4 |
| Broncos | 20 | 13.7 |
| Chiefs | 15.8 | 25.6 |
| Raiders | 9.8 | 25.1 |
| Giants | 25.8 | 22.7 |
| Average | 19.375 | 21.9125 |
| Adjustment | 3.8875 | 3.025 |
If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week’s game you get the following:
Chargers
The Chargers score on average 25.8 points, the Eagles allow 1.6 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 24.2 points
The Chargers allow on average 22.4 points, the Eagles score on average 4.1 points higher than average, Chargers should allow 26.5 points.
Eagles
The Eagles score on average 27.4 points, the Chargers allow 3 points more than average, the Eagles should score 30.4 points.
The Eagles allow on average 19.1 points , the Chargers score on average 3.9 points higher than average, the eagles should allow 23 points.
Team For Against
Chargers 24.2 26.5
Eagles 30.4 23.0
If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:
Chargers 24
Eagles 28
Man this unbiased thing sucks!
There are 19 Comments. Load Now.
Shortcuts to mastering the comment thread. Use wisely.
C - Next Comment
X - Mark as Read
R - Reply
Z - Mark Read & Next
Shift + C - Previous
Shift + A - Mark All Read
Comment Settings
Live comment alert: Hide it!
Comments for this post are closed.