Stat of the Day: JaMarcus Russell is Not Good
I know every time I bring up QB rating people feel the need to mention that it's an antiquated statistic. I get it. There are probably better means of identifying who the best and worst QBs in the league are, but the QB rating still works quite well.
If we're looking at all of the QBs in the league, who would be your top 10 in 2009? Would it look like this?
- Peyton Manning
- Aaron Rodgers
- Drew Brees
- Matt Schaub
- Ben Roethlisberger
- Brett Favre
- Kyle Orton
- Tom Brady
- Philip Rivers
- Tony Romo
That's your top 10 NFL QBs in 2009 ranked by their QB Rating. It's not identical to my list of the best 2009 QBs (I'd probably have Rodgers down a couple of spots), but it's damn close. That's why I continue to at least respect the QB Rating stat as a means to judge a QB's performance.
Here where it gets amazing. There are 32 teams in the NFL and therefore 32 starting QBs. Due to injuries and changes in the position for some teams, 35 QBs have averaged at least 14 passes per game. Can you guess where JaMarcus Russell ranks amongst those 35 signal-callers? 34th. That means there are at least two QBs in the league who are or were considered backups that have played better.
Now here's the kicker. The only QB that is still getting a chance to play the position with a lower QB Rating is Derek Anderson, who is probably only playing because the Browns don't want to give Brady Quinn a $11 million bonus. He is considered a starter, and Quinn does not have enough snaps to be ranked. That means there are three QBs that are or were considered backups with higher QB ratings than Russell. Can you name them all? (Answer at the end of the post)
Those numbers are astonishing low. How low? So low that even 2008 JaMarcus Russell would laugh at them....
- His 47.2 QB Rating is the lowest of his career. His previous lowest QB Rating was 55.9, during his rookie campaign.
- The 46.3% completion rate doesn't even come close to JaMarcus' previous lowest completion rate (53.8%).
- His career TD/INT ratio before this season was 5/4, far better than the 1/4 he's producing in 2009.
- Although Oakland's line was supposedly improved since last season, Russell is on pace to be sacked 41 times in 2009. That's significantly more than the 31 times he was sacked in 2008.
- 5% of his passes in 2009 have been intercepted. That's more than double last season, where only 2.2% of his passes were picked off.
- 1.3% of his passes in 2009 have been touchdowns. Not only is that less than half of his second worst season (2007 - 3.0%), but if you take away the Louis Murphy touchdown against the Chargers (where nobody covered him) that percentage goes down to 0.6%.
- In 2008, JaMarcus used his nimble feet and big body to gain 7.5 yards per carry as a runner. In 2009, he's gaining just 2.5 YPC.
- In 2008, Russell proved to have a difficult time fumbling the ball, losing the pigskin 12 times in 15 games. In 2009, he's on pace to fumble it 11.5 times over 16 games. That's an improvement!
Trivia Answer: Technically there are five "backup" QBs with higher QB ratings than Russell. Kevin Kolb (88.9) filled in for McNabb and Seneca Wallace (82.6) filled in for Matt Hasselbeck. Both played significantly better than JaMarcus Russell. Now here's where it just gets silly.....
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers benched Byron Leftwich after he posted a 71.2 QB Rating in the first few games of the season. His replacement, Josh Johnson, was replaced after a handful of games after posting a 50.9 QB Rating. Josh Freeman, who hasn't thrown enough passes to be ranked, played for about a quarter against the Patriots and still managed a 60.4 QB Rating. All three QB Ratings are higher than Russell's.
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By DVOA it doesn't get any better
Only 39 QBs qualify (minimum 53 passes attempted) and he ranks 39th. His DVOA is low enough that the last time anyone was lower was 2005 (when Alex Smith had the worst QB season of all time). The only QB this decade, other than Smith, to finish worse was Craig Krenzel in 2004 (at least, unlike the other two, he graduated college and has a degree in molecular biology).
And for kicks and giggles the top 10 by DVOA looks like
1. Manning
2. Brees
3. Schaub
4. Brady
5. Orton
6. Roethlisberger
7. Ryan
8. Romo
9. Favre
10. Rodgers
and by DYAR (keep in mind some QBs haven’t had bye weeks yet):
1. Brady
2. Manning
3. Schaub (no bye)
4. Brees
5. Roethlisberger
6. Orton
7. Favre
8. Warner
9. Flacco
10. Palmer (no bye)
Rivers is 11th in both.
Also, it looks like Aaron Rodgers has been getting a lot of garbage time yards or something. Stat whore.
Wisdom can not be cultivated through ignorance of information.
I was wondering if he might have got a degree while he was there even though he left early
My comment still works in that his degree is not in molecular biology (and after double-checking, neither is Krenzel’s; his is in molecular genetics).
Wisdom can not be cultivated through ignorance of information.
LOL that was a hard one John!
Here an idea for the next one….
Charlie Whitehurst is hairy
or
David Binn in not young
;0)
Will you quit it?
Some literate person might tell a Raider official about this, we can’t have him getting pulled before the game.
Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play
I hope your not implying
That our chances of beating the Raiders diminish to the point of being worried about the outcome if Gradkowski plays for Russell. Personally, I’m pretty darn comfortable with either QB playing. The Breast was pretty darn awful in Tampa Bay.
Wisdom can not be cultivated through ignorance of information.
The last time I saw him come in, when we faced them
he threw like three complete passes in a row, that’s like a 300% performance increase over Russell’s entire game time.
If these trends continue…

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play
by Axion on Oct 27, 2009 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
So...Do we get a stat of the day everyday now?
On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"
In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants
Exactly what do you interpret "of the day" to mean?
I’m curious.
Wisdom can not be cultivated through ignorance of information.
de jour
It’s a great soup.
Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play
What's the soup de jour?
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue ::This spot currently available for lease::
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Oct 27, 2009 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions
Stat Du Jour?
I like it
"I did not invent the wheel, I was the crooked spoke adjacent." - Aesop Rock
by John Gennaro on Oct 27, 2009 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions
I was thinking about the AFC West cheerleader de weekuor
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue ::This spot currently available for lease::
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Oct 27, 2009 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions
Wonko! So sassy today...Another week where you are going "Wonkers"?
On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"
In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants
Jmarcus does suck but he can’t be worse then the 3 stooges in St. Louis, c’mon man Bulger and Boller are the biggest crap i ever seen
Yup, he's worse that those guys
That’s just how bad he is.
Wisdom can not be cultivated through ignorance of information.
by Wonko on Oct 27, 2009 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Yup
"I did not invent the wheel, I was the crooked spoke adjacent." - Aesop Rock
by John Gennaro on Oct 27, 2009 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions
Let's just reiterate.
39.6 — That’s a quarterback’s rating under the NFL system if all he would do is drop back all day and throw the ball directly into the ground. A quarterback can do that 1,000 times — go 0-for-1,000 with 0 yards — and still, 39.6 it is.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue ::This spot currently available for lease::
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Oct 27, 2009 6:11 PM PDT reply actions
Here's
to hoping he stays as the starting QB for the rest of his contract.
by GABOLT on Oct 27, 2009 7:16 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
That would just be fantastic.
Bolts from the Blue // "Game over." - Jamal Williams
Bloody Elbow // "Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats." - H.L. Mencken
by Richard Wade on Oct 27, 2009 7:51 PM PDT up reply actions
Russell's a Bust
Russell sux sox big time. And he’s only going through the motions, but not very well…..
I bet Norval could fix him...turnin him into west coast D Mcnabbbbbb......really
HUSTLE MADE ENT. NEW TRACK...CHECK FOR IT...NOTHING BUT THAT KILLA CALI FIRE FO SHO!!! http://www.myspace.com/jayoh1ne
How did
The Eagles lose to a team led by Jamarcus
In the end, we all lose. Except some people.
The same way the Chargers could...
… By looking past the Raiders and expecting the Raiders to not put up a fight.
Despite the record,
Despite the past performance of some of the players,
Despite the Owner,
Despite the Coaches the Raiders are a serious team –
More serious because it is a division game,
More serious because of the rivalry.
The Chargers better layout and put all they can into winning this game, loose this week and that 25% post season chance Football Outsiders is giving goes to 5%.
by Trendsearcher on Oct 28, 2009 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Rec'd.
Three letters for ya, baby: N. F. L. That stuff happens. And yeah, it could happen here.
Don’t fall asleep on these guys. Their offense sucks, yes, but their defense is way better than the stats indicate. You don’t have to be a playoff team to be dangerous, and with their decent running game, good punter and solid pass defense, they can protect a lead pretty well.
Put ‘em in a hole and keep ’em there. Like Kansas City, except the Raiders know their place. Let ’em challenge you and they can beat you, but get an early lead, don’t let up, and they’ll fall apart.
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Oct 28, 2009 4:50 PM PDT up reply actions
And that sucky offense bombed a TD on us last time, remember?
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Oct 28, 2009 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions
Those points are only their to get the Vig right
They really have no bearing on the game. The 17 is all about getting the betting money even between teams.
That said the spread is at its heart a group-based decision about the outcome. I think the record is pretty clear that groups can make more accurate prediction than most of the individuals within the group. So maybe there is something to it.
I’ve heard that some of the games so far this season have been getting out of balance and some books have been getting hammered.
by Trendsearcher on Oct 28, 2009 4:37 PM PDT up reply actions
If I were a betting man...
… I’d be seriously conflicted. No way I’m taking anybody at -17. Not that it couldn’t happen….
by Neoplatonist Bolthead on Oct 28, 2009 4:51 PM PDT up reply actions
Seriously, that is pretty damn high
On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"
In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

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