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Norv Turner Compared to His Peers

San Diego Chargers coach Norv Turner argues a call during the second quarter of an NFL football game against the Denver Broncos on Monday, Oct. 19, 2009 in San Diego. (AP Photo/Denis Poroy)

More photos » Denis Poroy - AP

3 months ago: San Diego Chargers coach Norv Turner argues a call during the second quarter of an NFL football game against the Denver Broncos on Monday, Oct. 19, 2009 in San Diego. (AP Photo/Denis Poroy)

With all the hubub about the Chargers under-performing, and how poorly Norv Turner is coaching, I thought it would be interesting to see how Norv's record thus far in his career matches up against some of his contemporaries.  I've put together each of the coach's records as a head coach and kept a running tally of the cumulative win percentage in the regular season and post season.

I've put Norv up against the four of the SB winning coaches who are currently not coaching and will be looking for work soon (I don't think Dungy will be).  I've thrown in Jeff Fisher and Bill Belichek just for some additional perspective.

I'm not entirely sure what I was expecting when I was putting together these numbers.  I had a vague belief in my mind that Norv's early career failures might match up with other top coach's slow starts and that perhaps history would show us we should just be patient.  So, let's take a look.

Norv Turner Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T % Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Washington Redskins 16 3 13 0 0.188 0.188
2 Washington Redskins 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.281
3 Washington Redskins 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.375
4 Washington Redskins 16 8 7 1 0.533 0.406
5 Washington Redskins 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.400
6 Washington Redskins 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.438 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
7 Washington Redskins 13 7 6 0 0.538 0.450 0.500
8 Oakland Raiders 16 5 11 0 0.313 0.432 0.500
9 Oakland Raiders 16 4 12 0 0.25 0.411 0.500
10 San Diego Chargers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.439 3 2 1 0.667 0.600
11 San Diego Chargers 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.445 2 1 1 0.5 0.571
12 San Diego Chargers 6 3 3 0 0.5 0.447 0.571

Star-divide

Bill Cowher Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.688 1 0 1 0 0.000
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.625 1 0 1 0 0.000
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.667 2 1 1 0.5 0.250
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.672 3 2 1 0.667 0.429 AFC Champions
5 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.663 2 1 1 0.5 0.444
6 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.667 2 1 1 0.5 0.455
7 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.634 0.455
8 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.602 0.455
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.597 0.455
10 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.619 2 1 1 0.5 0.462
11 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 10 5 1 0.667 0.619 2 1 1 0.5 0.467
12 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.599 0.467
13 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 15 1 0 0.938 0.625 2 1 1 0.5 0.471
14 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.629 4 4 0 1 0.571 Super Bowl Champions
15 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.621 0.571
Mike Shanahan Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Los Angeles Raiders 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.438
2 Los Angeles Raiders 4 1 3 0 0.25 0.400
3 Denver Broncos 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.444
4 Denver Broncos 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.558 1 0 1 0 0.000
5 Denver Broncos 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.603 4 4 0 1 0.800 Super Bowl Champions
6 Denver Broncos 16 14 2 0 0.875 0.655 3 3 0 1 0.875 Super Bowl Champions
7 Denver Broncos 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.610 0.875
8 Denver Broncos 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.621 1 0 1 0 0.778
9 Denver Broncos 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.606 0.778
10 Denver Broncos 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.601 0.778
11 Denver Broncos 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.604 1 0 1 0 0.700
12 Denver Broncos 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.606 1 0 1 0 0.636
13 Denver Broncos 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.622 2 1 1 0.5 0.615
14 Denver Broncos 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.618 0.615
15 Denver Broncos 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.605 0.615
16 Denver Broncos 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.598 0.615
John Gruden Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Oakland Raiders 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.500
2 Oakland Raiders 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.500
3 Oakland Raiders 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.583 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
4 Oakland Raiders 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.594 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.625 3 3 0 1 0.714 Super Bowl Champions
6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.594 0.714
7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 5 11 0 0.313 0.554 0.714
8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.570 1 0 1 0 0.625
9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 4 12 0 0.25 0.535 0.625
10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.538 1 0 1 0 0.556
11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.540 0.556
Mike Holmgren Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Green Bay Packers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.563
2 Green Bay Packers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.563 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
3 Green Bay Packers 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.563 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
4 Green Bay Packers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.594 3 2 1 0.667 0.571
5 Green Bay Packers 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.638 3 3 0 1 0.700 Super Bowl Champions
6 Green Bay Packers 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.667 3 2 1 0.667 0.692 NFC Champions
7 Green Bay Packers 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.670 1 0 1 0 0.643
8 Seattle Seahawks 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.656 1 0 1 0 0.600
9 Seattle Seahawks 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.625 0.600
10 Seattle Seahawks 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.619 0.600
11 Seattle Seahawks 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.602 0.600
12 Seattle Seahawks 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.604 1 0 1 0 0.563
13 Seattle Seahawks 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.601 1 0 1 0 0.529
14 Seattle Seahawks 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.616 3 2 1 0.667 0.550 NFC Champions
15 Seattle Seahawks 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.613 2 1 1 0.5 0.545
16 Seattle Seahawks 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.613 2 1 1 0.5 0.542
17 Seattle Seahawks 16 4 12 0 0.25 0.592
Jeff Fisher Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Houston Oilers 6 1 5 0 0.167 0.167
2 Houston Oilers 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.364
3 Houston Oilers 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.421
4 Tennessee Oilers 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.444
5 Tennessee Oilers 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.457
6 Tennessee Titans 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.523 4 3 1 0.75 0.750 AFC Champions
7 Tennessee Titans 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.569 1 0 1 0 0.600
8 Tennessee Titans 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.551 0.600
9 Tennessee Titans 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.567 2 1 1 0.5 0.571
10 Tennessee Titans 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.587 2 1 1 0.5 0.556
11 Tennessee Titans 16 5 11 0 0.313 0.560 0.556
12 Tennessee Titans 16 4 12 0 0.25 0.533 0.556
13 Tennessee Titans 16 8 8 0 0.5 0.530 0.556
14 Tennessee Titans 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.537 1 0 1 0 0.500
15 Tennessee Titans 16 13 3 0 0.813 0.557 1 0 1 0 0.455
16 Tennessee Titans 6 0 6 0 0 0.542
Bill Belichek Playoffs
Year Tm G W L T W-L% Cumulative % G W L % Cumulative % Notes
1 Cleveland Browns 16 6 10 0 0.375 0.375
2 Cleveland Browns 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.406
3 Cleveland Browns 16 7 9 0 0.438 0.417
4 Cleveland Browns 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.484 2 1 1 0.5 0.500
5 Cleveland Browns 16 5 11 0 0.313 0.450 0.500
6 New England Patriots 16 5 11 0 0.313 0.427 0.500
7 New England Patriots 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.464 3 3 0 1 0.800 Super Bowl Champions
8 New England Patriots 16 9 7 0 0.563 0.477 0.800
9 New England Patriots 16 14 2 0 0.875 0.521 3 3 0 1 0.875 Super Bowl Champions
10 New England Patriots 16 14 2 0 0.875 0.556 3 3 0 1 0.909 Super Bowl Champions
11 New England Patriots 16 10 6 0 0.625 0.563 2 1 1 0.5 0.846
12 New England Patriots 16 12 4 0 0.75 0.578 3 2 1 0.667 0.813
13 New England Patriots 16 16 0 0 1 0.611 3 2 1 0.667 0.789 AFC Champions
14 New England Patriots 16 11 5 0 0.688 0.616 0.789
15 New England Patriots 7 5 2 0 0.714 0.619 0.789

 

So, I was a little surprised at how well most of these coaches did right off the bat.  Of course, only one of them (Shanahan) was saddled with either Snyder or Davis as owners.  One thing that these records do tell me is that some of the coaches in waiting (and soon to be coach in waiting Fisher) are not as wonderful as their big superbowl rings make them look.

4 recs  |  Comment 15 comments |

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Cold, hard proof.

Coaches don’t generally get much better after their second or third year on the job. You can look past one really bad season, or even a couple seasons in one place and one season the next place… but this is stop number 3 and season number 12. Take away that first year in Washington, don’t hold that Oakland thing against Norv, and you still have nine seasons of mediocrity with between 6 and 11 wins, and only two winning seasons and three playoff runs in that time. It ain’t the Lions, ok, but it’s not exactly stellar.

by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Oct 30, 2009 6:25 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow

Really interesting. Rec’d.

"I did not invent the wheel, I was the crooked spoke adjacent." - Aesop Rock

by John (obviousman) on Oct 30, 2009 6:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

By that comparison Norv does not look too bad

Interesting that you could make a very big list of coaches under the career .500 number. We need to be careful with our pitch forks & torches. We could (and likely would) end up with someone worse than Norv.

Norv needs a make over.

by Trendsearcher on Oct 30, 2009 9:23 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not a norv fan

Granted, it would depend on who is available as to who should replace norv. And, some of the blame falls squarely on AJ for not shoring up the lines ( O & D), but the last few years, we stuble at the beginning and have to play out of our minds and get lucky (broncos collapse) to reach the playoffs. We need a head coach who knows how to game plan and manage the game who is an offensive genius and a Defensive coordinator who knows defense and make adjustments during the game. I don’t believe we currentyly have that.

by irishlad on Oct 30, 2009 9:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

A few things...

Expecting perfection is going to leave you disappointed often. Our team has been very good this last half decade and the blame lies squarely on AJ. Starting slow sucks as a fan, but in the end, making the playoffs is all that counts. You can argue that we only got to the playoffs last year because of Denver’s collapse, but they got “lucky” with the ed hochuli call so i call it a wash. We deserved to win our division. The Colts were 12-4 last year and we were 8-8.

Saying Norv doesn’t know how to game plan and manage the game is kind of silly. He is a NFL coach. Norv may not be an offensive genius in your mind, but i would argue that we have had one of the most high powered offenses in the NFL. Trickery wildcat stuff doesn’t make you an offensive genius. Points per game does.

This blog has devolved into UT like, uncerebral blabber

by soulSD on Oct 30, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Rec'd

numbers don’t lie, but they don’t tell the whole truth either.

peace out

The peanut gallery has spoken!!!

by gatesoftds on Oct 30, 2009 11:58 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

his rankings against this group

Reg Season WP: 7th of 7
Playoff WP: 3rd (t) of 7

So his playoff record is a reasonable, but his regular season is clearly worse. Perhaps another metric would be % of seasons you make the playoffs:

Coach Playoffs Seasons %
Norv 3 11 27%
Cowher 10 15 67%
Shanahan 7 16 44%
Gruden 5 11 45%
Homgren 12 17 71%
Fisher 6 15 40%
Belichick 7 14 50%
Also, he was handed a 14-2 team, and most coaches are brought in when the prior guy was canned, so things are a mess. So prior to SD, Norv was 1 for 9, or 11%.
I know in baseball people consider it a crapshoot who wins the WS once teams are in the playoffs. The most recent STL team to win the World Series was the weakest team entering the playoffs, but ran the table with Jeff Weaver pitching lights out despite actually sucking.

He does seem pretty solid in the playoffs. He lost to NE in NE without LT or a healthy PR and lost to PIT in PIT last year but got some bad breaks (PR’s tip interception, the punt hitting Weddle in the helmet).

And his games with us seem to fall into three categories:
He is on it, and the team plays like champs: most of the games in December last year, wins agains the Jets and NE, etc.

The team plays well but does not maximize and poor red zone calls and clock management sink the team in a close loss. A bunch last year, Baltimore this year, maybe Broncos first half this year.

The team gets blown out: Pitt this year, NE his first year (regular season), Broncos in the second half this year. It is as though the other team saw something and they could not adjust.

The weird thing is that he has a seemingly even mixture of the three.

by jayman66 on Oct 30, 2009 5:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm no fan of Norv, but...

Interestingly, his biggest problem in Washington was that the ‘Skins would get off to great starts before falling apart down the stretch.
It should be said in Norv’s defense that he inherited the crumbling remains of the Gibbs-Beathard dynasty in Washington, and the GM was Charley Casserly. Casserly wasn’t able to maintain the talent level in Washington after Beathard left, and struggled as GM of the Texans. Norv never had a prayer in Oakland.
That being said, all of the problems his teams had in Washington and Oakland are similar to the problems the Chargers have had since he arrived. I think he’s been propped up to a degree by the players in San Diego (Rivers, especially, is the best QB he’s had since he was OC in Dallas), but with the injuries and gradually declining talent in San Diego – he’s been exposed more and more regularly.

"As a confirmed melancholic, I can testify that the best and maybe only antidote for melancholia is *action*. However, like most melancholics, I suffer also from sloth." - Edward Abbey.

by Jeff (sliderockmpc) on Oct 30, 2009 7:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good analysis

Norv still ranks last in playoff apperances. Will ride this season out to see where it goes. Make playoffs Norv stays, if not sionarra.

by GABOLT on Oct 30, 2009 7:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i think he stays reguardless

just off the top of my head, AJ has a pattern. he tends to keep personel he liked/picked. also AJ will not make a move if thier are no viable candiates, even if there are any i.e (Rex Ryan, Mike Singletary, Ron Rivera) he will stick with the guy, that he convinced Dean Spanos could get a SB trophy, and let his contract run it’s course if he doesn’t.

Quite literally, if Norv is let go, at seasons end or his contract expires next year, without a SB trophy, AJ knows it could mean scraping the entire coaching staff and starting over. so just hope Norv gets me my trophy.

The peanut gallery has spoken!!!

by gatesoftds on Oct 30, 2009 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I must be misreading this

I don’t get it. All of these guys have way better winning percentages than Norv. Norv would have to go on a seasons-long winning streak to even come close to most of these guys. So why aren’t they “as wonderful” as their rings make them look? Because they don’t have more of them?
1) They are extremely hard to get, and they only one team gets them per year.
2) Norv does not have a ring.
3) Norv makes some baffling decisions as a head coach. His teams often look completely unprepared. We consider it victory if a Charger teams meets expectations. We never seem to exceed expectations. I don’t understand the need to always try and use statistics to disprove what we all know by simply looking.
4) I am not anti-Norv irrationally, and am sick of being portrayed as such. If the team turns it around and plays up to their potential, I will stop hoping Norv gets fired. Shocker: I would be happy if Norv remained our head coach, as long as the team wins.

by xpadrex on Oct 30, 2009 9:45 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good stats

I don’t blame Norv for not doing well with Oak or Wash – few have won with those teams lately

I liked Marty better but the problem for SD has been the decline of LT and Merriman

I’d like to visit the yard sale where Belichek stopped at on his way from Cleveland to NE where he bought those IQ points that made him a genius

Also I wonder how Cowher would have done if he had coached a team other than the Steelers

by WarWolf on Oct 31, 2009 9:02 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

They are considered excellent coaches, but :

Cowher – 1 ring in 15 years with Pitt

Shannahan 2 rings in 14 years with Broncs – Elway and TD had great years in those 2

Holmgren 1 ring in 17 years – had Favre most of the time

Fischer 0 rings in 16 years

Gruden 1 ring in 11 years

by WarWolf on Oct 31, 2009 9:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Rings are always nice but ...

I think most fans would be happy if they thought they had a chance to actually go to the Super Bowl. The Colts don’t win it every year. Neither do the Patriots or Steelers. But almost every year their fans have high hopes from week 1 to week 17. For the past three years, Charger fans have had really high hopes every pre-season … until the actual games begin. Then the expectations are downgraded to something like, “If we actually play to our abilities, and things go our way, we could still get to the playoffs”. I’m tired of hearing announcers say we have so much talent and then they have to explain why we can’t turn that talent into wins …

by FresnoPadsFan on Oct 31, 2009 11:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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